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Arce, Kevin

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6806-5121

Mayo Clinic

Mayo Clinic

Citations 8

Predicting voided computerized physician order entry in oral and maxillofacial surgery inpatients: development and validation of machine learning model
Nathan, John , Arce, Kevin , Nathan, John M., Herasevich, Vitaly

No container title available | January 18, 2024 | Volume: No volume available | Issue: No issue available | Pages: No page available

10.21203/rs.3.rs-3868326/v1 Get It

Abstract Objective The aim of this study is to determine if supervised machine learning algorithms can accurately predict cancelled and self-intercepted computerized physician order entry in oral and maxillofacial surgery inpatients. Methods Data from Electronic Medical Record included patient demographics, comorbidities, procedures, vital signs, laboratory values, and medication orders were retrospectively collected. Predictor variables included patient demographics, comorbidities, procedures, vital signs, and laboratory values. Outcome of interest is if a medication order was voided or not. Data was cleaned and pro1cessed using Microsoft Excel and Python v3.12. Gradient Boosted Decision Trees, Random Forest, K-Nearest Neighbor, and Naïve Bayes were trained, validated, and tested for accuracy of the prediction of voided medication orders. Results 37,546 medication orders from 1,204 patient admissions over 5 years were used for this study included 3,892 (10.4%) medication orders that were voided. Gradient Boosted Decision Trees, Random Forest, K-Nearest Neighbor, and Naïve Bayes had an Area Under the Receiver Operating Curve of 0.802 802 with 95% CI [0.787, 0.825], 0.746 with 95% CI [0.722, 0.765], 0.685 with 95% CI [0.667, 0.699], and 0.505 with 95% CI [0.489, 0.539], respectively. Area Under the Precision Recall Curve was 0.684 with 95% CI [0.679, 0.702], 0.647 with 95% CI [0.638, 0.664], 0.429 with 95% CI [0.417, 0.434], and 0.551 with 95% CI [0.551, 0.552], respectively. Conclusion Gradient Boosted Decision Trees is the best model of the supervised machine learning algorithms with satisfactory performance in validation cohort for predicting voided Computerized Physician Order Entry in Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery inpatients.
Does Alcohol Use Influence Hospitalization Outcomes in Adults Suffering Craniomaxillofacial Fractures From Street Fighting?
Stanbouly, Dani , Stewart, Sara J., Arce, Kevin , Harris, Jack A.

Craniomaxillofacial Trauma & Reconstruction | June 2, 2023 | Volume: 17 | Issue: 2 | Pages: 132-142

10.1177/19433875231164705 Get It

Study Design This retrospective cohort study utilized the National Inpatient Sample (NIS) database for the years 2016–2018. Incidences of street fighting were identified using the corresponding ICD-10 codes. Objective To determine whether alcohol use (measured by blood alcohol content (BAC)) in patients sustaining maxillofacial trauma from hand-to-hand fighting influence hospitalization outcomes. Methods The primary predictor variable was BAC stratified into six categories of increasing magnitude. The primary outcome variable was mean length of hospital stay (days). The secondary outcome variable was total hospital charges (US dollars). Results Our final sample consisted of 3038 craniomaxillofacial fractures. Each additional year in age added +$545 in hospital charges ( P < .01). Non-elective admissions added $14 210 in hospital charges ( P < .05). Patients admitted in 2018 experienced approximately $7537 more in hospital charges ( P < .01). Le Fort fractures (+$61 921; P < .01), mandible fractures (+$13 227, P < .01), and skull base fractures (+$22 170; P < .05) were all independently associated with increased hospital charges. Skull base fractures added +7.6 days to the hospital stay ( P < .01) and each additional year in patient age added +.1 days to the length of the hospital stay ( P < .01). Conclusions BAC levels did not increase length of stay or hospitalization charges. Le Fort fractures, mandible fractures, and skull base fracture each independently increased hospital charges. This reflects the necessary care (ie, ICU) and treatment (ie, ORIF) of such fractures. Older adults and elderly patients are associated with increased length of stay and hospital charges—they are likely to struggle in navigating the healthcare system and face socioeconomic barriers to discharge.
Motorcycle Accidents are the Strongest Risk Factor for Panfacial Fractures Among Pediatric Patients
Stanbouly, Dani , Koh, Dylan, Goudarzi, Fereshteh , Arce, Kevin , Chuang, Sung‐Kiang, Halsey, Jordan N. , Selvi, Fırat

