Limburg, Paul J.

Abstract Gastric adenocarcinoma (GAC) is the fourth leading global cause of cancer mortality and leading infection-associated cancer. High-incidence regions of GAC include Latin America and Eastern Asia. Immigrants from high-incidence regions maintain their GAC risk. GAC is a major U.S. cancer disparity, and its incidence rates are 2 to 10 times higher in non-White populations. Emerging guidelines recommend 3-year surveillance endoscopy for patients with high-risk gastric premalignant conditions (GPMC). Clinical trials of GPMC chemoprevention agents are lacking. We conducted a NCI Division of Cancer Prevention–funded, phase II placebo-controlled chemoprevention trial in patients with GPMCs (atrophic gastritis and intestinal metaplasia) with a highly bioavailable preparation of curcuminoids (Meriva). The trial sites in Puerto Rico and rural Honduras had important characteristics: (i) representative Caribbean and Mesoamerican populations, linked to large U.S. immigrant populations; (ii) high prevalence of Helicobacter pylori infection and GPMCs; (iii) the absence of turmeric and curcuminoids in local diets; and (iv) proven bidirectional collaboration with U.S. academic institutions. H. pylori–negative patients with GPMCs were randomized to the study drug (500 mg po bid) or placebo for 180 days (NCT02782949), with primary outcomes based upon histologic parameters. Principal study challenges included (i) an international regulatory environment; (ii) research infrastructure strengthening, particularly in Central America; (iii) participant recruitment in Honduras, wherein only 10% to 15% are H. pylori negative; (iv) the COVID-19 pandemic; and (v) natural disasters (three hurricanes). There were no losses to follow-up related to the pandemic or natural disasters. In conclusion, the south–south partnership provides a model for chemoprevention and translational studies in Latino populations with prevalent cancers, such as GAC.

e15633 Background: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the fourth most diagnosed cancer, as well as the second leading cause of cancer death in the United States – with an estimated 152,810 diagnoses and 53,010 fatal cases in 2024. Regular screening and early detection can reduce CRC incidence and improve overall survival; however, recent national survey data (2021) demonstrate that only 59% of the US screen-eligible population (≥ age 45) is up to date. Home-based, non-invasive CRC screening test options, such as the multi-target stool DNA (mt-sDNA) test, have the potential to improve patient outcomes and overcome CRC screening adherence barriers at multiple levels. Given that the recommended interval for mt-sDNA is three years, a better understanding of use in repeat users is warranted. We evaluated the effective rescreen rate of previous mt-sDNA test users. Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, we included patients between the ages of 45 and 75 years who were shipped an mt-sDNA test kit between January 1st – December 31st, 2023, and had previously completed mt-sDNA screening with a negative result > 2.5 years prior. Our primary variable of interest was mt-sDNA completion rate on repeat testing, defined as kit receipt with a valid result within 120 days of the shipment date. Regression analysis was performed to determine baseline characteristics associated with repeat test completion rate. Results: During the analysis period, a total of 481,748 patients who met the inclusion criteria received an mt-sDNA kit. The majority of the cohort was female (61.4%) and between the ages of 65-75 years (50.9%). Overall repeat test completion rate was 83.6%, with the average time to kit return being 18.9 days. Completion rates were similar between males (83.8%) and females (83.6%), and patients receiving included navigation support via mobile phones demonstrated the shortest average time to kit return (18.7 days). Completion rates increased concordantly with patient age: 81.6%, (45-49 years), 82.2% (50-64 years), and 85% (65-75 years). For first-time rescreen participants (2nd lifetime mt-sDNA test), the completion rate was 83.1%. For second-time rescreen participants (3rd lifetime mt-sDNA test), the completion rate was even higher at 93.6%. Logistic regression analyses revealed that patients re-screening for a second-time were three times more likely to return the mt-sDNA kit for CRC screening (OR = 3.118; p < 0.001). Conclusions: Data from this large, retrospective cohort study revealed that repeat CRC screening with the mt-sDNA test is associated with high adherence to triennial follow-up among participants. suggesting a high-level of perceived patient confidence in repeat performance of the mt-sDNA test. These novel data provide relevant insights regarding strong patient willingness to continue with home-based, non-invasive mt-sDNA testing over multiple cycles of average-risk CRC screening.

