Chubak, Jessica

Importance Despite treatment advances, metastatic recurrence continues to be a leading cause of morbidity and mortality. Empirical data on the incidence and survival after metastatic recurrence remain limited, as cancer registries historically do not collect data on recurrence. Objective To estimate the cumulative incidence (CMI) of metastatic recurrence among adolescents and young adults diagnosed with earlier-stage disease and compare survival to those with metastatic disease at diagnosis. Design, Setting, Participants This was a retrospective cohort study of adolescents and young adults aged 15 to 39 years who were diagnosed with nonmetastatic cancers from 2006 to 2018. Adolescents and young adults were identified from the California Cancer Registry linked with statewide hospitalization, emergency department, and ambulatory surgery encounters from the California Department of Health Care Access and Information. Data were analyzed from December 2023 to June 2025. Exposures Cancer types, including melanoma, sarcoma, and breast, cervical, colorectal, testicular, and thyroid cancers. Main Outcomes and Measures Metastatic recurrence was identified using International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification, and Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification, metastatic disease codes at least 6 months after cancer diagnosis or from an underlying cancer cause of death. Follow-up was through December 31, 2020. Results Of a total of 48 406 adolescents and young adults (median [IQR] age at diagnosis, 33.0 [28.0-37.0] years; 67.4% female), 9.2% had metastatic disease at diagnosis, and 9.5% had metastatic recurrence. Among 43 935 adolescents and young adults who presented with nonmetastatic disease, the 5-year CMI of metastatic recurrences was highest among patients with sarcoma (24.5%; 95% CI, 22.6%-26.6%) and colorectal cancer (21.8%; 95% CI, 20.3%-23.4%) and intermediate for cervical (16.3%; 95% CI, 15.0%-17.6%) and breast (14.7%; 95% CI, 14.0%-15.4%) cancers. The CMI for metastatic recurrence increased with increasing stage at diagnosis, with 5-year CMIs higher than 30% for all stage III cancers (except thyroid). The 5-year CMI of metastatic recurrence also increased over time for cervical cancer (2006-2009: 12.7% [95% CI, 10.8%-14.8%]; 2015-2018: 20.4% [95% CI, 17.5%-23.6%]) and decreased for colorectal cancer (2006-2009: 24.4% [95% CI, 21.3%-27.6%]; 2015-2018: 19.2% [95% CI, 16.4%-22.2%]). Survival after metastatic recurrence was worse than metastatic disease at diagnosis for all cancer types, except for testicular and thyroid cancers. Conclusions and Relevance The findings from this cohort study highlight the overall burden of metastatic disease in adolescents and young adults, expanding the knowledge of metastatic recurrences that help improve care for adolescent and young adult survivors throughout the cancer survivorship spectrum.

Abstract Background Few studies have assessed the burden of chronic medical conditions in adolescent and young adult (AYA) cancer survivors. This study estimated the risk of these conditions among AYA survivors compared to a matched cohort without cancer. Methods This retrospective cohort study included 2‐year survivors ( n = 14,917) of 11 common AYA (15–39 years) cancers diagnosed at the integrated health care organizations of Kaiser Permanente (KP) Southern and Northern California during 2006–2020. A comparison cohort ( n = 149,164) without cancer (matched 10:1 by age, sex, calendar year, and KP site) was included. Cumulative incidence (CMI) accounting for death as a competing risk was calculated. Poisson regression estimated the incidence rate ratio (IRR) of each condition in cancer survivors versus the matched cohort, adjusting for age, sex, and race/ethnicity. Results The 5‐year CMI was highest for thyroid (17.4%), respiratory (6.6%), cardiovascular (5.0%), and liver (4.8%) diseases. At 10 years, the CMI of any condition was 39% in survivors versus 26% in the matched cohort. Survivors had a 2‐fold increased risk of being diagnosed with any medical condition (IRR, 2.0; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.9–2.0) as well as two or more conditions (IRR, 2.3; 95% CI, 2.2–2.5). Risk was highest among survivors of hematologic cancers and those diagnosed with distant stage disease. Elevated risks were observed within all sociodemographic groups of this insured population. Conclusion AYAs with cancer had a higher risk of chronic medical conditions compared to those without cancer. Long‐term surveillance, risk mitigation through lifestyle modifications and effective disease management are crucial to reduce premature mortality.

PURPOSE Survivors of adolescent and young adult (AYA)-onset cancers require comprehensive cancer surveillance care. Guidelines recommend 1-4 clinician visits annually for 5 years depending on stage and disease. The goal of this study was to identify factors associated with patterns of post-treatment primary and oncology care in a large cohort of survivors of AYA-onset cancers diagnosed within an integrated health care system. METHODS Patients diagnosed with cancer between 2006 and 2020 age 15-39 years were included. Surveillance visits were identified from electronic medical records 2-5 years after diagnosis. Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess associations with zero oncology specialty visits. RESULTS Of 7,925 survivors, 46% were Hispanic, 6% non-Hispanic Black, 11% non-Hispanic Asian, 35% non-Hispanic White, and 65% female. One-quarter had no oncology specialty visits in the first surveillance year rising to 38% in year 5; 31% had 3+ visits in the first year, declining to 13% in year 5. Over the surveillance period, 17% did not have any oncology specialty visits and 6% had no primary care or oncology visits. Those who were male (odds ratio [OR], 1.21 [95% CI, 1.02 to 1.45]), 20-24 years at diagnosis (OR, 1.58, 95% CI, 1.27 to 1.9; v 35 to 39), or non-Hispanic Black (OR, 1.38, 95% CI, 1.05 to 1.82; v non-Hispanic White) or had high-deductible commercial or Medicaid insurance (OR, 1.35, 95% CI, 1.15 to 1.59; OR, 1.42, 95% CI, 1.11 to 1.82, respectively; v no or low deductible commercial) were more likely to be in the 0-visit group for oncology specialty care. CONCLUSION Although the majority of this cohort received either primary or oncology specialty care, our study identifies those who may need tailored outreach for follow-up care. Continued research into development and testing of interventions to improve uptake of appropriate health care for survivors of AYA-onset cancers is critical.