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Background: There are a lack of clinical prediction tools in early-stage Hodgkin lymphoma (E-HL). We developed and validated a modern-day model, known as E-HIPI, to predict progression-free survival (PFS) within the first 5 years (y) incorporating detailed individual patient (pt) data from international clinical trials and prospective registry data that were standardized, normalized & harmonized as part of the HoLISTIC Consortium (www.hodgkinconsortium.org). Methods: Model development utilized Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) guidelines (Moons, Ann Intern Med 2015) on a cohort of 3,080 newly-diagnosed E-HL pts treated on 4 seminal phase 3 clinical trials (NCIC: Meyer, NEJM 2012; RAPID: Radford, NEJM 2015; EORTC-GELA H9U: Ferme, E ur J Cancer 2017; EORTC/LYSA/FIL H10: Andre, JCO 2017). External validation was done in an independent cohort of 462 E-HL pts from a large registry (Princess Margaret, Toronto). Pts with classic HL, stage I or II disease, and ages 18-65 y were included. The primary outcome was PFS. Cox models were utilized with follow-up truncated at 5 years. Baseline predictors were: sex, stage, B symptoms, histology, number & location of nodal sites, and continuous data values of age, maximum tumor diameter (MTD), white blood cell count (WBC), lymphocyte count, hemoglobin, albumin & erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR). Multiple imputation was used for missing data. To consider possible non-linear relationships for continuous variables we examined plots & cubic splines. We used backward elimination ( P<0.1) to develop the models & internal validation with 200 bootstrap samples was conducted to estimate optimism & correct for overfitting. The final prediction equations applied optimism corrections to beta coefficients & hazard ratios (HR). Sensitivity analyses included model results stratified by PET staging (vs CT) and each HL trial. The models were evaluated in the external validation cohort & compared using c-statistics. Model scores were also grouped by tertiles for visualization in Kaplan-Meier (KM) curves. Results: Median age in the development cohort was 35y; 51% were female; 81% had nodular sclerosis & 77% stage II disease; 26% had B symptoms; 32% had mediastinal bulk (≥10cm or >1/3 diameter) and the mean MTD was 6.4 cm (interquartile range (IQR), 3.9-8.2). Median follow-up was 60 months (IQR 45-75). KM estimates at 5y was 90.7% (264 events) for PFS, and 97.1% (78 events) for overall survival (OS). After backward elimination, significant variables retained were age, sex, nodal location (cervical region), MTD & albumin. Stage, ESR, or the number of nodal sites were not significant. Age was modeled with piecewise linear splines due to its non-linear relationship. See the Table for the final prediction model and optimism-corrected HRs. Optimism-corrected c-statistics in the development model was 0.63. Sensitivity analyses of stratification by type of imaging at staging or by each clinical trial demonstrated no change in model parameters or c-statistics. Most baseline characteristics and outcomes of the external validation cohort were similar besides median follow-up time (74 months, IQR 37-129). C-statistics for the E-HIPI model in external validation was 0.63. In addition, observed 5y outcomes stratified by tertile of predicted risk in the external cohort separated pts into a low & higher-risk group, which comprised 1/3 & 2/3 of pts, respectively ( Figure). Finally, model diagnostics revealed the potential for time dependency in the retained covariates. Further assessment of differential prediction between early (<2y) vs. later (2-5y) PFS events is ongoing. Conclusion: Following TRIPOD methodology, we rigorously developed and externally validated the E-HIPI among >3,500 E-HL pts.Discrete risk groups were delineated, and we identified several novel factors, including nodal location, sex & key continuous variables that predict 5y PFS. Additional model refinement is underway, including formal calibration & external validation via other HL registries (Stanford, Mayo/Iowa SPORE). A web-based calculator to simplify application of the E-HIPI will also be presented at ASH. Future planned modeling includes integration of differing treatments & response-adapted imaging via multistate modeling to enrich individualized survival estimates and simulation modeling to predict late consequences.

Abstract Purpose: Tumor-infiltrating B lymphocytes (TIL-B) have demonstrated prognostic and predictive significance in solid cancers. In this study, we aimed to distinguish TIL-Bs from malignant B-cells in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) and determine the clinical and biological significance. Experimental Design: A total of 269 patients with de novo DLBCL from the International DLBCL R-CHOP Consortium Program were studied. Ultra-deep sequencing of the immunoglobulin genes was performed to determine B-cell clonotypes. The frequencies and numbers of TIL-B clonotypes in individual repertoires were correlated with patient survival, gene expression profiling (GEP) data, and frequencies of DLBCL-infiltrating immune cells quantified by fluorescent multiplex IHC at single-cell resolution. Results: TIL-B abundance, evaluated by frequencies of normal B-cell clonotypes in the immunoglobulin repertoires, remarkably showed positive associations with significantly better survival of patients in our sequenced cohorts. DLBCLs with high versus low TIL-B abundance displayed distinct GEP signatures, increased pre-memory B-cell state and naïve CD4 T-cell state fractions, and higher CD4+ T-cell infiltration. TIL-B frequency, as a new biomarker in DLBCL, outperformed the germinal center (GC) B-cell–like/activated B-cell–like classification and TIL-T frequency. The identified TIL-B–high GEP signature, including genes upregulated during T-dependent B-cell activation and those highly expressed in normal GC B cells and T cells, showed significant favorable prognostic effects in several external validation cohorts. Conclusions: TIL-B frequency is a significant prognostic factor in DLBCL and plays a crucial role in antitumor immune responses. This study provides novel insights into the prognostic determinants in DLBCL and TIL-B functions with important therapeutic implications.

Abstract Purpose: Diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) is molecularly and clinically heterogeneous, and can be subtyped according to genetic alterations, cell-of-origin, or microenvironmental signatures using high-throughput genomic data at the DNA or RNA level. Although high-throughput proteomic profiling has not been available for DLBCL subtyping, MYC/BCL2 protein double expression (DE) is an established prognostic biomarker in DLBCL. The purpose of this study is to reveal the relative prognostic roles of DLBCL genetic, phenotypic, and microenvironmental biomarkers. Experimental Design: We performed targeted next-generation sequencing; IHC for MYC, BCL2, and FN1; and fluorescent multiplex IHC for microenvironmental markers in a large cohort of DLBCL. We performed correlative and prognostic analyses within and across DLBCL genetic subtypes and MYC/BCL2 double expressors. Results: We found that MYC/BCL2 double-high-expression (DhE) had significant adverse prognostic impact within the EZB genetic subtype and LymphGen-unclassified DLBCL cases but not within MCD and ST2 genetic subtypes. Conversely, KMT2D mutations significantly stratified DhE but not non-DhE DLBCL. T-cell infiltration showed favorable prognostic effects within BN2, MCD, and DhE but unfavorable effects within ST2 and LymphGen-unclassified cases. FN1 and PD-1–high expression had significant adverse prognostic effects within multiple DLBCL genetic/phenotypic subgroups. The prognostic effects of DhE and immune biomarkers within DLBCL genetic subtypes were independent although DhE and high Ki-67 were significantly associated with lower T-cell infiltration in LymphGen-unclassified cases. Conclusions: Together, these results demonstrated independent and additive prognostic effects of phenotypic MYC/BCL2 and microenvironment biomarkers and genetic subtyping in DLBCL prognostication, important for improving DLBCL classification and identifying prognostic determinants and therapeutic targets.