SummaryDue to the introduction of newer, more efficacious treatment options, there is a pressing need for policy makers and public health officials to develop or adapt national hepatitis C virus (HCV) control strategies to the changing epidemiological landscape. To do so, detailed, country‐specific data are needed to characterize the burden of chronic HCV infection. In this study of 17 countries, a literature review of published and unpublished data on HCV prevalence, viraemia, genotype, age and gender distribution, liver transplants and diagnosis and treatment rates was conducted, and inputs were validated by expert consensus in each country. Viraemic prevalence in this study ranged from 0.2% in Hong Kong to 2.4% in Taiwan, while the largest viraemic populations were in Nigeria (2 597 000 cases) and Taiwan (569 000 cases). Diagnosis, treatment and liver transplant rates varied widely across the countries included in this analysis, as did the availability of reliable data. Addressing data gaps will be critical for the development of future strategies to manage and minimize the disease burden of hepatitis C.
The present and future disease burden of hepatitis C virus infections with today's treatment paradigm: Volume 4
SummaryFactors influencing the morbidity and mortality associated with viremic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection change over time and place, making it difficult to compare reported estimates. Models were developed for 17 countries (Bahrain, Bulgaria, Cameroon, Colombia, Croatia, Dominican Republic, Ethiopia, Ghana, Hong Kong, Jordan, Kazakhstan, Malaysia, Morocco, Nigeria, Qatar and Taiwan) to quantify and characterize the viremic population as well as forecast the changes in the infected population and the corresponding disease burden from 2015 to 2030. Model inputs were agreed upon through expert consensus, and a standardized methodology was followed to allow for comparison across countries. The viremic prevalence is expected to remain constant or decline in all but four countries (Ethiopia, Ghana, Jordan and Oman); however, HCV‐related morbidity and mortality will increase in all countries except Qatar and Taiwan. In Qatar, the high‐treatment rate will contribute to a reduction in total cases and HCV‐related morbidity by 2030. In the remaining countries, however, the current treatment paradigm will be insufficient to achieve large reductions in HCV‐related morbidity and mortality.
Strategies to manage hepatitis C virus infection disease burden—Volume 4
SummaryThe hepatitis C virus (HCV) epidemic was forecasted through 2030 for 17 countries in Africa, Asia, Europe, Latin America and the Middle East, and interventions for achieving the Global Health Sector Strategy on viral hepatitis targets—“WHO Targets” (65% reduction in HCV‐related deaths, 90% reduction in new infections and 90% of infections diagnosed by 2030) were considered. Scaling up treatment and diagnosis rates over time would be required to achieve these targets in all but one country, even with the introduction of high SVR therapies. The scenarios developed to achieve the WHO Targets in all countries studied assumed the implementation of national policies to prevent new infections and to diagnose current infections through screening.
More advanced disease and worse survival in cryptogenic compared to viral hepatocellular carcinoma
AbstractBackground & AimsAlthough hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections remain major risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), non‐viral causes of HCC, particularly non‐alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), are becoming increasingly prevalent. The aim of this study was to compare the clinical characteristics and survival of cryptogenic and viral HCC.MethodsWe conducted a retrospective cohort study involving 3878 consecutive HCC patients seen at two tertiary centres in the United States and one in Taiwan from 2004 to 2014. We compared the clinical characteristics, treatment and survival of patients by underlying aetiology: cryptogenic (n = 696), HBV (n = 1304) or HCV (n = 1878).ResultsCirrhosis was present in 66.8% of the cryptogenic HCC patients, compared with 74.7% of HBV‐related HCC (HBV‐HCC) (P = .001) and 85.9% of HCV‐HCC (P < .001). Compared to viral HCC, cryptogenic HCC patients presented with larger tumours and at later stages of disease. Five‐year overall survival was 16.3% among cryptogenic HCC patients compared with 31.9% among HBV‐HCC patients and 27.7% among HCV‐HCC patients (P < .001 for both by the log‐rank test). HCC aetiology was not an independent predictor of survival, though ethnicity, cirrhosis status, meeting Milan criteria and treatment allocation were.ConclusionsCompared with viral HCC patients, those with cryptogenic HCC had lower prevalence of cirrhosis, were diagnosed with larger tumours at more advanced stages of disease, and had poorer overall survival. Additional efforts are needed to identify patients at risk of cryptogenic HCC and to identify cryptogenic HCC at earlier stages of disease.
