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1134 citation(s) found for "Ma, Julia".

Bone Marrow Interaction and Multiple Myeloma - Approximating Reality in Novel High-Throughput Multiple Myeloma Coculture Systems
Wider, Dagmar, Simon, Anna, Thomsen, Andreas , Aldrian, Christine, Engelhardt, Monika , Waldschmidt, Johannes M , Follo, Marie , Schüler, Julia B. , Kortüm, K. Martin , Wäsch, Ralph

Blood | October 10, 2019 | Volume: 124 | Issue: 21 | Pages: 2243-2243

10.1182/blood.v124.21.2243.2243 Get It

Abstract Introduction: In the past decade, substantial progress has been made in the understanding of multiple myeloma (MM) cell biology and its interaction with the bone marrow microenvironment (BMM). Binding of MM cells to BM stroma cells (BMSCs) alters the expression of SDF-1α and its receptor CXCR4, leading to the secretion of anti-apoptotic cytokines, promoting tumor growth, drug resistance and migration. MM cancer stem cells migrate to endosteal BM niches, where they escape therapies in a quiescent state causing relapse in the course of the disease. The development of novel agents that aim to target the MM and BMM interaction includes drugs as promising as 2nd and 3rdgeneration IMIDs or proteasome inhibitors. Despite these profound advances, the failure rate of preclinically proven cytotoxic single substances is sizeable, as preclinical models often lack the biological, genetic, etiological and immunological properties of the disease (Schüler, Expert. Opin. Biol. Ther. 2013; Kortüm. CLML 2014; Rongvaux. Annu Rev Immunol 2013). Methods & Results: We have previously demonstrated that BM interaction and homing to niches, mediated by the adhesion molecules CXCR4, CD49d and CD44, protect MM cell lines (MMCL) and primary plasma cells (PC) from the cytotoxic effect of anti-MM agents, such as bortezomib (Bor), vorinostat (Vor) and pomalidomide (Pom). Our in vitro and in vivo observed cytotoxic effects from Bor, Vor and Pom confirmed their potent cytotoxicity, whereas cocultivation with M2-10B4 substantially reduced apoptosis and induced tumor protective effects. Additional treatment with the CXCR4 inhibitor AMD3100 blocked CXCR4 in coculture, but left CD49d, CD44 and CD11a widely unchanged. Toxic or therapeutic effects from AMD3100 monotherapy were excluded for the doses used. Comparison of the CXCR4 antibody (ab)-clones 12G5, 44717 and 4G10 revealed that AMD3100 treatment of U266 cells reduced CXCR4 expression with use of 12G5 and 44717, whereas binding of both FITC- and PE-coupled 4G10 was not influenced, making the latter the most reliable for CXCR4 analysis. Use of image cytometry (IC) allowed accurate visualization of co-localisation of CXCR4 expression both on the cell surface and within the cytoplasm of MM cells. IC correlated with flow cytometry-determined CXCR4 expression and allowed the detailed assessment of treatment studies with and without anti-MM agents and AMD3100. Of note, AMD3100 resensitized MM cells to Bor, Vor and Pom (Waldschmidt. Blood 2012:2450), whereas carfilzomib (Cfz) reduced CXCR4 expression in MMCL and could not be antagonized by stroma coculture. Cfz sensitivity was not increased by adding AMD3100 (Simon. Blood 2013:3851). These preclinical studies need additional adaptation to the clinical setting in order to surpass prior drug failure rates, and there is a need to develop more broadly available and better predictive preclinical systems. Therefore, we are currently assessing a 3D co-culture MM model composed of agarose matrix interlayers, based on a novel liquid overlay technique. This model has been specifically adapted to MM cell and BM component interactions as described (Udi. BJH 2013; Zlei. Exp Hematol 2007; Schüler. EOBT 2013). MM cells are cultivated in conical microwells of a non-adherent agarose matrix after BMSCs were plated on the bottom of each plate, allowing the diffusion of soluble cytokines but no direct contact between BMSC and MMCL. Therein, we are presently testing novel anti-MM substances in comparison to our standard-coculture system. Conclusion: Targeting microenvironmental mediators, like SDF-1α and CXCR4, is a promising approach to expand the choice of antimyeloma agents and amplify the effects of established antimyeloma drugs, as previously shown by us and others for the combination of AMD3100 and Bor or Pom. However, as our knowledge on MM and its BMM has dramatically increased a great effort has been made in the preclinical testing of promising new anti-MM agents, and more complex high-throughput in vitro models are urgently needed to better predict the potency of these substances in order to reduce dropouts in clinical trials. We hereby provide a novel approach which better reflects the spatial growth of human MM samples in BMSC coculture, and more closely mimics the growth and proliferation of human MM clones in vivo. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.
Pretransplant Conditioning with Campath-1H (Alemtuzumab) in Pediatric Matched Unrelated Bone Marrow Transplants - An Institutional Experience.
Nageswara, Amulya A., Gourde, Julia A., Rodriguez, Vilmarie , Khan, Shakila P. , Kumar, Riten

