Nambi, Vijay

Abstract: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains the leading cause of death worldwide. While advances in treatment have improved outcomes, the greatest gains in public health will come from primary prevention. Risk stratification is the foundation of CVD prevention. Traditional tools, such as pooled cohort equations (PCEs) and SCORE2, do not capture non-traditional risk factors and individual variability, driving efforts to refine existing approaches. We critically discuss emerging risk determinants for primary CVD prevention. Coronary artery calcium scoring can reclassify CVD risk but has limitations related to cost, access, and unvalidated improvements in clinical endpoints. Biomarkers such as apolipoprotein B and lipoprotein(a) may identify residual risk beyond LDL-C, particularly in patients with lipid discordance, but remain underused due to uncertain thresholds and the lack of prospective triallevel outcome data. Trials of colchicine in primary prevention have yielded mixed results, making the role of targeting inflammation unclear in CVD prevention. Polygenic risk scores can stratify genetic risk but face challenges in sensitivity, specificity, and generalizability. Multiomics approaches, while offering the promise of deeper phenotyping, lack established clinical applications and consensus on when their use is appropriate. Artificial intelligence may allow better prediction across cohorts but requires broader validation. Clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential, a marker of inflammation and age-related CVD risk, lacks evidence supporting routine screening or intervention in younger, asymptomatic individuals. The proliferation of new risk stratification tools poses a key challenge: determining when additional data meaningfully alter clinical decisions. Until robust outcome-based evidence emerges, risk enhancers should guide, but not dictate, therapy in selected patients.

ImportanceClonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) may contribute to the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) through its association with inflammation and cardiac remodeling.ObjectiveTo determine whether CHIP was associated with AF, inflammatory and cardiac biomarkers, and cardiac structural changes.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsThis was a population-based, prospective cohort study in participants of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study and UK Biobank (UKB) cohort. Samples were collected and echocardiography was performed from 2011 to 2013 in the ARIC cohort, and samples were collected from 2006 to 2010 in the UKB cohort. Included in this study were adults without hematologic malignancies, mitral valve stenosis, or previous mitral valve procedure from both the ARIC and UKB cohorts; additionally, participants without hypertrophic cardiomyopathy and congenital heart disease from the UKB cohort were also included. Data analysis was completed in 2023.ExposuresCHIP (variant allele frequency [VAF] ≥2%), common gene-specific CHIP subtypes (DNMT3A, TET2, ASXL1), large CHIP (VAF ≥10%), inflammatory and cardiac biomarkers (high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, interleukin 6 [IL-6], IL-18, high-sensitivity troponin T [hs-TnT] and hs-TnI, N-terminal pro–B-type natriuretic peptide), and echocardiographic indices.Main Outcome MeasureIncident AF.ResultsA total of 199 982 adults were included in this study. In ARIC participants (4131 [2.1%]; mean [SD] age, 76 [5] years; 2449 female [59%]; 1682 male [41%]; 935 Black [23%] and 3196 White [77%]), 1019 had any CHIP (24.7%), and 478 had large CHIP (11.6%). In UKB participants (195 851 [97.9%]; mean [SD] age, 56 [8] years; 108 370 female [55%]; 87 481 male [45%]; 3154 Black [2%], 183 747 White [94%], and 7971 other race [4%]), 11 328 had any CHIP (5.8%), and 5189 had large CHIP (2.6%). ARIC participants were followed up for a median (IQR) period of 7.0 (5.3-7.7) years, and UKB participants were followed up for a median (IQR) period of 12.2 (11.3-13.0) years. Meta-analyzed hazard ratios for AF were 1.12 (95% CI, 1.01-1.25; P = .04) for participants with vs without large CHIP, 1.29 (95% CI, 1.05-1.59; P = .02) for those with vs without large TET2 CHIP (seen in 1340 of 197 209 [0.67%]), and 1.45 (95% CI, 1.02-2.07; P = .04) for those with vs without large ASXL1 CHIP (seen in 314 of 197 209 [0.16%]). Large TET2 CHIP was associated with higher IL-6 levels. Additionally, large ASXL1 was associated with higher hs-TnT level and increased left ventricular mass index.Conclusions and RelevanceLarge TET2 and ASXL1, but not DNMT3A, CHIP was associated with higher IL-6 level, indices of cardiac remodeling, and increased risk for AF. Future research is needed to elaborate on the mechanisms driving the associations and to investigate potential interventions to reduce the risk.

