Neumiller, Joshua J.

OBJECTIVE To examine kidney disease outcomes associated with dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitors (DPP-4i). RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS In this target trial emulation, claims data from enrollees in commercial, Medicare Advantage, and traditional Medicare health plans were used to identify adults ≥21 years old with type 2 diabetes, with moderate cardiovascular risk, and without stage 3 or worse chronic kidney disease (CKD) initiating alogliptin, linagliptin, saxagliptin, or sitagliptin between 2014 and 2021. The primary outcome was a composite of incident CKD stages 3–5, kidney failure, or kidney replacement therapy. Random treatment assignment was emulated using propensity scores, estimated using the super learner ensemble method and incorporated as inverse probability of treatment weights into proportional hazards models. RESULTS The weighted study cohort included 3,026 individuals starting alogliptin, 38,213 starting linagliptin, 14,934 starting saxagliptin, and 115,091 starting sitagliptin. One year after treatment initiation, the primary outcome occurred in 1.4%, 2.7%, 2.2%, and 2.4% of patients initiating alogliptin, linagliptin, saxagliptin, and sitagliptin, respectively, increasing to 3.2%, 6.2%, 5.0%, and 5.4%, respectively, at 3 years. Alogliptin was associated with lower risk of stage 3 or worse CKD than linagliptin (hazard ratio [HR] 0.50; 95% CI 0.37–0.69), saxagliptin (HR 0.63; 95% CI 0.45–0.86), and sitagliptin (HR 0.58; 95% CI 0.42–0.79), while saxagliptin was associated with lower risk than linagliptin (HR 0.80; 95% CI 0.73–0.87). Conversely, linagliptin was associated with higher risk than sitagliptin (HR 1.15, 95% CI 1.10–1.21). CONCLUSIONS Alogliptin was associated with lower risk of moderate-to-severe kidney disease than other DPP-4i, while linagliptin was associated with higher risk. Limitations include lack of laboratory data and potential unmeasured confounding.

Introduction To assess the within-class variation in kidney outcomes following initiation of sulfonylurea therapy. Research design and methods We used claims data of enrollees in commercial, Medicare Advantage, and traditional Medicare health plans between 2014 and 2021 to emulate a target trial including adults ≥21 years with type 2 diabetes at moderate cardiovascular risk to compare initiation of glimepiride, glipizide, or glyburide on the incidence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) stage 3 or worse, including initiation of kidney replacement therapy (primary outcome); secondary outcomes examined incident CKD stages 3-4, kidney failure (including kidney replacement therapy), all-cause mortality, and hypoglycemia requiring emergency department or hospital care. Random treatment assignment was emulated using propensity scores, estimated using the super learner ensemble method, and incorporated as inverse probability of treatment weights into proportional hazards models. Results The weighted study cohort included 295 092 individuals starting glimepiride (n=134 926), glipizide (n=145 984), and glyburide (n=14 182). One year after treatment initiation, stage 3 or worse CKD developed in 2.1% of patients in the glimepiride group, 2.2% in the glipizide group, and 1.8% in the glyburide group. Glyburide was associated with a lower risk of kidney complications compared with both glimepiride (HR 0.84, 95% CI 0.76 to 0.92) and glipizide (HR 0.81, 95% CI 0.73 to 0.89), despite a higher risk of severe hypoglycemia (HR 1.47, 95% CI 1.27 to 1.71 vs glipizide and HR 1.22, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.42 vs glimepiride). In contrast, the risk of kidney complications was modestly increased with glipizide compared with glimepiride use (HR 1.04, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.07). Conclusions Glyburide was associated with a modestly lower risk of kidney complications, despite a higher risk of hypoglycemia, while glipizide was associated with a higher risk of kidney complications. These hypothesis-generating findings suggest important within-class differences that warrant consideration in clinical decision-making and future research. Despite rigorous prespecified causal inference analytic methods, the risk of unmeasured confounding and bias by indication with the use of observational data remains. Trial registration number NCT05214573 .