Craniomaxillofacial Trauma & Reconstruction | August 3, 2022 | Volume: 16 | Issue: 4 | Pages: 258-267

10.1177/19433875221116961 Get It

Study Design A retrospective cohort study was conducted using the Kids’ Inpatient Database from 2000 to 2014. Subjects were included if they were 18 years and younger and suffered any type of facial fracture. Objective The purpose this study was to determine the risk factors for incurring panfacial fractures among the pediatric population. Methods The primary predictor variables were a set of heterogenous variables that included patient characteristics, injury characteristics, hospitalization outcomes. The primary outcome variable was panfacial fracture. Logistic regression was used to determine the independent risk factors for panfacial fractures. Results Relative to infants and toddlers, teenagers were nearly three times more likely to sustain panfacial fractures ( P < .01). Relative to no chronic conditions, patients with one or more chronic conditions were more likely to incur panfacial fractures. Motorcycle accidents were over three times more likely ( P < .01) to result in panfacial fractures while car accidents were over two times more likely ( P < .01) to result in panfacial fractures. Falls were less likely (OR, .39; P < .01) to result in panfacial fractures. Conclusions Motor vehicle accidents was a major risk factor for panfacial fractures. Teenagers are also found to have an increased risk for panfacial fractures relative to infants and toddlers. Each additional chronic condition was a significant risk factor for suffering panfacial fractures relative to not having any chronic condition at all. In contrast, falls independently decreased the risk of incurring a panfacial fractures. Special attention should be given to safety precautions when occupying a motor vehicle.
Risk factors for increased length of hospital stay among young pediatric patients who suffer facial fractures
Stanbouly, Dani , Kocaelli, Hümeyra , Arce, Kevin , Selvi, Fırat

Dental Traumatology | July 25, 2022 | Volume: 38 | Issue: 6 | Pages: 457-465

10.1111/edt.12776 Get It

AbstractBackground/AimIt is not known whether the mechanism of facial trauma influences the associated length of hospitalization. The aim of this study was to determine whether the mechanism of injury influenced the length of hospital stay (LOS) among pediatric patients who sustained facial fractures.Materials and methodsThis retrospective cohort study was completed using the Kids' Inpatient Database (KID). The primary predictor variable was the mechanism of injury. The primary outcome variable was LOS. Linear regression was used to determine independent predictors of increased/decreased length of stay. A p‐value of less than .05 was considered statistically significant.ResultsThe final sample consisted of 2865 subjects aged 12 years or younger who had suffered facial fractures. The most common mechanism of injury was motor vehicle accidents (MVA) (58.6%). Facial fractures due to MVA added 1.20 days (95% CI, 0.02, 2.38; p < .05) when compared to those due to a fall.ConclusionsMVA significantly prolonged the LOS among young pediatric patients who sustained facial fractures, reflecting the exceptional amount of force involved. Having a chronic condition was also a significant factor for longer LOS. Four or more fractures also led to a longer LOS.
Teledentistry in the management of a non‐Hodgkin's lymphoma manifesting as a gingival swelling: A case report
Zhou, Miao Xian , Johnson, Emma F. , Arce, Kevin , Gruwell, Scott F., Zhou, Miao Xian

Special Care in Dentistry | July 30, 2021 | Volume: 42 | Issue: 1 | Pages: 86-90

10.1111/scd.12638 Get It

AbstractOral cavity lymphomas constitute only 3% of all lymphomas in the general population but are the third most common oral malignancy. A 67‐year‐old female with a history of osteoporosis, Graves’ disease and non‐Hodgkin's lymphoma was referred to the Department of Dental Specialties with a chief complaint of persistent soft tissue swelling facial to the maxillary incisors of possible non‐odontogenic origin. To expedite care, the patient was first seen via teledentistry and subsequently appointed for an in‐person evaluation and treatment. Examination revealed 1–3 mm probing depths and a firm, non‐tender, non‐fluctuant mass in the facial soft tissues approximating teeth nos. 7–10. Biopsy of the affected area was performed. A diagnosis of recurrent follicle center cell lymphoma, a form of non‐Hodgkin's lymphoma, was rendered. The patient was subsequently referred to the Oncology and Hematology team, followed for 6 weeks and remained symptom‐free. This case underlies the importance of teledentistry to expedite care and manage patient expectations. Additionally, it also underscores the importance of microscopic examination of tissue samples from oral lesions that appear non‐odontogenic in nature and reinforces the role of dentistry in uncovering the oral‐systemic link.
The Medial Femoral Condyle Free Flap for Reconstruction of Recalcitrant Defects in the Head and Neck
Singh, Kuldeep , Huang, Tony Chieh‐Ting , Meaike, Jesse D. , Mills, Andrew , Nathan, John , Lettieri, Salvatore C. , Arce, Kevin , Moran, Steven L. , Nathan, John M, Nathan, John M.

