Visscher, Daniel W.

2 Background: Women with atypical hyperplasia (AH) on breast biopsy have an aggregate increased risk of breast cancer (BC), but accurate personalized risk prediction is desirable to facilitate individual clinical management decisions. Currently used models provide poor BC risk prediction for women with AH. Our goal was to develop and validate an improved risk prediction model for women with AH. Methods: From a cohort of 13,538 women with benign breast disease from 1967-2001, pathology review confirmed 699 with AH. Clinical risk factors and histologic features of the tissue biopsy were recorded, and BC events were ascertained from study questionnaires, tumor registry, and review of medical records. Using a lasso approach, 23 variables were assessed for model inclusion. Lasso-identified features were then fit in a Cox regression model to estimate BC risk. Model discrimination was assessed with C-statistics in the model-building set and in a separate external validation set. Calibration was assessed by comparing observed to predicted breast cancer counts. Results: The model-building set comprised 699 women with 142 BC events (median follow-up 8.1 years), and the external validation set comprised 461 women with 114 BC events (median follow-up 11.4 years). The final model included three covariates: age at biopsy, age squared, and number of foci of AH. Model performance was good, with a C-statistic of 0.622 (SE = 0.027) in the model-building set and 0.594 (SE = 0.029) in the external validation set. The model is well-calibrated, with observed to expected numbers of BCs nearly equal across all post-biopsy follow-up years. Conclusions: We propose a new model for predicting BC risk in women with AH based on age at biopsy and number of foci of atypia. This model provides absolute risk estimates for women with AH, has good discriminatory ability, is well-calibrated, and validates in an external cohort.

18 Background: Benign breast disease (BBD) is diagnosed in 1-2 million women/year in the US, and while these patients are known to be at substantially increased risk for subsequent development of breast cancer, existing models for risk assessment perform poorly at the individual level. Here, we describe a DNA-microarray-based transcriptional model for breast cancer risk prediction for patients with sclerosing adenosis (SA), a lesion found in ¼ of all BBD patients that is characterized by epithelial proliferation, disordered acinar architecture, and stromal fibrosis. Methods: A training set was developed from 86 patients diagnosed with sclerosing adenosis (SA), of which 27 subsequently developed cancer within 10 years (cases) and 59 remained cancer-free at 10 years (controls). A diagonal linear discriminate analysis (DLDA)-prediction model for prediction of cancer within 10 years (SA TTC10) was generated from transcriptional profiles of formalin fixed, paraffin-embedded (FFPE) biopsy-derived RNA. This model was tested on a separate validation case-control set composed of 65 SA patients. Results: The SA TTC10 gene signature model, composed of 35 gene features, achieved a clear and significant separation between case and control with receiver operating characteristic area under the curve of 0.913 in the training set and 0.836 in the validation set. Conclusions: Our results provide the first demonstration that benign breast tissue contains transcriptional alterations that indicate risk of breast cancer development, and that essential precursor biomarkers of malignancy are present many years prior to cancer development. Furthermore, the SA TTC10 gene signature model, which can be assessed on FFPE biopsies, constitutes a novel prognostic biomarker for patients with SA.

Abstract Purpose: Little is known about the role of the immune system in the earliest stages of breast carcinogenesis. We studied quantitative differences in immune cell types between breast tissues from normal donors and those from women with benign breast disease (BBD). Experimental Design: A breast tissue matched case–control study was created from donors to the Susan G. Komen for the Cure Tissue Bank (KTB) and from women diagnosed with BBD at Mayo Clinic (Rochester, MN) who either subsequently developed cancer (BBD cases) or remained cancer-free (BBD controls). Serial tissue sections underwent immunostaining and digital quantification of cell number per mm2 for CD4+ T cells, CD8+ T cells, CD20+ B cells, and CD68+ macrophages and quantification of positive pixel measure for CD11c (dendritic cells). Results: In 94 age-matched triplets, BBD lobules showed greater densities of CD8+ T cells, CD11c+ dendritic cells, CD20+ B cells, and CD68+ macrophages compared with KTB normals. Relative to BBD controls, BBD cases had lower CD20+ cell density (P = 0.04). Nearly 42% of BBD cases had no CD20+ B cells in evaluated lobules compared with 28% of BBD controls (P = 0.02). The absence of CD20+ cells versus the presence in all lobules showed an adjusted OR of 5.7 (95% confidence interval, 1.4–23.1) for subsequent breast cancer risk. Conclusions: Elevated infiltration of both innate and adaptive immune effectors in BBD tissues suggests an immunogenic microenvironment. The reduced B-cell infiltration in women with later breast cancer suggests a role for B cells in preventing disease progression and as a possible biomarker for breast cancer risk. Clin Cancer Res; 23(14); 3945–52. ©2017 AACR.

