St Sauver, Jennifer L

ABSTRACT Background Mobility functional status is inconsistently recorded in electronic health records. Recent advances in Large Language Models (LLMs) enable automated extraction of functional information from unstructured clinical notes. Leveraging a validated functional LLM with high performance in mobility extraction, we aimed to study the association between LLM‐derived mobility functional status and clinical outcomes, including emergency department (ED) visits, hospitalizations, and mortality. Methods Individuals aged 60 years and older enrolled in the Mayo Clinic Study of Aging, with documented clinical notes in 2022 were included. Individuals without any identifiable functional information were excluded. The LLM‐derived mobility functional status categorized mobility as impaired or unimpaired, across the five mobility domains as classified by International Classification of Functioning, Disability, and Health. Clinical outcomes in 2023 were extracted from the Rochester Epidemiology Project database. Logistic regression models assessed associations between mobility impairment and outcomes, adjusted for age, sex, Elixhauser comorbidity index, and education. Results Three thousand three hundred thirty‐seven individuals were screened, of whom three hundred forty‐three had no functional information. Two thousand nine hundred ninety‐four individuals were analyzed. 79.4% had at least one mobility impairment. Higher mobility impairment is associated with older age and greater Elixhauser comorbidity. Individuals with 3 or more impairments had an increased adjusted odds of ED visits (Adjusted Odds Ratio (aOR): 2.18 (1.64, 2.90)) and hospitalizations (aOR: 2.35 (1.51, 3.65)) compared to unimpaired individuals ( p < 0.001), while mortality did not demonstrate a significant association with mobility impairment. Conclusion LLM‐derived mobility functional status assessment was associated with ED visits and hospitalization, but not with all‐cause mortality after adjustment. Prospective validation and evaluation of incremental discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility are needed before clinical implementation.

Background Area‐based deprivation indices have been linked to hypertension and diabetes outcomes, but limited information exists about their relative performance. We compared 2 area‐based deprivation measures (Area Deprivation Index and Yost Index) as risk factors for hypertension and diabetes control. Methods This cohort study identified adults with hypertension or diabetes in a 19‐county region of Southeast Minnesota covered by the Rochester Epidemiology Project. The deprivation indices were operationalized as quintiles for state and national ranks. We assessed agreement using the weighted kappa statistic. We used modified Poisson regression to evaluate associations of the deprivation indices with blood pressure or diabetes control in 2022. We compared relative model fit using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Results We identified 67 386 individuals with hypertension and 30 435 with diabetes. There was moderate to substantial agreement between indices, but the agreement was higher for the state rank (weighted kappa 0.68 for both cohorts) than the national rank (0.54 for both). Although the indices were not associated with hypertension control, greater deprivation was associated with worse diabetes control for the Yost Index (relative risk [RR], 1.21 [95% CI, 1.07–1.38]) and Area Deprivation Index (RR, 1.39 [95% CI, 1.12–1.73]) national ranks. The full‐model area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was similar across indices but differed across cohorts with worse fit for hypertension (0.53 for both) than diabetes (0.63 for both). Conclusions Two common area‐based deprivation indices had similar strength of association with diabetes control, suggesting that either index would be appropriate for researching and developing interventions for diabetes control.

Objectives: To investigate the association between hormone therapy use and severe outcomes due to COVID-19 in perimenopausal and postmenopausal women. Methods: Using the Rochester Epidemiology Project, we retrospectively searched for the records of women aged 40-65 years who had a documented case of COVID-19 between March 12 and September 29, 2020. We further identified those who were perimenopausal or postmenopausal. The rates of emergency department visits, hospitalizations, and deaths were compared by hormone therapy use. Logistic regression models were used to assess the odds of the combined outcome based on hormone therapy use. Results: Among the 689 patients included in this study, the median age was 56 years, and 77.5% were White. Compared with patients currently using hormone therapy, those with past/never use of hormone therapy were significantly older, had more risk factors for severe COVID-19, and had a higher incidence of diabetes. A total of 102 emergency department visits/hospitalizations/deaths occurred among both groups. Participants with current hormone therapy use had similar rates and risk of emergency department/hospitalization/death outcomes as those without hormone therapy, even after adjusting for age and severe COVID-19 risk factors. Conclusions: Severe COVID-19 outcomes were not significantly different between women with current versus past/never use of hormone therapy. Our study adds to the data suggesting no harm with hormone therapy use in women with severe symptoms of COVID-19.

