Citations

19503 Background: This study was performed to assess the value of combined modality therapy in elderly patients by comparing the differences in outcome of those who received radiotherapy (RT) alone or RT plus chemotherapy for stage III NSCLC. Methods: North Central Cancer Treatment Group (NCCTG) performed 2 recent phase III trials for stage III NSCLC. The first trial, 90–24–51, included 3 arms: once-daily radiotherapy (QDRT) alone, twice daily RT (BIDRT) alone, and concurrent chemotherapy plus BIDRT. The second trial, 94–24- 52 included 2 arms and compared concurrent chemotherapy with either QDRT or BIDRT. The chemotherapy arms of both trials included etoposide and cisplatin administered concurrently with RT. Only the patients ≥65 years of age (elderly) who participated in these trials were included in this analysis. Results: Of the 166 elderly patients included in this analysis, 37 received RT alone and 129 received concurrent chemotherapy plus RT. The median and 5-year survival rates were 10.5 months and 5.4% for the RT alone group compared to 13.7 months and 14.7% for the RT plus chemotherapy group (log-rank p=0.05). Patients who received RT plus chemotherapy experienced significantly greater severe (grade ≥3) toxicity than those who received RT alone (89.9% versus 32.4%, p < 0.01). Conclusions: Elderly patients who participated in these trials appear to gain a survival advantage from RT and chemotherapy compared to RT alone. As is the case with younger patients, this benefit comes at the cost of additional toxicity. No significant financial relationships to disclose.

18037 Background: Platinum compounds are major chemotherapeutic agents in lung cancer and are metabolized by the glutathione pathway enzymes. We reported that genotypes of glutathione-related enzymes, especially GCLC, may be host factors in predicting survival of patients with stage IIIB/IV non-small cell lung cancer who were stable or responding from prior platinum-based chemotherapy (Yang et al., ASCO 2006). NCCTG investigators previously correlated allelic variants in 5-FU metabolizing genes with QOL in colorectal cancer patients (Sloan et al., ASCO 2004). We sought to evaluate the role of glutathione pathway genotypes on QOL. Methods: DNA samples were analyzed using 6 polymorphic DNA markers in the glutathione metabolic pathway. The contrasting genotypes in the analysis were GSTM1 and GSTT1 (null vs. present), GSTP1-I105V (AA vs. GA/GG), GSTP1-A114V (CC vs. CT/TT), GPX1 (CC vs. TT/TC), and GCLC (homozygous repeat 77 vs. heterozygous 7*). Forty-six patients completed the FACT-L and the UNISCALE QOL questionnaires at baseline and week-8, and we have results for all 6 genotypes. A clinically significant decline (CSD) in QOL was defined as a 10% decrease from baseline to week-8. A multivariate logistic regression model was used to evaluate the association of all 6 genotypes with a CSD in QOL. Results: Patients carrying the GPX1-CC genotype had a CSD in the UNISCALE (Odds Ratio (OR): 10.0; p=0.02), total FACT-L score (OR: 7.9; p=0.03), the FACT-L physical well being construct (OR: 13.7; p=0.02), and the FACT-L functional well being construct (OR: 5.3; p=0.05). Other constructs, i.e., emotional, social and family, and additional concerns were not significantly associated with the genotypes. Conclusions: Genotypes of glutathione-related enzymes, especially GPX1 may be inherited factors in predicting patients’ QOL after platinum-based chemotherapy. Further investigation to define and measure the direct or indirect effects of these genes on QOL is critical, particularly, via drug responses, toxicities, and disease recurrence. (This work was partly supported by NIH grants CA77118, CA80127, and CA84354.) No significant financial relationships to disclose.

