Phipps, Amanda I.

BACKGROUNDBody weight is associated with colorectal cancer (CRC) risk and survival, but to the authors' knowledge, the impact of long‐term postdiagnostic weight change is unclear. Herein, the authors investigated whether weight change over the 5 years after a diagnosis of CRC is associated with survival.METHODSCRC cases diagnosed from 1997 to 2008 were identified through 4 population‐based cancer registry sites. Participants enrolled within 2 years of diagnosis and reported their height and weight 2 years prior. Follow‐up questionnaires were administered approximately 5 years after diagnosis. Associations between change in weight (in kg) or body mass index (BMI) with overall and CRC‐specific survival were estimated using Cox regression analysis adjusted for age, sex, American Joint Committee on Cancer stage of disease, baseline BMI, nonsteroidal anti‐inflammatory drug use, smoking, time between diagnosis and enrollment, and study site.RESULTSAt the 5‐year postdiagnostic survey, 2049 participants reported higher (53%; median plus 5 kg), unchanged (12%), or lower (35%; median ‐4 kg) weight. Over a median of 5.1 years of subsequent follow‐up (range, 0.3‐9.9 years), 344 participants died (91 of CRC). Long‐term weight loss (per 5 kg) was found to be associated with poorer overall survival (hazard ratio, 1.13; 95% confidence interval, 1.07‐1.21) and CRC‐specific survival (hazard ratio, 1.25; 95% confidence interval, 1.13‐1.39). Significantly lower survival was similarly observed for relative weight loss (>5% vs ≤5% change), BMI reduction (per 1 unit), or BMI category change (overweight to normal vs remaining overweight).CONCLUSIONSWeight loss 5 years after a diagnosis of CRC was found to be significantly associated with decreased long‐term survival, suggesting the importance of avoiding weight loss in survivors of CRC. Future research should attempt to further evaluate this association, accounting for whether this weight change was intentional or represents a marker of declining health. Cancer 2017;123:4701‐4708. © 2017 American Cancer Society.

451 Background: Classifications for molecular subtypes of colorectal cancer based on microsatellite instability (MSI), the CpG island methylator phenotype (CIMP), and somatic mutations in BRAFV600E and KRAS have been proposed to reflect distinct pathways of colorectal tumorigenesis. We assessed the relationship between these subtype classifications and colorectal cancer survival in a population-based study. Methods: Tumor-markers were evaluated in incident colorectal cancer cases diagnosed between 1997-2007 in western Washington State. Cases were classified into pathway-based subtypes according to the following tumor-marker combinations: (1) traditional pathway [microsatellite stable / low MSI (MSS/MSI-L), non-CIMP, BRAF-wildtype, KRAS-wildtype, n = 631]; (2) MSI-high serrated (MSI-high, CIMP-positive, BRAF-mutated, KRAS-wildtype, N=100); (3) MSS/MSI-L serrated (MSS/MSI-L, CIMP-positive, BRAF-mutated, KRAS-wildtype, n = 55); (4) alternate pathway (MSS/MSI-L, non-CIMP, BRAF-wildtype, KRAS-mutated, n = 353); and (5) MSI-high familial (MSI-high, non-CIMP, BRAF-wildtype, KRAS-wildtype, n = 50). Multiple-imputation was used to classify tumor-marker status for cases with missing data on one to three markers. Differences in survival across subtypes were assessed through multivariable-adjusted Cox regression. Results: Relative to cases of the predominant traditional pathway subtype, cases with MSS/MSI-L serrated and alternate pathway tumor subtypes experienced statistically significantly worse disease-specific survival [hazard ratio (HR) = 2.25, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.50-3.36 and HR = 1.39, 95% CI: 1.12-1.71, respectively]; cases with MSI-high familial tumors had the most favorable disease-specific prognosis (HR = 0.28, 95% CI: 0.12-0.64). With respect to overall survival, associations were similar but slightly attenuated. Conclusions: In this large, population-based study, colorectal cancer subtype classifications based on integrated pathways were associated with marked differences in survival, highlighting the significance of molecular heterogeneity in colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUNDAlthough previous studies have noted an increased risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) among moderate to heavy alcohol consumers in comparison with nondrinkers, the relation between alcohol consumption and CRC survival remains unclear.METHODSCases of incident invasive CRC diagnosed between 1997 and 2007 were identified via population‐based cancer registries at 4 study sites in the Colon Cancer Family Registry. Study participants completed a risk‐factor questionnaire on prediagnostic behaviors, including wine, beer, and liquor consumption, at the baseline. Prospective follow‐up for survival was conducted for 4966 CRC cases. Cox regression was used to compare nondrinkers with individuals who consumed, on average, 1 or more servings of alcohol per day in the years preceding their CRC diagnosis with respect to overall and disease‐specific survival. Separate analyses by beverage type, stratified by patient and tumor attributes, were also performed. All models were adjusted for the age at diagnosis, sex, study site, year of diagnosis, smoking history, body mass index, and education.RESULTSPrediagnostic beer and liquor consumption was not associated with CRC survival; however, higher levels of wine consumption were modestly associated with a better prognosis overall (CRC‐specific hazard ratio [HR], 0.70, 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.48‐1.03; overall HR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.53‐0.94). Similar patterns were noted in stratified analyses.CONCLUSIONSThese findings suggest that prediagnostic wine consumption is modestly associated with more favorable survival after CRC. Cancer 2017;123:1035–43. © 2016 American Cancer Society.

