Palmer, Julie R.

PURPOSE This study assessed the joint association of pathogenic variants (PVs) in breast cancer (BC) predisposition genes and polygenic risk scores (PRS) with BC in the general population. METHODS A total of 26,798 non-Hispanic white BC cases and 26,127 controls from predominately population-based studies in the Cancer Risk Estimates Related to Susceptibility consortium were evaluated for PVs in BRCA1, BRCA2, ATM, CHEK2, PALB2, BARD1, BRIP1, CDH1, and NF1. PRS based on 105 common variants were created using effect estimates from BC genome-wide association studies; the performance of an overall BC PRS and estrogen receptor–specific PRS were evaluated. The odds of BC based on the PVs and PRS were estimated using penalized logistic regression. The results were combined with age-specific incidence rates to estimate 5-year and lifetime absolute risks of BC across percentiles of PRS by PV status and first-degree family history of BC. RESULTS The estimated lifetime risks of BC among general-population noncarriers, based on 10th and 90th percentiles of PRS, were 9.1%-23.9% and 6.7%-18.2% for women with or without first-degree relatives with BC, respectively. Taking PRS into account, more than 95% of BRCA1, BRCA2, and PALB2 carriers had > 20% lifetime risks of BC, whereas, respectively, 52.5% and 69.7% of ATM and CHEK2 carriers without first-degree relatives with BC, and 78.8% and 89.9% of those with a first-degree relative with BC had > 20% risk. CONCLUSION PRS facilitates personalization of BC risk among carriers of PVs in predisposition genes. Incorporating PRS into BC risk estimation may help identify > 30% of CHEK2 and nearly half of ATM carriers below the 20% lifetime risk threshold, suggesting the addition of PRS may prevent overscreening and enable more personalized risk management approaches.

Abstract Germline mutations in several cancer predisposition genes included in hereditary multigene testing panels have been associated with increased breast cancer risk. However, estimates of breast cancer risks for each gene have in large part been derived from studies of high-risk populations enriched for family history of breast and ovarian cancer, young age of breast cancer diagnosis, or founder mutations. The breast cancer risks associated with mutations in many of these genes in the general population remain to be clearly defined. As clinical hereditary cancer genetic testing is already provided to many women at increased risk and may soon be offered to all breast cancer patients, population-based risk estimates associated with predisposition gene mutations will be needed for appropriate clinical management of mutation carriers. The “CAnceR RIsk Estimates Related to Susceptibility” (CARRIERS) consortium of 17 cohort-based case-control, population-based case-control, and family studies focused on estimation of population-based breast cancer risks and penetrance analysis for mutations in known and candidate breast cancer predisposition genes. Germline DNA from 39486 breast cancer cases and 35868 matched controls was subjected to dual bar-coded QIAseq multiplex amplification of 1733 target regions in 37 predisposition genes. Products from sets of 768 samples were pooled and sequenced in each lane of a HiSeq 4000 system. Mutations were called by GATK Haplotype Caller and Verdict. High quality sequence data was obtained for 99.3% of target regions. Here we report on results from 34741 population-based breast cancer cases and 32728 matched unaffected controls. The mean age of breast cancer diagnosis for cases was 61.2 years and mean age for controls was 61.1 years. Overall, 20.9% of cases and 14.3% of controls had a family history of breast cancer. Furthermore, 74.3% of cases and 75.8% of controls were non-Hispanic white, whereas 13.3% of cases and 15.3% of controls were African American. Among cases with tumor information available, 81.7% were ER-positive and 7.7% were triple negative breast cancers (TNBC). We assessed mutation frequencies in 24 genes including 12 established breast cancer predisposition genes (ATM, BARD1, BRCA1, BRCA2, CDH1, CHEK2, NF1, PALB2, PTEN, RAD51C, RAD51D, andTP53). The overall mutation frequency was 6.2% in cases and 2.7% in controls. Case-control association analysis after adjusting for study, age, family history of breast cancer, and race/ethnicity showed that BRCA1(OR=7.45; 95%CI:5.24-10.95) and BRCA2(OR=5.31; 95%CI:4.15-6.88) were associated with high risks of breast cancer in the general population. However, PALB2mutations were only associated with moderate risks (OR=3.63; 95%CI:2.57-5.26). ATMmutations conferred attenuated risks (OR=1.83; 95%CI:1.47-2.28) relative to studies of high-risk families or young onset breast cancers. NBNmutations were not associated with increased breast cancer risk. Mutations in BARD1, RAD51C, RAD51Dand XRCC2were specifically significantly associated with moderate risks of ER-negative breast cancer and TNBC, whereas mutations in ATM, CDH1and CHEK2were specifically significantly associated with ER-positive disease. On the basis of these findings age-related absolute breast cancer risks for commonly mutated genes were estimated. Overall, results from the CARRIERS study establish that mutations in predisposition genes are associated with lower risks of breast cancer in the general population than in enriched populations including high-risk families and young onset, bilateral, or multiple primary cases. We anticipate that the results from this study will inform cancer screening and other risk management strategies for women in the general population with mutations in predisposition genes. Citation Format: Fergus J Couch, Chunling Hu, Steven N Hart, Rohan Gnanaolivu, Kun Y Lee, Jie Na, Chi Gao, Nicholas J Boddicker, Bruce Eckloff, Raed Samara, Josh Klebba, Christine B Ambrosone, Hoda Anton-Culver, Paul Auer, Leslie Bernstein, Mia M Gaudet, Christopher Haiman, Esther M John, Susan Neuhausen, Janet E Olson, Tuya Pal, Julie R Palmer, Dale P Sandler, Jack A Taylor, Amy Trentham-Dietz, Celine M Vachon, Clarice Weinberg, Song Yao, Jeffrey N Weitzel, David E Goldgar, Susan M Domchek, Katherine L Nathanson, Peter Kraft, Eric C Polley. Population-based breast cancer risk estimates for predisposition gene mutations: Results from the CARRIERS study [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2019 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2019 Dec 10-14; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2020;80(4 Suppl):Abstract nr PD3-01.