Introduction: Aging and inflammation are associated with risk of atrial fibrillation (AF), to which clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) may contribute. We investigated whether CHIP was associated with AF, inflammatory and cardiac biomarkers and cardiac structural changes. Methods: We ascertained CHIP (variant allele frequency, VAF ≥2%) in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Community Study (ARIC visit-5, n = 4,131) and the UK Biobank (UKBB, n = 195,851) participants. Using multivariable Cox regression models, we studied the association of CHIP and the top three implicated genes (i.e., DNMT3A , TET2 , ASXL1 ) with incident AF and conducted a meta-analysis on both cohorts. We also ascertained high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), interleukin 6 (IL6), IL18, high-sensitivity troponin T and I (hs-TnT and hs-TnI), NT-proBNP, and echocardiography indices in ARIC. We first standardized the natural log of all markers (st-ln) and used the adjusted quantile regression to compare the median in those with and without CHIP. Results: In ARIC, the mean ± SD age was 75.8 ± 5.2 years, 41% were men, 23% were Black, 25% had CHIP, and 11.6% had large CHIP (VAF ≥10%). These measures in UKBB were 56.4 ± 8.1 years, 45%, 2%, 5.8%, and 2.6%, respectively. In the meta-analysis, compared to those without CHIP, the hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) for AF were 1.12 (1.01 - 1.25, P =0.035), 1.31 (1.07 - 1.60, P =0.009), and 1.48 (1.05 - 2.08, P =0.026) for Large-CHIP, Large- TET2, and Large- ASXL1 , respectively. hs-CRP and IL18 levels were similar in those with and without CHIP as well as gene-specific subgroups. Large- TET2 and ASXL1 were associated with higher IL6, which was separately associated with AF. Additionally, Large- ASXL1 was associated with increased left ventricle mass index and NT-proBNP (coefficients in Figure 1 ). Conclusion: Large TET2 and ASXL1 but not DNMT3A CHIP is associated with higher IL6 levels, indices of cardiac remodeling, and an increased risk of AF.

OBJECTIVES Cardiac troponin T, measured using a high‐sensitive assay (hs‐cTnT), and N‐terminal pro‐B‐type natriuretic peptide (NT‐proBNP) are associated with increased stroke risk and perhaps with cognitive decline. However, few well‐designed prospective studies with extended follow‐up have been conducted. We aimed to estimate the association of hs‐cTnT and NT‐proBNP with 15‐year cognitive change in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. DESIGN Prospective cohort study. SETTING Four US communities. PARTICIPANTS A total of 9114 and 9108 participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study for analyses of hs‐cTnT and NT‐proBNP, respectively. MEASUREMENTS We examined association of hs‐cTnT and NT‐proBNP with 15‐year change (1996‐1998 to 2011‐2013) in three cognitive tests of executive function (Digit Symbol Substitution Test), verbal learning memory (Delayed Word Recall Test), and semantic fluency (Word Fluency Test), and an overall score combining the three tests using multivariable linear mixed effect models. We conducted several sensitivity analyses including multiple imputations to address bias due to missing data and attrition, and we compared associations within groups combining hs‐cTnT and NT‐proBNP into a three‐level categorical variable. RESULTS At baseline (1996‐1998), mean age was 63.4 (standard deviation [SD] = 5.7) years; 56.4% were women, and 17.5% were black. The hs‐cTnT at baseline was not associated with cognitive change in any measure. Some evidence indicated accelerated decline in verbal learning and memory when comparing those in the highest with the lowest NT‐proBNP quintiles; however, this association was not replicated when considering clinically relevant cutoffs or deciles of exposure in survivors. Sensitivity analyses were consistent with our primary analyses. There was little evidence to support effect modification by any considered factors. People with highest levels of both biomarkers had excessive decline in global z scores vs people with lowest levels (−.34; 95% confidence interval = −.63 to −.04). CONCLUSION Markers of myocardial injury and stretch were not associated with cognitive decline following 15 years among survivors, but when combined together they were suggestive in post hoc analysis. Whether this represents targets of intervention should be examined in the future. J Am Geriatr Soc 67:2353–2361, 2019