Blood | October 9, 2019 | Volume: 114 | Issue: 22 | Pages: 4651-4651

10.1182/blood.v114.22.4651.4651 Get It

Abstract Abstract 4651 Introduction Graft versus host disease remains a major cause of mortality and morbidity following matched unrelated hematopoietic stem cell transplantation. Campath-1H (Alemtuzumab) is a humanized monoclonal antibody to CD52, an antigen expressed on T and B lymphocytes, monocytes and natural killer cells and is thought to reduce GVHD incidence through in vivo T cell depletion. Through the same mechanism it can potentially increase the risk of relapse by reducing the graft vs. leukemia effect and also possibly increase the risk of infection due to delayed immune recovery. This study looks at our experience with Campath-1H substituted in place of the conventional anti-thymocyte globulin (ATG) in our transplant conditioning regimen. Patients and Methods This retrospective case study included 17 pediatric (9 male; 8 female) matched unrelated bone marrow transplants done in our institution between January 2003 and June 2009 with Campath-1H as part of the pretransplant conditioning regimen. The primary transplant indication was leukemia/lymphoma (n=9), MDS/ MDS evolving into AML (n= 3), severe aplastic anemia (n=4) and Fanconi anemia (n=1). The conditioning regimen included Campath-1H given with cytoxan/ total body irradiation (TBI) in 14 patients, fludarabine/ TBI in 2 patients, and melphalan/ fludarabine in 1 patient. Campath-1H dosing was body weight based: 3mg (if between 5-15kg), 5 mg (if between 16-30kg) and 10 mg (if >30 kg) and 3 doses were administered when underlying condition was a malignancy and 4 doses when it was a bone marrow failure state. The last dose was given at least 24 hours prior to the bone marrow/ peripheral stem cell infusion. GVHD prophylaxis was with tacrolimus/methotrexate (n=12), tacrolimus (n=4) and cyclosporine/methotrexate (n=1). Standard institutional infectious prophylaxis was followed. Results The median age at transplant was 12.2 years (range; 0.7-19.7 years). All but one patient engrafted with a median of 21 days (range; 14-25 days). 5 out of 17 developed Grade I-II acute GVHD which resolved with steroids. No patient developed chronic GVHD. One patient had a CMV reactivation but no patient developed active CMV disease. 4 patients had varicella one of whom died of disseminated infection (day +376). The same patient also had adeno viral infection and BK viremia. 1 patient developed PCP pneumonia and retinal toxoplasmosis. 5 patients (6 transplants) relapsed (range; 40-641 days) with 3 relapsing within +100 days. 1 patient developed PTLD which was successfully treated with rituximab. Of the 4 patient deaths 3 were due to relapse and one due to disseminated varicella infection. The median follow-up time was 719 days (range; 147-2175 days). Overall survival as calculated using the Kaplan-Meir analysis was 100 % at 100 days and 94% at 1 year. Event free survival censoring for death, relapse and rejection was 76% at 100 days and 64% at 1 year. Conclusions Based on our experience, Campath-1H used as part of pretransplant conditioning regimen in pediatric matched unrelated transplants seems to reduce the risk of serious GVHD. This is in concordance with other published literature. T cell depletion is considered to increase the risk of life threatening infections. Our study had one infection related death. There were no patients with active CMV disease. This may in part be attributed to strict prophylactic measures and increased surveillance. Longer duration of follow-up is required to adequately analyze the relapse rates. Also, given our small patient numbers the effect of primary disease state and stage on relapse could not be assessed. Larger studies in the pediatric population with longer duration of follow-up comparing Campath-1H with conventional regimens are required to further assess its role with regards to graft vs. leukemia effect and also to establish if the decreased incidence of GVHD is sustained in larger cohorts. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.
Sex-specific impact of patterns of imageable tumor growth on survival of primary glioblastoma patients
Whitmire, Paula , Rickertsen, Cassandra , Lorence, Julia, León, Gustavo De , Bayless, Spencer, Clark-Swanson, Kamala , Corpuz, Christina, Angeles, Christine Paula Lewis-de los, Bendok, Bernard R. , Vora, Sujay A., Mrugała, Maciej M. , Hu, Leland , Porter, Alyx B. , Kumthekar, Priya , Johnston, Sandra K. , Egan, Kathleen M. , Canoll, Peter , Swanson, Kristin R. , Swanson, Kristin R , Hawkins‐Daarud, Andrea , Carrasco, Eduardo, Leon, Gustavo De, Curtin, Lee , Peeri, Noah Charles , Gonzalez‐Cuyar, Luis F. , Wang, Lei G. , Gatenby, Robert A. , Rubin, Joshua B

