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SUN-612 Gender-Specific Prevalence and Incidence Trends in Type 1 Diabetes Mellitus: A Global Burden of Disease Analysis in Adolescents and Young Adults (Aged 15-39) from 1990 to 2021
Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Fatima, Sumaiyah, Ahmad, Husnain , Ibrahim, Arwa , Haider, Rabbia, Jawad, Hamna , Qadeer, Abdul , Khawar, Muneeb , Ahmed, Faizan , Fatima, Sumaiyah, Rahman, Waqas, Ikram, Jibran , Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of the Endocrine Society | October 23, 2025 | Volume: 9 | Issue: Supplement_1 | Pages: No page available

10.1210/jendso/bvaf149.1261 Get It

Abstract Disclosure: M. Kakakhel: None. S. Fatima: None. H. Ahmad: None. A. Ibrahim: None. W. Rahman: None. R. Haider: None. H. Jawad: None. A. Qadeer: None. M. Khawar: None. F. Ahmed: None. J. Ikram: None. R. Kirchoff: None. Background: Across the world, type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) is a major health problem for teenagers and young people. This study aims to examine the incidence and prevalence of T1DM by gender in the 15-39 age range between 1990 and 2021. Methods: We analyzed data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) to evaluate incidence and prevalence rates of T1DM in each gender from 1990 to 2021. The Annual Percentage Change (APC) and The Annual Average Percentage Change (AAPC) was used to assess trends, with p-values determining the statistical significance. Results: From 1990 to 2021, the global prevalence of T1DM was found to be increased steadily for both genders, with the highest rates recorded in 2021: 247.32 per 100,000 for females and 246.47 per 100,000 for males. Incidence rates in 2021 showed a contrasting pattern, with males exhibiting higher rates (7.18 per 100,000) compared to females (5.98 per 100,000). AAPC analysis showed that males exhibit a faster rise in both prevalence and incidence compared to females over the study period. The difference in AAPC between males and females is more pronounced for prevalence (+0.3748%) compared to incidence (+0.1956%), with all AAPC values being statistically significant (p < 0.000001). Following the APC analysis, other significant trends were revealed. Male incidence experienced the greatest increase during 2015-2021, with an APC of +1.9033% (p < 0.000001), whereas female incidence increased most between 2011 and 2014 (APC = +1.3050%; p < 0.000001). In contrast, the most significant decline in incidence was observed in females during 1990-1992, with an APC of +0.1665% (p = 0.006799), which was the lowest increase in the dataset. For prevalence, males exhibited the highest increase during 2015-2021, with an APC of +1.3938% (p < 0.000001), whereas females had their peak increase during 2006-2009, with an APC of +0.8957% (p < 0.000001). The slowest increase in prevalence for females occurred during 2014-2019, with an APC of +0.4591% (p < 0.000001). Conclusion: The prevalence and incidence of T1DM among people aged 15-39 increased significantly between 1990 and 2021, with a greater increase in males. This highlights the need for gender-specific strategies in T1DM prevention and management, and research into the factors driving these disparities. Presentation: Sunday, July 13, 2025
Regional trends in incidence and prevalence of pancreatic cancer among older adults (70+): A 30-year global burden of disease analysis (1990–2021).
Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Ahmad, Husnain , Mannan, Muhammad Shaheer, Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Ibrahim, Arwa M, Jawad, Hamna , Idrees, Usama , Khan, Iqra , Qadeer, Abdul , Khawar, Muneeb , Ikram, Jibran, KHAN, A. A. , Rashid, Muhammad, Ibrahim, Arwa M, Ahmed, Faizan , Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16419 Get It

