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0757 Sleepiness Improvement With Once-Nightly Sodium Oxybate in Patients With and Without Prior Twice-Nightly Oxybate Use: Specialty Pharmacy Data Analysis
Herpel, Laura, Thorpy, Michael, Meskill, Sarah, Ruoff, Chad, BUYSMAN, ERIN, Carino, Diana, Vu, Michelle, Abaluck, Brian, Gudeman, Jennifer , Ruoff, Chad , Ruoff, Chad M , Herpel, Laura Bogan, Meskill, Sarah, Buysman, Erin K. , Abaluck, Brian

SLEEPJ | May 9, 2026 | Volume: 49 | Issue: Supplement_1 | Pages: A338-A338

10.1093/sleep/zsag091.0756 Get It

Abstract Introduction Once-nightly sodium oxybate (ON-SXB) is approved to treat cataplexy or excessive daytime sleepiness (EDS) in patients ≥7 years of age with narcolepsy. ON-SXB demonstrated significant improvements in both objective (Maintenance of Wakefulness Test) and subjective (Epworth Sleepiness Scale [ESS] score) measurements of sleepiness in the REST-ON trial and via the ESS in the real-world REFRESH study. Assessing ON-SXB ESS data from a specialty pharmacy and outside of clinical studies further informs the generalizability of effectiveness. Methods Demographic and clinical data were collected from Optum Frontier Therapies pharmacy for patients with ≥1 filled ON-SXB prescription, ≥1 ON-SXB-related clinical assessment, and ≥1 follow-up ESS score (6/1/2023-9/30/2024). Participation in ESS assessment was voluntary. ESS scores were assessed for patients who switched from twice-nightly oxybate (TN-OXB) treatment (first ON-SXB prescription filled ≤30 days of last TN-OXB prescription [switch]) and those new to oxybate or with >30 days between TN-OXB and ON-SXB prescription fills (not-on-oxybate) who had ESS data at initial ON-SXB prescription and at each follow-up assessment. Results Of 452 identified patients, 215 had ≥1 follow-up ESS score (switch, n=82 [mean age, 38.4 years; female, 71%]; not-on-oxybate, n=133 [mean age, 40.0 years; female, 71%]). Of patients who had any prior oxybate use (switch, 100%; not-on-oxybate, 46%), the most common prior oxybate was mixed-salt oxybates (switch, 59%; not-on-oxybate, 70%). Stimulants/wake-promoting agents were taken by 51% of switch and 65% of not-on-oxybate patients. Baseline mean (SD) ESS scores were 11.3 (5.5) for switch and 12.5 (5.6) for not-on-oxybate patients; 23% of switch and 38% of not-on-oxybate patients experienced severe EDS. By the first follow-up (median [IQR], 49 [28-94] days), mean (SD) ESS scores were within the normal EDS range with ON-SXB for both subgroups (ie, ESS < 10; switch, 9.7 [5.5]; not-on-oxybate, 9.5 [5.2]); the majority reported normal levels of daytime sleepiness (switch, 56%; not-on-oxybate, 57%). Mean (SD) change in ESS score from baseline to follow-up was -1.6 [4.5] for switch and -3.1 [5.0] for not-on-oxybate groups. Conclusion Patients who initiated ON-SXB experienced improvements in daytime sleepiness regardless of prior TN-OXB use, and many achieved normal levels of daytime sleepiness in ≤2 months of starting ON-SXB. Support (if any) Avadel Pharmaceuticals
0751 Improvement in Sleepiness with Once-Nightly Sodium Oxybate in People with Narcolepsy Type 1 and Narcolepsy Type 2: A Specialty Pharmacy Data Analysis
Meskill, Sarah, Herpel, Laura, Thorpy, Michael, Ruoff, Chad, Carino, Diana, BUYSMAN, ERIN, Vu, Michelle, Abaluck, Brian, Gudeman, Jennifer , Ruoff, Chad , Ruoff, Chad M , Meskill, Sarah, Herpel, Laura Bogan, Buysman, Erin K. , Abaluck, Brian