No container title available | October 2, 2019 | Volume: No volume available | Issue: No issue available | Pages: No page available

10.21203/rs.2.10177/v2 Get It

Abstract Background : Sex is recognized as a significant determinant of outcome among glioblastoma patients, but the relative prognostic importance of glioblastoma features has not been thoroughly explored for sex differences. Methods : Combining multi-modal MR images, biomathematical models, and patient clinical information, this investigation assesses which pretreatment variables have a sex-specific impact on the survival of glioblastoma patients (299 males and 195 females). Results : Among males, tumor (T1Gd) radius was a predictor of overall survival (HR=1.027, p=0.044). Among females, higher tumor cell net invasion rate was a significant detriment to overall survival (HR=1.011, p<0.001). Female extreme survivors had significantly smaller tumors (T1Gd) (p=0.010 t-test), but tumor size was not correlated with female overall survival (p=0.955 CPH). Both male and female extreme survivors had significantly lower tumor cell net proliferation rates than other patients (M p=0.004, F p=0.001, t-test). Additionally, extent of resection, tumor laterality, and IDH1 mutation status were also found to have sex-specific effects on overall survival. Conclusion : Despite similar distributions of the MR imaging parameters between males and females, there was a sex-specific difference in how these parameters related to outcomes.
Eosinophil-platelet interactions promote atherosclerosis and stabilize thrombosis with eosinophil extracellular traps
Marx, Charlotte , Novotny, Julia , Salbeck, Danby, Zellner, Katie R. , Nicolai, Leo , Pekayvaz, Kami , Kilani, Badr , Stockhausen, Sven , Burgener, N. Dang, Kupka, Danny , Weckbach, Ludwig T. , Pircher, Joachim , Joner, Michael , Desmet, Walter , Adriaenssens, Tom , Gerschlick, Anthony H., Stark, Konstantin , Bürgener, Niklas, Stocker, Thomas J. , Moser, Markus , Neumann, Franz‐Josef , Ten Berg, Jurrien , Lorenz, Michael C.