7723 Background: It is critical that we understand the impact of patient, tumor, and treatment-related factors on patient prognosis for the proper design and analysis of Small Cell Lung Cancer (SCLC) trials. An analysis of 15 SCLC trials was performed to investigate and improve our understanding of several factors on OS. Methods: Data from 1623 patients (pts) were used. Age, gender, performance status (PS), tumor stage, body mass index (BMI), creatinine levels, hemoglobin levels, white blood cell counts (WBC), platelet counts, and bilirubin levels were tested for prognostic significance for OS both univariately and multivariately using a Cox Proportional Hazards Model. Models were stratified by protocol, and analyses carried out on the complete data available based on the selected covariates. Model discrimination (i.e., ability to discriminate patients with different survival times) was evaluated using the concordance index (COI). Results: Median follow-up was 63.1 months (range: 1.9 to 155.7). 58% and 42% of pts had extensive-stage or limited-stage SCLC, respectively. Patients with extensive-stage disease, PS>0, increased age, and male gender had significantly worse OS both univariately and multivariately. Patients with increased WBC had significantly worse OS univariately, however, WBC was not a significant predictor when adjusted for other factors. None of the other factors were prognostic for OS. Model discrimination improved by 6.3% when age, gender, PS, and stage were included in a model compared to a model with stage alone (COI improved from 0.63 to 0.67). Conclusions: Age, gender, PS and stage did better at predicting OS than stage alone. Further refinement of this model, including the addition of number of metastatic sites at baseline and treatment related factors, is currently underway. No significant financial relationships to disclose. [Table: see text]

7547 Background: Sorafenib is a multikinase inhibitor with single-agent activity in previously treated NSCLC. In an effort to evaluate its single agent activity in previously untreated NSCLC, the NCCTG undertook a front-line “window of opportunity” study. Materials and Methods: Patients with stage IIIB (pleural effusion) or stage IV NSCLC received sorafenib dosed at 400 mg BID continuously, with a cycle defined as 4 weeks. Patients were evaluated weekly during the first 2 cycles with those who progressed rapidly going on to receive standard chemotherapy. Based on a two-stage Fleming design, if only at most 1 confirmed response was observed in the first 20 patients enrolled to stage I, the regimen would be considered ineffective. If 2 or more responses were observed, the study would proceed to stage 2 and accrue an additional 22 patients. If 5 or more confirmed responses were observed, the regimen would be recommended for further testing. Results: The study did not meet the stage I efficacy criteria (only 1 confirmed partial response in the first 20 patients) and was permanently closed after enrolling 25 evaluable patients [15 females, 10 males; 4 stage IIIB, 21 stage IV; median age 67 (45–85)]. 2 patients are still receiving treatment (14 and 15 months). No grade 3 or higher hematologic adverse events were observed. Thirteen (52%) patients had a grade 3 non-hematologic adverse event with fatigue (20%), diarrhea (8%), and dyspnea (8%) being the most common. There was one grade 4 pulmonary hemorrhage. A total of 3 (12%) PRs; and 7 (28%) SD were observed in the 25 patients 7 (28%) patients were progression- free at 24 weeks. Median survival and median time to progression were 8.8 and 2.9 months respectively. Conclusion: While the pre- specified efficacy endpoints were not met, the objective response rate of 12% and median survival of 8.8 months suggest that single agent sorafenib has activity similar to two-drug combinations. The feasibility and utility of the “window of opportunity” design in estimating the activity of novel compounds was demonstrated. Finally, the single-agent activity of sorafenib argues for combination studies with standard chemotherapy agents. No significant financial relationships to disclose.

