Citations

107 Background: The "No Placebo Initiative" demonstrated that the survivals of patients (pts) receiving placebo in a salvage-line setting, exhibited no significant difference across trials (CORRECT, RECOURSE, CONCUR and TERRA). Therefore, we believe that a nomogram can be generated using the ARCAD database to predict survival of pts who completed standard therapy. Methods: Of 40,889 Individual patient data (IPD) from 59 studies, 723 pts received placebo from 4 randomized studies were pooled. The potential prognostic factors considered include BMI and Age. Imputed datasets were constructed by a multiple imputation method since the original dataset contains some missing values. Overall survival (OS) was defined as the time from randomization to death from any cause. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models for OS were estimated based on the variables showing clinically and statistically significant by univariate analysis. Prediction performance of the final model was evaluated using the concordance index for survival data and calibration plots. Results: From univariate and multivariate analysis, ECOG performance status, Royal Marsden Hospital score (calculated by albumin level, LDH level, and number of metastatic site), primary site location, liver meta, peritoneal meta were selected as variables. We successfully developed a highly accurate nomogram to predict post-standard treatment prognosis for pts with mCRC. Concordance index for OS was 0.66. Conclusions: Although further validation in other cohorts is needed, this nomogram could be very useful to estimate the survival for clinical practice and enrolling in clinical trials. [Table: see text]

PURPOSE Recurrence after curative-intent treatment occurs in 20%-50% of patients with stage II-IV colorectal cancer (CRC), underscoring the need for early detection of minimal residual disease (MRD) using circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA). Here, we examined the pattern of use of a tumor-informed ctDNA assay in CRC MRD monitoring in routine clinical practice at Mayo Clinic, Rochester. METHODS We conducted a retrospective analysis of health records of patients with CRC who had at least one tumor-informed ctDNA assay from May 2019 through July 1, 2022. Recurrence was defined as radiographic evidence of disease. Descriptive characteristics of the cohort, ctDNA results, and subsequent interventions were recorded. RESULTS Of the 120 patients included, the median age at diagnosis was 67 years, 46% were female, and 94% were White. At diagnosis, 10 patients had stage I, 23 stage II, 60 stage III, and 25 stage IV disease. Of 476 ctDNA assays performed, 70% were performed in patients who had recurrent disease most commonly to monitor the effectiveness of therapeutic interventions and 16% resulted in a change in clinical decision making. There were 110 recurrences identified in 62 patients, as some patients experienced more than one recurrence over time. Compared with serum carcinoembryonic antigen levels, ctDNA results correlated better with radiologic imaging. CONCLUSION Routine ctDNA monitoring for MRD detection has been adopted in clinical practice; however, 84% of ctDNA assays performed did not result in a change in clinical management. This suggests the need for further clinical research data to guide routine clinical use of ctDNA MRD testing in CRC.

Abstract Background: For patients with liver-confined metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC), local therapy of isolated metastases has been associated with long-term progression-free and overall survival (OS). However, for patients with more advanced mCRC, including those with extrahepatic disease, the efficacy of local therapy is less clear although increasingly being used in clinical practice. Prospective studies to clarify the role of metastatic-directed therapies in patients with mCRC are needed. Methods:The Evaluating Radiation, Ablation, and Surgery (ERASur) A022101/NRG-GI009 trial is a randomized, National Cancer Institute-sponsored phase III study evaluating if the addition of metastatic-directed therapy to standard of care systemic therapy improves OS in patients with newly diagnosed limited mCRC. Eligible patients require a pathologic diagnosis of CRC, have BRAF wild-type and microsatellite stable disease, and have 4 or fewer sites of metastatic disease identified on baseline imaging. Liver-only metastatic disease is not permitted. All metastatic lesions must be amenable to total ablative therapy (TAT), which includes surgical resection, microwave ablation, and/or stereotactic ablative body radiotherapy (SABR) with SABR required for at least one lesion. Patients without overt disease progression after 16-26 weeks of first-line systemic therapy will be randomized 1:1 to continuation of systemic therapy with or without TAT. The trial activated through the Cancer Trials Support Unit on January 10, 2023. The primary endpoint is OS. Secondary endpoints include event-free survival, adverse events profile, and time to local recurrence with exploratory biomarker analyses. This study requires a total of 346 evaluable patients to provide 80% power with a one-sided alpha of 0.05 to detect an improvement in OS from a median of 26 months in the control arm to 37 months in the experimental arm with a hazard ratio of 0.7. The trial uses a group sequential design with two interim analyses for futility. Discussion: The ERASur trial employs a pragmatic interventional design to test the efficacy and safety of adding multimodality TAT to standard of care systemic therapy in patients with limited mCRC.

