Pederson, Levi

Abstract Patients with multiple myeloma have an elevated risk of severe complications from severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2; COVID-19) infection. To demonstrate proof of concept for a pandemic preparedness and response network, the American Society of Hematology Research Collaborative Multiple Myeloma Program developed a prospective, decentralized study within a site-based provider network. In the COVID-19 outcomes in myeloma and the impact of vaccines (COSMIC) study, patients provided consent, permitted electronic health record data collection, completed patient-reported outcomes at baseline, day 30, and day 180 through an electronic study portal, and were compensated for participation. Clinicians at participating sites facilitated study recruitment and shared best practices monthly to accelerate study execution. The COSMIC study rapidly consented 201 patients from 8 participating sites over 4 months (22 January 2024 through 17 May 2024). Consented participants were 30 to 93 years old, with a median age of 67; 46% were female, 69% were non-Hispanic White, 17% were non-Hispanic Black, and 8% were Hispanic/Latino. Patient-reported data completion was 97% at baseline, 81% at 1 month, and 79% at 6 months. At baseline, 55% of patients reported a history of COVID-19 infection and had received a median of 4 SARS-CoV-2 vaccines. For all patients, there were an additional 18 COVID-19 infections and 57 vaccines received during the 6-month observation period. There were no significant differences in health-related quality of life over time or by history of COVID-19 infection. COSMIC demonstrates the feasibility of an innovative evidence generation strategy to drive rapid accrual of patients to address an evolving area of need. This trial was registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as #NCT05831787.

163 Background: Being physically inactive is an independent predictor of poor outcomes in patients with stage III colon cancer. Whether physical activity can mitigate the oncologic risk of postoperative MRD is unknown. Methods: We concluded a post hoc analysis of a phase III trial evaluating celecoxib vs. placebo and 3 vs. 6 months of adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with resected stage III colon cancer. Self-reported physical activity was assessed in standardized measures of metabolic equivalent hours per week (MET-h/wk) at 2 timepoints: 1) midway through and 2) 6 months after completing adjuvant chemotherapy, modeled as a time-weighted average. MRD was determined via a clinically validated, tumor-informed circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) assay (Signatera, Natera, Inc.). Disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were estimated using flexible parametric survival models. Results: Among 763 patients (median follow-up 6.0 years), 24% were highly active (≥18 MET-h/wk) and 32% were inactive (<3 MET-h/wk); 18% were ctDNA positive. Adjusting for covariates, DFS improved in patients who were ctDNA negative and moderately active (Ref: inactive; 3-17.9 MET-h/wk; HR=0.62, 95% CI [0.40-0.97]) or highly active (HR = 0.53 [0.30-0.94]). No benefit was seen among patients who were ctDNA positive (Ref: inactive; moderately active: HR = 1.20 [0.75-1.92]; highly active: HR=0.83 [0.45-1.54]). The interaction was not significant (Pint=0.269). Physical activity did not impact OS regardless of ctDNA status. The interaction of physical activity and adjuvant celecoxib use is shown in Table. Conclusions: Among patients who were ctDNA negative, physical activity was associated with improved DFS, and may demonstrate increased survival benefit alongside adjuvant celecoxib. The additive effects of both interventions were inconclusive among those who were ctDNA positive. Support: U10CA180821, U10CA180882, U24CA196171; https://acknowledgments.alliancefound.org; Natera, Pfizer; NCT01150045. Disease-free survival by physical activity level and celecoxib use, stratified by ctDNA status. 3-yr event # at risk Adjusted HR (95% CI) P-value Pint ctDNA Negative 0.258 Inactive + placebo 23 182 Ref Active + placebo 17 132 0.74 (0.43-1.28) 0.283 Inactive + celecoxib 23 167 0.92 (0.57-1.48) 0.720 Active + celecoxib 10 146 0.40 (0.22-0.79) 0.007 ctDNA Positive 0.221 Inactive + placebo 26 33 Ref Active + placebo 15 20 0.96 (0.50-1.84) 0.903 Inactive + celecoxib 34 54 0.62 (0.37-1.05) 0.076 Active + celecoxib 14 29 0.34 (0.18-0.64) 0.001 ctDNA, circulating tumor DNA; HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval. Active = ≥9 MET-h/week, inactive = <9 MET-h/week. Celecoxib use defined by assignment in CALGB/SWOG 80702. Models adjusted by T and N stage, age, sex, race, assigned cycles of fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin, KRAS and BRAF status, BMI, and Western diet.