SLEEPJ | May 9, 2026 | Volume: 49 | Issue: Supplement_1 | Pages: A335-A335

10.1093/sleep/zsag091.0750 Get It

Abstract Introduction Once-nightly sodium oxybate (ON-SXB; LUMRYZ™) is approved to treat excessive daytime sleepiness (EDS) or cataplexy in patients ≥7 years of age with narcolepsy. Findings from 2 studies have demonstrated improvements in objective and subjective EDS with ON-SXB in patients with narcolepsy type 1 (NT1) or 2 (NT2) (NCT02720744, NCT06792708). To evaluate the effect of ON-SXB on EDS in a larger, more diverse narcolepsy patient population, changes in Epworth Sleepiness Scale (ESS) score were analyzed using specialty pharmacy data. Methods Demographic/clinical data were collected from Optum Frontier Therapies pharmacy for adults with NT1 or NT2 with ≥1 filled ON-SXB prescription, ≥1 ON-SXB clinical assessment, and ≥1 follow-up ESS score (6/1/2023-9/30/2024). ESS total scores were assessed at baseline and at each follow-up assessment after ON-SXB initiation. ESS assessment participation was voluntary. Data were analyzed descriptively and stratified by narcolepsy subtype. Results Of 452 patients identified, 195 had ≥1 follow-up ESS score and reported narcolepsy type (NT1, n=123 [63%; mean age, 38.6 years; female, 69%]; NT2, n=72 [37%; mean age, 40.7 years; female, 74%]). More patients with NT1 vs NT2 (72% vs 58%) had any prior oxybate use. Baseline concomitant stimulant/wake-promoting agent use was 58% and 64% for NT1 and NT2, respectively. Mean (SD) ESS total scores at baseline were 12.1 (5.7) and 12.2 (5.3) for patients with NT1 and NT2, respectively; 31% of NT1 and 33% of NT2 had severe EDS. For both subtypes, mean (SD) ESS scores were within the normal EDS range (≤10) by the first follow-up (median time, 52 days; NT1, 10.0 [5.5]; NT2, 9.6 [4.8]). At first follow-up, more than half of patients in the NT1 (55%) and NT2 (54%) subgroups achieved normal levels (ESS total score ≤10) of sleepiness, while 20% of NT1 patients and 10% of NT2 patients had severe EDS. Mean (SD) change from baseline in ESS score was -2.1 (4.3) and -2.6 (5.3) in the NT1 and NT2 subgroups, respectively. Conclusion In this real-world dataset, both NT1 and NT2 patients quickly experienced clinically meaningful improvements in ESS score after initiating ON-SXB. These results support ON-SXB as an effective EDS treatment, regardless of narcolepsy subtype. Support (if any) Avadel Pharmaceuticals
0722 Demographic and Clinical Characteristics of People Receiving Once-Nightly Sodium Oxybate Treatment: A Specialty Pharmacy Data Analysis
Ruoff, Chad, Thorpy, Michael, Herpel, Laura, Meskill, Sarah, Vu, Michelle, BUYSMAN, ERIN, Carino, Diana, Abaluck, Brian, Gudeman, Jennifer , Ruoff, Chad , Ruoff, Chad M , Herpel, Laura Bogan, Meskill, Sarah, Buysman, Erin K. , Abaluck, Brian

