This meta-analysis was conducted with the aims to summarize all available evidence on (1) prevalence of pre-existing atrial fibrillation (AF) and/or incidence of AF following kidney transplantation; (2) the outcomes of kidney transplant recipients with AF; and (3) the trends of estimated incidence of AF following kidney transplantation over time. A literature search was conducted utilizing MEDLINE, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Database from inception through March 2018. We included studies that reported (1) prevalence of pre-existing AF or incidence of AF following kidney transplantation or (2) outcomes of kidney transplant recipients with AF. Effect estimates from the individual study were extracted and combined utilizing random-effect, generic inverse variance method of DerSimonian and Laird. The protocol for this meta-analysis is registered with PROSPERO (International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews; no. CRD42018086192). Eight cohort studies with 137,709 kidney transplant recipients were enrolled. Overall, the pooled estimated prevalence of pre-existing AF in patients undergoing kidney transplantation was 7.0% (95% CI: 5.6–8.8%) and pooled estimated incidence of AF following kidney transplantation was 4.9% (95% CI: 1.7–13.0%). Meta-regression analyses were performed and showed no significant correlations between year of study and either prevalence of pre-existing AF (p = 0.93) or post-operative AF after kidney transplantation (p = 0.16). The pooled odds ratios (OR) of mortality among kidney transplant recipients with AF was 1.86 (3 studies; 95% CI: 1.03–3.35). In addition, AF is also associated with death-censored allograft loss (2 studies; OR: 1.55, 95% CI: 1.02–2.35) and stroke (3 studies; OR: 2.54, 95% CI: 1.11–5.78) among kidney transplant recipients. Despite advances in medicine, incidence of AF following kidney transplant does not seem to decrease over time. In addition, there is a significant association of AF with increased mortality, allograft loss, and stroke after kidney transplantation.
A model predicting short-term mortality in patients with advanced liver cirrhosis and concomitant infection
Abstract Infection is a common cause of death in patients with advanced cirrhosis. We aimed to develop a predictive model in Child–Turcotte–Pugh (CTP) class C cirrhotics hospitalized with infection for optimizing treatment and improving outcomes. Clinical information was retrospectively abstracted from 244 patients at Tianjin Third Central Hospital, China (cohort 1). Factors associated with mortality were determined using logistic regression. The model for predicting 90-day mortality was then constructed by decision tree analysis. The model was further validated in 91 patients at Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN (cohort 2) and 82 patients at Seoul St. Mary's Hospital, Korea (cohort 3). The predictive performance of the model was compared with that of the CTP, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), MELD-Na, Chronic Liver Failure–Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, and the North American consortium for the Study of End-stage Liver Disease (NACSELD) models. The 3-month mortality was 58%, 58%, and 54% in cohort 1, 2, and 3, respectively. In cohort 1, respiratory failure, renal failure, international normalized ratio, total bilirubin, and neutrophil percentage were determinants of 3-month mortality, with odds ratios of 16.6, 3.3, 2.0, 1.1, and 1.03, respectively (P < .05). These parameters were incorporated into the decision tree model, yielding area under receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) of 0.804. The model had excellent reproducibility in the U.S. (AUROC 0.808) and Korea cohort (AUROC 0.809). The proposed model has the highest AUROC and best Youden index of 0.488 and greatest overall correctness of 75%, compared with other models evaluated. The proposed model reliably predicts survival of advanced cirrhotics with infection in both Asian and U.S. populations.
Meta-analysis comparing the effects of statins on the risk ofClostridium difficilediarrhea
ABSTRACTBackgroundComplications related to peritoneal dialysis (PD) in patients with autosomal‐dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD), including intraperitoneal rupture of renal cyst, hernia, membrane failure and peritonitis, have been reported. However, long‐term clinical outcomes of ADPKD patients on PD remain unclear. We performed this meta‐analysis to assess the risks of death, technique failure and peritonitis in ADPKD patients on PD.MethodsA systematic review was conducted using MEDLINE, EMBASE and Cochrane databases from inception to October 2017 to identify studies that evaluated the outcomes of ADPKD patients on PD, including the risks of death, technique failure and peritonitis. Non‐ADPKD patients on PD were used as controls. Effect estimates from the individual study were extracted and combined using the random‐effect, generic inverse variance method of DerSimonian and Laird.ResultsTwelve cohort studies with a total of 14 673 patients on PD (931 ADPKD and 13 742 non‐ADPKD patients) were enrolled. Compared with non‐ADPKD status, ADPKD was associated with significantly decreased mortality risk with pooled odds ratio (OR) of 0.68 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.53–0.86; I2 = 0). There were no associations of ADPKD with the risks of technique failure of PD and peritonitis with pooled OR of 0.93 (95% CI, 0.79–1.10; I2 = 0) and 0.88 (95% CI, 0.75–1.05; I2 = 0), respectively. We found no publication bias as assessed by Egger's regression asymmetry test, with P = 0.90, 0.28 and 0.60 for the risks of mortality, technique failure and peritonitis in ADPKD patients on PD, respectively.ConclusionCompared with non‐ADPKD patients on PD, our study demonstrates that ADPKD patients on PD have 0.68‐fold decreased mortality risk. There are no associations of ADPKD status with the risks of technique failure or peritonitis.
