Paré, Guillaume

Abstract Background and Aims Clinical models incompletely capture the molecular pathways driving heart failure (HF) progression. This study evaluated whether molecular risk stratification provides incremental prognostic information beyond established clinical predictors in patients with HF. Methods A total of 2432 patients from the Global Congestive Heart Failure (G-CHF) registry with available genotyping, DNA methylation, and proteomic profiling were analysed. Three molecular scores were assessed: a composite cardiovascular polygenic risk score (PRS) from DNA sequence polymorphisms, a methylation risk score (MRS) derived from epigenome-wide associations, and a 23-protein-based score (ProteomicDeath23). Each score was tested individually and in combination with the clinical Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure (MAGGIC) risk score and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels for mortality prediction. Validation was performed in an HF subset of the UK Biobank (UKB). Results Over a median follow-up of 3.0 years in G-CHF, 523 patients died from any cause (7.64 per 100 person-years [PY]). In multivariable analyses, ProteomicDeath23 was the strongest independent predictor of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] per 1 standard deviation, 2.23), outperforming NT-proBNP (HR 2.00), MRSMortality (HR 1.66), PRSmetaCVD (HR 1.10), and the MAGGIC score (HR 1.70). A model combining ProteomicDeath23 with MAGGIC and NT-proBNP achieved the highest discrimination for mortality (C-index, 0.77). Addition of MRSMortality to this proteomic-clinical model resulted in only small improvements in discrimination (ΔC-index, +0.004, P = .0039), while the PRSmetaCVD provided no incremental benefit. Among patients with low NT-proBNP/MAGGIC score, mortality rates increased from 1.71 to 8.12 per 100 PY across ProteomicDeath23 tertiles. Consistent results were observed in the UKB-HF validation cohort. Conclusion A proteomic score was the strongest molecular predictor of mortality in HF. Integrating proteomic signatures with clinical risk factors significantly improved risk prediction.

ABSTRACTVenous thromboembolism (VTE) is a common, heritable disease resulting in high rates of hospitalization and mortality. Yet few associations between VTE and genetic variants, all in the coagulation pathway, have been established. To identify additional genetic determinants of VTE, we conducted a two‐stage genome‐wide association study (GWAS) among individuals of European ancestry in the extended cohorts for heart and aging research in genomic epidemiology (CHARGE) VTE consortium. The discovery GWAS comprised 1,618 incident VTE cases out of 44,499 participants from six community‐based studies. Genotypes for genome‐wide single‐nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) were imputed to approximately 2.5 million SNPs in HapMap and association with VTE assessed using study‐design appropriate regression methods. Meta‐analysis of these results identified two known loci, in F5 and ABO. Top 1,047 tag SNPs (P ≤ 0.0016) from the discovery GWAS were tested for association in an additional 3,231 cases and 3,536 controls from three case‐control studies. In the combined data from these two stages, additional genome‐wide significant associations were observed on 4q35 at F11 (top SNP rs4253399, intronic to F11) and on 4q28 at FGG (rs6536024, 9.7 kb from FGG; P < 5.0 × 10−13 for both). The associations at the FGG locus were not completely explained by previously reported variants. Loci at or near SUSD1 and OTUD7A showed borderline yet novel associations (P < 5.0 × 10−6) and constitute new candidate genes. In conclusion, this large GWAS replicated key genetic associations in F5 and ABO, and confirmed the importance of F11 and FGG loci for VTE. Future studies are warranted to better characterize the associations with F11 and FGG and to replicate the new candidate associations.