e16419 Background: Pancreatic cancer remains one of the most lethal malignancies worldwide. While high-income regions have long faced higher rates, recent trends show that lower-income regions are also beginning to see an increase. This study explores how pancreatic cancer incidence and prevalence have changed over the past 30 years among adults aged 70 and older assessing regional differences. Methods: We analyzed data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) spanning three decades (1990–2021) to assess pancreatic cancer incidence and prevalence rates among adults aged 70+. Data focused on different regions worldwide, grouping them by income levels using the Socio-demographic Index (SDI) and annual changes in incidence and prevalence rates were calculated. Results: In 2021, High-income Asia Pacific had the highest incidence rate at 119.52 per 100,000, whereas Low SDI regions had the lowest at 12.01 per 100,000. High-income regions accounted for the majority of cases, with over 140,000 reported, compared to fewer than 3,000 in the lowest-income areas. Andean Latin America experienced significant APC fluctuations, with a sharp rise from 2015 to 2019 followed by a decline, while High-income North America saw a recent decrease in incidence. Overall, most regions exhibit a steady increase in pancreatic cancer prevalence, with higher AAPCs in Sub-Saharan Africa, North Africa, and parts of Asia, while high-income regions show more moderate increases. Trend analysis reveals significant trends in pancreatic cancer incidence and prevalence among individuals aged 70+. Western Sub-Saharan Africa has the highest Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) at 2.3248%, indicating the most substantial increase in prevalence from 1990 to 2021, followed by North Africa and the Middle East at 1.9906%. Low-middle SDI regions also show a steady rise with an AAPC of 1.718%, while high-income regions like High-income Asia Pacific report a notable AAPC of 1.595%. Conclusions: Our findings show a concerning rise in pancreatic cancer among older adults, with the most dramatic increases in regions like Western Sub-Saharan Africa and North Africa. To tackle this growing challenge, we need focused efforts on prevention, early detection, and accessible care, especially in lower-resource settings. Incidence percent changes. Metric Region 1990 2021 AAPC (1990-2021) Highest incidence percent change Western Sub-Saharan Africa 7.62 15.38 2.31 North Africa and Middle East 20.97 37.23 1.91 Lowest incidence percent change Caribbean 41.51 41.36 -0.016 Southern Latin America 74.05 73.89 0.006 Highest prevalence percent change Western Sub-Saharan Africa 4.54 9.21 2.32 North Africa and Middle East 12.49 22.77 1.99 Lowest prevalence rate percent change Caribbean 25.02 25.38 0.02 Southern Latin America 44.78 45.45 0.06
National trends in disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of pancreatic cancer among individuals aged 70 and older across 204 countries (1990-2021): A global burden of disease study.
Khan, Saba , Qadeer, Abdul , Khawar, Muneeb , Jajja, Salman Ayub, Ahmad, Husnain , Khan, Iqra , Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Ibrahim, Arwa M, Ikram, Jibran, Ahmed, Faizan , Ibrahim, Arwa M, Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e22572 Get It

e22572 Background: Pancreatic cancer is a highly lethal malignancy that disproportionately impacts older populations, contributing significantly to global disease burden. Disability-adjusted life years (DALY) serve as a comprehensive metric to quantify the combined impact of mortality and morbidity. This analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study-2021 (GBD-2021) aims to characterize trends in DALY rates attributable to pancreatic cancer among individuals aged 70 years and older across 204 nations. Methods: Data on DALY associated with pancreatic cancer for individuals aged 70+ were extracted for 204 nations from the GBD-2021 study for the years 1990 and 2021. Estimated annual percent change (EAPC) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated from 1990 to 2021. Results: The DALY rates were accessed among individuals aged 75 and older diagnosed with pancreatic cancer. In 1990, Greenland exhibited the highest DALY rate globally (2825.65), but by 2021, this position was surpassed by the United Arab Emirates (2775.52), with Greenland declining to the second-highest rate (2082.43). On the other hand, Turkmenistan had the lowest DALY rates in 1990, but by 2021, Mozambique had taken this position, with Turkmenistan ranking 170th. Despite the observed DALY rates from 1990 to 2021, Turkmenistan experienced the highest change (EAPC: 15.23, 95% CI: 10.88–21.18), followed by the Republic of Cabo Verde (EAPC: 12.88, 95% CI: 8.14–18.75) and Mongolia (EAPC: 4.53, 95% CI: 2.90–6.88). A decrease in DALY was observed in over 24 nations, with the Republic of San Marino recording the largest decline (EAPC: -0.37, 95% CI: -0.55, -0.12), followed by Bermuda (EAPC: -0.26, 95% CI: -0.43, 0.03) and Greenland (EAPC: -0.26, 95% CI: -0.45, -0.009). Conclusions: From 1990 to 2021, DALY rates related to pancreatic cancer among individuals aged 70 and older rose worldwide, particularly in Turkmenistan, the Republic of Cabo Verde, and Mongolia. There is a pressing need for global adoption of screening programs to enable early detection and treatment of these cases. Metric Region 1990 2021 EAPC with 95% CI (1990-2021) HIGHEST DISABILITY-ADJUSTED LIFE YEARS (DALYS) PERCENT CHANGE Turkmenistan 19.66 319.09 15.22 (10.88–21.18) Republic of Cabo Verde 98.12 1361.76 12.88 (8.14–18.75) Mongolia 172.14 952.05 4.53 (2.90–6.88) LOWEST DISABILITY-ADJUSTED LIFE YEARS (DALYS) PERCENT CHANGE Republic of San Marino 1323.96 834.01 -0.37 (-0.55, -0.12) Bermuda 1696.97 1249.11 -0.26 (-0.43, 0.03) Greenland 2825.66 2082.43 -0.26 (-0.45, -0.009)