SLEEPJ | May 9, 2026 | Volume: 49 | Issue: Supplement_1 | Pages: A321-A322

10.1093/sleep/zsag091.0721 Get It

Abstract Introduction Once-nightly sodium oxybate (ON-SXB [LUMRYZ™]) is approved to treat excessive daytime sleepiness (EDS) or cataplexy in patients ≥7 years of age with narcolepsy. Real-world demographic/clinical characteristics and treatment adherence in patients with narcolepsy who received ON-SXB from a specialty pharmacy were assessed. Methods Baseline demographic/clinical data were collected from Optum Frontier Therapies pharmacy for patients with ≥1 filled ON-SXB prescription, ≥1 ON-SXB-related clinical assessment, and baseline Epworth Sleepiness Scale (ESS) score from 6/1/2023-9/30/2024. Adherence (≥80% of days covered) was assessed for patients with ≥3 months of ON-SXB use. Data were stratified by narcolepsy subtype (narcolepsy type 1 [NT1] and 2 [NT2] when available) and prior oxybate use (transitioned from prior oxybate therapy to ON-SXB ≤30 days of index [switch]/were oxybate-naive or discontinued oxybate >30 days before index [not-on-oxybate]). Data were analyzed descriptively. Results 452 patients were identified (NT1, 55%; NT2, 37%; NT unknown, 9%; switch, 40%; not-on-oxybate, 60% [oxybate-naive, n=147/271]). Mean (range) age was 38.9 (16.0-88.0) years. Most patients were female (68%) and had commercial insurance (78%). Overall, 67% of patients had prior oxybate use (NT1, 72% [n=179/247]; NT2, 59% [n=98/166]; switch, 100%; not-on-oxybate, 46% [n=124/271]); for these patients, the most common oxybate (65%) was mixed-salt oxybates (NT1, 61%; NT2, 70%; switch, 61%; not-on-oxybate, 70%). Overall, 64% of patients used stimulants/wake-promoting agents (WPAs) (NT1, 64%; NT2, 65%; switch, 60%; not-on-oxybate, 67%). Overall, the mean (SD) baseline ESS score was 12.0 ([5.5]; NT1, 11.7 [5.5]; NT2, 12.5 [5.3]; switch, 11.0 [5.7]; not-on-oxybate, 12.7 [5.3]). At baseline, 29% of patients experienced severe EDS (ESS score ≥16: NT1, 26%; NT2, 30%; switch, 20%; not-on-oxybate, 34%). Of 269 patients with ON-SXB use ≥3 months, 84% (NT1, 84%; NT2, 89%; switch, 94%; not-on-oxybate, 76%) demonstrated adherence. Conclusion Patients not on an oxybate had the highest baseline ESS scores and proportion with severe EDS, despite greater stimulant/WPA utilization. Patients with NT1 used oxybates more frequently than those with NT2 despite those with NT2 having higher baseline ESS scores and a greater proportion having severe EDS, suggesting oxybates merit earlier consideration in patients with NT2. Most patients demonstrated ON-SXB adherence, indicating they would likely receive full therapeutic benefit. Support (if any) Avadel Pharmaceuticals
Abnormal amyloid PET usually represents intermediate/high Alzheimer's disease neuropathologic change
Burkett, Brian J. , Wiste, Heather J. , Johnson, D H, Boeve, Bradley F., Kantarci, Kejal, Petersen, Ronald C., Knopman, David S., Vemuri, Prashanthi, Graff‐Radford, Jonathan, Lowe, Val, Cogswell, Petrice M., Pillai, Jay, Schwarz, Christopher G., Murray, Melissa E., Dickson, Dennis W., Jack, Clifford R., Pillai, Jay J. , Burkett, Brian , Pillai, Jay J , Boeve, Bradley F. , Kantarci, Kejal , Petersen, Ronald C. , Knopman, David S. , Vemuri, Prashanthi , Graff‐Radford, Jonathan , Lowe, Val J. , Cogswell, Petrice M. , Schwarz, Christopher G. , Nguyen, Aivi T. , Murray, Melissa E. , Dickson, Dennis W. , Jack, Clifford R.