Sleeping Beauty
Insertional Mutagenesis in Mice Identifies Drivers of Steatosis-Associated Hepatic Tumors
Multiphasic computed tomography (CT) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) are both used for noninvasive diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with cirrhosis. To determine if there is a relative diagnostic benefit of one over the other, we synthesized evidence regarding the relative performance of CT, extracellular contrast–enhanced MRI, and gadoxetate‐enhanced MRI for diagnosis of HCC in patients with cirrhosis. We also assessed whether liver biopsy versus follow‐up with the same versus alternative imaging is best for CT‐indeterminate or MRI‐indeterminate liver nodules in patients with cirrhosis. We searched multiple databases from inception to April 27, 2016, for studies comparing CT with extracellular contrast–enhanced MRI or gadoxetate‐enhanced MRI in adults with cirrhosis and suspected HCC. Two reviewers independently selected studies and extracted data. Of 33 included studies, 19 were comprehensive, while 14 reported sensitivity only. For all tumor sizes, the 19 comprehensive comparisons showed significantly higher sensitivity (0.82 versus 0.66) and lower negative likelihood ratio (0.20 versus 0.37) for MRI over CT. The specificities of MRI versus CT (0.91 versus 0.92) and the positive likelihood ratios (8.8 versus 8.1) were not different. All three modalities performed better for HCCs ≥2 cm. Performance was poor for HCCs <1 cm. No studies examined whether adults with cirrhosis and an indeterminate nodule are best evaluated using biopsy, repeated imaging, or alternative imaging. Concerns about publication bias, inconsistent study results, increased risk of bias, and clinical factors precluded support for exclusive use of either gadoxetate‐enhanced or extracellular contrast–enhanced MRI over CT.Conclusion:CT, extracellular contrast–enhanced MRI, or gadoxetate‐enhanced MRI could not be definitively preferred for HCC diagnosis in patients with cirrhosis; in patients with cirrhosis and an indeterminate mass, there were insufficient data comparing biopsy to repeat cross‐sectional imaging or alternative imaging. (Hepatology2018;67:401‐421).
Abstract 192: Targeting stearoyl CoA desaturase 1 (SCD1) in hepatobilliary carcinoma
Abstract Background: The paucity of effective therapeutic agents for hepatocellular cancer (HCC) underscores the critical need for more effective therapeutic strategies. Recent studies indicate lipid biosynthesis and desaturation is required for HCC survival. Targeting these may prove beneficial because such changes contribute to therapeutic resistance. Stearoyl CoA desaturase (SCD1), a key mediator of fatty acid (FA) biosynthesis and rate-limiting in conversion of saturated fatty acids (SFAs) to mono-unsaturated fatty acids (MUFAs), is upregulated in HCC and many other cancers. As such, we therapeutically targeted a novel lipogenic tumor survival mechanism mediated by SCD1 as a means to combat the chemoresistance associated with HCC. In so doing, we evaluated a novel lead SCD1 inhibitor in HCC. Methods: Paraffin embedded patient HCC tissues were examined for SCD1 expression. Using combined computational and synthetic chemistry approaches, we synthesized four novel specific SCD1 inhibitors with SSI-4 being the lead SCD1 inhibitor. HCC cell lines were examined using proliferation assays for response to SSI-4. IC50 concentrations for blocking SCD1 enzyme activity was determined. Blood half-life and bioavailability of single dose SSI-4 was determined. Mechanisms of action of SCD1 were examined that included Endoplasmic reticulum (ER) stress. In vivo, antitumor activity was determined using HCC patient derived xenograft (PDX) mouse models. Results: We identified elevated SCD1 mRNA and protein in HCCs tissues. SSI-4 dose-dependently inhibits cell proliferation in HCC cell lines with specificity demonstrated by oleic acid (MUFA) co-culture. Single dose oral gavage SSI-4 demonstrated a half-life of ~4 hours and excellent oral bioavailability. SSI-4 was well tolerated with long-term daily dosing. SSI-4 treatment of HCC cells and tumors led to endoplasmic reticulum (ER) stress followed by apoptotic cell death. Single agent SSI-4 demonstrated antitumor activity in HCC PDX mouse models with suppression of ER stress regulated proteins. Conclusions: Targeting a novel lipid metabolic pathway in HCC may provide effective therapy for aggressive HCC. Citation Format: John Alton Copland, Laura A. Marlow, Ilah Bok, James L. Miller, Matsuda Akiko, Yan W. Asmann, Vivekananda Sarangi, Steven R. Alberts, Kabir Mody, Lewis R. Roberts, Mark J. Truty, Tushar C. Patel. Targeting stearoyl CoA desaturase 1 (SCD1) in hepatobilliary carcinoma [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2017; 2017 Apr 1-5; Washington, DC. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2017;77(13 Suppl):Abstract nr 192. doi:10.1158/1538-7445.AM2017-192
The incidence rates and survival of gallbladder cancer in the USA
Gallbladder cancer is a rare malignancy in most countries. The racial and sociodemographic factors associated with its incidence and survival are poorly defined. We aimed to investigate population-based gallbladder cancer incidence and survival trends on the basis of clinical characteristics and sociodemographic factors in the USA. Gallbladder cancer incidence and survival data from 2001 to 2012 were obtained from 18 registries of the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Incidence rates and Joinpoint trends were calculated by demographic subgroup. Survival trends were assessed using Cox proportional hazard models. A total of 7769 patients were identified. The overall gallbladder cancer incidence rates did not significantly change during the 2001–2012 period. Incidence rates were three times higher in Hispanics and 1.6 times higher in Blacks compared with Whites. Over the time period, incidence rates significantly increased among Blacks and decreased among Hispanics. Male sex [hazard ratio (HR): 1.10, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.03–1.17], older age (HR: 1.73, 95% CI: 1.53–1.96), and single and divorced statuses (HR: 1.19, 95% CI: 1.09–1.30 and 1.12, 95% CI: 1.01–1.24) were independently associated with shorter overall survival, whereas higher education (HR: 0.89, 95% CI: 0.82–0.97) and higher income (HR: 0.89, 95% CI: 0.82–0.96) were associated with longer survival. Furthermore, overall survival has improved in all races/ethnicities except for Hispanics and Blacks. The overall incidence rates for gallbladder cancer were stable during 2001–2012. Hispanics have the highest incidence rates, but the incidence rates in Blacks are on the rise.
Hepatocellular carcinoma in South America: Evaluation of risk factors, demographics and therapy
AbstractBackground & AimsHepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the second leading cause of cancer‐related death worldwide. Most studies addressing the epidemiology of HCC originate from developed countries. This study reports the preliminary findings of a multinational approach to characterize HCC in South America.MethodsWe evaluated 1336 HCC patients seen at 14 centres in six South American countries using a retrospective study design with participating centres completing a template chart of patient characteristics. The diagnosis of HCC was made radiographically or histologically for all cases according to institutional standards. Methodology of surveillance for each centre was following AASLD or EASL recommendations.ResultsSixty‐eight percent of individuals were male with a median age of 64 years at time of diagnosis. The most common risk factor for HCC was hepatitis C infection (HCV, 48%), followed by alcoholic cirrhosis (22%), Hepatitis B infection (HBV, 14%) and NAFLD (9%). We found that among individuals with HBV‐related HCC, 38% were diagnosed before age 50. The most commonly provided therapy was transarterial chemoembolization (35% of HCCs) with few individuals being considered for liver transplant (<20%). Only 47% of HCCs were diagnosed during surveillance, and there was no difference in age of diagnosis between those diagnosed incidentally vs by surveillance. Nonetheless, being diagnosed during surveillance was associated with improved overall survival (P = .01).ConclusionsOur study represents the largest cohort to date reporting characteristics and outcomes of HCC across South America. We found an important number of HCCs diagnosed outside of surveillance programmes, with associated increased mortality in those patients.