Shalev, Jefree A.

The need for liver transplantation (LT) among older patients is increasing, but the role of LT in the elderly (≥70 years) is not well defined. We retrospectively reviewed all primary LTs from 1998 through 2016 at our center. Survival and associated risk factors were analyzed with Cox regression and Kaplan‐Meier methods for LT recipients in 3 age groups: <60, 60‐69, and ≥70 years. Among 2281 LT recipients, the median age was 56 years (range, 15‐80 years), and 162 were aged ≥70 years. The estimated 5‐ and 10‐year patient survival probabilities for elderly LT recipients were lower (70.8% and 43.6%) than for recipients aged 60‐69 years (77.2% and 64.6%) and <60 years (80.7% and 67.6%). Patient and graft survival rates associated with LT improved over time from the pre–Model for End‐Stage Liver Disease era to Share 15, pre–Share 35, and Share 35 for the cohort overall (P < 0.001), but rates remained relatively stable in septuagenarians throughout the study periods (all P > 0.45). There was no incremental negative effect of age at LT among elderly patients aged 70‐75 years (log‐rank P = 0.32). Among elderly LT recipients, greater requirement for packed red blood cells and longer warm ischemia times were significantly associated with decreased survival (P < 0.05). Survival of LT recipients, regardless of age, markedly surpassed that of patients who were denied LT, but it was persistently 20%‐30% lower than the expected survival of the general US population (P < 0.001). With the aging of the population, select older patients with end‐stage liver diseases can benefit from LT, which largely restores their expected life spans.

AbstractBackgroundRecent studies have demonstrated that cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection and disease are associated with increased risk of graft loss and death in high‐risk (donor CMV seropositive/recipient CMV seronegative) liver transplant recipients (LTR) despite effective antiviral chemoprophylaxis. Predictors of CMV infection and disease in this important population are incompletely defined.MethodsA retrospective cohort study of 227 high‐risk first LTR who received primary anti‐CMV chemoprophylaxis during the first 100 days after transplant was performed. A large number of patient, donor, operative, and post‐transplant potential risk factors were collected. Associations of potential risk factors for CMV infection or disease that occurred during the first year after transplant were assessed using Cox regression models. After Bonferroni adjustment for multiple testing, P‐values ≤0.00125 (associations with CMV infection) and ≤0.00122 (associations with CMV disease) were considered as statistically significant.ResultsCMV infection and disease occurred in 91 (40%) and 43 (19%) of LTR, respectively. In multivariable analysis, increased risk of CMV infection was observed for patients with lower model for end‐stage liver disease (MELD) score (P = 0.025), lower total bilirubin (P = 0.014), and longer operative time (P = 0.038), whereas increased risk of CMV disease was seen in patients with lower MELD score (P = 0.026), lower total bilirubin (P = 0.044), and lower international normalized ratio (P = 0.043). However, after adjustment for multiple testing, none of these findings approached statistical significance.ConclusionOur results suggest that interventions designed to prevent CMV infection and disease should be applied to all high‐risk LTR until more definitive predictors of these complications are identified.