Blood | September 4, 2019 | Volume: 134 | Issue: 21 | Pages: 1859-1872

10.1182/blood.2019000518 | PMID 31481482 Get It

This study uses genetic and pharmacologic approaches to demonstrate novel roles of eosinophils in the progression of atherosclerosis and arterial thrombosis.
Correlation between hemolytic profile and phylotype of Cutibacterium acnes (formerly Propionibacterium acnes ) and orthopedic implant infection
Lee, Julia , Quaintance, Kerryl E. Greenwood, Shukla, Dave R. , Cofield, Robert H. , Sperling, John W. , Patel, Robin , Sánchez‐Sotelo, Joaquín , Greenwood Quaintance, Kerryl E, Sanchez-Sotelo, J. , Patel, Robin , Schuetz, Audrey N. , Shukla, Dave R.

Shoulder & Elbow | August 10, 2019 | Volume: 12 | Issue: 6 | Pages: 390-398

10.1177/1758573219865884 | PMID 33281943 Get It

Introduction Cutibacterium acnes is a recognized culprit for implant-associated infections, but positive cultures do not always indicate clinically relevant infection. Studies have shown a correlation between the β-hemolytic phenotype of C. acnes and its infectious capacity, but correlation with genetic phylotype has not been performed in literature. The purpose of this study is to evaluate β-hemolysis phenotype, genetic phylotype, and mid-term clinical outcomes of C. acnes isolated from orthopedic surgical sites. Methods Fifty-four C. acnes isolates previously obtained from surgical wounds of patients undergoing hip, knee, shoulder, or spine implant removal were re-cultured. There were 21 females and 33 males with an average age of 59 years (range, 18–84). Twenty-four were from clinically infected sites whereas 30 were considered contaminants. De novo β-hemolysis was analyzed and a retrospective chart review was performed to evaluate clinical outcomes at 7.1 years (range, 0.1–12.8). Results On Brucella agar with 5% rabbit blood, 46% of contaminant and 43% of infectious isolates were hemolytic. Type II phylotype was significantly more nonhemolytic regardless of infectious or contaminant status (p < 0.05). Type 1B correlated with a hemolytic-infectious phenotype and Type 1A with a hemolytic-contaminant phenotype but was not statistically significant. Conclusion The β-hemolytic profile of C. acnes did not correlate with phylotype or clinically relevant orthopedic infection.
Epigenome Mapping Identifies Tumor-Specific Gene Expression in Primary Rectal Cancer
Flebbe, Hannah, Hamdan, Feda H. , Kari, Vijayalakshmi, Kitz, Julia , Gaedcke, Jochen , Ghadimi, Β. Michael, Johnsen, Steven A. , Grade, Marian , Johnsen, Steven A

