Ogah, Okechukwu S.

Abstract Background and Aims Clinical models incompletely capture the molecular pathways driving heart failure (HF) progression. This study evaluated whether molecular risk stratification provides incremental prognostic information beyond established clinical predictors in patients with HF. Methods A total of 2432 patients from the Global Congestive Heart Failure (G-CHF) registry with available genotyping, DNA methylation, and proteomic profiling were analysed. Three molecular scores were assessed: a composite cardiovascular polygenic risk score (PRS) from DNA sequence polymorphisms, a methylation risk score (MRS) derived from epigenome-wide associations, and a 23-protein-based score (ProteomicDeath23). Each score was tested individually and in combination with the clinical Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure (MAGGIC) risk score and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels for mortality prediction. Validation was performed in an HF subset of the UK Biobank (UKB). Results Over a median follow-up of 3.0 years in G-CHF, 523 patients died from any cause (7.64 per 100 person-years [PY]). In multivariable analyses, ProteomicDeath23 was the strongest independent predictor of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] per 1 standard deviation, 2.23), outperforming NT-proBNP (HR 2.00), MRSMortality (HR 1.66), PRSmetaCVD (HR 1.10), and the MAGGIC score (HR 1.70). A model combining ProteomicDeath23 with MAGGIC and NT-proBNP achieved the highest discrimination for mortality (C-index, 0.77). Addition of MRSMortality to this proteomic-clinical model resulted in only small improvements in discrimination (ΔC-index, +0.004, P = .0039), while the PRSmetaCVD provided no incremental benefit. Among patients with low NT-proBNP/MAGGIC score, mortality rates increased from 1.71 to 8.12 per 100 PY across ProteomicDeath23 tertiles. Consistent results were observed in the UKB-HF validation cohort. Conclusion A proteomic score was the strongest molecular predictor of mortality in HF. Integrating proteomic signatures with clinical risk factors significantly improved risk prediction.

Introduction Pulmonary hypertension (PH) is a devastating, progressive disease with increasingly debilitating symptoms and usually shortened overall life expectancy due to a narrowing of the pulmonary vasculature and consecutive right heart failure. Little is known about PH in Africa, but limited reports suggest that PH is more prevalent in Africa compared with developed countries due to the high prevalence of risk factors in the region. Methods and analysis A multinational multicentre registry-type cohort study was established and tailored to resource-constraint settings to describe disease presentation, disease severity and aetiologies of PH, comorbidities, diagnostic and therapeutic management, and the natural course of PH in Africa. PH will be diagnosed by specialist cardiologists using echocardiography (right ventricular systolic pressure >35 mm Hg, absence of pulmonary stenosis and acute right heart failure), usually accompanied by shortness of breath, fatigue, peripheral oedema and other cardiovascular symptoms, ECG and chest X-ray changes in keeping with PH as per guidelines (European Society of Cardiology and European Respiratory Society (ESC/ERS) guidelines). Additional investigations such as a CT scan, a ventilation/perfusion scan or right heart catheterisation will be performed at the discretion of the treating physician. Functional tests include a 6 min walk test and the Karnofsky Performance Score. The WHO classification system for PH will be applied to describe the different aetiologies of PH. Several substudies have been implemented within the registry to investigate specific types of PH and their outcome at up to 24 months. Data will be analysed by an independent institution following a data analyse plan. Ethics and dissemination All local ethics committees of the participating centres approved the protocol. The data will be disseminated through peer-reviewed journals at national and international conferences and public events at local care providers.