Alzheimer's & Dementia | May 7, 2026 | Volume: 22 | Issue: 5 | Pages: No page available

10.1002/alz.71449 | PMID 42092343 Get It

Abstract INTRODUCTION Alzheimer's disease neuropathologic change (ADNC) classification identifies not/low and intermediate/high levels of neuropathology. Our goal was to assess how frequently a positive amyloid positron emission tomography (PET) scan indicates not/low ADNC and whether this autopsy finding can occur >10 years after a positive amyloid PET. METHODS Participants with positive amyloid PET scans were categorized by levels of ADNC at autopsy, grouped by time from initial positive amyloid PET to time of death (<5 years, 5 to <10 years, or 10+ years). RESULTS Among those with a positive amyloid PET scan, the majority had intermediate/high ADNC at autopsy (234/259, 90%). In the group with 10+ years between a positive amyloid PET and death ( n = 39) not/low ADNC occurred in 3/39 (8%). DISCUSSION Not/low ADNC is uncommon among those with positive amyloid PET scans. After 10+ years, it is possible but rare for a positive amyloid PET scan to represent an indolent state of neuropathology.
An APOE *4-Informed Genomic Atlas of the X Chromosome in Alzheimer’s Disease
Cook, Noah , Zeng, Youjie , Yang, Chenyu , Jiang, Zhiwen , Wang, Ting‐Chen , Guen, Yann Le , Cody, Karly Alex , Johnson, Matthew, Zhang, Rui, Merritt, Victoria C. , Hauger, Richard L. , Program, the VA Million Veteran, FinnGen, Koran, Mary Ellen, Mormino, Elizabeth C. , Gordon, Brian , DeCasien, Alex, Andrews, Shea J. , Logue, Mark, Greicius, Michael D. , Le Guen, Yann , Cody, Karly A , Koran, Mary Ellen , Gordon, Brian A , Andrews, Shea , Dumitrescu, Logan , Archer, Derek , Seto, Mabel , Pottier, Cyril , Cruchaga, Carlos , Sherva, Richard , Logue, Mark W. , Napolioni, Valerio , Belloy, Michael E , Cook, Noah , Zeng, Youjie , Yang, Chenyu , Zhang, Rui, Merritt, Victoria C. , Hauger, Richard L. , Koran, Mary Ellen I. , Mormino, Elizabeth C. , DeCasien, Alex R. , Dumitrescu, Logan , Archer, Derek B. , Hohman, Timothy J. , Belloy, Michaël E.

No container title available | May 6, 2026 | Volume: No volume available | Issue: No issue available | Pages: No page available

10.64898/2026.05.05.26352461 | PMID 42145643 Get It

Abstract The genetic contributions of the X chromosome to Alzheimer’s disease (AD) remain poorly understood yet are expected to importantly shape sex differences in AD. We therefore performed large-scale X-chromosome-wide association studies (N=1,240,451), evaluating differential risk due to sex, APOE *4, and escape from X-chromosome inactivation, finding most X-linked loci appear relevant to female-biased AD etiology. In evaluating genetic pleiotropy with hormonal, lipid, and brain imaging traits, we discovered X-linked AD loci converged on white matter traits, particularly in the anterior corona radiata and splenium of the corpus callosum. Through brain-centric functional genomics analyses, we then nominated candidate causal genes, including 5 that appeared highly robust. Notably, we found the escape gene RBBP7 decreases AD risk in APOE *4 carriers likely through higher expression in excitatory neurons to counter tau-related neurodegeneration. Altogether, we provide an atlas of sex and APOE *4-informed candidate X-linked AD risk loci, genes, and mechanisms that will guide future studies.
ABSTRACT NUMBER: ESOC2026LT4 HIGH RISK ADAPTIVE STROKE EDUCATION (HASTE): PRIMARY STROKE PREVENTION IN RURAL MICHIGAN, USA
Khan, Muhib, Lypka, Matthew, Forrest, Carolyn, Reish, Julie, Wees, Nabil, Wilder, Brian, Tubergen, Tricia, Packard, Laurel, Chesla, David, Lypka, Matthew M. , Tubergen, Tricia, Packard, Laurel

European Stroke Journal | May 6, 2026 | Volume: 11 | Issue: Supplement_1 | Pages: i1043-i1043