Annals of Plastic Surgery | February 25, 2021 | Volume: 87 | Issue: 3 | Pages: 291-297

10.1097/sap.0000000000002736 Get It

Background Small recalcitrant defects of the mandible and maxilla may be secondary to tumor, trauma, infection, and congenital origin. Vascularized bone grafting has been shown to effectively manage these defects; however, donor sites are limited. The vascularized medial femoral condyle (MFC) provides adequate cortical cancellous bone with the option of a skin island, consistent anatomy, and minimal donor site morbidity. This article outlines the use of the MFC flap for maxillomandibular reconstruction. Methods A retrospective chart review of patients who required segmental maxillomandibular reconstruction with the MFC flap was conducted. A total of 9 patients (5 men and 5 women) with an average age of 45.3 years were identified. The etiology of the defects, flap sizes, and postoperative outcomes were recorded. Results Three patients had osteoradionecrosis of the neomandible after irradiation of the free fibula reconstruction, 3 patients had defects after cancer extirpation (1 mandible, 2 maxillary), 1 patient had a maxillary defect from trauma, and 2 patients had a residual cleft palate defect. All defects failed initial treatment with nonvascularized bone grafts. The average dimensions of the MFC flaps were 1.2 × 2.5 × 4 cm. Two of 9 flaps included a skin island. Eight flaps survived completely, but 1 patient suffered from flap failure requiring debridement and resulted in an oroantral fistula. Four patients received endosseous dental implants. Average time to union was 6.7 months, and average time to implant was 6.75 months. The average follow-up time was 24.9 months. Conclusions The MFC flap is useful in the reconstruction of small segmental maxillomandibular defects and for the salvage of a neomandible after osteoradionecrosis. The MFC flap provides a reliable platform for endosseous dental implants and serves as an alternative source of vascularized bone reconstruction in the head and neck.
Higher perioperative fluid administration is associated with increased rates of complications following head and neck microvascular reconstruction with fibular free flaps
Ettinger, Kyle S. , Arce, Kevin , Lohse, Christine M. , Peck, Brandon W., Reiland, Matthew D., Bezak, Brett, Moore, Eric J. , Bezak, Brett J

Microsurgery | April 21, 2016 | Volume: 37 | Issue: 2 | Pages: 128-136

10.1002/micr.30061 Get It

PurposeThe purpose of this study is to evaluate the impact of perioperative fluid administration on the rates of postoperative complications following head and neck reconstruction with fibular free flaps (FFF).MethodsA retrospective cohort study of subjects undergoing head and neck reconstruction with FFF was completed. The primary predictor variable was the total volume of perioperative fluids administered on the day of surgery. The primary outcome variable was the presence of medical and surgical complications occurring within 30 days of surgery. Medical and surgical complications were stratified as major or minor based on severity level. Basic demographic information, comorbidity indices, and intraoperative parameters were abstracted as covariates. Univariable and multivariable models were developed to assess for associations between total fluid volume administered on the day of surgery and postoperative medical/surgical complications occurring within 30 days of surgery.ResultsIn 154 subjects, the partial flap failure rate was 3% and there were no complete flap failures. Total fluid volume was significantly associated with the presence of postoperative medical/surgical complications (OR = 1.21; 95% CI: 1.02–1.44; p = 0.032). A cutpoint for total fluid volume predicting any severity level of postoperative complication was identified at 5,500 mL. A cutpoint for total fluid volume predicting major postoperative complications was identified at 7,000 mL.ConclusionsThe results of this study suggest that liberal fluid administration is associated with increased rates of medical/surgical complications following head and neck reconstruction with FFF. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Microsurgery 37:128–136, 2017.
Evaluation of Clinical Outcomes of Osseointegrated Dental Implantation of Fibula Free Flaps for Mandibular Reconstruction
Jackson, Ryan S. , Arce, Kevin , Moore, Eric J. , Price, Daniel L.

JAMA Facial Plastic Surgery | February 11, 2016 | Volume: 18 | Issue: 3 | Pages: 201-206

10.1001/jamafacial.2015.2271 Get It