Abstract Historically, cancers diagnosed via the emergency department (ED) portend a poor prognosis. Recent data from the United States are sparse, and analyses of cancers detected in the years following ED visits are lacking. Thus, we analyzed data from nine rural U.S. Midwest counties included within the population-based Rochester Epidemiology Project (2015–2021). Participants without a history of cancer (N = 42,074) who did not receive ED care were matched 1:1 to ED participants on the date of ED visit, age, sex, race, ethnicity, and county of residence. Analyses were restricted to participants with records ≤2 years prior to ED or index visit and ≥30 days after. HRs and 95% confidence intervals (CI) comparing cancer incidence and deaths among ED and non-ED participants were estimated from Cox proportional hazards regression models, either unadjusted or adjusted for covariates. Cumulative cancer incidence curves accounting for competing risks of death and survival (all cause and cancer-specific) were estimated. The median follow-up was 6.3 years, with 2,719 (6.46%) cancers diagnosed among ED participants and 3,139 (7.46%) among non-ED participants. ED participants experienced lower cancer risk overall (HRAdjusted = 0.70; 95% CI, 0.66–0.74; P = 8.89 × 10−31), specifically for breast cancer, prostate cancer, melanoma, and secondary cancers. Cancer-specific mortality was higher among ED participants (HRAdjusted = 1.76; 95% CI, 1.49–2.08; P = 3.62 × 10−11). Compared with non-ED participants, ED participants experienced a lower incidence of cancer but higher overall cancer-specific mortality, suggesting that subsets of ED patients may benefit from postvisit preventive interventions. Prevention Relevance: This cohort analysis shows that cancer incidence over 6 years was lower among participants after an ED visit than among matched non-ED participants, whereas cancer-specific mortality was higher in the ED group (HRAdjusted = 1.76; 95% CI, 1.49–2.08; P = 3.62 × 10−11), suggesting the potential benefit of preventive interventions.

Abstract Objectives The aims of the study were to identify conditions diagnosed in at least 10% of midlife women living in the US upper midwest and to assess prevalence by age, race, ethnicity, and sociodemographic status. Methods The Rochester Epidemiology Project was used to conduct a cross-sectional prevalence study of 86,946 women between 40 and 59 years residing in a 27-county region of the United States on January 1, 2020. Diagnostic billing codes were extracted and grouped into broader condition categories using the Clinical Classification System Refined. The prevalence of 424 conditions was calculated by age, race, ethnicity, and area deprivation index quartiles. Logistic regression was used to examine associations between participant characteristics and conditions that affected 10% or more of the study population. Results Twenty-eight conditions affected ≥10% of women, and eight conditions increased by ≥45% between the ages of 40 and 59 (disorders of lipid metabolism, hypertension, sleep/wake disorders, thyroid disorders, esophageal disorders, osteoarthritis, tendon and synovial disorders, and menopausal disorders; all test for trend P < 0.01). Black women had a significantly higher prevalence of hypertension and esophageal disorders at all ages (adjusted P values <0.05). Women living in more deprived areas had a significantly higher prevalence of hyperlipidemia, hypertension, sleep/wake disorders, and esophageal disorders (adjusted P values <0.05). Women living in less deprived areas had a significantly higher prevalence of thyroid disorders at age 40 to 44 and menopausal disorders at ages 50 to 59 (adjusted P values <0.05). Conclusions These data suggest that additional attention should focus on Black women and women with a lower socioeconomic status to ensure that common midlife conditions are diagnosed and treated.