Abstract Combination therapy incorporating programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) blockade results in unprecedented response rates in both frontline and relapsed/refractory (R/R) classical Hodgkin lymphoma (cHL). Previous retrospective studies have suggested benefit for PD-1 blockade before autologous stem cell transplant (ASCT) but included few patients receiving PD-1 blockade with cytotoxic chemotherapy. To explore the impact of anti–PD-1 based salvage on outcomes for patients with R/R cHL, we retrospectively reviewed 1280 patients with R/R cHL who underwent ASCT from 2010 to 2022 at 6 transplant centers, none of whom received PD-1 blockade as part of frontline therapy. Overall, 25% received a PD-1 inhibitor at any point before ASCT (10% in conjunction with chemotherapy), 28% received salvage brentuximab vedotin (BV) without PD-1 blockade, and the rest received salvage chemotherapy alone. Patients who received PD-1 inhibitors at any point before ASCT had a significantly higher 2-year progression-free survival than those who received BV without PD-1 inhibitors or patients receiving chemotherapy alone (88.2%, 70.2%, and 67.4%, respectively; P&lt; .0001). When restricted to patients in complete response before ASCT, the benefit of PD-1 blockade remained significant. PD-1 blockade before ASCT is independently associated with superior post-ASCT outcomes and patients proceeding to ASCT should be treated with PD-1–based salvage.

Abstract Background: Treatment of multiple myeloma (MM) has advanced dramatically over the past decade with median overall survival (OS) for newly diagnosed MM patients (pts) now exceeding 10 years. However, outcomes in pts with high-risk disease remain poor. While most pts with high-risk disease are identified through baseline cytogenetic risk stratification, presence of extramedullary disease, or R-ISS stage, there is also a population of pts who may or may not have these traditional high-risk factors who relapse earlier than expected and have similarly poor outcomes. These pts are often delineated as “functional high-risk,” but a standardized definition of this population in the era of modern myeloma therapy is lacking. Methods: Using the ASH Research Collaborative (ASH RC) Data Hub, we retrospectively searched 7,249 pts across 10 participating institutions for those with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM) treated with a triplet or quadruplet induction regimen (with or without autologous stem cell transplant) who had response data available. We evaluated duration of response from first line therapy (PD1) on post-PD1 clinical outcomes such as: time to next treatment (TTNT), time to subsequent progression and/or death (PFS2), and OS. We also analyzed characteristics of those who did vs. did not progress at prespecified time points of interest (12-, 18-, 24-, and 36-months) from the start of induction. We utilized recursive partitioning analyses to iteratively explore all possible cutpoints and identify which one(s) provide the greatest differentiation in the risk of subsequent progression and/or death. Results: We identified 1,305 pts who met the eligibility criteria. Of these, 264 had PD1 data including 201 who had response follow-up (f/u) after PD1. Median f/u after PD1 in this population was 3.2 years, and median PFS2 f/u after PD1 (n=201) was 4.4 years. Months to PD1 was significantly associated with PFS2 (p=0.038). All prespecified time points examined showed inferior PFS2 compared to those with PD1 &gt;36 mos, although each subgroup was not statistically significant, likely due to limited numbers in each group: PD1 &lt;12 mos HR=1.44 (n=43; 95% CI: 0.90 – 2.30; p=0.126), PD1 12-24 mos HR=1.65 (n=30; 95% CI: 0.95 – 2.85; p=0.073), and PD1 24-36 mos HR=1.58 (n=52; 95% CI: 0.98 – 2.53; p=0.059). Similarly, timing of PD1 was also associated with OS post-PD1; pts with PD1 &lt;12 mos had significantly lower OS compared to those with PD1 &gt;36 mos (HR=2.35, 95% CI: 1.27 – 4.32; p=0.006). Our