10.1093/esj/aakag023.1960 Get It

Abstract Background and aims Rural communities have a high incidence of stroke driven by high prevalence of risk factors. We hypothesize that patient centric stroke prevention education can be delivered in rural communities. Methods High risk patients defined as Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease (ASCVD) 10-year risk of ≥ 20% cardio-cerebrovascular events were identified through electronic medical records receiving primary care in Greenville and Lakeview (intervention sites) and Muskegon (control site) were included. Education material included lifestyle modification and stroke signs-symptoms information. Patients completed a pre-intervention survey, recieved standardized stroke education, and were assessed for knowledge retention through quarterly telephone follow-ups and completed a 12-month post-intervention survey. Total study cost is 130,000$ over 18 months. Results High ASCVD score was identified in 758 (Intervention) and 1128 (Control) patients. 70 intervention and 73 control patients were enrolled. Time spent consenting patients and delivering education is 5 minutes with additional 10-15 minutes at each 3-month follow-up call. 65 intervention patients completed 12 month follow up. Intervention vs. Control; Median: IQR: Age [74 (68-76) vs. 73(68-75) years; p=0.20]; Initial ASCVD [24.5 (22-30) vs. 28.6 (26-37); p&lt;0.001], 12-month ASCVD [25(21-30) vs. 30(24-39); p=0.002). Post-intervention survey showed significant improvement in recognition of stroke risk factors (p&lt;0.001) and stroke signs-symptoms (p&lt;0.001). 49 (75%) patients adopted healthy lifestyle at 12-month follow up. Conclusions A primary stroke prevention cost-effective education program can be successfully implemented in a high-risk rural population, demonstrating improved stroke literacy and healthy lifestyle adoption. Conflict of interest
Clinical Utility of the Moving Valgus Stress Test and Milking Maneuver for Medial Ulnar Collateral Ligament Injuries of the Elbow
Sciascia, Aaron D. , Chalmers, Peter, Smith, Matthew V. , Griffith, Timothy B. , Erickson, Brandon, Freehill, Michael T., Safran, Marc, Hardaway, Austin, Azar, Frederick M., Brolin, Tyler, Spence, David, Jones, Grant, Freehill, Michael T. , Sciascia, Aaron , Camp, Christopher L. , Griffith, Timothy Bryan , Freehill, Michael T , Bowman, Eric N. , Chalmers, Peter N. , Wolf, Brian R. , Safran, Marc R. , Azar, Frederick M. , Brolin, Tyler J. , Spence, David D. , Cox, Charles L. , LeClere, Lance E. , Jones, Grant

The American Journal of Sports Medicine | May 6, 2026 | Volume: 54 | Issue: 8 | Pages: 1993-2002