Terminal duct lobular units (TDLUs) are the predominant source of future breast cancers, and lack of TDLU involution (higher TDLU counts, higher acini count per TDLU and the product of the two) is a breast cancer risk factor. Numerous breast cancer susceptibility single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) have been identified, but whether they are associated with TDLU involution is unknown. In a pooled analysis of 872 women from two studies, we investigated 62 established breast cancer SNPs and relationships with TDLU involution. Poisson regression models with robust variance were used to calculate adjusted per‐allele relative risks (with the non‐breast cancer risk allele as the referent) and 95% confidence intervals between TDLU measures and each SNP. All statistical tests were two‐sided; P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Overall, 36 SNPs (58.1%) were related to higher TDLU counts although this was not statistically significant (p = 0.25). Six of the 62 SNPs (9.7%) were nominally associated with at least one TDLU measure: rs616488 (PEX14), rs11242675 (FOXQ1) and rs6001930 (MKL1) were associated with higher TDLU count (p = 0.047, 0.045 and 0.031, respectively); rs1353747 (PDE4D) and rs6472903 (8q21.11) were associated with higher acini count per TDLU (p = 0.007 and 0.027, respectively); and rs1353747 (PDE4D) and rs204247 (RANBP9) were associated with the product of TDLU and acini counts (p = 0.024 and 0.017, respectively). Our findings suggest breast cancer SNPs may not strongly influence TDLU involution. Agnostic genome‐wide association studies of TDLU involution may provide new insights on its biologic underpinnings and breast cancer susceptibility.

Abstract Background: Age-related lobular involution (LI) is a physiological process in which the terminal duct lobular units of the breast regress as a woman ages. Analyses of breast biopsies from women with benign breast disease (BBD) have found that extent of LI is negatively associated with subsequent breast cancer development. Here we assess the natural course of LI within individual women, and the impact of progressive LI on breast cancer risk. Methods: The Mayo Clinic BBD cohort consists of 13,455 women with BBD from 1967-2001. The BBD cohort includes 1115 women who had multiple benign biopsies, 106 of whom had developed breast cancer. Within this multiple biopsy cohort, the progression of the LI process was examined by age at initial biopsy and time between biopsies. The relationship between LI progression and breast cancer risk was assessed using standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) and by Cox proportional hazards analysis. Results: Women who had multiple biopsies were younger age and had a slightly higher family history of breast cancer as compared with the overall BBD cohort. Extent of LI at subsequent biopsy was greater with increasing time between biopsies and for women age 55+ at initial biopsy. Among women with multiple biopsies, there was a significant association of higher breast cancer risk among those with involution stasis (lack of progression, HR 1.63) as compared with those with involution progression, p = 0.036. Conclusions: The multiple biopsy BBD cohort allows for a longitudinal study of the natural progression of LI. The majority of women in the multiple biopsy cohort showed progression of LI status between benign biopsies, and extent of progression was highest for women who were in the perimenopausal age range at initial biopsy. Progression of LI status between initial and subsequent biopsy was associated with decreased breast cancer risk. Citation Format: Derek Radisky, Daniel W. Visscher, Ryan Frank, Robert A. Vierkant, Stacey J. Winham, Melody L. Stallings-Mann, Tanya L. Hoskin, Aziza Nassar, Celine M. Vachon, Lori A. Denison, Lynn C. Hartmann, Marlene H. Frost, Amy C. Degnim. Natural history of age-related lobular involution and impact on breast cancer risk. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 107th Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research; 2016 Apr 16-20; New Orleans, LA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2016;76(14 Suppl):Abstract nr LB-364.