recursive partitioning analysis identified 30-months at the cutoff that produced the greatest differential in outcomes between those above vs. below the landmark. Approximately 23% of the pts analyzed had PD1 within 30 mos, and these pts had significantly lower OS compared to those with PD1 ≥30 mos (HR=1.99, 95% CI: 1.21 – 3.27; p=0.006). Similarly, pts who progressed within 30 mos of starting 1L therapy (n=98) had significantly shorter PFS2 (median=12.5 mos vs 22.8 mos; HR=1.55, 95% CI: 1.09 – 2.20; p=0.014) than those who did not (n=103). Those pts who progressed within 30 mos were more likely to have a higher R-ISS stage at diagnosis (p=0.048), but were not more likely to have high-risk cytogenetics (p=0.66) compared to pts with PD1 ≥30 mos. Interestingly, receiving SCT as part of 1L therapy was not significantly associated with improved PFS2 (HR=0.89, 95% CI: 0.62 – 1.29; 0.54) but was significantly associated with improved OS (HR=0.53, 95% CI: 0.31 – 0.90; 0.018) by univariate analysis. Conclusion: Our study is the first to use a large, multicenter, cohort to evaluate the definition of functional high-risk MM in the era of novel induction therapies. Our data suggest that pts who progress within 30 mos of induction on triplet or quadruplet regimens (irrespective of whether they underwent stem cell transplant) have poorer outcomes than those who progress at 30 mos or later, and that progression prior to 30 mos represents functional high-risk disease. These pts represent a clear unmet medical need, and additional focus should be taken to identify them early with the goal of designing trials to optimize their subsequent therapies.

Abstract Introduction: While the incidence of multiple myeloma (MM) is 2-3 fold higher in Black compared to white individuals, the impact of racial differences on treatment outcomes remains unclear due to the confounding effect of socioeconomic barriers and disparities in access to effective therapies and clinical trials. In this study, we explored the relationship between race, social deprivation, and outcomes in newly diagnosed MM (NDMM) patients (pts) receiving modern therapies with triplet or quadruplet regimens. Methods: Pts with NDMM diagnosis, who received first line treatment between 2015-2025, and had data available on response and survival outcomes were identified through the ASH Research Collaborative MM Data Hub (a real-world database with pts across 11 U.S. institutions). Data on patient demographics (age, race, ethnicity, sex), disease risk status (ISS/R-ISS stage, FISH cytogenetics), treatment regimens (triplet vs quadruplet, anti CD38 monoclonal antibody-based vs not), and disparity measures were abstracted from electronic medical records. Race and ethnicity were self-reported by pts. Social Deprivation Index (SDI) score was calculated based on ZIP code, where higher scores reflect greater deprivation. Progression free survival (PFS) was defined as time from start of treatment until progression or death. Overall survival (OS) was defined as time from start of treatment until death from any cause. Kaplan-Meier methods were used to compare PFS and OS between groups, and cox regression models with log-rank tests were used to evaluate the influence of various factors on outcomes. Results: A total of 1,743 patients were identified; 1,116 (63.8%) identified as non-Hispanic White (NHW) and 402 (23.3%) as non-Hispanic Black (NHB) [note: 85 pts (4.9%) were Hispanic but not included due to limited numbers]. The median age (years) at the start of treatment (61.8 vs. 65.6) was lower for NHB compared to NHW pts (p&lt;0.001). The proportion of females was greater in NHBthan NHW pts(53.5% vs. 41.1%, p=0.0016). Median SDI scores were significantly higher for NHBcompared to NHW pts (68.4 vs. 39.4; respectively; p&lt;0.001), reflecting significantly higher rates of social deprivation. While NHB ptshad higher rates of advanced stage disease (ISS III 26.9% vs. 20.9%, p=0.009), lower rates of autologous stem cell transplant (ASCT) (56.7% vs. 63.6%, p=0.014), and longer median time from treatment initiation to ASCT (6.5 vs. 5.9 months, p=0.043), the rates of standard risk cytogenetics on FISH (72.3% vs. 77.6%), and utilization of CD38 monoclonal antibody-based regimen (29.9% vs. 27.7%) were similar between the two groups. Best response after treatment initiation was similar between the NHB and NHW pts (p=0.12) with complete response 45.7% vs. 52.6% and very good partial response 37.3% vs 34.7%; respectively. However, time to best response (months) was longer in NHB pts (7.2 vs. 6.5, p=0.005). Median follow-up for OS was 4.2 years (95% CI 3.9-4.4; 182 OS events) and for PFS was 1.3 years (95% CI: 1.1-1.6; 302 PFS events) across the two groups. Unadjusted PFS was similar for NHB vs NHW pts (HR=1.05, 95% CI: 0.81- 1.36; median: 5.0 vs 4.9 years; 3-year PFS: 66% vs. 71%). Similarly, unadjusted OS was not significantly different in NHB vs NHW pts (HR=1.12, 95% CI: 0.79-1.59; 5-year OS: 86.4% vs 85.6%). Higher SDI scores were significantly associated with worse OS (HR=1.07, 95% CI: 1.02-1.12; p=0.0065) but not PFS (HR=0.99, 95% CI: 0.95-1.02; p=0.46). Though not statistically significant, univariate analyses indicated a greater impact of high SDI scores (≥70, 75th percentile across all pts) in NHW (HR=1.45, p=0.068) than in NHB pts (HR=0.78, p=0.35) for OS. Adjusting for age, sex, ISS stage, and SDI, NHB did not appear to have worse OS (HR=0.75, 95% CI: 0.35-1.60; p=0.46) or PFS (HR=1.23, 95% CI: 0.78-1.96; p=0.37) compared to NHW pts. Conclusions: Our study represents a diverse population enriched for pts who received modern day standard of care frontline therapies including triplet and quadruplet regimens with or without ASCT. Based on SDI scores, higher social deprivation levels were seen in NHB compared to NHW pts without a difference in outcomes between the two races. Our analysis supports that higher social deprivation among different races rather than race and ethnicity alone may drive differential outcomes and adjustment for factors like SDI is critical to interpretation of survival outcomes by race.

Importance Observational studies have associated use of aspirin and selective cyclooxygenase inhibitors with decreased recurrence and improved survival in patients with colon cancer. While randomized clinical trials have not shown benefit across all patients, these findings suggest that select subgroups may benefit from their use. Despite the well-established prognostic value of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA), its role in guiding treatment remains unclear. Objective To investigate the predictive value of postoperative ctDNA for survival outcomes with adjuvant celecoxib alongside conventional chemotherapy in patients with stage III colon cancer. Design, Setting, and Participants This was a post hoc analysis of the phase 3 Cancer and Leukemia Group B (now Alliance)/Southwest Oncology Group 80702 randomized clinical trial (2010-2015) assessing adjuvant celecoxib vs placebo and 3 vs 6 months of adjuvant 5-fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin for stage III colon cancer. Patients consented to biospecimen collection and had ctDNA analysis performed. Data analysis was performed from September 2024 to June 2025. Exposures Postoperative ctDNA positivity was determined using a clinically validated, tumor-informed 16-plex-polymerase chain reaction-next-generation sequencing assay (Signatera; Natera Inc) performed between surgery and initiation of adjuvant therapy. Main Outcomes and Measures Disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). Survival by ctDNA status and adjuvant celecoxib use were assessed as part of a post hoc companion study with prespecified statistical analysis plan. Results Among 940 patients (mean [SD] age, 60.9 [10.8] years; 426 female [45.3%] and 515 male [54.7%] individuals; 222 [23.6%] with prior low-dose aspirin use; and median follow-up of 6.0 [95% CI, 6.0-6.0] years), 767 (81.6%) were ctDNA negative and 