10.1177/03635465261439107 | PMID 42087694 Get It

Background: Several special tests for detecting medial ulnar collateral ligament (MUCL) injuries of the elbow have been described, but data on the clinical utility of these tests are limited. Purpose: To determine the clinical utility of selected elbow special tests to detect MUCL injuries in an athletic population. Study Design: Cross-sectional study; Level of evidence, 3. Methods: A total of 84 consecutive patients with sports-related elbow pain underwent a standardized clinical examination. Overall, 6 special tests (moving valgus stress test, static valgus stress test, modified valgus stress test, milking maneuver, pronation flexion resistance test, and temple/cheek press test) were performed. Sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, positive/negative predictive value, and positive/negative likelihood ratio (LR+ and LR–, respectively) were calculated for individual tests and combinations of tests to detect MUCL injuries. Higher values for the LR+ and lower values for the LR– represent stronger clinical utility. Results: For detecting MUCL injuries, the moving valgus stress test resulted in the highest sensitivity (98%) and accuracy (93%) with the lowest LR– (2%). The milking maneuver had the highest LR+ (5.1) with the second highest sensitivity (77%) and accuracy (79%). The pronation flexion resistance test and the temple/cheek press test had the lowest LR+ (1.5 and 1.8, respectively) and highest LR– (94% and 95%, respectively) in addition to the lowest sensitivity (16% and 9%, respectively) and accuracy (33% and 30%, respectively). No combination of tests resulted in increased clinical utility. Conclusion: The moving valgus stress test and milking maneuver demonstrated acceptable clinical utility in which the moving valgus stress test was better for ruling out MUCL injuries and the milking maneuver was better at ruling in MUCL injuries. There was no added value when combining the 2 tests together or with other maneuvers.
Hematopoietic Cell Transplant Access and Patient Diversity
Cusatis, Rachel, Kou, Jianqun, Mattila, Deborah, Arai, Sally , Meade, Javier Bolaños, Carrum, George, Dholaria, Bhagirathbhai, Fareh, Fatema, Hamadani, Mehdi, Hogan, William J., Jamieson, Katarzyna, Jimenez, Antonio M. Jimenez, Khimani, Farhad, Kelkar, Amar H., Kosuri, Satyajit, Larkin, Karilyn T., Malki, Monzr M. Al, Milner, Jordan , Modi, Dipenkumar , Shaffer, Brian C., Shanmugasundaram, Krithika , Rao, Uttam, Auletta, Jeffrey J., Devine, Steven M., Logan, Brent R., Shaw, Bronwen E., Larkin, Karilyn , Cusatis, Rachel , Bupp, Caitrin , Abboud, Ramzi , Dholaria, Bhagirathbhai , Hamadani, Mehdi , Hogan, William J. , Jamieson, Katarzyna , Jimenez Jimenez, Antonio Martin , Khimani, Farhad , Kelkar, Amar H , Malki, Monzr M. Al , McCurdy, Shannon , Reshef, Ran , Shaffer, Brian C. , Auletta, Jeffery J. , Devine, Steven M. , Logan, Brent R. , Shaw, Bronwen E.

JAMA Network Open | May 5, 2026 | Volume: 9 | Issue: 5 | Pages: e2610839

10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2026.10839 | PMID 42084866 Get It