572 Background: The DEFeNDR (Decreasing the burden of Febrile Neutropenia through Dynamic RPM) program leverages in-home technology and centralized nurse monitoring to facilitate ambulatory management as an alternative to hospital-based care for cancer patients with neutropenic fever (NF). The objective of this study is to assess 30-day care utilization outcomes and patient satisfaction at 12 months after program implementation. Methods: Adult cancer patients hospitalized with NF were assessed daily for DEFeNDR program eligibility including MASCC score ≥21 (per ASCO guidelines) and no cellular therapy (CAR-T, BMT) in the prior 100 days. Patients agreeing to participate in the 30-day program received a cellular-enabled tablet with pre-connected devices for twice-daily vital signs and symptom assessments. Patient generated data were EHR-integrated in real-time. Embedded decision trees facilitated alerts for adverse trends. Virtual RPM nurses responded to alerts and utilized predefined care pathways. The primary endpoint was the mean proportion of evaluable days spent inpatient (mPEDI) within 30 days of eligibility comparing those who participated in the program (RPM) with those who declined (no RPM). Results: Of 85 eligible patients, 62 were offered DEFeNDR participation. Of those, 34 (54.8%) participated and 28 (45.2%) declined. Baseline characteristics and care utilization outcomes are summarized in Table 1. RPM patients experienced significantly lower mPEDI compared with unmonitored patients [5.1% (Standard Error [SE], 1.9%) vs 12.4% (SE, 2.1%); Wilcoxon Rank Sums p-value, 0.032]. RPM patients also experienced a trend toward fewer total hospital days and lower 30-day readmission rate, as well as shorter mean length of stay and lower rate of ICU utilization when readmitted. Non-visit care activities (EHR clinical communications, documentation, and patient messaging) were decreased from pre-hospital baseline for 58.8% of RPM patients versus 46.6% of those unmonitored. All RPM patients completing a patient satisfaction survey (n=9) indicated that they would recommend the program to patients with a similar condition. Conclusions: Cancer patients with NF participating in the DEFeNDR program experienced a significant reduction in mPEDI and care utilization compared with those who declined. Further studies are warranted to assess comparative effectiveness of this model vs usual care.[Table: see text]

AbstractBackgroundOne in three patients with stage III colon cancer will experience tumor recurrence. It is uncertain whether physical activity during and after postoperative chemotherapy for stage III colon cancer improves overall survival after tumor recurrence.MethodsA prospective cohort study nested within a randomized multicenter trial of patients initially diagnosed with stage III colon cancer who experienced tumor recurrence (N = 399) was conducted. Postoperative physical activity before tumor recurrence was measured. Physical activity energy expenditure was quantified via metabolic equivalent task hours per week (MET‐h/week). The primary end point was overall survival after tumor recurrence. Multivariable flexible parametric survival models estimated relative and absolute effects with two‐sided hypothesis tests.ResultsCompared with patients expending <3.0 MET‐h/week of physical activity (comparable to <1.0 h/week of brisk walking), patients with ≥18.0 MET‐h/week of physical activity (comparable to 6 h/week of brisk walking) had a 33% relative improvement in overall survival time after tumor recurrence (hazard ratio, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.42–0.96). The overall survival rate at 3 years after tumor recurrence was 61.3% (95% CI, 51.8%–69.2%) with <3.0 MET‐h/week of physical activity and 72.2% (95% CI, 63.1%–79.6%) with ≥18 MET‐h/week of physical activity (risk difference, 10.9 percentage points; 95% CI, 1.2–20.8 percentage points).ConclusionsHigher postoperative physical activity is associated with improved overall survival after tumor recurrence in patients initially diagnosed with stage III colon cancer. These data may be relevant to patients who, despite optimal postoperative medical therapy, have a high risk of tumor recurrence.

Metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) is a heterogeneous disease that can evoke discordant responses to therapy among different lesions in individual patients. The Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) criteria do not take into consideration response heterogeneity. We explored and developed lesion-based measurement response criteria to evaluate their prognostic effect on overall survival (OS). Patients and Methods: Patients enrolled in 17 first-line clinical trials, who had mCRC with ≥ 2 lesions at baseline, and a restaging scan by 12 weeks were included. For each patient, lesions were categorized as a progressing lesion (PL: > 20% increase in the longest diameter (LD)), responding lesion (RL: > 30% decrease in LD), or stable lesion (SL: neither PL nor RL) based on the 12-week scan. Lesion-based response criteria were defined for each patient as follows: PL only, SL only, RL only, and varied responses (mixture of RL, SL, and PL). Lesion-based response criteria and OS were correlated using stratified multivariable Cox models. The concordance between OS and classifications was measured using the C statistic. Results: Among 10,551 patients with mCRC from 17 first-line studies, varied responses were noted in 51.6% of patients, among whom, 3.3% had RL/PL at 12 weeks. Among patients with RL/SL, 52% had stable disease (SD) by RECIST 1.1, and they had a longer OS (median OS (mOS) = 19.9 months) than those with SL only (mOS = 16.8 months, HR (95% CI) = 0.81 (0.76, 0.85), p < 0.001), although a shorter OS than those with RL only (mOS = 25.8 months, HR (95% CI) = 1.42 (1.32, 1.53), p < 0.001). Among patients with SL/PL, 74% had SD by RECIST 1.1, and they had a longer OS (mOS = 9.0 months) than those with PL only (mOS = 8.0 months, HR (95% CI) = 0.75 (0.57, 0.98), p = 0.040), yet a shorter OS than those with SL only (mOS = 16.8 months, HR (95% CI) = 1.98 (1.80, 2.18), p < 0.001). These associations were consistent across treatment regimen subgroups. The lesion-based response criteria showed slightly higher concordance than RECIST 1.1, although it was not statistically significant. Conclusion: Varied responses at first restaging are common among patients receiving first-line therapy for mCRC. Our lesion-based measurement criteria allowed for better mortality discrimination, which could potentially be informative for treatment decision-making and influence patient outcomes.

Abstract Purpose: Targeting the programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1)/programmed cell death ligand 1 (PD-L1) interaction has led to durable responses in fewer than half of patients with mismatch repair–deficient (MMR-d) advanced colorectal cancers. Immune contexture, including spatial distribution of immune cells in the tumor microenvironment (TME), may predict immunotherapy outcome. Experimental Design: Immune contexture and spatial distribution, including cell-to-cell distance measurements, were analyzed by multiplex immunofluorescence (mIF) in primary colorectal cancers with d-MMR (N = 33) from patients treated with anti–PD-1 antibodies. By digital image analysis, density, ratio, intensity, and spatial distribution of PD-L1, PD-1, CD8, CD3, CD68, LAG3, TGFβR2, MHC-I, CD14, B2M, and pan-cytokeratin were computed. Feature selection was performed by regularized Cox regression with LASSO, and a proportional hazards model was fitted to predict progression-free survival (PFS). Results: For predicting survival among patients with MMR-d advanced colorectal cancer receiving PD-1 blockade, cell-to-cell distance measurements, but not cell densities or ratios, achieved statistical significance univariately. By multivariable feature selection, only mean number of PD-1+ cells within 10 μm of a PD-L1+ cell was significantly predictive of PFS. Dichotomization of this variable revealed that those with high versus low values had significantly prolonged PFS [median not reached (&gt;83 months) vs. 8.5 months (95% confidence interval (95% CI), 4.7–NR)] with a median PFS of 28.4 months for all patients [adjusted HR (HRadj) = 0.14; 95% CI, 0.04–0.56; P = 0.005]. Expression of PD-1 was observed on CD8+ T cells; PD-L1 on CD3+ and CD8+ T lymphocytes, macrophages (CD68+), and tumor cells. Conclusions: In d-MMR colorectal cancers, PD-1+ to PD-L1+ receptor to ligand proximity is a potential predictive biomarker for the effectiveness of PD-1 blockade.

AbstractWe conducted the first large genome‐wide association study to identify novel genetic variants that predict better (or poorer) prognosis in colorectal cancer patients receiving standard first‐line oxaliplatin‐based chemotherapy vs chemotherapy without oxaliplatin. We used data from two phase III trials, NCCTG N0147 and NCCTG N9741 and a population‐based patient cohort, DACHS. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were employed, including an interaction term between each SNP and type of treatment for overall survival (OS) and progression‐free survival. The analysis was performed for studies individually, and the results were combined using fixed‐effect meta‐analyses separately for resected stage III colon cancer (3098 patients from NCCTG N0147 and 549 patients from DACHS) and mCRC (505 patients from NCCTG N9741 and 437 patients from DACHS). We further performed gene‐based analysis as well as in silico bioinformatics analysis for CRC‐relevant functional genomic annotation of identified loci. In stage III colon cancer patients, a locus on chr22 (rs11912167) was associated with significantly poorer OS after oxaliplatin‐based chemotherapy vs chemotherapy without oxaliplatin (Pinteraction < 5 × 10−8). For mCRC patients, three loci on chr1 (rs1234556), chr12 (rs11052270) and chr15 (rs11858406) were found to be associated with differential OS (P < 5 × 10−7). The locus on chr1 located in the intronic region of RCSD1 was replicated in an independent cohort of 586 mCRC patients from ALGB/SWOG 80405 (Pinteraction = .04). The GWA gene‐based analysis yielded for RCSD1 the most significant association with differential OS in mCRC (P = 6.6 × 10−6). With further investigation into its biological mechanisms, this finding could potentially be used to individualize first‐line treatment and improve clinical outcomes.