Roberts, Lewis R.

Background and Aims: This systematic review and meta-analysis aims to compare the performance of UroVysion® FISH based on the different definitions of a positive result used in published literature with the goal of determining the optimal FISH definition for detecting pancreaticobiliary malignancy. Methods: A systematic literature search identified studies from database inception to Sept 2024 that evaluated the diagnostic performance of FISH in determining malignancy among patients with biliary strictures. All thresholds for positive FISH, as defined by the individual study, were included in this review. Subgroup analysis was performed based on the definitions of positive FISH as follows: (1) polysomy only; (2) polysomy, tetrasomy, or trisomy; and (3) polysomy or 9p deletion. Results: Eighteen studies comprising 2516 FISH specimens were analyzed, including 1133 (45.0%) with malignancy. Using a threshold for positivity as defined in individual studies, the overall sensitivity of FISH was 57.6% (95% confidence interval [CI], 49.4–65.4%), and the overall specificity was 87.8% (95% CI, 79.2–93.2%). Subgroup analysis showed that polysomy as the threshold for positive FISH yielded a sensitivity of 49.4% (95% CI, 43.2–55.5%), with an increased specificity of 96.2% (95% CI, 92.7–98.1%), while polysomy + tetrasomy/trisomy as positive FISH resulted in an increased sensitivity of 64.3% (95% CI 55.4–72.2%) but a decreased specificity of 78.9% (95% CI 64.4–88.5%). The addition of 9p deletion to polysomy as the criteria for a positive test resulted in a non-significant increase in sensitivity (54.7% (95% CI 42.4–66.5%) while maintaining specificity (95.1% (95% CI 84.0–98.6%). Conclusions: Based on these findings, polysomy only or polysomy/9p deletion should be considered as the criterion for defining a positive FISH test to improve diagnostic sensitivity while maintaining high specificity.

Abstract Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the leading causes of cancer-related mortality worldwide including sub-Saharan Africa. The GALAD score, derived from Gender, Age, Lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive fraction of alpha fetoprotein, Alpha fetoprotein, and Des-carboxy-prothrombin, has high accuracy in diagnosing HCC in Asia, Europe, and North America; however, it has not been validated in an African cohort. The aim of this study was to assess the performance of the GALAD score in the diagnosis of HCC in sub-Saharan Africa. Clinical data from patients with cirrhosis (n = 93) or HCC (n = 78) from outpatient hepatology clinics at three teaching hospitals in Ghana were abstracted, and serum samples were analyzed. A logistic regression model predicting HCC status based on the GALAD score was constructed to obtain the ROC curve for GALAD. The AUC with 95% confidence interval (CI) was calculated. The median GALAD score was higher among patients with HCC versus cirrhosis controls (8.0 vs. −4.1, P < 0.01). The AUC of the GALAD score for HCC detection was 0.86 (95% CI, 0.79–0.92). At a cut-off value of −0.37, the GALAD score had a sensitivity of 0.81 and a specificity of 0.86. The AUC (95% CI) was 0.87 (0.80–0.95) and 0.81 (0.67–0.94) in hepatitis B virus–positive and hepatitis B virus–negative patients, respectively. The GALAD score has a high accuracy for HCC detection. It has great potential to improve HCC surveillance in sub-Saharan Africa where imaging resources are limited. Significance: The GALAD score or its relevant modifications have the potential to aid in improving HCC surveillance efforts in low-resource settings in sub-Saharan Africa. This could enhance early detection rates of HCC and potentially improve survival rates in resource-limited settings.

Background Gastrointestinal cancers comprise nearly one-third of global mortality from cancer, yet the comprehensive global burden of these cancers remains uninvestigated. Objective We aimed to assess the global, regional and national burden of gastrointestinal cancers. Designs Data on oesophagus, gastric, colorectal, liver, pancreas and biliary tract cancers were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 database. Age-standardised incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardised death rate (ASDR) were calculated by sex, region and Sociodemographic Index (SDI). Results In 2021, there were 5.26 million incidences and 3.70 million deaths from gastrointestinal cancer. The greatest burden is from colorectal, followed by gastric, oesophageal, pancreatic, liver and biliary tract cancer. We noted geographical and socioeconomic differences in ASIR and ASDR across all types of cancers. From 2000 to 2021, ASIR increased for colorectal cancer (annual percent change (APC): 0.10%, 95% CI 0.05% to 0.14%), pancreatic cancer (APC: 0.27%, 95% CI 0.14% to 0.41%), and liver cancer from metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (APC: 0.62%, 95% CI 0.58% to 0.67%) and alcohol-related liver disease (APC: 0.26%, 95% CI 0.22% to 0.30%). ASDR increased for pancreatic cancer (APC: 0.18%, 95% CI 0.02% to 0.34%). Higher SDI countries had higher incidence rates for most types of gastrointestinal cancer. Conclusions Although the ASIR of oesophageal, gastric and biliary tract cancer has decreased, the ASIR still increased in colorectal, pancreatic and liver cancer from steatotic liver disease. Public policies are important for controlling gastrointestinal cancers—most importantly, reducing alcohol consumption, hepatitis B immunisation and tackling the burden of metabolic diseases.

Biliary tract cancers, including cholangiocarcinoma, gallbladder, and ampulla of Vater cancers, rank second among hepatobiliary cancers, known for their poor prognoses. The United States has witnessed a notable increase in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma incidence. This study examines the incidence and survival outcomes of biliary tract cancers in Olmsted County, Minnesota from 1976 to 2018. Using data from the Rochester Epidemiology Project (REP), residents aged 20 and above were analyzed across four eras. Incidence rates were calculated and adjusted for age and sex, and temporal trends were assessed using Poisson regression. Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma exhibited a significant escalation in incidence rates over time, while gallbladder cancers showed a decline among women. Median survival times for biliary tract cancers notably improved. These findings confirm the rising incidence of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma and suggest improving survival rates. Nevertheless, the overall prognosis for biliary tract cancers remains very poor, emphasizing the continual need for enhanced management strategies and further research.