Abstract Previous studies have shown an increased risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) among moderate to heavy alcohol consumers relative to non-drinkers; however, the relationship between alcohol and CRC survival remains unclear. Using data from the international Colon Cancer Family Registry (CCFR), we assessed the association between pre-diagnostic alcohol intake and survival outcomes after CRC diagnosis, overall and stratified by patient and tumor attributes. CRC cases were identified via population-based cancer registries at four CCFR study sites, with diagnoses of incident, invasive CRC from 1997 to 2006. Study participants completed a risk factor questionnaire at enrollment which included information on several pre-diagnostic behaviors, including consumption of wine, beer, and liquor. Prospective follow-up for survival outcomes was conducted for 4858 CRC cases with complete data on alcohol consumption. Using Cox proportional hazards regression models with delayed entry to account for the time between diagnosis and study enrollment, we compared non-drinkers (i.e., alcohol intake <1 drink per week) to individuals who consumed, on average, <1 serving of alcohol per day (but ≥1 per week), and those who consumed ≥1 serving per day in the years preceding CRC diagnosis. Separate analyses were carried out for overall and disease-specific survival. All models were adjusted for age at diagnosis, sex, study site, year of diagnosis, smoking history, CRC screening history, and body mass index. Over a mean follow-up of 7.5 years, 1872 (39%) study participants died, 1110 (59%) of whom died from CRC. Pre-diagnostic beer and liquor consumption were not associated with CRC survival; however, consumption of ≥1 serving of wine per day was modestly associated with more favorable overall [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.80, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.63-1.00] and disease-specific survival (HR = 0.83, 95% CI: 0.62-1.12). In stratified analyses, having consumed ≥1 serving of wine per day was slightly, but not statistically significantly, more strongly associated with overall survival among men than among women (HR = 0.71 vs. 0.91, respectively, p-heterogeneity = 0.12) and among those aged ≤50 than those aged >50 years (HR = 0.66 vs. 0.84, p-heterogeneity = 0.35). Similar patterns were noted with respect to disease-specific survival. There were no differences in the relationships between wine consumption and survival outcomes stratified by tumor site, microsatellite instability, BRAF-mutation, or CpG island methylator phenotype status. These results suggest that wine consumption prior to CRC diagnosis is modestly associated with more favorable survival after CRC diagnosis. This modest inverse association does not appear to be limited to specific colorectal tumor subtypes and extends beyond overall survival to disease-specific outcomes. Citation Format: Amanda I. Phipps, Jamaica Robinson, Peter T. Campbell, Aung Ko Win, Jane Figueiredo, Noralane M. Lindor, Polly A. Newcomb. Prediagnostic alcohol consumption and colorectal cancer survival: the Colon Cancer Family Registry. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 107th Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research; 2016 Apr 16-20; New Orleans, LA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2016;76(14 Suppl):Abstract nr 3425.

