Noseworthy, Peter

Background: Contemporary data on trends in survival after incident atrial fibrillation (AF) are limited. Methods: Residents of a 27-county area in southern Minnesota and western Wisconsin with new-onset atrial fibrillation or atrial flutter between 2013 and 2023 were identified. An electronic algorithm requiring 1 inpatient code or 2 outpatient codes separated by >7 days but within 1 year was used to define AF. Patients were followed for all-cause mortality through March 31, 2025. Standardized mortality ratios of observed versus expected survival were calculated, and time trends in survival were examined using Cox regression adjusting for demographics, cardiovascular risk factors, comorbid conditions, and area-level measures of socioeconomic status and rurality. Results: There were 44,930 individuals identified with incident AF from 2013-2023 (56.4% male; mean (SD) age 72.8 (13.5) years; 95.8% were non-Hispanic white). Within the first 90 days, the risk of all-cause mortality was greatly elevated compared with individuals of a similar age and sex distribution in the general population (standardized mortality ratios 12.6, 95% CI, 12.1-13.0 and 3.8, 95% CI, 3.6-4.0 for the first 30 days and 31 to 90 days after diagnosis, respectively). This excess risk was observed for all age groups but was greatest in the youngest age group (standardized mortality ratios among 18-64 year olds for the first 30 days: 49.9, 95% CI, 44.6-55.7 and 31 to 90 days: 11.1, 95% CI: 9.4-13.1; Figure ). In the youngest age group, the excess risk persists through 5 years post AF, however, in the oldest age group the excess risk only persisted through 1 year. Survival within the first 90 days improved over the study period (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.88; 95% CI, 0.79-0.99 for 2023 vs 2013); likewise, among 90-day survivors, survival improved between 2013 and 2023 (aHR,0.82; 95% CI, 0.76-0.88). These trends were driven by improvements in the younger age groups, particularly for death among 90-day survivors (aHR for 18-64 years, 0.66, 95% CI, 0.52-0.83; 65-74 years: 0.77, 95% CI: 0.65-0.90; 75-84 years, 0.84, 95% CI: 0.75-0.95; 85+ years, 0.99, 95% CI: 0.98-1.01). Conclusion: In a Midwestern community, the excess risk of death is high within the first 90 days after incident AF. Furthermore, survival after AF has improved between 2013 and 2023, with the improvement greatest in younger age groups.

ABSTRACTPrior studies have highlighted disparities in cardiac lifesaving procedure utilization, particularly among women and in minorities. Although there has been a significant increase in implantable cardioverter‐defibrillator (ICD) insertion, socioeconomic disparities still exist in the trend of ICD utilization. With the use of the Nationwide Inpatient Sample from 2003 through 2011, we identified subjects with ICD insertion (procedure code 37.94) and cardiac resynchronization defibrillator (procedure code 00.50, 00.51) as codified by the International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification. Overall, 1 020 076 ICDs were implanted in the United States from 2003 to 2011. We observed an initial increase in ICD utilization by 51%, from 95 062 in 2003 to 143 262 in 2006, followed by a more recent decline. The majority of ICDs were implanted in men age ≥65 years. Implantation of ICDs was 2.5× more common in men than in women (402 per million vs 163 per million). Approximately 95% of the ICDs were implanted in insured patients, and 5% were used in the uninsured population. There has been a significant increase in ICD implantation in blacks, from 162 per million in 2003 to 291 per million in 2011. We found a significant difference in the volume of ICD implants between the insured and the uninsured patient populations. Racial disparities have narrowed significantly in comparison with those noted in earlier studies and are now more reflective of the population demographics at large. On the other hand, significant gender disparities continue to exist.