Johnson, Thomas J.

Abstract Purpose To report historical patterns of pharmaceutical expenditures, to identify factors that may influence future spending, and to predict growth in drug spending in 2026 in the United States, with a focus on the nonfederal hospital and clinic sectors. Methods Historical patterns were assessed by examining data on drug purchases from manufacturers using the IQVIA National Sales Perspectives database. Factors that may influence drug spending in hospitals and clinics in 2026 were reviewed—including new drug approvals, patent expirations, and potential new policies or legislation. Focused analyses were conducted for biosimilars, cancer drugs, endocrine drugs, generics, specialty drugs, and vaccines. For nonfederal hospitals, clinics, and overall (all sectors), estimates for growth of pharmaceutical expenditures in 2026 were made based on a combination of quantitative analyses and expert opinion. Results In 2025, overall pharmaceutical expenditures in the US grew 12.7% compared to 2024, for a total of $915.2 billion. Utilization (a 9.3% increase) drove this increase, while growth due to new drugs (0.9%) and price increases (1.2%) had a modest impact. Tirzepatide was the new top drug in 2025, followed by semaglutide and apixiban. Drug expenditures were $42.9 billion (a 9.6% increase) and $190.5 billion (a 19.0% increase) in nonfederal hospitals and in clinics, respectively. In clinics, volume drove drug expense growth, contributing with a 13.6% increase, while price and new drugs each contributed with a 2.7% increase. In nonfederal hospitals, expenditure growth was driven by increases in volume (4.6%), new products (3.7%), and prices (1.5%). Several new drugs that will influence spending are expected to be approved in 2026. Specialty, endocrine, and cancer drugs will continue to drive expenditures. Conclusion For 2026, we expect overall prescription drug spending to rise by 10.0% to 12.0%, whereas in clinics and hospitals we anticipate increases of 14.0%-16.0% and 4.0%-6.0%, respectively, compared to 2025. These national estimates of future pharmaceutical expenditure growth may not be representative of any health system because of the myriad of local factors that influence actual spending

Abstract Purpose To report historical patterns of pharmaceutical expenditures, to identify factors that may influence future spending, and to predict growth in drug spending in 2025 in the United States, with a focus on the nonfederal hospital and clinic sectors. Methods Historical patterns were assessed by examining data on drug purchases from manufacturers using the IQVIA National Sales Perspectives database. Factors that may influence drug spending in hospitals and clinics in 2025 were reviewed—including new drug approvals, patent expirations, and potential new policies or legislation. Focused analyses were conducted for biosimilars, cancer drugs, endocrine drugs, generics, specialty drugs and vaccines. For nonfederal hospitals, clinics, and overall (all sectors), estimates of growth of pharmaceutical expenditures in 2024 were made based on a combination of quantitative analyses and expert opinion. Results In 2024, overall pharmaceutical expenditures in the US grew 10.2% compared to 2023, for a total of $805.9 billion. Utilization (a 7.9% increase) and new drugs (a 2.5% increase) drove this increase, while prices remained flat (a 0.2% decrease). Semaglutide was the top drug in 2024, followed by tirzepatide and adalimumab. Drug expenditures were $39.0 billion (a 4.9% increase) and $158.2 billion (a 14.4% increase) in nonfederal hospitals and clinics, respectively. In clinics, increased utilization drove growth, with a small contribution from new products, while prices remained flat. In nonfederal hospitals, new products, price, and new volume each contributed modestly to growth in spend. Several new drugs that will influence spending are expected to be approved in 2025. Specialty, endocrine, and cancer drugs will continue to drive expenditures. Conclusion For 2025, we expect overall prescription drug spending to rise by 9.0 to 11.0%, whereas in clinics and hospitals we anticipate an 11.0% to 13.0% increase and a 2.0% to 4.0% increase, respectively, compared to 2024. These national estimates of future pharmaceutical expenditure growth may not be representative of any health system because of the myriad of local factors that influence actual spending.

The American Society of Health-System Pharmacists residency accreditation standards require all postgraduate residency training programs to teach and evaluate a resident’s ability to advance practice through project development and presentation, underscoring the importance of conducting research in today’s professional climate. Although many residents express strong interest in research participation and contributing to the medical literature, many obstacles to publication have been identified. We aim to illustrate a deliberate approach to teaching this material and structuring the longitudinal experience in a way that maximizes resources to overcome these barriers. Such efforts should aid residents, advisors, and program directors in establishing curriculum which leads to successful completion and publication of pharmacy resident’s research projects.