Alcohol consumption is associated with a modest increased risk of colon cancer, but its relationship with colon cancer survival has not been elucidated. Using data from a phase III randomized adjuvant trial, we assessed the association of alcohol consumption with colon cancer outcomes. Patients completed a risk factor questionnaire before randomization to FOLFOX or FOLFOX + cetuximab (N = 1984). Information was collected on lifestyle factors, including smoking, physical activity and consumption of different types of alcohol. Cox models assessed the association between alcohol consumption and outcomes of disease‐free survival (DFS), time‐to‐recurrence (TTR) and overall survival (OS), adjusting for age, sex, study arm, body mass, smoking, physical activity and performance status. No statistically significant difference in outcomes between ever and never drinkers were noted [hazard ratio (HR)DFS = 0.86, HRTTR = 0.87, HROS = 0.86, p‐values = 0.11–0.17]. However, when considering alcohol type, ever consumers of red wine (n = 628) had significantly better outcomes than never consumers (HRDFS = 0.80, HRTTR = 0.81, HROS = 0.78, p‐values = 0.01–0.02). Favorable outcomes were confirmed in patients who consumed 1‐30 glasses/month of red wine (n = 601, HR = 0.80–0.83, p‐values = 0.03–0.049); there was a suggestion of more favorable outcomes in patients who consumed >30 glasses/month of red wine (n = 27, HR = 0.33–0.38, p‐values = 0.05–0.06). Beer and liquor consumption were not associated with outcomes. Although alcohol consumption was not associated with colon cancer outcomes overall, mild to moderate red wine consumption was suggestively associated with longer OS, DFS and TTR in stage III colon cancer patients.

Abstract Background: The CpG island methylator phenotype (CIMP) is a major molecular pathway in colorectal cancer. Approximately 25% to 60% of CIMP tumors are microsatellite unstable (MSI-H) due to DNA hypermethylation of the MLH1 gene promoter. Our aim was to determine if the distributions of clinicopathologic factors in CIMP-positive tumors with MLH1 DNA methylation differed from those in CIMP-positive tumors without DNA methylation of MLH1. Methods: We assessed the associations between age, sex, tumor-site, MSI status BRAF and KRAS mutations, and family colorectal cancer history with MLH1 methylation status in a large population-based sample of CIMP-positive colorectal cancers defined by a 5-marker panel using unconditional logistic regression to assess the odds of MLH1 methylation by study variables. Results: Subjects with CIMP-positive tumors without MLH1 methylation were significantly younger, more likely to be male, and more likely to have distal colon or rectal primaries and the MSI-L phenotype. CIMP-positive MLH1-unmethylated tumors were significantly less likely than CIMP-positive MLH1-methylated tumors to harbor a BRAF V600E mutation and significantly more likely to harbor a KRAS mutation. MLH1 methylation was associated with significantly better overall survival (HR, 0.50; 95% confidence interval, 0.31–0.82). Conclusions: These data suggest that MLH1 methylation in CIMP-positive tumors is not a completely random event and implies that there are environmental or genetic determinants that modify the probability that MLH1 will become methylated during CIMP pathogenesis. Impact: MLH1 DNA methylation status should be taken into account in etiologic studies. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev; 25(1); 68–75. ©2015 AACR.