Abstract Colorectal cancer is the second leading cause of cancer-related mortality in adults in the United States. Despite compelling evidence of improved outcomes in colorectal cancer, screening rates are not optimal. This study aimed to characterize colorectal cancer screening trends over the last two decades and assess the impact of various screening modalities on overall colorectal cancer screening rates. Using National Health Interview Survey data from 2005 to 2021, we examined colorectal cancer screening [colonoscopy, multitarget stool DNA (mt-sDNA), fecal occult blood test (FOBT)/fecal immunochemical test, sigmoidoscopy, CT colonography] rates among adults ages 50–75 years (n = 85,571). A pseudo-time-series cross-sectional (pseudo-TSCS) analysis was conducted including a random effects generalized least squares regression model to estimate the relative impact of each modality on changes in colorectal cancer screening rates. Among 50 to 75 year olds, the estimated colorectal cancer screening rate increased from 47.7% in 2005 to 69.9% in 2021, with the largest increase between 2005 and 2010 (47.7%–60.7%). Rates subsequently plateaued until 2015 but increased from 63.5% in 2015 to 69.9% in 2018. This was primarily driven by the increased use of mt-sDNA (2.5% in 2018 to 6.6% in 2021). Pseudo-TSCS analysis results showed that mt-sDNA contributed substantially to the increase in overall screening rates (77.3%; P &lt; 0.0001) between 2018 and 2021. While colorectal cancer screening rates increased from 2005 to 2021, they remain below the 80% goal. The introduction of mt-sDNA, a noninvasive screening test may have improved overall rates. Sustained efforts are required to further increase screening rates to improve patient outcomes and offering a range of screening options is likely to contribute to achieving this goal. Prevention Relevance: This retrospective study highlights the importance of convenient stool-based colorectal cancer screening options to achieve the national goal of 80% for overall colorectal cancer screening rates. Empowering screening-eligible individuals with a choice for their colorectal cancer screening tests is imperative.

This cross-sectional study estimates the number of average-risk colorectal cancer screening–eligible individuals in the US since the US Preventive Services Task Force updated its recommendations in 2021.

Abstract We used deep learning (DL) to predict multiple genetic biomarkers of colorectal cancer (CRC) from routine histopathology images, aiming to identify morphological changes associated with the mutational profile of tumors. A new Transformer-based prediction model was developed which can simultaneously predict multiple biomarkers from a single histopathology image. We compared the performance of the multi-target approach to conventional single-target models. We analyzed five patient cohorts from the Genetics and Epidemiology of CRC Consortium (GECCO) with colorectal cancer (N=1,385 patients). Our model was trained on an internal data set (N=739) to predict the presence of &gt;200 genetic alterations, focusing on genes with non-silent mutations and mutational signatures, which were assessed using targeted sequencing. We used a 7-fold cross validation and validated the model on an independent, external data set (N=646). Morphological features of microsatellite instability (MSI) are detectable by DL models in histopathology images, making MSI a potential confounding factor. Thus, we also assessed whether our model can predict genetic alterations regardless of MSI status, or whether the model identifies the MSI phenotype. For the majority of biomarkers, the multi-target transformer reached a higher prediction performance as measured by the mean Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (AUROC) Curve and lower standard deviation than single-target DL models. For the external validation set, the mean AUROC of the multi-target versus the single-target model was 0.78 (+/- 0.01) versus 0.72 (+/- 0.06) for BRAF mutations, 0.88 (+/- 0.01) versus 0.86 (+/- 0.03) for hypermutation status, 0.94 (+/- 0.01) versus 0.91 (+/- 0.02) for MSI, 0.86 (+/- 0.01) versus 0.80 (+/- 0.05) for RNF43 mutations and 0.72 (+/- 0.02) versus 0.69 (+/- 0.05) for TP53 mutations, respectively. However, our analysis of the individual prediction scores suggests that the model does not identify the phenotype of the alterations themselves. Instead, the model seems to determine the status of specific genetic alterations based on their correlation with MSI. Consequently, biomarkers which are associated with microsatellite stability have prediction scores negatively correlated with predicted MSI scores. Conversely, biomarkers which are associated with MSI have prediction scores positively correlated with predicted MSI scores. Our results demonstrate potential benefits of multi-target DL models in improving the predictive power and efficacy of histology-based biomarker extraction compared to single-target DL models. However, our results crucially highlight the importance of considering potential confounders, such as MSI status in CRC, and emphasize the need for extensive analysis beyond AUROC in studies focusing on DL-based biomarker detection. Citation Format: Marco Gustav, Marko van Treeck, Zunamys I. Carrero, Chiara M. Loeffler, Nic G. Reitsam, Bruno Märkl, Asier Rabasco Meneghetti, Lisa A. Boardman, Amy J. French, Ellen L. Goode, Andrea Gsur, Stefanie Brezina, Marc J. Gunter, Neil Murphy, Paul Limburg, Stephen Thibodeau, Sebastian Foersch, Robert Steinfelder, Tabitha Harrison, Ulrike Peters, Amanda Phipps, Jakob N. Kather. Assessing microsatellite instability dominance in colorectal cancer phenotype: A multi-study initiative using multi-target transformers for genomic biomarker prediction [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2024; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2024 Apr 5-10; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(6_Suppl):Abstract nr 4924.