Background SGLT2 (sodium‐glucose cotransporter 2) inhibitors reduce major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in type 2 diabetes. However, no direct comparison of individual SGLT2 inhibitor drugs has been conducted, particularly among adults with moderate cardiovascular risk who comprise most people with type 2 diabetes. Methods We used data for commercial, Medicare Advantage, and Medicare fee‐for‐service beneficiaries to emulate a target trial of adults (≥21 years) with type 2 diabetes and moderate cardiovascular risk who started canagliflozin, dapagliflozin, or empagliflozin between 2015 and 2020. We estimated propensity scores using the super learner ensemble method and incorporated them as inverse probability of treatment weights into Cox models, estimating risk of MACE, expanded MACE, and hyperglycemic and hypoglycemic crises through December 31, 2022. Results The weighted cohort, balanced on all baseline covariates, included 137 232 patients (mean age 65.7 years [SD, 8.1], 75.3% non‐Hispanic White, 57.0% male, 81.9% on metformin, 11.4% on glucagon‐like peptide‐1 receptor agonists) starting canagliflozin (N=42 877), dapagliflozin (N=17 871), or empagliflozin (N=7648). The risk of MACE was lower among patients starting empagliflozin versus canagliflozin (hazard ratio [HR], 0.92 [95% CI, 0.87–0.97]), driven by reduced risk of all‐cause mortality (HR, 0.86 [95% CI, 0.80–0.94]). There was no difference in MACE between empagliflozin versus dapagliflozin or dapagliflozin versus canagliflozin therapy. There was no difference in remaining outcomes between the three drugs. Conclusions The 3 most used SGLT2 inhibitor medications demonstrate similar effectiveness on cardiovascular outcomes among patients with type 2 diabetes at moderate cardiovascular risk, with differences between these drugs small in magnitude. Clinicians and health systems should prioritize enhancing access to these cardioprotective therapies.

Introduction To examine within-class sulfonylurea safety, we compared risks of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and severe hypoglycemia among adults with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and moderate cardiovascular risk following sulfonylurea initiation. Research design and methods We conducted a target trial emulation including adults ≥21 years old with T2D and moderate cardiovascular risk who initiated glimepiride, glipizide or glyburide between 2014 and 2021, using claims data from Optum Labs Data Warehouse and the Medicare fee-for-service 100% sample. Study outcomes were MACE (primary), expanded MACE and its components and emergency department or hospital encounters for hypoglycemia, ascertained during follow-up through 2022. Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) was applied using propensity scores estimated using the super learner ensemble, and outcomes were examined using IPTW Cox proportional hazards models. Results The weighted study cohort comprised 314 699 patients (mean age 66.9 years, 52.0% men, 76.6% non-Hispanic white). At 1 year, MACE was experienced by 2.5%, 2.7% and 2.8% of patients starting glimepiride, glipizide and glyburide, respectively. Compared with glimepiride, glyburide and glipizide were associated with higher risk of MACE (HR 1.10, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.16 for glyburide; HR 1.05, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.07 for glipizide). At 1 year, severe hypoglycemia was experienced by 0.3%, 0.3% and 0.4% of patients starting glimepiride, glipizide and glyburide, respectively. Glyburide was associated with a greater risk of severe hypoglycemia compared with glipizide (HR 1.43, 95% CI 1.23 to 1.65), while glipizide was associated with a lower risk compared with glimepiride (HR 0.82, 95% CI 0.77 to 0.87). Conclusions Among adults with T2D and moderate cardiovascular risk, glimepiride was associated with lowest risk of MACE and glipizide with lowest risk of severe hypoglycemia. These results can help inform treatment selection if sulfonylureas are used for glucose-lowering.

