Bandini, Marco

Objectives To evaluate outcomes of patients achieving a post‐treatment pathological stage of <ypT2N0 at radical cystectomy (RC) following neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) for muscle‐invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) to identify an optimal definition of pathological response. Patients and Methods Patients from 10 international centres who underwent NAC for cT2–4aN0–1 MIBC and achieved <ypT2N0 disease at RC were included. The primary outcome was time to recurrence, either local or distant. Kaplan–Meier and Cox proportional hazards regression were used to evaluate associations between clinicopathological variables and outcomes. Results A total of 625 patients were included. The median age was 66 years and 80% were male. Gemcitabine and cisplatin (GC, 56%) and methotrexate, vinblastine, doxorubicin and cisplatin (MVAC)/dose‐dense (dd)MVAC (32%) were the most common NAC regimens. ypT0, pure ypTis, ypTa ±ypTis and ypT1 ± ypTis were attained in 58.1%, 20.0%, 7.6% and 14.2% of patients, respectively. The cumulative incidence of recurrence at 5 years was 9%, 16%, 29% and 30%, respectively. Pathological stage was prognostic for recurrence, with ypTa ± Tis (hazard ratio [HR] 3.20, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.40–7.30) and ypT1 ± Tis disease (HR 4.03, 95% CI 2.13–7.63) associated with a significantly higher recurrence risk. Pure ypTis (HR 1.66, 95% CI 0.82–3.38) and the type of NAC regimen (ddMVAC: HR 1.59, 95% CI 0.55–4.56; MVAC: HR 1.18, 9%% CI 0.25–5.54; reference: GC) were not associated with recurrence. Conclusion We propose that optimal pathological response after NAC be defined as attainment of ypT0N0/ypTisN0 at RC. Patients with ypTaN0 or ypT1N0 disease (with or without Tis) at RC displayed a significantly higher risk of recurrence and may be candidates for trials investigating adjuvant therapy.

Objectives To develop and externally validate a risk calculator for prediction of any cancer recurrence in patients with penile squamous cell carcinoma (pSCC) and inguinal lymph node metastases (ILNM), as to date no validated prognostic tool is available for patients with pSCC and ILNM. Patients and Methods The development cohort included 234 patients from seven referral centres. The external validation cohort included 273 patients from two additional referral centres. Cox regression identified predictors of any recurrence, which were used to develop a risk calculator. The risk‐calculator grouped the development and the validation cohorts according to the individual risk of any recurrence at 24 months (24m‐R). Adjuvant treatment effects were tested on overall survival (OS) according to the derived tertiles, within the development and validation cohorts. Results Positive surgical margins, pN 3 , and ILNM ratio were associated with higher recurrence rate. The 2‐year OS rates were lower for patients with high (>37%) and intermediate (19–37%) compared to low (<19%) 24m‐R risk of recurrence, for both the development (43% and 58% vs 83%, P < 0.001) and validation cohort (44% and 50% vs 85%, P < 0.001). Results were confirmed in the subgroup of patients who did not receive adjuvant treatment ( P < 0.001), but not in patients who did receive adjuvant treatments in both the development and validation cohorts ( P > 0.1). Conclusion Adjuvant treatment planning is crucial in patients with pSCC with ILNM, where only weak evidence is available. The current tool proved to successfully stratify patients according to their individual risk, potentially allowing better tailoring of adjuvant treatments.

5043 Background: Pathologic complete response (pCR) after NAC for MIBC is strongly correlated with long-term overall survival. However, there are sparse data on the risk of recurrence based on depth of pathologic response (pT0, pTa, pTis, pT1), and the differential impact of clinicopathologic factors and NAC regimen on recurrence. Methods: Baseline data on all pts with cT2-4N0-1 MIBC receiving NAC and who achieved < ypT2N0 disease at radical cystectomy (RC) from 9 international centers were obtained. The key outcome was time to recurrence (TTR) – defined as the time to any recurrence in the urinary tract or regional/distant metastasis, with death (in the absence of recurrence) considered a competing risk. Cox regression analysis was used to analyze the impact of clinical factors on recurrence. Results: A total of 506 pts were available. Median age was 66 years (range 33-86) and 78% (n = 396) were male; median follow-up after RC was 2.6 years. The majority of patients had pure urothelial histology (n = 371, 73%), and baseline stage was cT2N0 (n = 368, 73%), cT3-4N0 (n = 95, 19%) and TanyN1 (n = 43, 9%). NAC regimens were gemcitabine-cisplatin (GC, n = 296, 59%), dose-dense methotrexate-vinblastine-doxorubicin-cisplatin (ddMVAC, n = 141, 28%), split-dose GC (n = 29, 6%), MVAC (n = 29, 6%) and non-cisplatin based regimens (n = 11, 2%). At RC, 304 patients (60%) had ypT0N0 disease, 32 (6%) had ypTaN0, 107 (21%) had ypTisN0 and 63 (13%) had ypT1N0. Overall, 43 patients (8%) recurred with a median TTR of 56 weeks (range 7-251); 5-year freedom from recurrence was 87% (95% CI 83-91). The majority (n = 38) recurred outside the urinary tract. On multivariable analysis, ypTa (HR = 3.36 [1.24-9.11]) and ypT1 (HR = 2.88 [1.33-6.22], p = 0.013) disease at RC were predictors of shorter TTR, while female sex was associated with longer TTR (HR = 0.52 [0.27-0.98], p = 0.043). The type of NAC was not predictive of TTR (GC vs. other, HR = 1.49 [0.75-2.97], p = 0.26). Conclusions: To our knowledge, this is the largest study to quantify the risk of recurrence in pts achieving pathologic response after NAC and RC for MIBC. 8% of patients undergoing NAC and achieving < ypT2N0 at RC recurred. Residual ypTa and ypT1 disease conferred a significantly higher risk of recurrence, while ypTis did not; female sex was associated with a lower risk of recurrence. Importantly, the type of cisplatin-based NAC regimen used was not an independent predictor of recurrence.