67 Background: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the second leading cause of cancer-related mortality among men and women combined in the United States (US). Although the national screening rate has increased over the years, it remains below the target of 80% recommended by the National Colorectal Cancer Roundtable for improved CRC outcomes. In most recent years, and particularly during COVID-19, screening-eligible individuals preferred at-home, non-invasive screening options over invasive tests such as colonoscopy due to convenience and accessibility. The objective of this study was to understand the CRC screening trends over the last two decades, and the impact of various screening modalities on the overall CRC screening rate. Methods: Using National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) data from 2005 onwards, we examined CRC screening (colonoscopy, mt-sDNA, FIT/FOBT, and sigmoidoscopy) rates among adults aged 50-75 years. A pseudo-time-series cross-sectional (pseudo TSCS) analysis was conducted including random effects Generalized Least Square (GLS) regression model to estimate the relative impact of each modality on the overall increase in CRC rates from 2018 to 2021. Results: Among 50-75 years old individuals, the estimated CRC screening use increased by 32% from 2005 to 2021 (47.7% to 69.9%). Between 2018 to 2021, the rates increased from 64% to 70%, driven largely by increased use of mt-sDNA, a 62.1% increase from 2018 to 2021 (2.5% to 6.6%). During this time period, colonoscopy utilization increased by 4.4% (61.2% to 64.0%), while FOBT/FIT utilization increased by 3.6% (5.3% to 5.5%). A pseudo-TSCS analysis showed that mt-sDNA contributed substantially to the overall CRC screening rate increase during years 2018-2021 (77.3%; p < 0.0001). Conclusions: While CRC screening rates are increasing, they remain below the national goal of 80%. Mt-sDNA as a home-based, non-invasive screening, recommended at a 3-year interval, has been leveraged to improve overall CRC screening rates, particularly to address the screening backlog created during the COVID-19 pandemic. A collaborative approach between healthcare providers and screening-eligible individuals is needed to empower patients with choice for their CRC screening modality to achieve the national goal.

Abstract The multi-target stool DNA (mt-sDNA) test screens for colorectal cancer by analyzing DNA methylation/mutation and hemoglobin markers to algorithmically derive a qualitative result. A new panel of highly discriminant candidate methylated DNA markers (MDM) was recently developed. Performance of the novel MDM panel, with hemoglobin, was evaluated in a simulated screening population using archived stool samples weighted to early-stage colorectal cancer and prospectively collected advanced precancerous lesions (APL). Marker selection study (MSS) and separate preliminary independent verification studies (VS) were conducted utilizing samples from multi-center, case–control studies. Sample processing included targeted MDM capture, bisulfite conversion, and MDM quantitation. Fecal hemoglobin was quantified using ELISA. Samples were stratified into 75%/25% training-testing sets; model outcomes were cross-validated 1,000 times. All laboratory operators were blinded. The MSS included 232 cases (120 colorectal cancer/112 APLs) and 490 controls. The VS featured 210 cases (112 colorectal cancer/98 APLs) and 567 controls; APLs were 86.7% adenomas and 13.3% sessile serrated lesions (SSL). Average age was 65.5 (cases) and 63.2 (controls) years. Mean sensitivity in the VS from cross-validation was 95.2% for colorectal cancer and 57.2% for APLs, with specificities of 89.8% (no CRC/APLs) and 92.4% (no neoplasia). Subgroup analyses showed colorectal cancer sensitivities of 93.4% (stage I) and 94.2% (stage II). APL sensitivity was 82.9% for high-grade dysplasia, 73.4% for villous lesions, 49.8% for tubular lesions, and 30.2% for SSLs. These data support high sensitivity and specificity for a next-generation mt-sDNA test panel. Further evaluation of assay performance will be characterized in a prospective, multi-center clinical validation study (NCT04144738). Prevention Relevance: This study highlights performance of the next-generation mt-sDNA test, which exhibits high sensitivity and specificity for detecting colorectal cancer and APLs. This noninvasive option has potential to increase screening participation and clinical outcomes. A multi-center, clinical validation trial is underway. See related commentary by Bresalier, p. 93