Leitch, A. Marilyn

Abstract Background: The Preoperative Endocrine Prognostic Index (PEPI) is a method to predict outcome after neoadjuvant endocrine therapy that integrates Ki67, estrogen receptor (ER) analysis and pathological stage from the surgical specimen (Ellis, JNCI 100:1380, 2008). We sought to further develop the PEPI for use in clinical trials by: a) establishing an efficient SOP for Ki67 analysis, b) determining the effect of simplifying the score by removing the ER component (modified "mPEPI") and c) independent validation of mPEPI in the ACOSOG (Alliance) Z1031 neoadjuvant aromatase inhibitor trial (Ellis, M, JCO 29:234, 2011). Methods: Ki-67 assay development focused on reproducing a 2.7% Ki-67 cut point (CP) required for PEPI. Ventana Image analysis (IA) to replace labor-intensive visual point counting (VPC) was assessed to increase scoring efficiency. Discordant scores led to a triage approach where cases with complex histological features that could not be resolved by IA were flagged for VPC. The Ki-67 scoring approach was preliminarily validated on T1/2 N0 cases from the P024 and POL trials (SABCS 2013, abstract P3-05-190). Models with and without ER suggested ER was dispensable. A locked SOP for mPEPI was subsequently applied to the Z1031A trial. The primary endpoint was time from the date of surgery to local, regional, or distant recurrence in the mPEPI-0 group (T1/2 N0, Ki67 <2.7%) versus the mPEPI>0 group. Results. mPEPI by IA was evaluated on 202 of 377 (53%) patients enrolled into Z1031A (6% of IA results were triaged to VPC). All patients have been followed a minimum of 2 years (median: 5 years; max: 7 years). Only 10 patients in the mPEPI-0 group (22.7%) received adjuvant chemotherapy, versus 78 in the mPEPI>0 group (49.4%). Time to breast cancer recurrence was decreased among those with mPEPI>0 status relative to those with mPEPI-0 status (log rank p=0.012). Only one disease event among 44 (2%) cases with mPEPI-0 was observed versus 26 of 158 cases with mPEPI>0 (16.5%) Conclusions. mPEPI-0 status can identify patients at low risk of relapse after neoadjuvant endocrine therapy: therefore mPEPI-0 status has operational characteristics similar to pCR after chemotherapy for ER-negative disease. mPEPI is undergoing prospective validation in the Alliance ALTERNATE trial that will assess whether Fulvestrant increases the mPEPI-0 rate and also will prospectively determine whether patients with mPEPI-0 status can safely be managed without adjuvant chemotherapy treatment. Citation Format: Souzan Sanati, Vera J Suman, Rodrigo Goncalves, Katherine DeSchryver, Cynthia X Ma, Jeremy Hoog, Erika Crouch, Michael Barnes, Gary Unzeitig, A Marilyn Leitch, Kelly K Hunt, Matthew J Ellis. Validation of the preoperative endocrine prognostic index in the ACOSOG (Alliance) Z1031 neoadjuvant aromatase inhibitor trial [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the Thirty-Seventh Annual CTRC-AACR San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium: 2014 Dec 9-13; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2015;75(9 Suppl):Abstract nr P4-11-13.

