Key Points Data were collected from a cohort of 759 patients with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease that were followed for a median of 10.2 years. Prognostic models were developed to predict kidney failure using routinely obtained clinical information and externally validated. Risk predictions had good discrimination and calibration over a time horizon of 15 years. Background Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is a common cause of kidney failure. Progression is highly variable, and accurate prognostic information is needed to guide early treatment decisions. The objective of this study was to develop a multivariable predictive model for progression to kidney failure. Methods We developed prognostic models using Cox regression for the outcome of kidney failure, defined as eGFR <15 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 , dialysis, or kidney transplantation. The development dataset consisted of participants in the Consortium for Radiologic Imaging Studies of Polycystic Kidney Disease (CRISP) and Halt Progression of Polycystic Kidney Disease study A (HALT-A) studies. The validation dataset consisted of patients with ADPKD in the Mayo clinical registry aged 15–49 years, with eGFR ≥60 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 . Predictor variables in the base model were age, sex, creatinine or eGFR, ADPKD genotype, and Mayo Imaging Class. Clinical and laboratory data were evaluated in the full model. Results The development cohort included 759 patients with baseline eGFR of 91±29 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 (mean±SD), of whom 16% reached end point after median (interquartile range) follow-up of 10.2 (5.5–16.7) years. The validation cohort included 535 patients with baseline eGFR of 90±31 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 (mean±SD), of whom 11% reached end point after median (interquartile range) follow-up of 5.5 (1.5–13.7) years. The full model, including age, sex, serum creatinine, Mayo Imaging Class, total carbon dioxide, hemoglobin, diastolic BP, and body mass index, had a C-index of 0.81 (95% confidence interval, 0.72 to 0.90) in the validation cohort and 0.75 (95% confidence interval, 0.62 to 0.88) when ADPKD genotype was also included. Risk predictions from base and full models were well-calibrated out to 15 years. Conclusions In persons with early ADPKD and preserved eGFR, a model using routinely obtained clinical information quantified risk of kidney failure over 15 years.
Deep Learning-Based Instance-Level Segmentation of Kidney and Liver Cysts in Computed Tomography Images of Patients Affected by Polycystic Kidney Disease
Key Points Automated cyst segmentation in autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease could transform care by enabling precise monitoring of cyst progression with minimal manual effort. This technology can facilitate more consistent assessments of cyst burden across patients. Translating these segmentation models from magnetic resonance imaging to computed tomography is crucial for providing comprehensive, modality-independent evaluations. Background Total kidney and liver volumes are key image-based biomarkers to predict the severity of kidney and liver phenotype in autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD). However, magnetic resonance (MR) imaging-based advanced biomarkers like total cyst number and cyst parenchyma surface area have been shown to more accurately assess cyst burden and improve the prediction of disease progression. The main aim of this study was to extend the calculation of advanced biomarkers to other imaging modalities; thus, we propose a fully automated model to segment kidney and liver cysts in computed tomography (CT) images. Methods Abdominal CTs of patients with ADPKD were gathered retrospectively between 2001 and 2018. A three-dimensional deep learning method using the nnU-Net architecture was trained to learn cyst edges-cores and the noncystic kidney/liver parenchyma. Separate segmentation models were trained for kidney cysts in contrast-enhanced CTs and liver cysts in noncontrast CTs using an active learning approach. Two experienced research fellows manually generated the reference standard segmentation, which were reviewed by an expert radiologist for accuracy. Results Two-hundred CT scans from 148 patients (mean age, 51.2±14.1 years; 48% male) were used for model training (80%) and testing (20%). In the test set, both models showed good agreement with the reference standard segmentations, similar to the agreement between two independent human readers (model versus reader: TCN kidney/liver r =0.96/0.97 and CPSA kidney r =0.98, inter-reader: TCN kidney/liver r =0.96/0.98 and CPSA kidney r =0.99). Conclusions Our study demonstrates that automated models can segment kidney and liver cysts accurately in CT scans of patients with ADPKD.