Abstract Background: Microsatellite instability (MSI) and BRAF mutation status are associated with colorectal cancer survival, whereas the role of body mass index (BMI) is less clear. We evaluated the association between BMI and colorectal cancer survival, overall and by strata of MSI, BRAF mutation, sex, and other factors. Methods: This study included 5,615 men and women diagnosed with invasive colorectal cancer who were followed for mortality (maximum: 14.7 years; mean: 5.9 years). Prediagnosis BMI was derived from self-reported weight approximately one year before diagnosis and height. Tumor MSI and BRAF mutation status were available for 4,131 and 4,414 persons, respectively. Multivariable hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated from delayed-entry Cox proportional hazards models. Results: In multivariable models, high prediagnosis BMI was associated with higher risk of all-cause mortality in both sexes (per 5-kg/m2; HR, 1.10; 95% CI, 1.06–1.15), with similar associations stratified by sex (Pinteraction: 0.41), colon versus rectum (Pinteraction: 0.86), MSI status (Pinteraction: 0.84), and BRAF mutation status (Pinteraction: 0.28). In joint models, with MS-stable/MSI-low and normal BMI as the reference group, risk of death was higher for MS-stable/MSI-low and obese BMI (HR, 1.32; P value: 0.0002), not statistically significantly lower for MSI-high and normal BMI (HR, 0.86; P value: 0.29), and approximately the same for MSI-high and obese BMI (HR, 1.00; P value: 0.98). Conclusions: High prediagnosis BMI was associated with increased mortality; this association was consistent across participant subgroups, including strata of tumor molecular phenotype. Impact: High BMI may attenuate the survival benefit otherwise observed with MSI-high tumors. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev; 24(8); 1229–38. ©2015 AACR.

Abstract Background: Physical activity is associated with a lower incidence of colorectal cancer; however, the relationship of physical activity with colorectal cancer survival is not yet clear. We evaluated the association between prediagnostic physical activity and colorectal cancer survival, overall and accounting for tumor markers associated with colorectal cancer survival: BRAF and KRAS mutation status and microsatellite instability (MSI) status. Methods: Participants were 20- to 74-year-old colorectal cancer patients diagnosed between 1998 and 2007 from the population-based Seattle Colon Cancer Family Registry (S-CCFR). Self-reported physical activity in the years preceding colorectal cancer diagnosis was summarized as average metabolic equivalent task hours per week (MET-h/wk; n = 1,309). Somatic BRAF and KRAS mutations and MSI status were evaluated on a subset of patients (n = 1043). Cox regression was used to estimate HRs and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for overall and disease-specific survival after adjusting for relevant confounders. Stratified analyses were conducted across categories of BRAF, KRAS, and MSI, as well as tumor stage and site. Results: Higher prediagnostic recreational physical activity was associated with significantly more favorable overall survival (HR for highest vs. lowest category, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.52–0.96); associations were similar for colorectal cancer–specific survival. Results consistently indicated a favorable association with physical activity across strata defined by tumor characteristics. Conclusion: Individuals who were physically active before colorectal cancer diagnosis experienced better survival than those who were inactive or minimally active. Impact: Our results support existing physical activity recommendations for colorectal cancer patients and suggest that the beneficial effect of activity is not specific to a particular molecular phenotype of colorectal cancer. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev; 24(7); 1130–7. ©2015 AACR.