173 (18.4%) were ctDNA positive. ctDNA positivity was highly prognostic of worse DFS (reference, ctDNA negativity; adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 6.12; 95% CI, 4.66-8.03) and OS (aHR, 5.86; 95% CI, 4.19-8.19). In patients with ctDNA positivity, celecoxib was associated with improved DFS (aHR, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.42-0.89) and OS (aHR, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.40-0.96) compared to placebo. Among patients with ctDNA negativity, celecoxib did not provide survival benefit (DFS: aHR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.53-1.09; OS: aHR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.54-1.36), although the interaction was not significant ( P for interaction, .41 and .33 for DFS and OS, respectively). These findings persisted when stratifying patients by microsatellite instability status and PIK3CA mutational status. Conclusion and Relevance The findings of this post hoc analysis suggest that ctDNA status has the potential to inform clinical decision-making among patients with stage III colon cancer who should consider adjuvant celecoxib in addition to conventional chemotherapy. Trial Registration ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01150045

Importance The definition of cure in stage II to III colon cancer (CC) remains unclear due to limitations in conventional end points, which include deaths and second primary tumors as events. These can complicate communication with patients regarding long-term outcomes. Objective To distinguish relapses from competing health-related events to classify long-term outcomes years after surgery and explore when the incidence of true relapses of the initial CC approaches 0% to define cure in this disease. Design, Setting, and Participants This pooled analysis of individual patient–level data from 15 phase 3 randomized clinical trials assessed time to CC-related relapse using Kaplan-Meier and Aalen-Johansen methods, with death and second primary tumors treated as competing risks. Cox regression models evaluated prognostic associations, stratified by sex, stage, and tumor. Patients with stage II to III CC who underwent adjuvant chemotherapy were included. All patients had undergone radical surgery for CC and received adjuvant chemotherapy with a median follow-up of at least 6 years. The Adjuvant Colon Cancer Endpoints (ACCENT) and the International Duration Evaluation of Adjuvant Chemotherapy (IDEA) databases included adjuvant studies conducted between 1996 and 2015. Data were analyzed from February 2022 to June 2025. Exposures Adjuvant chemotherapy regimens varied across trials, including fluoropyrimidines alone or in combination with oxaliplatin or biologic agents. Main Outcomes and Measures The primary outcome was time to CC-related recurrence. The predefined threshold for cure was a recurrence risk below 0.5%. Results Of 35 213 included patients, 19 346 (54.9%) were male, and the mean (SD) age was 60.2 (10.8) years. The incidence rate of recurrence peaked at 6.4% (1993 of 31 373) between month 6 and month 12 and decreased continuously until year 10 of follow-up never exceeding 0.5%. Recurrence rate appeared to increase again after year 10 and peaked at 2.0% during year 12.5 to year 13, a pattern observed exclusively in the MOSAIC trial. Competing-event analysis revealed that death and second primary tumors inflated the apparent recurrence rate, especially for older patients. The overall cumulative incidence of relapse with death as competing risk was lower among female patients (hazard ratio, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.45-0.76; P &amp;lt; .001). Conclusions and Relevance In this pooled analysis of phase 3 randomized clinical trials, a recurrence rate less than 0.5% occurred after 6 years from surgery, supporting a practical definition of cure. Recognizing this milestone may improve patient communication, guide follow-up duration, and reduce unnecessary long-term surveillance.