Background and Aims: Early identification of malignant biliary strictures (MBSs) is challenging, with up to 20% classified as indeterminants after preliminary testing and tissue sampling with endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography. We aimed to evaluate the use of methylated DNA markers (MDMs) from biliary brushings to enhance MBS detection in a prospective cohort. Approach: Candidate MDMs were evaluated for their utility in MBS diagnosis through a series of discovery and validation phases. DNA was extracted from biliary brushing samples, quantified, bisulfite-converted, and then subjected to methylation-specific droplet digital polymerase chain reaction. Patients were considered to have no malignancy if the sampling was negative and there was no evidence of malignancy after 1 year or definitive negative surgical histopathology. Results: Fourteen candidate MDMs were evaluated in the discovery phase, with top-performing and new markers evaluated in the technical validation phase. The top 4 MDMs were TWIST1, HOXA1, VSTM2B, and CLEC11A, which individually achieved AUC values of 0.82, 0.81, 0.83, and 0.78, respectively, with sensitivities of 59.4%, 53.1%, 62.5%, and 50.0%, respectively, at high specificities for malignancy of 95.2%–95.3% for the final biologic validation phase. When combined as a panel, the AUC was 0.86, achieving 73.4% sensitivity and 92.9% specificity, which outperformed cytology and fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH). Conclusions: The selected MDMs demonstrated improved performance characteristics for the detection of MBS compared to cytology and FISH. Therefore, MDMs should be considered viable candidates for inclusion in diagnostic testing algorithms.

AbstractBiliary tract cancer (BTC) is a rare and aggressive malignancy with increasing incidence. Most BTC cases are diagnosed with metastatic disease which carries a 5‐year survival rate of <5%. Physical activity, diet, and obesity might be associated with BTC risk, but studies have been limited particularly in African descendants. We addressed this knowledge gap by evaluating associations of BTC risk with obesity, physical activity, and dietary intakes in 723,326 adult participants in four cohort studies conducted in China, the United Kingdom, and the United States. Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) in each cohort; results were combined using meta‐analysis. All cohorts had ≥11 median follow‐up years with 839 incident BTC cases combined. BTC risk was positively associated with body mass index (BMI) and waist‐to‐hip ratio (WHR) whereas physical activity, fruit intake, and fish intake were inversely associated. HR and (95% CI) comparing BMI >35.0 to 18.5–24.9: 1.71 (1.26, 2.31), p‐trend <.0001; comparing BMI‐adjusted WHR top to bottom quartile: 1.20 (0.94, 1.53), p‐trend = .05; comparing ≥15–0 metabolic equivalent task‐hours/week 0.76 (0.61, 0.94), p‐trend = .009; comparing highest to lowest intake tertile for fruit and fish 0.79 (0.66, 0.95), p‐trend = .01; 0.82 (0.68, 0.98), p‐trend = .04, respectively. Associations were, in general, similar across ancestry groups. Our study provides strong evidence for important roles of obesity, diet, and physical activity in BTC etiology and stresses the need for lifestyle modification to combat the rising incidence of this fatal malignancy.

e15146 Background: Wnt/ß-catenin signaling dysregulation is found in approximately 25% of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. The impact of B-catenin activation on HCC overall survival has remained controversial. Prior studies suggest activating CTNNB1 mutations may predict for immunotherapy (IO) resistance while others did not corroborate this finding. Here we describe the clinical outcomes of advanced HCC patients (pts) with CTNNB1 (+) and without CTNNB1 (-) mutations treated with novel first line IO/anti-VEGF therapies. Methods: We conducted a multicenter, retrospective analysis of pts with HCC who had molecular analysis performed between 2019 and 2023 at Mayo Clinic in Minnesota, Arizona, and Florida. The study was reviewed and approved by the IRB. Clinical and molecular features were compared descriptively. The primary outcomes were time to treatment failure (TTF), defined as time from first-line treatment initiation to off treatment or death, and overall survival (OS), defined as time from first-line treatment initiation to death, compared between the two cohorts using the Kaplan-Meier method. Results: We identified 29 CTNNB1+ and 62 CTNNB1- (wt) pts with HCC. Median age at diagnosis was 66 (range 30-86), 80 (88%) were Caucasian, 68 (75%) were male gender, and 22 (24%) had etiology as hepatitis B/hepatitis C, 82 (90%) were Child-Pugh A and 77 (85%) were Barcelona Clinic Liver Clinic (BCLC)=C at diagnosis. Eighteen (90%, n=20) CTNNB 1+ pts received first-line IO (Atezolizumab/bevacizumab [AB]) vs 39 (72%, n=54) in CTNNB1- pts. All pts were microsatellite stable (MSS). CTNNB1+ had a similar median tumor mutational burden (TMB), higher rate of TERT co-mutation, and lower rate of TP53 co-mutation (table) compared to CTNNB-. Of 57 AB pts, 5 (27%) of CTNNB1 + had an objective response, compared to 6 (16.7%) CTNNB1- pts. Time to treatment failure with first-line AB and overall survival were similar between the two cohorts (Table). Conclusions: Our study suggests CTNNB1 status is not prognostic in HCC pts receiving IO based therapy. Prospective study is warranted to further investigate predictive biomarkers for HCC sensitivity to immune checkpoint inhibitors and VEGF-targeted therapy. [Table: see text]