Cancers | August 9, 2019 | Volume: 11 | Issue: 8 | Pages: 1142

10.3390/cancers11081142 | PMID 31404997 Get It

Epigenetic alterations play a central role in cancer development and progression. The acetylation of histone 3 at lysine 27 (H3K27ac) specifically marks active genes. While chromatin immunoprecipitation (ChIP) followed by next-generation sequencing (ChIP-seq) analyses are commonly performed in cell lines, only limited data are available from primary tumors. We therefore examined whether cancer-specific alterations in H3K27ac occupancy can be identified in primary rectal cancer. Tissue samples from primary rectal cancer and matched mucosa were obtained. ChIP-seq for H3K27ac was performed and differentially occupied regions were identified. The expression of selected genes displaying differential occupancy between tumor and mucosa were examined in gene expression data from an independent patient cohort. Differential expression of four proteins was further examined by immunohistochemistry. ChIP-seq for H3K27ac in primary rectal cancer and matched mucosa was successfully performed and revealed differential binding on 44 regions. This led to the identification of genes with increased H3K27ac, i.e., RIPK2, FOXQ1, KRT23, and EPHX4, which were also highly upregulated in primary rectal cancer in an independent dataset. The increased expression of these four proteins was confirmed by immunohistochemistry. This study demonstrates the feasibility of ChIP-seq-based epigenome mapping of primary rectal cancer and confirms the value of H3K27ac occupancy to predict gene expression differences.
Abstract 3015: IMiDs and BET inhibitors target distinct pathways of MYC dysregulation by super-enhancers in multiple myeloma
Herzog, Camille , Garbitt, Victoria M. , Keane, Niamh , Hillukka, Courtney J., Hammond, Zachary J., Welsh, Seth J. , Tian, Shulan , Yan, Huihuang, Maity, Ranjan , Kuehl, W. Michael, Chesi, Marta , Riggs, Daniel L. , Wiedmeier, Julia E. , Bahlis, Nizar Jacques , Neri, Paola , Bergsagel, P. Leif

Cancer Research | August 7, 2019 | Volume: 79 | Issue: 13_Supplement | Pages: 3015-3015

10.1158/1538-7445.am2019-3015 Get It

Abstract MYC dysregulation, the most common genetic aberration in multiple myeloma, is frequently due to the translocation of super-enhancers to the MYC locus. Several drugs target proteins that are enriched at many of these enhancers including BRD4 (BET inhibitors, BETi) and Ikaros (IMiDs), although their mechanism of action remains poorly understood. Here we present a characterization of the responses to these drugs in a collection of over sixty myeloma cell lines having a diversity of MYC rearrangements. We found that the anti-proliferative effects of these drugs significantly correlated with changes in MYC protein levels, consistent with both drugs targeting MYC expression. Despite this common target, there was no statistically significant correlation between the individual BETi and IMiD responses, suggesting that they act through different mechanisms. Of those lines having extremes of sensitivity or resistance, there were two major groups (BETiS/IMiDS and BETiS/IMiDR), a smaller group of four lines resistant to both drugs individually (BETiR/IMiDR) and only one line was BETiR/IMiDS. In the BETiR/IMiDR group, resistance to BETi was mediated by a BRD4-independent mechanism as BRD4 was efficiently released from the MYC-associated enhancers. In all three of BETiR/IMiDR cell lines that we examined, treatment with BETi and IMiD together abolished proliferation and down-regulated MYC, consistent with parallel BRD4- and Ikaros-dependent pathways driving MYC expression. These resistant lines all expressed high levels of the transcription factor ETV4 and knocking out its gene sensitized a line to each drug individually. Thus ETV4 appears to be necessary for the parallel pathways driving MYC expression. There were nine lines in the BETiS/IMiDR group. Sensitivity to BETi in these lines could be explained by either low ETV4 expression or by BETi repressing Ikaros levels (which was only observed in BETiS lines, suggesting that BRD4 drives IKZF1 expression in these lines). Thus, in ETV4-containing lines, BETi sensitivity is due to the simultaneously targeting of the BRD4- and Ikaros-dependent pathways. IMiD resistance likely was due to several reasons. In one cell line, OCIMY5, IMiD had little effect on Ikaros levels, likely due to the previously reported low levels of Cereblon. Seven of the eight remaining lines expressed high levels of either ETV4, or the other potential super-enhancer binding factors IRF4 or RUNX1. In the eight BETiS/IMiDS cell lines, IMiD strongly reduced both Ikaros and Aiolos protein levels, which likely caused IMiD sensitivity. As with the BETiS lines described above, the lines in this group either lacked ETV4 or BETi repressed Ikaros levels. In conclusion, by examining drug response in a collection of genetically annotated myeloma cell lines we have been able to identify factors that contribute the broad range of responses to BETi and IMiDs in myeloma cells. Citation Format: Daniel L. Riggs, Camille Herzog, Victoria M. Garbitt, Niamh Keane, Courtney J. Hillukka, Zachary J. Hammond, Julia E. Wiedmeier, Seth J. Welsh, Shulan Tian, Huihuang Yan, Ranjan Maity, Nizar Bahlis, Paola Neri, W Michael Kuehl, Marta Chesi, P Leif Bergsagel. IMiDs and BET inhibitors target distinct pathways of MYC dysregulation by super-enhancers in multiple myeloma [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2019; 2019 Mar 29-Apr 3; Atlanta, GA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(13 Suppl):Abstract nr 3015.
Abstract 2679: Integration of DNA repair deficiency and immune biomarkers to predict which early-stage triple-negative breast cancer patients are likely to respond to platinum-containing regimens vs. immunotherapy: The neoadjuvant I-SPY 2 trial
Wulfkuhle, Julia , Petricoin, Emanuel F. , Hirst, Gillian L. , Asare, Smita , Rugo, Hope, Nanda, Rita , Liu, Minetta C. , Esserman, Laura, Veer, Laura van ‘t , Hirst, Gillian L , Wolf, Denise M. , Yau, Christina , Swigart, Lamorna Brown , Yee, Douglas , DeMichele, Angela , Olopade, Olufunmilayo I. , Veer, Laura J. van’t

