McGhan, Lee J.

Excisional biopsy has been recommended for papillary lesions diagnosed on core needle biopsy (CNB) because a significant proportion of cases are upstaged to in situ/invasive cancer after surgical excision. The study goals were to identify patients at lowest risk of upstaging in whom excisional biopsy may potentially be avoided. We retrospectively evaluated 46 patients with a papillary lesion on CNB. Six patients were upstaged overall (13%), to intraductal papillary carcinoma (7%), invasive papillary carcinoma (4%), and mixed invasive ductal/lobular carcinoma (2%). The upstaging rate for patients with atypia on CNB was higher than for patients without atypia (33 vs 3%, P = 0.011). No patient younger than 65 years was upstaged to in situ or invasive carcinoma, and the mean lesion size was also higher among patients who were upstaged ( P > 0.05). Patients younger than 65 years with small papillary lesions lacking atypia on CNB may therefore represent a low-risk group that may be offered close clinical and radiologic follow-up.

13 Background: A Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC) nomogram predicts disease−specific survival (DSS) following R0 resection for gastric adenocarcinoma using patient and tumor factors, with predictive ability superior to that of the current AJCC staging system. However, validation has only been performed in high−volume, specialized institutions. The goal of this study is to compare nomogram-predicted survival with actual survival by using a population database with the largest sample size reported to date. Methods: A retrospective review of all gastric cancer patients from Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) registry data from 1988 to 2000 was conducted. Data for patient age, tumor size, gender, primary location of tumor, Lauren histology, depth of tumor invasion, and % (+) and (-) lymph nodes was entered into the nomogram calculator for each patient. Nomogram-derived 5−year DSS was compared with actual DSS survival using Cox proportional hazards regression and Kaplan-Meier estimates. Results: 4,700 patients were identified. Mean patient age was 68.7 years (SD 12.3), and mean tumor size was 4.8 cm (SD 2.7). The commonest tumor location was the body/middle third of stomach (1519, 32%), followed by the gastro−esophageal junction (1381, 29%) and the antrum (1376, 29%). The majority of patients (76%) had intestinal histology. The estimated proportion of patients surviving 5 years was 23%, 48%, 58%, and 82% for survival groups defined by nomogram likelihoods of 5−year DSS of 0−25%, 26−50%, 51−75%, and 76−100%, respectively. Relative to patients in the 76−100% 5−year nomogram group, patients in the 0−25%, 26−50%, and 51−75% group had significantly higher likelihood of death with hazard ratios of 7.0 (95% CI 6.1−8.0), 3.3 (95% CI 2.8−4.0), and 2.6 (95% CI 2.2−3.0), respectively (all p<0.001). Median follow-up was 9.1 years (range, 0−18). The concordance index (c−index) for the 5−year nomogram score was 0.68 (95% CI 0.67−0.69). Conclusions: There is good discrimination of survival between nomogram-predicted survival groups. Our results validate the use of the MSKCC nomogram in the setting of the general population, outside of specialized institutions, for predicting DSS following resection of gastric adenocarcinoma.

96 Background: In the last decade there has been an increase in the incidence of contralateral prophylactic mastectomy (CPM) for unilateral breast cancer. Although many factors have been proposed to explain this trend, the impact of breast reconstruction on the decision to undergo CPM has not been extensively studied. Methods: A retrospective review of breast cancer patients from Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) registry data (2004-2008) was conducted. Characteristics of patients undergoing CPM were evaluated. Results: 71,176 patients with a diagnosis of stage I-III infiltrating ductal or lobular breast cancer underwent mastectomy for their primary lesion. Among these, 10,558 patients (15%) underwent a CPM. A significantly higher proportion of women undergoing CPM had reconstruction performed (44%) than those patients not undergoing CPM (13%), p<0.001. On multivariate analysis (Table), significant variables predicting CPM included age <50 years (OR 10.12), breast reconstruction (OR 3.58), and lobular histology (OR 1.41), all p<0.001. Of the 12,466 patients (18%) who underwent reconstruction, 4,636 (37%) had implant reconstruction, 4,498 (36%) had tissue reconstruction, and 1,122 (9%) had combined tissue/implant reconstruction (no data for 18%). On multivariate analysis, predictors of reconstruction included age <50 years (OR 20.5; CI 18.5-22.7), year of surgery (2008 vs. 2004; OR 1.60; CI 1.49-1.71), low tumor grade (OR 1.19; CI 1.13-1.25) and ER+ status (OR 1.16; 95% CI 1.10-1.23). The use of radiation therapy was associated with a lower likelihood of pursuing reconstruction (OR 0.61; CI 0.58-0.65). Conclusions: Apart from age, the factor most strongly associated with CPM is the decision to have reconstructive surgery performed. This suggests that CPM may not be purely associated with risk-reduction but also with treatment factors such as cosmesis. [Table: see text]

BackgroundA Memorial Sloan Kettering (MSKCC) nomogram predicts disease specific survival (DSS) for gastric adenocarcinoma. The goal of this study is to use a cancer registry to compare nomogram predicted survival with actual survival in the general population.MethodsAll patients undergoing surgery for gastric adenocarcinoma from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (1988–2012) were studied.Results6954 patients were identified. Majority of cancers were in the antrum (30.2%), and had intestinal histology (73.7%). Median follow‐up was 8.2 years. Five year DSS for nomogram risk groups (0–25%, 26–50%, 51–75%, and 76–100%) was 23%, 48%, 57%, and 81% respectively. Actual DSS was 7–15% lower than nomogram predicted DSS. Relative to patients in the 76–100% 5‐year DSS risk group, patients in the 0–25%, 26–50%, and 51–75% groups had significantly higher risks of death with hazard ratios of 6.84 (95%CI 6.12–7.65), 3.30 (95%CI 2.83–3.86), and 2.64 (95%CI 2.30–3.03), respectively (all P < 0.001). The concordance index for 5‐year nomogram predicted DSS was 0.68 (95%CI 0.67–0.69).ConclusionsThe MSKCC gastric cancer nomogram over‐estimates DSS from gastric cancer in the general population and has a moderate concordance index. Predictive tools generated at specialized institutions may not perform as well in the general population. J. Surg. Oncol. 2015; 112:377–380. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.