Reynolds, C.

550 Background: Ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) is a heterogeneous group of non-invasive cancers with varying propensity for recurrence. There are no validated markers that identify patients at risk for invasive recurrence following lumpectomy. HOXB13/IL17BR (H/I) is expressed in both DCIS and invasive cancer (Ma Cancer Cell. 2004) and associated with recurrence in stage I cancer. A 5-gene molecular grade index (MGI) distinguishes outcome in grade II disease (Ma Clin Cancer Res. 2008). We sought to determine whether H/I or MGI was associated with invasive recurrence in resected DCIS. Methods: We identified patients at Mayo Rochester who underwent lumpectomy ± radiation for DCIS between 1988 and 2001 and performed a nested case/control study. Cases were patients with ipsilateral invasive recurrence, matched to controls based on age, surgery date, length of follow-up, and adjuvant radiation. DCIS was macrodissected from paraffin sections and RNA extracted to obtain H/I and MGI RT-PCR profiles. The association of H/I and MGI with case-control status was assessed with conditional logistic regression; results reported are odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). The association of H/I and MGI as continuous variables with nuclear grade (low, intermediate, high) was estimated with Spearman's rank correlation. Results: 427 patients underwent lumpectomy for DCIS, and 33 were identified as possible cases. Histologic review excluded 8 (non-sufficient tissue or DCIS recurrence without invasion). 25 cases were matched to 48 controls (2 controls for 23 cases, 1 control for 2 cases). Both H/I (r = 0.43, p = 0.0001) and MGI (r = 0.41, p = 0.0004) were significantly correlated with nuclear grade. Positive H/I was associated with trend towards higher recurrence (OR 1.9; p = 0.22) that was most pronounced in cases/controls (15/28) treated with lumpectomy alone (OR 3.3; CI: 0.8–13.2, p = 0.09). Similarly, positive MGI was associated with a trend towards higher recurrence risk in patients treated with surgery alone (OR 2.0; CI: 0.6–6.4, p = 0.27). Conclusions: These data suggest that both HOXB13/IL17BR and MGI can identify a subset of patients with surgically resected DCIS who are at risk for invasive recurrence. Further studies in larger cohorts are needed to confirm these findings. [Table: see text]