Cancer Research | August 7, 2019 | Volume: 79 | Issue: 13_Supplement | Pages: 2679-2679

10.1158/1538-7445.am2019-2679 Get It

Abstract Background: Triple negative breast cancer (TNBC), generally considered aggressive with few options beyond standard chemotherapy, is currently experiencing a period of optimism, with multiple trials showing increased efficacy of platinum containing regimens (with and without PARP-inhibition), and more recently, immunotherapy. In I-SPY 2, veliparib/carboplatin (VC) and the immune checkpoint inhibitor pembrolizumab (Pembro) graduated in the TN subtype. As part of the I-SPY 2 biomarker program, we previously identified the signature PARPi7, a measure of DNA repair deficiency (DRD), as predicting response to VC. As well, immune signatures, including one representing dendritic cells, predicted response to Pembro. Here we investigate the overlap between these biomarkers to identify patient subgroups more likely to respond to immunotherapy or platinum-based therapy and estimate response rates to VC and Pembro in patients positive for one, both, or neither biomarker. Methods: 153 TNBC patients (Control: 85; VC: 39; Pembro: 29) were considered in this analysis. Continuous DNA repair deficiency and immune signatures assayed at the pre-treatment time point were evaluated as published (Wolf, 2017; Danaher, 2017). To identify optimal dichotomizing thresholds, 2-fold cross-validation was repeated 500 times. Bayesian logistic regression was used to estimate pCR rates by arm for patient subsets defined by biomarker combinations. Our study is exploratory with no claims for generalizability; and this analysis does not adjust for multiplicities. Results: Using the optimal dichotomizing cutpoints, 54% of TNBC patients are classified as DRD+, and 67% Immune+. As expected, DRD+ patients have a high estimated pCR rate to VC (75%); and Immune+ patients have a high estimated pCR rate to Pembro (82%). Combining these biomarkers, 40% of TNBC are positive for both biomarkers, 40% for only one biomarker (26% Immune+/DRD-, 14% Immune-/DRD+), and 20% for neither. The Immune+/DRD+ TN subset predicted sensitive to both VC and Pembro has a higher estimated pCR rate to both VC and Pembro relative to control (estimated pCR rates: VC: 75%, Pembro: 73% vs. control: 18%). In contrast, the Immune+/DRD- group, predicted to be sensitive to Pembro, has the highest pCR rate to Pembro (VC: 48%, Pembro: 83% vs. control 21%), whereas the Immune-/DRD+ group is most responsive to VC (VC: 63%, Pembro: 41% vs. control 29%). For the 20% of Immune-/DRD- TNBC patients, their estimated response rates are lower than the biomarker-positive patients (VC: 27%, Pembro: 43% vs. control: 19%). Conclusion: Molecular phenotypes capturing immune activation and DNA repair deficiency may predict response of TNBC and help prioritize selection of platinum or immunotherapy containing regimens. Citation Format: Denise M. Wolf, Christina Yau, Julia Wulfkuhle, Emanuel Petricoin, Lamorna Brown-Swigart, Gillian Hirst, Smita Asare, I-SPY 2 Consortium, Douglas Yee, Angela DeMichele, Hope Rugo, Olufunmilayo Olopade, Rita Nanda, Minetta Liu, Laura Esserman, Laura van t' Veer. Integration of DNA repair deficiency and immune biomarkers to predict which early-stage triple-negative breast cancer patients are likely to respond to platinum-containing regimens vs. immunotherapy: The neoadjuvant I-SPY 2 trial [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2019; 2019 Mar 29-Apr 3; Atlanta, GA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(13 Suppl):Abstract nr 2679.
Can even experienced orthopaedic surgeons predict who will benefit from surgery when patients present with degenerative meniscal tears? A survey of 194 orthopaedic surgeons who made 3880 predictions
Graaf, Victor A. van de , Bloembergen, Coen H. , Noorduyn, Julia C. A. , Saris, Daniël B.F. , Poolman, Rudolf W. , van de Graaf, Victor A , Saris, Daniel Bf, Willigenburg, Nienke Willemien , Harris, Ian Andrew