Abstract Introduction: Benign breast disease (BBD) is an established risk factor for developing breast cancer, and certain pathologic features in benign breast tissue are more strongly associated with breast cancer risk. Most of the studies evaluating BBD and breast cancer risk have been done in primarily white populations. Our previous work among African American (AA) women with BBD suggested the presence of cysts was associated with increased breast cancer risk. This finding may be unique to AA women as other studies among white populations have not replicated these findings. We sought to further explore the association between breast cysts and breast cancer risk in our expanded AA BBD cohort. Methods: Biopsies from AA women initially diagnosed with BBD from 1997 to 2009 were examined for 14 pathologic features, including the microscopic presence of cysts, and followed for subsequent breast cancer. The association between cysts and the other pathologic features were compared using chi-square tests, and the risk of developing breast cancer was estimated using logistic regression and summarized with odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). Results: A total of 3,360 AA women with BBD have been identified and their benign biopsies reviewed. 190 women have developed a subsequent breast cancer with a mean follow-up time of 11.5 years. Cysts were present on 1,366 (38%) of the biopsies, and were significantly associated with nearly all of the other benign features evaluated: apocrine metaplasia, ductal hyperplasia, calcifications, duct ectasia, fibrodenomas, fibrosis, intra-ductal papillomas, sclerosing adenosis, columnar alterations, mucocelle-like lesions, radial scars, and proliferation with and without atypia (all p&lt;0.001). Adjusting for age and year of biopsy, cysts were associated with a 36% increase in breast cancer risk (OR: 1.36, 95% CI 1.01 - 1.82). When further adjusted for hyperplasia with atypia, the benign feature with the most established and strongest association with breast cancer risk, the risk associated with cysts was attenuated (OR: 1.20, 95% CI 0.88 - 1.64). Conclusion: Among AA women, cysts are highly correlated with other BBD features that increase subsequent breast cancer risk, but the risk associated with cysts does not appear to be independent of hyperplasia with atypia. Understanding the etiology of BBD and cyst development may provide insight into breast tumorigenesis, and the interplay between cysts and other BBD features warrant further investigation. Citation Format: Julie J. Ruterbusch, Michele L. Cote, Sudeshna Bandyopadhyay, Baraa Alosh, Eman Abdulfatah, Vishakha Pardeshi, Woodlyne Roquiz, Daniel Visscher, Rouba Ali-Fehmi. Presence of cysts in benign breast tissue and the risk of subsequent breast cancer in African American women. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 107th Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research; 2016 Apr 16-20; New Orleans, LA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2016;76(14 Suppl):Abstract nr 1769.