3598 Background: Drug resistance to topotecan can be the result of BCRP/ABCG2 expression. BCRP is a member of the ABC transporter family that pumps anticancer drugs out of the cell. Lapatinib is a potent and selective dual inhibitor of epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR or ErbB1) and ErbB2 (Her2/Neu). 4-aminoquinazoline tyrosine kinase inhibitors have been shown to enhance the cytotoxicity of topotecan through inhibition of BCRP-mediated drug efflux in cancer cells. Methods: Thirty-seven patients with advanced stage cancers were enrolled at escalating dose levels of lapatinib and topotecan in cohorts IA, IB and IIB (MTD). Treatment schedule included lapatinib (750 - 1500 mg/d) daily for 21 (cohort IA) or 28 days (cohort IB) and topotecan (2.4 - 4.0 mg/ m2), days 1, 8 and 15; cycles were repeated every 28 days. Three patients were treated at each dose level, 18 on cohort IA, 9 on cohort IB and 10 at MTD (cohort IIB). Assessments of toxicity were performed with each cycle and clinical response was determined per RECIST criteria every other cycle. Results: The MTD for cohorts IA and IB was reached at a dose of 1250 mg of lapatinib and 3.2 mg/m2 of IV topotecan on days 1, 8 and 15. No DLT were seen during the dose escalation stage of cohorts IA and IB. Ten patients were enrolled at the MTD. There were no grade 4+ events. Thirteen grade 3+ events, considered to be related to treatment, were seen in 6 patients. The most common grade 3+ toxicities included dehydration (2) diarrhea (2), nausea (3), vomiting (2), neutropenia (1), thrombocytopenia (1), and fatigue (1). No abnormalities in left ventricular ejection fraction were noted. Stable disease was seen in 46% of the 37 patients. Conclusions: The combination of lapatinib and topotecan is a well-tolerated regimen. The MTD for the combination is lapatinib 1,250 mg orally once daily for 21 or 28 days and topotecan 3.2 mg/m2 on days 1, 8 and 15. Pharmacokinetic analysis for drug interaction will be available for presentation at the meeting. Supported in part by GSK and Mayo Clinic No significant financial relationships to disclose.

3586 Background: The insulin-like growth factor 1 receptor (IGF-IR), a tyrosine kinase, and its ligands (IGF-I & -2) are upregulated in many human tumors (e.g., breast, prostate, colon and non-small cell lung cancer) and enhance proliferative and prosurvival signaling. Inhibition of IGF-IR activation in tumor models suppresses tumor growth and increases tumor sensitivity to chemotherapy, supporting the development of agents targeting IGF-IR. CP-751,871 is a potent, highly specific, fully humanized, monoclonal antibody that inhibits IGF-IR autophosphorylation and induces receptor internalization. Methods: A Phase I dose escalation study was initiated to define the safety and tolerability, and to characterize the pharmacokinetic properties of CP-751,871 in patients with advanced solid tumors refractory to standard therapies. Results: Following informed consent and screening, a total of 24 patients with refractory solid tumors (e.g. colorectal, NSCLC, sarcoma and prostate cancer; 1–6 previous regimens) were enrolled. Patients received 3 to 20 mg/kg of CP-751,871 by IV infusion on Day 1 of 3-week cycles in four dose-escalation cohorts of 3 patients. No dose limiting toxicities were identified and the maximum feasible dose (MFD) cohort of 20 mg/kg was extended with 12 additional patients. No higher than grade 3 CTCAE v3.0 toxicities, attributed to study drug, have been so far reported. Grade 3 toxicities, all reported in patients dosed with 20 mg/kg of CP-751,871, are increased GGT (4%) and fatigue (4%). Grade 2 toxicities include: anorexia (7%), diarrhea (7%), increased GGT (4%), hyperglycemia (4%), fatigue (4%), increased urinary frequency (4%), nausea (4%), increased ALT (4%) and increased AST (4%). Pharmacokinetic analysis is currently ongoing. No objective responses were observed. At the MFD, patients received a median of 4 cycles (1–16). Three patients were stable for > 6 months and one patient, currently at cycle 16, remains on study. An additional cohort of 12 adrenocortical cancer patients is under evaluation. Conclusions: These data indicate that CP-751,871 is safe and well tolerated. Due to its good safety profile, CP-751,871 may constitute a suitable targeted agent to use in combination with approved therapies in multiple tumor types. No significant financial relationships to disclose.