Importance Allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplant (HCT) is curative for hematologic cancers, yet access remains inequitable for racially and ethnically underrepresented and socioeconomically disadvantaged populations, making the goal of having a suitable donor for every patient who needs a transplant challenging. The ACCESS trial broadened access by enrolling patients without matched donors, who instead received an HCT from a mismatched unrelated donor. Objective To compare baseline characteristics of ACCESS trial participants with participants enrolled in a similar clinical trial and a patient-reported outcome (PRO) protocol cohort. Design, Setting, and Participants This cross-sectional study included adult participants (aged ≥18 years) from 3 cohorts—the ACCESS trial (2021-2024), BMT CTN 1703 trial (2019-2021), and Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research (CIBMTR) PRO Protocol observational study (2020-2025)—who completed a baseline PRO survey. The ACCESS and PRO Protocol cohorts were stratified by conditioning intensity (myeloablative [MAC] vs reduced-intensity and nonmyeloablative [RIC/NMA]); all BMT CTN 1703 participants received RIC/NMA. Exposure Hematopoietic cell transplant. Main Outcomes and Measures Racial and ethnic diversity, insurance type, education, and income were compared among cohorts using counts and percentages, and socioeconomic and structural disadvantage were measured using the Social Vulnerability Index and Comprehensive Score for Financial Toxicity–Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy. Results Baseline surveys were completed by 208 participants in the ACCESS trial (median [range] age at transplant, 62.3 [20.4-78.9] years; 108 male [51.9%]), 122 participants in the PRO Protocol study (median [range] age at transplant, 63.9 [21.1-78.0] years; 67 male [54.9%]), and 342 participants in the BMT CTN 1703 trial (median [range] age at transplant, 66.9 [20.7-78.6] years; 218 male [63.7%]). Participants in ACCESS were more racially and ethnically diverse, with 15 (7.2%), 25 (12.1%), 46 (22.2%), 110 (53.1%), and 11 (5.3%) of Asian, Black or African American, Hispanic or Latino, White, and other race and ethnicity, respectively, compared with 4 (3.3%), 2 (1.6%), 8 (6.6%) 104 (85.2%), and 4 (3.3%), respectively, in the PRO Protocol and 10 (3.0%), 0, 16 (4.8%), 302 (91.0%), and 4 (1.2%), respectively, in the BMT CTN 1703 trial. Participants in ACCESS were more likely to have Medicaid (36 [18.1%]) vs PRO Protocol (8 [6.7%]) and BMT CTN 1703 (16 [5.1%]) participants and reported lower education (some college or an associate’s degree: 103 [49.5%] vs 73 [59.8%] in the PRO Protocol; postcollege education: 34 [17.3%] vs 35 [29.2%] in the PRO Protocol) and household income (&amp;lt;$40 000 annually: 25 [24.0%] vs 8 [11.6%] in the PRO Protocol and 7 [38.9%] in the BMT CTN 1703 trial). Median Social Vulnerability Index scores were highest among participants in the ACCESS MAC group (median [range], 0.72 [0.01-0.97] vs 0.61 [0.16-0.78] in the PRO Protocol MAC group), and 16 participants [27.6%] in the ACCESS MAC group reported moderate to severe financial toxicity. The ACCESS participants lived closer to transplant centers, especially in the RIC/NMA group (median [IQR], 28 [14-75] miles vs 47 [16-96] miles for BMT CTN 1703 participants and 49 [21-104] miles for PRO Protocol participants). Conclusions and Relevance This cross-sectional study of clinical trial participants and a clinical cohort found that the ACCESS trial enrolled a more racially and ethnically diverse and socioeconomically disadvantaged population. Trial designs that broaden eligibility could expand access to HCT, highlighting the need for systemic interventions to ensure equity.
Correction to: Abdominal Symptom Improvement During Clinical Trials of Tenapanor in Patients With Irritable Bowel Syndrome With Constipation: A Post Hoc Analysis
Lembo, Anthony J, Chey, W D, Harris, Lucinda A. , Frazier, Rosita, Brenner, Darren M., Chang, Lin, Lacy, Brian E., Edelstein, Susan, Yang, Yang, Zhao, Suling , Rosenbaum, David P. , Lembo, Anthony , Chey, William D. , Frazier, Rosita , Brenner, Darren M. , Chang, Lin , Lacy, Brian E. , Edelstein, Susan , Yang, Yang

American Journal of Gastroenterology | May 4, 2026 | Volume: 121 | Issue: 7 | Pages: 1787-1787