3520 Background: Recent analyses highlight nonhierarchical outcomes using the 8 th Edition AJCC staging system for CC. For instance, the 5-year survival rate for stages I and IIIa patients (pts) closely align. Additionally, tumor deposits (TDs) have been established as significant prognostic indicators. The AJCCCCEP commissioned this study to develop an updated pathological staging system for CC focused specifically on pts without distant metastasis (M0), while retaining the existing stage IV classification. Methods: Individual patient data (IPD) from pts diagnosed with cc (2010- 2017) in the NCDB were divided into training (70%) and internal validation (30%) datasets. External validation used IPD from clinical trials. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS). Risk classification development for M0 pts incorporated ungrouped data on pathologic T categories, the number of involved regional lymph nodes (LN+), and TD counts. Recursive partitioning and regression tree analyses were applied to construct hierarchical staging levels. Pre-specified criteria required survival probabilities to be consecutive and show clear separations using Kaplan-Meier (KM) estimates with pairwise log-rank test P of < 0.005 for the training and < 0.05 for validation analyses. Results: Data from 281,997 pts (median age 67 years, 50% male, 81% white, 55% T3, 19% T4, 44% N+, 26% M+, and 11% with ≥1 TD) were analyzed, with a median follow-up of 7.3 years. The updated staging system (Table) met pre-specified criteria, with all observed pairwise P < 0.0001 in the development and internal validation sets. KM OS curves displayed a hierarchical separation across all sub-levels after the 1 st year of diagnosis. Consistent results were seen in pts treated with adjuvant chemotherapy in 4 trials (all pair-wise P < 0.0001). Conclusions: The proposed pathological staging system for M0 pts fulfills pre-specified criteria for hierarchical risk stratification, validated both internally and externally, and provides an evidence-based update. Pending review process, the AJCCCCEP will recommend that these changes be made to the Version 9 staging protocol for colon cancer to improve prognostication for CC pts. Stage T, # of LN+, # of TD M % of pts 1y OS (CI), % 3y OS (CI), % 5y OS (CI), % I T1, 0, 0 0 5 96 (95-97) 91 (90-92) 84 (83-86) IIa T2, 0, 0 0 10 95 (94-95) 88 (88-89) 80 (79-81) IIb T1, 0, 1+T1, 1+, 0T2, 0, 1+T2, 1-4, 0T3, 0, 0 0 27 93 (92-93) 84 (84-85) 75 (75-76) IIIa T1, 1+, 1+T2, 1-4, 1+T2, 5+, 0T3, 0, 1+T3, 1-4, 0 0 14 92 (91-92) 80 (80-81) 71 (70-72) IIIb T2, 5+, 1+T3, 1-4, 1+T3, 5+, 0T4a, 0-4, 0T4b, 0-2, 0 0 13 86 (86-87) 69 (68-70) 58 (57-59) IIIc T3, 5+, 1+T4a, 0-4, 1+T4a, 5+, anyT4b, 0-2, 1+T4b, 3+, any 0 5 78 (77-80) 53 (51-54) 40 (38-41) IVa Any 1a 19 59 (58-60) 28 (28-29) 17 (16-18) IVb Any 1b 7 43 (42-44) 14 (13-14) 6 (6-7) CI: 95% confidence internal; Peritoneum involvement data were not available before 2018 in NCDB. Thus, IVa/b were based on 7 th Edition.

ABSTRACT As the treatment paradigm for Waldenström macroglobulinemia (WM) continues to evolve, the debate surrounding the prioritization of depth of response versus disease control as therapeutic goals gains significant relevance. However, the impact of depth of response from fixed‐duration therapy on overall survival (OS) was unclear. This multicenter study evaluated the prognostic impact of depth of response using a landmark survival analysis. A total of 440 patients with WM treated with frontline fixed‐duration regimens were included. Attaining a major response (MaR) was associated with superior outcomes, including significantly longer OS. The estimated 5‐year PFS rates for patients with MaR at 6 months versus not were 50% versus 32%, respectively, p < 0.001, and the estimated 5‐year OS rates for patients with MaR at 6 months versus not were 89% versus 70%, respectively, p < 0.001. In a multivariable analysis, MaR at 6 months was independently associated with superior PFS (HR 0.66, p = 0.007) and OS (HR 0.28, p < 0.001). Similar results were seen when considering deeper responses (CR + VGPR vs. PR). Depth of response at 6 months is an important prognostic marker in WM and an independent predictor of PFS and OS. These results support its utilization as a suitable endpoint in clinical studies in WM.