3507 Purpose: To detect IGF-1R on circulating tumor cells (CTCs) as a biomarker in the clinical development of a monoclonal human antibody, CP-751,871, targeting IGF-1R. Experimental Design: An automated sample preparation and analysis system for enumerating CTCs (Celltracks) was adapted for detecting IGF-1R positive CTCs with a diagnostic antibody targeting a different IGF-1R epitope to CP-751,871. This assay was utilized in three phase I trials of CP-751,871 as a single agent or with chemotherapy and was validated using cell lines and blood samples from healthy volunteers and patients with metastatic carcinoma. Results: There was no interference between the analytical and therapeutic antibodies. CP-751,871 was well tolerated as a single agent, and in combination with docetaxel or carboplatin and paclitaxel, at doses ranging from 0.05 mg/kg to 20 mg/kg. Eighty patients were enrolled on phase 1 studies of CP-751,871, with 47 (59%) patients having CTCs detected during the study. Prior to treatment 26 patients (33%) had CTCs, with 23 having detectable IGF-1R positive CTCs. CP-751,871 alone, and CP-751,871 with cytotoxic chemotherapy, decreased CTCs and IGF-1R positive CTCs; these increased towards the end of the 21-day cycle in some patients, falling again with retreatment. CTCs were commonest in advanced hormone refractory prostate cancer (11/20). Detectable IGF-1R expression on CTCs before treatment with CP-751,871 and docetaxel was associated with a higher frequency of PSA decline by more than 50% (6/10 vs 2/8 patients). A relationship was observed between sustained falls in CTCs counts and PSA declines by more than 50%. Conclusions: IGF-1R expression is detectable by immunofluorescence on CTCs. These data support the further evaluation of CTCs in pharmacodynamic studies and patient selection, particularly in advanced prostate cancer. No significant financial relationships to disclose.

Prediction models aim to use available data to predict a health state or outcome that has not yet been observed. Prediction is primarily relevant to clinical practice, but is also used in research, and administration. While prediction modeling involves estimating the relationship between patient factors and outcomes, it is distinct from casual inference. Prediction modeling thus requires unique considerations for development, validation, and updating. This document represents an effort from editors at 31 respiratory, sleep, and critical care medicine journals to consolidate contemporary best practices and recommendations related to prediction study design, conduct, and reporting. Herein, we address issues commonly encountered in submissions to our various journals. Key topics include considerations for selecting predictor variables, operationalizing variables, dealing with missing data, the importance of appropriate validation, model performance measures and their interpretation, and good reporting practices. Supplemental discussion covers emerging topics such as model fairness, competing risks, pitfalls of “modifiable risk factors”, measurement error, and risk for bias. This guidance is not meant to be overly prescriptive; we acknowledge that every study is different, and no set of rules will fit all cases. Additional best practices can be found in the Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) guidelines, to which we refer readers for further details.

AbstractThe dense formation of abnormal scar tissue after total knee arthroplasty results in arthrofibrosis, an unfortunate sequela of inflammation. The purpose of this study was to use a validated rabbit model to assess the effects on surgically‐induced knee joint contractures of two combined pharmacological interventions: celecoxib (CXB) loaded on an implanted collagen membrane, and subcutaneously (SQ) injected ketotifen. Thirty rabbits were randomly divided into five groups. The first group received no intervention after the index surgery. The remaining four groups underwent intra‐articular implantation of collagen membranes loaded with or without CXB at the time of the index surgery; two of which were also treated with SQ ketotifen. Biomechanical joint contracture data were collected at 8, 10, 16, and 24 weeks. At the time of necropsy (24 weeks), posterior capsule tissue was collected for messenger RNA and histopathologic analyses. At 24 weeks, there was a statistically significant increase in passive extension among rabbits in all groups treated with CXB and/or ketotifen compared to those in the contracture control group. There was a statistically significant decrease in COL3A1, COL6A1, and ACTA2 gene expression in the treatment groups compared to the contracture control group (P < .001). Histopathologic data also demonstrated a trend towards decreased fibrous tissue density in the CXB membrane group compared to the vehicle membrane group. The present data suggest that intra‐articular placement of a treated collagen membrane blunts the severity of contracture development in a rabbit model of arthrofibrosis, and that ketotifen and CXB may independently contribute to the prevention of arthrofibrosis. Statement of clinical significance: Current literature has demonstrated that arthrofibrosis may affect up to 5% of primary total knee arthroplasty patients. For that reason, novel pharmacologic prophylaxis and treatment modalities are critical to mitigating reoperations and revisions while improving the quality of life for patients with this debilitating condition.