Overall Survival Among Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated With External Beam Radiation Therapy: Individual Patient Data Outcomes From a Multinational Cohort
PURPOSE External beam radiation therapy (EBRT) has gained delayed acceptance as a recommended first-line treatment modality for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), given limited evidence that it improves overall survival (OS). We analyzed individual patient data (IPD) from an international cohort to assess OS among patients with HCC treated with EBRT. METHODS We performed a systematic review of publications that assessed EBRT, met prespecified technical standards for HCC, and reported OS (search date December 15, 2022). Corresponding authors were invited to submit IPD for the study. We performed Kaplan-Meier survival analyses to determine OS and restricted mean survival time (RMST) stratified by Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage and treatment status (ie, treatment-naïve and experienced). We performed random effects Cox proportional hazards modeling to assess clinical characteristics associated with OS. RESULTS Data were provided on 4,913 patients treated with EBRT with a median follow-up time of 5.0 years. The median OS was 6.8 years (95% CI, 5.7 to 8.7) for BCLC-0 and 4.6 years (95% CI, 4.1 to 5.1) for BCLC-A. Among treatment-naïve patients, the median OS was not reached (95% CI, 8.6 to not reached) for BCLC-0 and was 5.4 years (95% CI, 4.5 to 6.7) for BCLC-A. In multivariable models, more advanced BCLC stage, higher tumor burden, worse performance status, and Child-Pugh class B or C were associated with a higher risk of mortality. Ablative radiation dose and more recent year of treatment were associated with a reduced risk of death. CONCLUSION To our knowledge, this study represents the largest multinational cohort of patients with HCC treated with EBRT. OS outcomes with EBRT for very early- and early-stage HCC appear to be comparable with resection, thermal ablation, and other ablative locoregional therapies. These data support the inclusion of EBRT in the BCLC HCC clinical decision-making process.
Association of Epigenetic Aging Biomarkers With Risk of
MASLD
‐Related
HCC
ABSTRACT Introduction Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in patients with metabolic dysfunction‐associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is a growing health concern, but the underlying mechanisms are not fully understood. Epigenetic aging biomarkers, reflecting cellular and tissue aging, have been linked to various age‐related pathologies, but their association with MASLD‐HCC is unknown. We investigated associations between five epigenetic aging biomarkers and MASLD‐HCC risk. Methods We performed whole blood DNA methylation assay (Infinium 850k array) and calculated principal components‐based (PC) versions of HorvathAge, HannumAge, PhenoAge and GrimAge and the DunedinPACE aging rate. We further calculated relative age accelerations for PCHorvathAge, PCHannumAge, PCPhenoAge and PCGrimAge. The aging biomarkers were modelled as continuous variables and categorised into tertiles based on distributions among controls. Associations between each aging biomarker and MASLD‐HCC were examined using logistic regression, calculating odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs), adjusting for covariates. Results Data on 272 MASLD‐HCC cases and 316 cancer‐free MASLD controls recruited from six sites and matched on chronological age, sex and study site were analysed. Higher relative age accelerations of PCPhenoAge (OR T3 vs. T1 = 2.25, 95% CI: 1.45–3.50; OR continuous = 1.04, 95% CI: 1.02–1.07, p = 0.009), PCGrimAge (OR T3 vs. T1 = 3.97, 95% CI: 2.41–6.64; OR continuous = 1.16, 95% CI: 1.10–1.24, p = 8.76 × 10 −07 ) and DunedinPACE (OR T3 vs. T1 = 3.45, 95% CI: 2.17–5.55; OR continuous = 1.72, 95% CI: 1.43–2.10, p = 2.58 × 10 −08 ) were associated with MASLD‐HCC, but not PCHorvathAge or PCHannumAge. Conclusion Higher relative age accelerations of PCPhenoAge, PCGrimAge and DunedinPACE aging rate are associated with risk of MASLD‐HCC. These aging biomarkers could improve HCC risk assessment and facilitate risk stratification in patients with MASLD.
Immune-mediated adverse events and overall survival with tremelimumab plus durvalumab and durvalumab monotherapy in unresectable HCC: HIMALAYA phase III randomized clinical trial
Background and Aims: In the global phase III HIMALAYA study in unresectable HCC, STRIDE significantly improved overall survival (OS) versus sorafenib; durvalumab was noninferior to sorafenib. Immune checkpoint inhibitor studies have shown an association between the occurrence of immune-mediated adverse events (imAEs) and improved OS. We assessed potential associations between the occurrence of imAEs and OS, and temporal patterns of imAEs, in HIMALAYA. Approach and Results: OS in participants who did and did not experience imAEs and the frequency and timing of imAEs were assessed for STRIDE and durvalumab in the safety analysis set of HIMALAYA. imAEs occurred in 139/388 (35.8%) and 64/388 (16.5%) participants with STRIDE and durvalumab, respectively; most were low grade. OS HRs (95% CI) in participants who experienced imAEs versus those who did not were 0.73 (0.56–0.95) for STRIDE and 1.14 (0.82–1.57) for durvalumab. The 36-month OS rate (95% CI) for STRIDE was 36.2% (28.1–46.7) and 27.7% (22.4–34.2) in participants who did and did not experience imAEs, respectively. The most common imAE category with STRIDE was endocrine events (16.5%). Most imAEs occurred ≤3 months after treatment initiation. Conclusions: Participants who experienced imAEs with STRIDE had a numerical improvement in OS versus those who did not, which was not observed for durvalumab. Long-term OS with STRIDE was observed regardless of imAEs. Most imAEs were low grade, manageable, and occurred in the first 3 months after treatment initiation. Results continue to support the benefits of STRIDE in a diverse population that reflects unresectable HCC globally.