AbstractA robust and heterogenous secretory phenotype is a core feature of most senescent cells. In addition to mediators of age‐related pathology, components of the senescence associated secretory phenotype (SASP) have been studied as biomarkers of senescent cell burden and, in turn, biological age. Therefore, we hypothesized that circulating concentrations of candidate senescence biomarkers, including chemokines, cytokines, matrix remodeling proteins, and growth factors, could predict mortality in older adults. We assessed associations between plasma levels of 28 SASP proteins and risk of mortality over a median follow‐up of 6.3 years in 1923 patients 65 years of age or older with zero or one chronic condition at baseline. Overall, the five senescence biomarkers most strongly associated with an increased risk of death were GDF15, RAGE, VEGFA, PARC, and MMP2, after adjusting for age, sex, race, and the presence of one chronic condition. The combination of biomarkers and clinical and demographic covariates exhibited a significantly higher c‐statistic for risk of death (0.79, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.76–0.82) than the covariates alone (0.70, CI: 0.67–0.74) (p < 0.001). Collectively, these findings lend further support to biomarkers of cellular senescence as informative predictors of clinically important health outcomes in older adults, including death.

Objective Ceramides have been associated with several ageing-related conditions but have not been studied as a general biomarker of multimorbidity (MM). Therefore, we determined whether ceramide levels are associated with the rapid development of MM. Design Retrospective cohort study. Setting Mayo Clinic Biobank. Participants 1809 persons in the Mayo Clinic Biobank ≥65 years without MM at the time of enrolment, and with ceramide levels assayed from stored plasma. Primary outcome measure Persons were followed for a median of 5.7 years through their medical records to identify new diagnoses of 20 chronic conditions. The number of new conditions was divided by the person-years of follow-up to calculate the rate of accumulation of new chronic conditions. Results Higher levels of C18:0 and C20:0 were associated with a more rapid rate of accumulation of chronic conditions (C18:0 z score RR: 1.30, 95% CI: 1.10 to 1.53; C20:0 z score RR: 1.26, 95% CI: 1.07 to 1.49). Higher C18:0 and C20:0 levels were also associated with an increased risk of hypertension and coronary artery disease. Conclusions C18:0 and C20:0 were associated with an increased risk of cardiometabolic conditions. When combined with biomarkers specific to other diseases of ageing, these ceramides may be a useful component of a biomarker panel for predicting accelerated ageing.

Objectives Obesity is a potentially modifiable risk factor that has been consistently associated with the development and progression of multi-morbidity (MM). However, obesity may be more problematic for some persons compared to others because of interactions with other risk factors. Therefore, we studied the effect of interactions between patient characteristics and overweight and obesity on the rate of accumulation of MM. Methods We studied 4 cohorts of persons ages 20-, 40-, 60-, and 80-years residing in Olmsted County, Minnesota between 2005 and 2014 using the Rochester Epidemiology Project (REP) medical records-linkage system. Body mass index, sex, race, ethnicity, education, and smoking status were extracted from REP indices. The rate of accumulation of MM was calculated as the number of new chronic conditions accumulated per 10 person years through 2017. Poisson rate regression models were used to identify associations between characteristics and rate of MM accumulation. Additive interactions were summarized using relative excess risk due to interaction, attributable proportion of disease, and the synergy index. Results Greater than additive synergistic associations were observed between female sex and obesity in the 20- and 40-year cohorts, between low education and obesity in the 20-year cohort (both sexes), and between smoking and obesity in the 40-year cohort (both sexes). Conclusions Interventions targeted at women, persons with lower education, and smokers who also have obesity may result in the greatest reduction in the rate of MM accumulation. However, interventions may need to focus on persons prior to mid-life to have the greatest effect.