10.14309/ajg.0000000000004025 | PMID 42080433 Get It

Machine Learning Models Using Hospital Admission Characteristics Do Not Optimally Predict Nosocomial Infection Development in a Global Cirrhosis Cohort
Silvey, Scott , Choudhury, Ashok , Kamath, Patrick S. , Wong, Florence , Hayes, P C, Seto, Wai‐Kay , Singhal, Garima, Jothimani, Dinesh , Asrani, Sumeet, Gadano, Adrián , Dinçer, Dinc , Adebayo, Daneille, Doyle, Adam, Debzi, Nabil , Shaw, Jawaid , Barutçu, Sezgin , Lah, Ponan Claude Regis, Duarte‐Rojo, Andrés , Turan, Dilara , Wang, Lei, Velazquez, René Malé, Aghayaeva, Sevda, Córdova-Gallardo, J, Xu, Bin, Gao, Haibing , Elangovan, Harendran, Fung, James, Rajorya, Neil, Wang, X I A O Y U, Katchman, Helena , Jiang, Yongfang, Thanapirom, Kessarin , Eapen, CE, Dhiman, Radha K. , Lu, Mingqin, Su, Minghua , Hueso, Sarai Gonzalez, Aberra, Hanna , Fisseha, Henok , Tan, Hiang Keat , Zhao, Caiyan , Zhang, Ningping, MacQuillan, Gerry, Pereira, Gustavo, Reddy, K. Rajender , Topazian, Mark, Torre, A Ullate De La, Silva, Mario, Bush, Brian J., Bajaj, Jasmohan S. , Chaudhary, Ashok , Xie, Qing , Wong, Florence , Arora, Umang , Gadano, Adrian , Dincer, Dinc , Velarde-Ruiz Velasco, José Antonio , Kulkarni, Anand V , Shaw, Jawaid , Desalgn, Hailemicheal , Bettinger, Dominik , Regis Lah, Ponan Claude , Duarte-Rojo, Andres , Turan, Dilara , Zheng, Xin , Demirtas, Coskun , Liu, Chenghai , Cordova-Gallardo, Jacqueline , Nagral, Aabha , Gao, Haibing , Katchmann, Helena , Praharaj, Dibyalochan , Mahadeva, Sanjiv , Eapen, C E , Dhiman, Radha K , Lu, Mingqin , Arrese, Marco , Su, Minghua , Hueso, Sarai Gonzalez , Aberra, Hanna , Fisseha, Henok , Tan, Hiang Keat , Zhao, Caiyan , Zhang, Ningping , Taneja, Sunil , Sonavane, Amey , Saraya, Anoop , Gofton, Cameron , Pereira, Gustavo , Rajender Reddy, K , Sarin, Shiv Kumar , Cao, Zhujun , Topazian, Mark D , Idilman, Ramazan , Torre, Aldo , George, Jacob , BUSH, BRIAN J. , Bajaj, Jasmohan S , Seto, Wai-Kay , Singhal, Garima, Asrani, Sumeet K. , Farias, Alberto Queiróz , Velasco, J.A. Velarde-Ruiz , Kulkarni, Anand V. , Desalegn, Hailemichael , Karasu, Zeki A. , Fung, James , Rajoriya, Neil , Zheng, Katina , Arrese, Marco , Zhu, Chuanwu , Taneja, Sunil , Aravinthan, Aloysious Dominic , MacQuillan, Gerry C., Idılman, Ramazan , George, Jacob , Alvares-da-Silva, Mario Reis

American Journal of Gastroenterology | April 27, 2026 | Volume: No volume available | Issue: No issue available | Pages: No page available

10.14309/ajg.0000000000004031 | PMID 42043180 Get It

INTRODUCTION: Nosocomial infections (NIs) in cirrhosis are associated with high mortality but could be preventable. Logistic regression (LR) models have failed to identify high-risk patients. We aimed to develop machine learning (ML) models to predict NI. METHODS: The CLEARED consortium consists of prospectively enrolled cirrhosis inpatients from >120 centers. Using day-of-admission clinical data, 3 ML approaches (random forest [RF], extreme gradient boosting, and neural networks [NNs]) were used to predict NI. Data were split 80:20 for training and testing stratified by the outcome. Models were compared using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). RESULTS: In total, 8,263 patients (55.90 ± 13.34 years; 64.1% men) from 127 centers in 37 countries were included. NI developed in 869 (10.5%), a median of 6 (4–11) days of postadmission. Major NIs were respiratory (29.6%) and urinary tract infection (15.7%), and spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (13.5%). NIs occurred more frequently in patients from low/low-middle income countries and those with severe liver disease, alcohol etiology, and admission infections. NIs were associated with inpatient mortality (31.9% vs 8.1%, P < 0.001) and liver transplantation (4.8% vs 1.9%, P < 0.001). Although the RF model (AUC 0.69) showed good calibration (Brier score 0.09), outperforming extreme gradient boosting, neural network, and LR models (AUC 0.66 for all; LR comparison P = 0.043), no model achieved AUC ≥0.80 for clinical utility. At 10% predicted probability threshold, the RF model demonstrated only 75.4% sensitivity, 52.9% specificity, and 15.9% positive predictive value (PPV). DISCUSSION: NIs cannot be accurately predicted from day-of-admission data using ML models, even in a large, prospective, global cirrhosis cohort. Every hospitalized patient with cirrhosis should receive protocolized infection control measures.