Metabolic liver cancer: associations of rare and common germline variants in one-carbon metabolism and DNA methylation genes
Abstract Animal studies implicate one-carbon metabolism and DNA methylation genes in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in the setting of metabolic perturbations. Using human samples, we investigated the associations between common and rare variants in these closely related biochemical pathways and risk for metabolic HCC development in a multicenter international study. We performed targeted exome sequencing of 64 genes among 556 metabolic HCC cases and 643 cancer-free controls with metabolic conditions. Multivariable logistic regression was used to calculate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs), adjusting for multiple comparisons. Gene-burden tests were used for rare variant associations. Analyses were performed in the overall sample and among non-Hispanic whites. The results show that among non-Hispanic whites, presence of rare functional variants in ABCC2 was associated with 7-fold higher risk of metabolic HCC (OR = 6.92, 95% CI: 2.38–20.15, P = 0.0004), and this association remained significant when analyses were restricted to functional rare variants observed in ≥2 participants (cases 3.2% versus controls 0.0%, P = 1.02 × 10−5). In the overall multiethnic sample, presence of rare functional variants in ABCC2 was nominally associated with metabolic HCC (OR = 3.60, 95% CI: 1.52–8.58, P = 0.004), with similar nominal association when analyses were restricted to functional rare variants observed in ≥2 participants (cases 2.9% versus controls 0.2%, P = 0.006). A common variant in PNPLA3 (rs738409[G]) was associated with higher HCC risk in the overall sample (P = 6.36 × 10−6) and in non-Hispanic whites (P = 0.0002). Our findings indicate that rare functional variants in ABCC2 are associated with susceptibility to metabolic HCC in non-Hispanic whites. PNPLA3-rs738409 is also associated with metabolic HCC risk.
Outcomes by occurrence of immune-mediated adverse events (imAEs) with tremelimumab (T) plus durvalumab (D) in the phase 3 HIMALAYA study in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC).
4004 Background: Immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) studies have shown an association between the occurrence of imAEs and outcomes. In the Phase 3 HIMALAYA study (NCT03298451) in uHCC, STRIDE (Single T Regular Interval D) significantly improved overall survival (OS) vs sorafenib (S), and D monotherapy was noninferior to S. STRIDE and D had manageable safety (Abou-Alfa et al. NEJM Evid 2022). STRIDE is approved for uHCC in the United States and Japan and recommended for approval by the European Medicines Agency; D is approved in Japan. This exploratory analysis assessed the association between imAEs and outcomes in HIMALAYA. Methods: Safety was assessed in participants (pts) who received ≥1 dose of STRIDE (T 300 mg [one dose] plus D 1500 mg once every 4 weeks [Q4W]) or D (1500 mg Q4W). imAEs were AEs of special interest associated with drug exposure and consistent with an immune-mediated mechanism of action with no found alternate etiology. Median OS (mOS) and OS rates were estimated using the Kaplan–Meier method. OS hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs were calculated using Cox modeling, with imAEs as a time-varying covariate and stratified by etiology (HBV/HCV/others), ECOG (0/1), and macro-vascular invasion (yes/no) for pts with vs without imAEs of any grade. Pts with >1 imAE were counted once. Results: In total, 388 pts (STRIDE) and 388 pts (D) were included in the analysis. Any grade imAEs, Grade 3 or 4 imAEs, and imAEs leading to discontinuation occurred in 139 (35.8%), 49 (12.6%), and 22 (5.7%) pts, respectively for STRIDE and 64 (16.5%), 25 (6.4%), and 10 (2.6%) pts, respectively for D. imAEs requiring high-dose steroids (≥40 mg prednisone or equivalent daily) occurred in 78 (20.1%) pts for STRIDE and 37 (9.5%) pts for D. An improvement in OS was seen with STRIDE in pts with imAEs vs pts without (HR, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.56–0.95). OS rates at 6, 12, and 24 months (mo) were higher for STRIDE in pts with imAEs vs pts without. The association between imAEs and OS was less clear for D and may be limited by small pt number. In a landmark analysis of pts with vs without imAEs within 6 mo of STRIDE (n=307) or D (n=287), OS HRs (95% CIs) were 0.65 (0.47–0.90) and 1.39 (0.95–2.04), respectively. Conclusions: In HIMALAYA, imAEs with STRIDE or D were manageable and generally low grade. In this exploratory analysis, the occurrence of imAEs was associated with improved OS for STRIDE, generally consistent with findings for other ICIs. Clinical trial information: NCT03298451 . [Table: see text]