Key Points Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists were superior to dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor and sulfonylurea for preventing kidney complications in patients with type 2 diabetes at moderate cardiovascular disease risk. Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor therapy compared favorably with glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists for kidney disease outcomes. Background CKD is a serious diabetes-related complication. While guidelines recommend use of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor (SGLT2i) and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist (GLP-1RA) therapies to mitigate cardiorenal risk in high-risk patients, the benefit of early initiation of these agents relative to other commonly prescribed glucose-lowering agents in patients at lower baseline cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk remains less clear. Methods This retrospective observational study emulated an idealized target trial using claims data from OptumLabs data warehouse to test the comparative association of treatment with a dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor (DPP-4i), SGLT2i, GLP-1RA, or sulfonylurea (SU) on a primary kidney composite outcome of incident CKD stages 3–5, kidney failure, or need for KRT in patients with type 2 diabetes and moderate CVD risk. A secondary composite outcome included all components of the primary composite outcome plus death. Results A total of 364,714 adults aged 21 years or older initiating treatment with a DPP-4i ( N =78,843), GLP-1RA ( N =42,049), SGLT2i ( N =45,466), or SU ( N =198,356) were identified. Relative to DPP-4i, SGLT2i (hazard ratio [HR], 0.71; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.67 to 0.74; P < 0.001) and GLP-1RA (HR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.83 to 0.92; P < 0.001) treatment was superior for the primary composite outcome. Similarly, SGLT2i (HR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.66 to 0.73) and GLP-1RA (HR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.82 to 0.91) treatment was associated with risk reductions for the primary outcome relative to SU treatment. When comparing SGLT2i with GLP-1RA therapy, SGLT2is were superior for the primary composite outcome (HR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.75 to 0.86; P < 0.001). Similar findings were observed for the secondary composite outcome across all comparisons. Conclusions SGLT2is and GLP-1RAs were superior to DPP-4is and SUs for preventing kidney complications in a type 2 diabetes population with moderate baseline CVD risk. Clinical Trial registry name and registration number: NCT05214573.

In this emulated comparative effectiveness target trial of glucagon-like peptide 1 (GLP-1) receptor agonist, sodium–glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitor, dipeptidyl peptidase 4 (DPP-4) inhibitor, and sulfonylurea therapy among adults with type 2 diabetes at moderate cardiovascular disease risk, sulfonylurea use was associated with a significantly higher risk of hypoglycemia requiring emergency department or hospital care than treatment with DPP-4 inhibitors, GLP-1 receptor agonists, or SGLT2 inhibitors. This consideration can guide the choice of glucose-lowering therapy in this highly prevalent patient population, in whom avoidance of hypoglycemia is important, yet among whom the risk of severe hypoglycemia has not been examined previously.

OBJECTIVETo characterize contemporary trends in glucagon fill rates and expenditures in a nationwide cohort of adults with diabetes overall and by key demographic and clinical characteristics.RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODSIn this retrospective cohort study, we examined 1) glucagon fill rates per 1,000 person-years and 2) patient out-of-pocket and health plan costs per filled glucagon dose among adults with diabetes included in OptumLabs Data Warehouse between 1 January 2011 and 31 March 2021.RESULTSThe study population comprised 2,814,464 adults with diabetes with a mean age of 62.8 (SD 13.2) years. The overall glucagon fill rate decreased from 2.91 to 2.28 per 1,000 person-years (−22%) over the study period. In groups at high risk for severe hypoglycemia, glucagon fill rates increased from 22.46 to 36.76 per 1,000 person-years (64%) among patients with type 1 diabetes, 11.64 to 16.63 per 1,000 person-years (43%) among those treated with short-acting insulin, and 16.08 to 20.12 per 1,000 person-years (25%) among those with a history of severe hypoglycemia. White patients, women, individuals with high income, and commercially insured patients had higher glucagon fill rates compared with minority patients, males, individuals with low income, and Medicare Advantage patients, respectively. Total cost per dosing unit increased from $157.97 to $275.32 (74%) among commercial insurance beneficiaries and from $150.37 to $293.57 (95%) among Medicare Advantage beneficiaries.CONCLUSIONSGlucagon fill rates are concerningly low and declined between 2011 and 2021 but increased in appropriate subgroups with type 1 diabetes, using short-acting insulin, or with a history of severe hypoglycemia. Fill rates were disproportionately low among minority patients and individuals with low income.