Prior, David

Introduction: Whether echocardiographic (echo) markers of left ventricular (LV) remodeling and diastolic dysfunction contribute incremental and independent prognostic information to clinical risk markers in patients (Pts) with coronary artery disease and severe LV systolic dysfunction is unclear. We sought to determine which echo variables provide the greatest prognostic value in the Surgical Treatment for Ischemic Heart Failure (STICH) population. Methods: Pts enrolled in STICH for whom transmitral Doppler (E/A ratio) was available on a baseline echo interpreted by an echo core laboratory blinded to treatment and outcomes formed the analysis cohort. Comprehensive datasets to account for missing echo data were created by multiple imputation and the impact on all-cause mortality was determined with the Cox’s regression model. Results: E/A ratio could be measured in 1511 of the 2136 Pts enrolled in STICH. Amongst markers of diastolic dysfunction, E/A ratio was the most significant predictor of mortality (χ 2 41.05, p <0.001) with a non-linear, u-shaped, relationship. Mortality was lowest with E/A ratio = 1.0, and increased for E/A ratio <0.6 and >1.0 up to 2.3, beyond which there was no further increase in risk. The combination of larger LV end-systolic volume index (LVESVI), low or high E/A ratio, and mitral regurgitation severity grade, had highly significant incremental negative effects on mortality (χ 2 69.65, p<0.001) when added to a multivariable model with clinical risk markers. Overall, creatinine (χ 2 30.00, p <0.001), followed by LVESVI (χ 2 27.26, p<0.001), age, and E/A ratio (χ 2 12.46, p<0.001) were among the most significant predictors of mortality and accounted for 74% of the total prognostic information. LVESVI and E/A ratio were stronger predictors of poor prognosis than New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional class, hemoglobin, diabetes, stroke, or atrial fibrillation. Conclusions: Echo markers of advanced LV remodeling and diastolic dysfunction add incremental prognostic value to clinical risk markers and are more predictive of poor prognosis than advanced NYHA functional class or anemia. LVESVI and E/A ratio outperformed other echo markers and should be considered standard in assessing risk in Pts with ischemic LV dysfunction.

Abstract Aims: We sought to determine which echocardiographic markers of left ventricular (LV) remodeling and diastolic dysfunction can contribute as incremental and independent prognostic information in addition to current clinical risk markers of ischemic LV systolic dysfunction in the Surgical Treatment for Ischemic Heart Failure (STICH) trial.Methods and Results: The cohort consisted of 1511 of 2136 patients in STICH for whom baseline transmitral Doppler (E/A ratio) could be measured by an echocardiographic core laboratory blinded to treatment and outcomes, and prognostic value of echocardiographic variables was determined by a Cox regression model. E/A ratio was the most significant predictor of mortality amongst diastolic variables with lowest mortality for E/A closest 0.8, although mortality was consistently low for E/A 0.6 to 1.0. Mortality increased for E/A <0.6 and > 1.0 up to approximately 2.3, beyond which there was no further increase in risk. Larger LV end-systolic volume index (LVESVI) and E/A <0.6 and >1.0 had incremental negative effects on mortality when added to a clinical multivariable model, where creatinine, LVESVI, age, and E/A ratio accounted for 74% of the prognostic information for predicting risk. LVESVI and E/A ratio were stronger predictors of prognosis than New York Heart Association functional class, anemia, diabetes, history of atrial fibrillation, and stroke.Conclusions: Echocardiographic markers of advanced LV remodeling and diastolic dysfunction added incremental prognostic value to current clinical risk markers. LVESVI and E/A ratio outperformed other markers and should be considered as standard in assessing risks in ischemic heart failure. E/A closest to 0.8 was the most optimal filling pattern.

Abstract Aims: We sought to determine which echocardiographic markers of left ventricular (LV) remodeling and diastolic dysfunction can contribute as incremental and independent prognostic information in addition to current clinical risk markers of ischemic LV systolic dysfunction in the Surgical Treatment for Ischemic Heart Failure (STICH) trial.Methods and Results: The cohort consisted of 1511 of 2136 patients in STICH for whom baseline transmitral Doppler (E/A ratio) could be measured by an echocardiographic core laboratory blinded to treatment and outcomes, and prognostic value of echocardiographic variables was determined by a Cox regression model. E/A ratio was the most significant predictor of mortality amongst diastolic variables with lowest mortality for E/A closest 0.8, although mortality was consistently low for E/A 0.6 to 1.0. Mortality increased for E/A <0.6 and > 1.0 up to approximately 2.3, beyond which there was no further increase in risk. Larger LV end-systolic volume index (LVESVI) and E/A <0.6 and >1.0 had incremental negative effects on mortality when added to a clinical multivariable model, where creatinine, LVESVI, age, and E/A ratio accounted for 74% of the prognostic information for predicting risk. LVESVI and E/A ratio were stronger predictors of prognosis than New York Heart Association functional class, anemia, diabetes, history of atrial fibrillation, and stroke.Conclusions: Echocardiographic markers of advanced LV remodeling and diastolic dysfunction added incremental prognostic value to current clinical risk markers. LVESVI and E/A ratio outperformed other markers and should be considered as standard in assessing risks in ischemic heart failure. E/A closest to 0.8 was the most optimal filling pattern.

Objectives To define the prognostic contribution of global and regional left ventricular (LV) function measurements in patients with ischaemic cardiomyopathy randomised to coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG) with (n=501) or without (n=499) surgical ventricular reconstruction (SVR). Methods Novel multivariable methods to analyse global and regional LV systolic function were used to better formulate prediction models for long-term mortality following CABG with or without SVR in the entire cohort of 1000 randomised SVR hypothesis patients. Key clinical variables were included in the analysis. Regional function was classified according to the discreteness of anteroapical hypokinesia and akinesia into those most likely to benefit from SVR, those least likely and those felt to have intermediate likelihood of benefit from SVR. Results The most prognostic clinical variables identified in multivariable models include creatinine, LV end-systolic volume index (ESVI), age and NYHA (New York Heart Association) class. Addition of LV ejection fraction, LV end-diastolic volume index and regional function assessment did not contribute additional power to the model. Subgroup analysis based on regional function did not identify a cohort in which SVR improved mortality. Conclusions ESVI is the single parameter of LV function most predictive of mortality in patients with LV systolic dysfunction following CABG with or without SVR in multivariable models that include all key clinical and LV systolic function parameters. Assessment of regional cardiac function does not enhance prediction of mortality nor identify a subgroup for which SVR improves mortality. These results do not support elective addition of LV reconstruction surgery in patients undergoing CABG. Trial registration number NCT00023595.