Abstract Neoadjuvant endocrine therapy (ET) in patients (pts) with locally advanced estrogen receptor positive (ER+) breast cancer (BC) improves breast conservation rate, and importantly offers an opportunity for individualized assessment of tumor responsiveness to ET to guide subsequent treatment. Previous neoadjuvant ET trials demonstrated that pathologic tumor size (pT), axillary lymph node status (N), and tumor Ki67 value at surgery predicted risk of relapse. Preoperative endocrine prognostic index (PEPI) was therefore developed to assign risk scores based on these factors. Modified PEPI 0, defined by pT1-2 N0 Ki67< 2.7%, was associated with extremely low risk of recurrence without adjuvant chemotherapy. In addition, high Ki67 post 2-4 weeks (wks) of neoadjuvant ET identified resistant tumors with poor outcome. ALTERNATE trial is a three-arm phase III neoadjuvant/adjuvant ET trial designed to achieve two primary objectives. The first is to prospectively validate that modified PEPI 0 predicts > 95% relapse-free survival (RFS). The second is to determine whether fulvestrant (F), or fulvestrant (F) plus anastrozole (A), is superior to A in inducing a higher rate of modified PEPI 0. Secondary objectives include assessing RFS for pts with endocrine resistant tumor, defined by Ki67 > 10% at 4 or 12 wk, disease progression, or modified PEPI non-0, and pathologic responses of resistant tumors to neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Correlative studies include degrees of Ki67 suppression and ER level post treatment. In addition, ongoing research sequencing studies of DNA and RNA will be performed to contrast sensitive vs resistant tumors. During the first phase of the trial, 1200 pts are randomized 1:1:1 to the F, A or F/A. This provides an 82% chance, 1-sided alpha 0.025 chi-square test to detect at least 10% difference in modified PEPI 0 rate comparing F or F/A with A. While waiting for result of analysis, the A arm will continue for the 2nd phase enrollment. Only the F-containing arm(s) superior over A will be continued to the 2nd phase. During the 2nd phase, an additional 540 pts in each arm is estimated to obtain 317 pts with PEPI score 0. This will have a 90% chance, with a one-sided alpha=0.025 nonparametric Brookmeyer-Crowley type one sample survival test, rejecting that 5 year RFS rate is 95%. The maximum sample size is 2820 pts. Eligible pts include postmenopausal women with newly diagnosed clinical stage II or III ER+ (Allred score 6-8) HER2- BC. Tumor biopsy is required at baseline, 4 wk, and surgery for central Ki67 analysis. Treatment decision is individualized based on 4 wk Ki67 and modified PEPI score. Pts with Ki67 > 10% at 4 wk are switched to chemotherapy. Pts with a modified PEPI score of 0 are recommended not to receive chemotherapy, but continue the assigned ET for 1.5 years followed by 3 years of A. This trial is currently accruing pts through CTSU. This research is supported in part by NCI BIQSFP, and grants from Breast Cancer Research Foundation, Genentech, and the Investigator-Sponsored Study Program of AstraZeneca. The Clinical Trials.gov Identifier: NCT01953588. Citation Format: Cynthia X Ma, Vera Suman, A Marilyn Leitch, Souzan Sanati, Katherine DeSchryver, Gary W Unzeitig, Paul Haluska, Mark Watson, Olwen Hahn, Jo Anne Zujewski, Kelly Hunt, Eric P Winer, Cliff A Hudis, Matthew J Ellis. Alliance A011106: ALTernate approaches for clinical stage II or III Estrogen Receptor positive breast cancer NeoAdjuvant TrEatment (ALTERNATE) in postmenopausal women: A phase III study [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the Thirty-Seventh Annual CTRC-AACR San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium: 2014 Dec 9-13; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2015;75(9 Suppl):Abstract nr OT2-1-04.

Abstract Background: The utility of sentinel lymph node (SLN) surgery after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) in patients presenting with node-positive breast cancer has not been determined. The American College of Surgeons Oncology Group (ACOSOG) Z0171 trial was designed to evaluate SLN surgery after NAC in women presenting with node positive disease. Methods: ACOSOG Z1071 enrolled women with clinical T0-4, N1-2, M0 breast cancer receiving NAC. At the time of surgery, all patients were to undergo SLN surgery followed by axillary lymph node dissection (ALND). The primary endpoint was false negative rate (FNR) in women with cN1 disease with 2 or more SLNs reviewed. Positive SLNs were defined as metastases >0.2mm on H&E. The protocol encouraged dual tracer technique. A Bayesian study design with a non-informative prior was chosen to assess whether the probability that the SLN surgery FNR is greater than 10%. Results: From July 2009 to July 2011, 756 patients were enrolled from 136 institutions. Fifteen women were ineligible and 33 withdrew. Of 708 evaluable pts (668 cN1, 40 cN2), 643 had a SLN identified and an ALND (607 cN1, with indeterminate SLN results in 2); 52 pts (48 cN1) had no SLN identified and had ALND; 11 underwent ALND only (all cN1), and 2 pts had SLN only (both cN1). In patients with SLN and ALND, the SLN identification rate was 92.5% (92.7% in cN1, 90% in cN2). SLN correctly identified nodal status in 84% of the 695 pts [258 of pathologically node negative and 327 of pathologically node positive; cN1: 83.8% (549/655), cN2: 90.0% (36/40)]. Of the 643 pts with a SLN identified there was a complete pathologic response in 40.3% (40.3 % for cN1 and 50% for cN2). Of the pts with a positive SLN, the SLN was the only site of disease in 40%. For pts with cN1 disease with 2+ SLNs identified with residual nodal disease, the SLN FNR was 12.8%. In pts with dual tracer technique the FNR was 11.1%. There were no FN results among pts with cN2 disease with 2+ SLNs reviewed. Of the 40 pts with a false negative SLN of the 528 cN1 patients with 2+ SLNs examined, the number of positive nodes at ALND was 1 (50.0%); 2 (25%); 3 (10.0%) and 4–9 (15.0%). Conclusions: NAC resulted in eradication of lymph node disease in 40% of node positive breast cancer patients. SLN surgery after NAC in node positive breast cancer pts correctly identified nodal status in 84% of all patients and was associated with a FNR of 12.8%. The FNR of SLN is higher than the prespecified study endpoint of 10%. Further analysis of factors associated with FNR such as clinical response, histological findings and axillary ultrasound findings is warranted prior to widespread use of SLN in these patients. Citation Information: Cancer Res 2012;72(24 Suppl):Abstract nr S2-1.