British Journal of Sports Medicine | August 1, 2019 | Volume: 54 | Issue: 6 | Pages: 354-359

10.1136/bjsports-2019-100567 | PMID 31371339 Get It

Objectives To examine the ability of surgeons to predict the outcome of treatment for meniscal tears by arthroscopic partial meniscectomy (APM) and exercise therapy in middle-aged patients. Design and setting Electronic survey. Orthopaedic surgeon survey participants were presented 20 patient profiles. These profiles were derived from a randomised clinical trial comparing APM with exercise therapy in middle-aged patients with symptomatic non-obstructive meniscal tears. From each treatment group (APM and exercise therapy), we selected five patients with the best (responders) and five patients with the worst (non-responders) knee function after treatment. 1111 orthopaedic surgeons and residents in the Netherlands and Australia were invited to participate in the survey. Interventions For each of the 20 patient profiles, surgeons (unaware of treatment allocation) had to choose between APM and exercise therapy as preferred treatment and subsequently had to estimate the expected change in knee function for both treatments on a 5-point Likert Scale. Finally, surgeons were asked which patient characteristics affected their treatment choice. Main outcomes The primary outcome was the surgeons’ percentage correct predictions. We also compared this percentage between experienced knee surgeons and other orthopaedic surgeons, and between treatment responders and non-responders. Results We received 194 (17%) complete responses for all 20 patient profiles, resulting in 3880 predictions. Overall, 50.0% (95% CI 39.6% to 60.4%) of the predictions were correct, which equals the proportion expected by chance. Experienced knee surgeons were not better in predicting outcome than other orthopaedic surgeons (50.4% vs 49.5%, respectively; p=0.29). The percentage correct predictions was lower for patient profiles of non-responders (34%; 95% CI 21.3% to 46.6%) compared with responders (66.0%; 95% CI 57.0% to 75.0%; p=0.01). In general, bucket handle tears, knee locking and failed non-operative treatment directed the surgeons’ choice towards APM, while higher level of osteoarthritis, degenerative aetiology and the absence of locking complaints directed the surgeons’ choice towards exercise therapy. Conclusions Surgeons’ criteria for deciding that surgery was indicated did not pass statistical examination. This was true regardless of a surgeon’s experience. These results suggest that non-surgical management is appropriate as first-line therapy in middle-aged patients with symptomatic non-obstructive meniscal tears. Clinical trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03462134.