Penna, Domenico

AbstractIn the last decade, several prognostic models for primary myelofibrosis (PMF) have been introduced and shown to be effective in predicting overall survival. The main objective for this study was to identify clinical and genetic markers of very long (20+ years) survival in PMF. A total of 1282 patients with PMF were considered (median age 65 years, range 19‐92; 63% males); 26 (2%) patients (median age 51 years, range 28‐71; 38% males) survived their disease for at least 20 years (long‐lived patients) and 626 (49%) patients (median age 68 years, range 27‐92; 66% males) died within 5 years of their diagnosis (short‐lived patients). Multivariable logistic regression analysis identified 7 variables that were associated with survival beyond 20 years: age ≤ 70 years (P = .002); female sex (P = .03); hemoglobin level ≥ 10 g/dL for women and ≥ 11 g/dL for men (P = .03), leukocyte count ≤25 × 109/L (P = .009), platelet count ≥100 × 109/L (P = .002), circulating blasts <2% (P = .03) and absence of constitutional symptoms (P = .04). Five‐year mortality was independently predicted by high‐molecular risk mutations (P < .001); unfavorable or very high risk karyotype (P < .001); absence of type 1/like CALR mutation (P < .001); age > 70 years (P < .001); constitutional symptoms (P < .001); hemoglobin level < 10 g/dL for women and < 11 g/dL for men (P < .001); leukocyte count >25 × 109/L (P = .004); and circulating blasts ≥2% (P = .001). This study suggests that genetic risk factors in PMF are associated with early mortality while survival beyond 20 years could be predicted by easily accessible clinical variables, including age, sex, blood counts, and symptoms.

Key PointsSerum albumin and cholesterol levels predict survival in primary myelofibrosis, independent of each other and contemporary risk models. The cachexia index, determined by serum albumin and cholesterol levels, might further refine current prognostic models in myelofibrosis.

AbstractBetween 1967 and 2017, 361 patients with myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN), age ≤ 40 years, were seen at our institution, constituting 12% of all MPN patients (n = 3023) seen during the same time period; disease‐specific incidences were 12% in polycythemia vera (PV; n = 79), 20% in essential thrombocythemia (ET; n = 219) and 5% in primary myelofibrosis (PMF; n = 63). Compared to their older counterparts, younger patients were more likely to present with low risk disease (P < .001) and display female preponderance in ET (P = .04), lower incidence of arterial events overall (P < .001), and higher incidence of venous thrombosis in PV (P = .01). Younger patients were also more likely to express CALR mutations, in ET and PMF, normal karyotype, in PV and PMF, and lower incidence of high molecular risk mutations in PMF (P significant in all instances). Over median follow‐up of 11.3, 13, and 7.1 years for PV, ET, and PMF, leukemic transformations were respectively documented in 4%, 2%, and 10% (P values 0.1‐0.9) while incidences of fibrotic progression in PV (22%) and ET (16%) were expectedly higher in young patients, because of their longer survival (P < .001). Median survival in young patients was 37 years for PV, 35 for ET and 20 for PMF; the corresponding values were 22, 22, and 8 years for ages 41‐60 years and 10, 11, and 3 years for ages >60 years (P < .001). Young MPN patients comprise a unique disease subset defined by an attenuated‐risk cytogenetic and mutational backdrop and conspicuously longer survival compared to their older counterparts, which requires assertion during patient counseling.