Background/objectives The relationship between nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and albuminuria has been shown in many epidemiologic studies, although the results were inconsistent. This meta-analysis was conducted to summarize all available data and to estimate the risk of albuminuria among patients with NAFLD. Methods Comprehensive literature review was conducted utilizing Medline and Embase database through January 2018 to identify studies that compared the risk of albuminuria among patients with NAFLD versus those without NAFLD. Effect estimates from each study were extracted and combined using the random-effect, generic inverse variance method of DerSimonian and Laird. Results Nineteen studies (17 cross-sectional studies and two cohort studies) with 24 804 participants fulfilled the eligibility criteria and were included in this meta-analysis. The risk of albuminuria among patients with NAFLD was significantly higher than those without NAFLD with the pooled odds ratio (OR) of 1.67 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.32–2.11]. Subgroup analysis demonstrated the significantly increased risk of albuminuria among patients with NAFLD without diabetes with pooled OR of 2.25 (95% CI: 1.65–3.06). However, we found no significant association between albuminuria and NAFLD among diabetic patients [pooled OR 1.28 (95% CI: 0.94–1.75)]. Conclusion A significantly increased risk of albuminuria among patients with NAFLD was observed in this meta-analysis. Physicians should pay more attention to the early detection and subsequent treatment of individuals with microalbuminuria especially in patients with NAFLD.
Programmed cell death protein 1 inhibitor treatment is associated with acute kidney injury and hypocalcemia: meta-analysis
BACKGROUND: The possible relationship between obesity and the risk of colonic diverticulosis has been suggested by recent epidemiologic studies, although the results were inconsistent. OBJECTIVE: This systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted to summarize all of the available data. DATA SOURCES: A comprehensive literature review was conducted using the MEDLINE and EMBASE databases through January 2017. STUDY SELECTION: Studies that compared the risk of colonic diverticulosis among subjects with obesity versus those without obesity were included. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Effect estimates from each study were extracted and combined together using a random-effect, generic inverse variance method. RESULTS: Of 2989 potentially eligible articles, 10 studies (9 cross-sectional studies and 1 prospective cohort study) with 53,520 participants met the eligibility criteria and were included in the meta-analysis. The risk of colonic diverticulosis in obese subjects was significantly higher than in those without obesity, with a pooled OR of 1.41 (95% CI, 1.20–1.65). The statistical heterogeneity was high, with an I2 of 75%. LIMITATIONS: High statistical heterogeneity and publication bias in favor of positive studies may have been present in this meta-analysis. CONCLUSIONS: A significant association between colonic diverticulosis and obesity was shown in this study. However, additional studies are still required to determine the causality. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/A500.
Impact of admission serum calcium levels on mortality in hospitalized patients
AbstractAimsClostridium difficile infection (CDI) is a major concern for public health worldwide. Interestingly, the risk of poor clinical outcomes of CDI in patients with nasogastric tube (NGT) insertion is still controversial. The aim of this study was to assess the outcomes of CDI in patients with NGT insertion.MethodsA literature search was performed using MEDLINE, EMBASE, and The Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews from inception through November 2017. Studies that reported relative risks, odds ratios, or hazard ratios comparing the clinical outcome of CDI in patients with NGT versus those who did not were included. Pooled risk ratios (RR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated using a random‐effect, generic inverse variance method.ResultsEight observational studies were included in our analysis to assess the association between NGT insertion and risk of poor outcome of CDI. The pooled RR of severe or complicated clinical outcomes of CDI in patients with NGT insertion was 1.81 (95% CI: 1.17 to 2.81).ConclusionsThis study demonstrated a statistically significant association between NGT insertion and risk of poor outcomes of CDI. This finding may impact clinical management and primary prevention of CDI. Avoidance of unnecessary NGT uses would improve the clinical outcomes of CDI.