Genetic and Clinical Characterization of a Large Cohort with Suspected Monogenic Stone Disease
Key Points Genetic testing of individuals suspected of monogenic urinary stone disease resolved 34% of families with 22 different genes detected. Resolved individuals had a lower baseline and last visit eGFR and earlier age of stone presentation than the unresolved group. Specific phenotypes and younger diagnostic age were associated with a monogenic cause, allowing refinement of future screenings. Background Urinary stone disease with a clear genetic cause, monogenic stone disease (MSD), is increasingly recognized as a significant proportion of the total population. When MSD is suspected, genetic testing provides a firm diagnosis that can alter management and treatment. Here, we present testing results from a large cohort with suspected MSD. Methods Patients with features suggestive of MSD (early onset, family history, frequent stones, nephrocalcinosis [NC], and/or CKD) were recruited by the Rare Kidney Stone Consortium and genotyped for up to 160 known or candidate MSD genes via a targeted massively parallel sequencing panel. We compared clinical and biochemical features between genetically resolved MSD and unresolved individuals. Results Of 426 families (657 patients) enrolled, 145 (34%) were resolved with identified disease associated variants in 22 known MSD genes. Ninety-nine families were biallelic, 37 monoallelic, and two digenic. An additional 21 of the 231 screened family members were resolved. Genes identified in ten or more families include the following: AGXT , HOGA1 , SLC34A3 , CYP24A1 , SLC3A1 , and CLCN5 . Compared with the unresolved group, MSD probands had a lower baseline and last visit eGFR, earlier age of stone presentation, and more stone events and procedures/year of life. The resolve rate was higher in those <16 years, and NC was seen earlier in the MSD group. Overall, NC was a risk factor for lower eGFR. Among the specific disorders, patients with primary hyperoxaluria had the earliest age of stone and NC diagnosis, and as expected, the highest urinary oxalate level. Conclusions Our study emphasizes the value of selecting patients enriched for factors associated with MSD, and comprehensive genetic testing to achieve a high yield of genetic diagnoses. Significant clinical and biochemical characteristics of patients with MSD were defined. A definitive MSD diagnosis facilitates individualized management and strategies to delay disease progression in probands and affected family members.
Characterization of the Cystic Phenotype Associated with Monoallelic ALG8 and ALG9 Pathogenic Variants
Key Points Loss-of-function ALG8 and ALG9 variants were enriched in polycystic kidney/liver groups and International Classification of Diseases–coded cystic individuals in population cohorts. The ALG8 and ALG9 kidney phenotypes were usually mild to moderate, and lower eGFR or kidney failure was rare. ALG8 pathogenic variants sometimes resulted in severe polycystic liver disease. Background Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is a common, inherited nephropathy often resulting in kidney failure. It is genetically heterogeneous; along with the major genes, PKD1 and PKD2 , at least eight others have been suggested. ALG8 pathogenic variants have been associated with autosomal dominant polycystic liver disease and implicated in ADPKD, while ALG9 has been suggested as an ADPKD gene, but details of the phenotypes and penetrance are unclear. Methods We screened >3900 families with cystic kidneys and/or livers using global approaches to detect ALG8 or ALG9 pathogenic variants. In addition, population cohorts with sequence data (Genomics England 100K Genomics Project, UK Biobank, and Mayo Clinic Biobank [MCBB]) were screened for ALG8 / ALG9 pathogenic variants. Results Multicenter screening of individuals with polycystic kidney and/or liver disease identified 51 (1.3%) ALG8 (7 multiplex) and 23 (0.6%) ALG9 (5 multiplex) families—frequencies that were approximately 10× and approximately 24× greater than nonpolycystic kidney disease controls. Analysis of individuals with polycystic kidney disease phenotypes in 100K Genomics Project, UK Biobank, and MCBB identified nine ALG8 (0.39%) and nine ALG9 (0.39%) families, an enriched frequency over controls. Two individuals had PKD1 and ALG8 pathogenic changes. Eighty-nine percent of individuals with ALG8 mutations with imaging in the entire MCBB had kidney cysts (50%, >10 cysts), with greater median kidney and liver cyst numbers than controls. For ALG9, 78% had kidney cysts (27%, >10 cysts). Individuals with ALG8 mutations typically had mild cystic kidneys with limited enlargement. Liver cysts were common (71%), with enlarged livers (>2L) found in 11 of 62 patients, although surgical intervention was rare. The ALG9 kidney phenotype was also of mild cystic kidneys, but enlarged livers were rare; for both genes, CKD or kidney failure were rare. Conclusions ALG8 and ALG9 are defined as cystic kidney/liver genes but with limited penetrance for lower eGFR.
Characterizing Kidney and Liver Cysts in Monoallelic PKHD1 Individuals Identified in a Population-Based Study
Comparative PKD1 and PKD2 Missense Variant Profiling Aids Molecular Diagnoses and Reveals Common Pathomechanisms and Variant Subtypes across the ADPKD Spectrum