Abstract Percent mammographic density (PMD) is a risk factor for estrogen receptor (ER)-positive and ER-negative invasive breast cancer (BC). Gene expression profiling has identified molecular signatures that classify invasive BC into distinct subtypes that vary in their clinical behavior, response to treatment and likely, etiology. Immunohistochemical (IHC) staining of tumor sections using antibody panels can be used to classify these ‘intrinsic’ molecular subtypes. We evaluated whether density measures [PMD, absolute dense area (DA) and non-dense area (NDA)], are associated equally with all ‘intrinsic’ molecular subtypes. Pooled analysis of six cohort or case-control studies included 3492 women with invasive BC and 10,148 without, who underwent screening mammography a median 4 years prior to diagnosis (for cases). PMD, DA, and NDA were assessed from digitized film-screen mammograms using a computer-assisted thresholding technique, and categorized as 0-10%, 11-25%, 26-50% and 51%+ (PMD) or into quartiles (DA and NDA). Receptor status was abstracted from pathology records and supplemented by IHC staining. We classified tumors as Luminal A (ER+ and/or PR+ and HER2- and grade 1 or 2), Luminal B (ER+ and/or PR+ and HER2+ or Luminal A and grade 3), HER2 expressing (HER2+/ER-/PR-) and triple negative (TN) (ER-/PR-/HER2-). For TN, we also differentiated basal-like tumors (positive for EGFR and/or CK 5/6) from unclassified (negative on both markers). We used polytomous logistic regression to calculate the odds ratio (OR) of each ‘intrinsic’ subtype of BC by categories of PMD, DA or NDA, adjusting for age, body mass index and study. We tested for statistical heterogeneity of associations by subtype. Of 3492 invasive BC cases, 2217 (63%) were classified as Luminal A, 747 (21%) as Luminal B, 159 (5%) as HER2 expressing, and 369 (11%) as TN. Of TN, 203 were evaluated for CK 5/6 and EGFR, with 167 (82%) classified as basal-like and 36 (18%) unclassified. PMD was associated with BC risk across all subtypes. For Luminal A, compared to women with 11-25% PMD (reference), women with 0-10% had a reduced risk of BC (OR = 0.63 [95% confidence interval: 0.55, 0.74]) while women with 26-50% had an OR = 1.5 [1.3, 1.7] and women with 51%+ had the highest risk, OR = 2.3 [2.0, 2.7]. Similar BC associations were seen across PMD categories when comparing the five subtypes (P-heterogeneity = 0.63). Similar trends were seen for DA and BC across the five subtypes (P-het = 0.25). NDA was inversely associated with BC across subtypes, and there was suggestion of a stronger inverse trend among HER2-expressing BC compared to other subtypes (P-het = 0.09). Our results suggest mammographic density measures are associated with all ‘intrinsic’ molecular subtypes. However, NDA may be more strongly inversely associated with HER2-expressing than other subtypes. Understanding the importance of density measures for BC subtypes has significance for subtype-specific risk models. Citation Format: Aaron D. Norman, Rulla M. Tamimi, Christopher G. Scott, Kimberly A. Bertrand, Matthew R. Jensen, Daniel W. Visscher, Fergus J. Couch, John Shepherd, Bo Fan, Yunn-Yi Chen, Lin Ma, Andrew Beck, Vernon S. Pankratz, Karla Kerlikowske, Celine M. Vachon. Association of mammographic density measures and breast cancer ‘intrinsic’ molecular subtypes. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 107th Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research; 2016 Apr 16-20; New Orleans, LA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2016;76(14 Suppl):Abstract nr 2593.

BACKGROUNDWomen with atypical hyperplasia (AH) on breast biopsy have a substantially increased risk of breast cancer (BC). Here the BC risk for the extent and subtype of AH is reported for 2 separate cohorts.METHODSAll samples containing AH were included from 2 cohorts of women with benign breast disease (Mayo Clinic and Nashville). Histology review quantified the number of foci of atypical ductal hyperplasia (ADH) and atypical lobular hyperplasia (ALH). The BC risk was stratified for the number of AH foci within AH subtypes.RESULTSThe study included 708 Mayo AH subjects and 466 Nashville AH subjects. In the Mayo cohort, an increasing number of foci of AH was associated with a significant increase in the risk of BC both for ADH (relative risks of 2.61, 5.21, and 6.36 for 1, 2, and ≥3 foci, respectively; P for linear trend = .006) and for ALH (relative risks of 2.56, 3.50, and 6.79 for 1, 2, and ≥3 foci, respectively; P for linear trend = .001). In the Nashville cohort, the relative risks of BC for ADH were 2.70, 5.17, and 15.06 for 1, 2, and ≥3 foci, respectively (P for linear trend < .001); for ALH, the relative risks also increased but not significantly (2.61, 3.48, and 4.02, respectively; P = .148). When the Mayo and Nashville samples were combined, the risk increased significantly for 1, 2, and ≥3 foci: the relative risks were 2.65, 5.19, and 8.94, respectively, for ADH (P < .001) and 2.58, 3.49, and 4.97, respectively, for ALH (P = .001).CONCLUSIONSIn 2 independent cohort studies of benign breast disease, the extent of atypia stratified the long‐term BC risk for ADH and ALH. Cancer 2016;122:2971‐2978. © 2016 American Cancer Society.