Abstract Background: Tumor features such as stage, grade, and microsatellite instability (MSI) status have relevance for colorectal cancer survival whereas the prognostic role of body mass index (BMI) is unclear. We assessed the association of BMI and adult weight gain on colorectal cancer survival, overall and by strata of sex and MSI. Methods: Participants were identified from a multi-center cohort that includes 6,763 colorectal cancer patients with invasive colorectal cancer who were enrolled into the Colon Cancer Family Registry from 1997 to 2008. Vital status was updated through direct contact with patients/next-of-kin and/or linkage with mortality records. BMI 2 years before diagnosis, BMI at age 20 years, and adult weight gain were derived from self-reports of height and weight (i.e., weight 2 years before diagnosis and weight at age 20 years). Tumor MSI status was available for 4,987 patients. Multivariable, two-sided hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated from delayed-entry Cox proportional hazards models, controlling for age at diagnosis, TNM summary stage (i.e., I, II, III, IV or missing), smoking (current, former, never), and study center. Results: After a maximum of 13.7 years of follow-up from enrollment to end-of-study (median: 5.3 years), 2,335 patients had died. Higher BMI 2 years before cancer diagnosis (per 5-kg/m2) was associated with higher risk of all-cause mortality overall (HR, 1.10; 95% CI, 1.05 to 1.14), with similar associations when stratified by sex (men: HR, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.02 to 1.14; women: HR, 1.11: 95% CI, 1.05 to 1.17; p-interaction: 0.18) and MSI status (MS-stable/MSI-low: HR, 1.08; 95% CI, 1.03 to 1.14; MSI-high, HR: 1.19; 95% CI, 1.02 to 1.40; p-interaction: 0.88). In joint models, with MS-stable/MSI-low and normal BMI as the referent group, risk of death was lower for those with MSI-high and normal BMI (HR: 0.77; 95% CI: 0.59 to 1.00), higher for MS-stable/MSI-low and high (≥30) BMI (HR: 1.23; 95% CI: 1.07 to 1.42), and essentially the same for MSI-high and high BMI (HR: 0.97; 95% CI: 0.72 to 1.30). Similar patterns of association were observed for BMI at age 20 years and when the outcome was colorectal cancer-specific mortality, although not all associations remained statistically significant for some of the smaller sub-group analyses. After controlling for BMI at age 20 years, adult weight gain was only modestly associated with all-cause mortality (per 5 kg HR: 1.01; 95% CI: 1.00 to 1.02; p-trend: 0.07). Conclusion: High pre-diagnosis BMI was associated with increased mortality after colorectal cancer diagnosis; this association was consistent for men and women and by tumor MSI status. These results also suggest that obesity attenuates the survival advantage observed with MSI-high tumors. Citation Format: Peter T. Campbell, Christina Newton, Polly A. Newcomb, Dennis Ahnen, John Baron, Sean Cleary, Michelle Cotterchio, A. Brad Farris, Jane Figueiredo, Roger C. Green, Loic Le Marchand, John McLaughlin, Amanda Phipps, John D. Potter, Andrew Renehan, Aung Ko Win, Noralane Lindor, Paul Limburg. Prospective study of body mass index and adult weight change with colorectal cancer survival, overall and by tumor microsatellite instability status. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 105th Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research; 2014 Apr 5-9; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2014;74(19 Suppl):Abstract nr LB-276. doi:10.1158/1538-7445.AM2014-LB-276

Abstract Background: Individuals with a family history of colorectal cancer in first-degree relatives have an elevated risk of developing colorectal cancer themselves, particularly colorectal cancer exhibiting high microsatellite instability (MSI-high). Given that MSI-high colorectal cancer is associated with a favorable prognosis, it is plausible that having a family history of colorectal cancer could, in turn, be favorably associated with colorectal cancer survival. Methods: This study comprised N = 4,284 incident colorectal cancer cases enrolled in the Colon Cancer Family Registry via population-based cancer registries. Using Cox proportional hazards regression, we evaluated the association between family history and both overall and disease-specific survival, accounting for MSI status and tumor site via stratified analyses and statistical adjustment. Results: There was no evidence of association between family history and overall [hazard ratio (HR), 0.92; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.79–1.08] or disease-specific survival (HR, 1.03; 95% CI, 0.85–1.24) for all cases combined, after adjustment for MSI status or tumor site. Only for rectal cancer cases was colorectal cancer family history modestly associated with more favorable overall survival (HR, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.56–0.99). Conclusions: Although individuals with a family history of colorectal cancer were more likely to have MSI-high tumors than those with nonfamilial disease, this did not translate to a survival benefit. Impact: Overall, there is no evidence that family history of colorectal cancer is associated with colorectal cancer survival; however, specific mechanisms underlying family history may have prognostic impact and merit further study. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev; 23(8); 1700–4. ©2014 AACR.