Abstract Background The risks of breast cancer in African American (AA) women associated with inherited mutations in breast cancer predisposition genes are not well defined. Thus, whether multigene germline hereditary cancer testing panels are applicable to this population is unknown. We assessed associations between mutations in panel-based genes and breast cancer risk in 5054 AA women with breast cancer and 4993 unaffected AA women drawn from 10 epidemiologic studies. Methods Germline DNA samples were sequenced for mutations in 23 cancer predisposition genes using a QIAseq multiplex amplicon panel. Prevalence of mutations and odds ratios (ORs) for associations with breast cancer risk were estimated with adjustment for study design, age, and family history of breast cancer. Results Pathogenic mutations were identified in 10.3% of women with estrogen receptor (ER)-negative breast cancer, 5.2% of women with ER-positive breast cancer, and 2.3% of unaffected women. Mutations in BRCA1, BRCA2, and PALB2 were associated with high risks of breast cancer (OR = 47.55, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 10.43 to >100; OR = 7.25, 95% CI = 4.07 to 14.12; OR = 8.54, 95% CI = 3.67 to 24.95, respectively). RAD51D mutations were associated with high risk of ER-negative disease (OR = 7.82, 95% CI = 1.61 to 57.42). Moderate risks were observed for CHEK2, ATM, ERCC3, and FANCC mutations with ER-positive cancer, and RECQL mutations with all breast cancer. Conclusions The study identifies genes that predispose to breast cancer in the AA population, demonstrates the validity of current breast cancer testing panels for use in AA women, and provides a basis for increased referral of AA patients for cancer genetic testing.

Abstract Background: Understanding the joint effect on breast cancer risk of rare pathogenic variants in cancer predisposition genes and polygenic risk scores (PRS) from common variants can enable a precision approach to breast cancer management. Previous work found that PRS were associated with breast cancer risk in BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation carriers recruited from cancer genetics clinics (Kuchenbaecker et al. JNCI 2017). The joint effects of pathogenic variants and PRS have not been studied in samples drawn from the general population. There is also no existing study evaluating the effect of PRS in mutation carriers in genes other than BRCA1/2. Here we evaluate the joint effects of PRS and pathogenic mutations in established cancer predisposition genes in a population-based case-control sample. Method: We analyzed 53,199 European-ancestry individuals (20,730 controls and 21,272 cases) drawn from 7 cohorts and 2 population-based case-control studies in the CAnceR RIsk Estimates Related to Susceptibility” (CARRIERS) consortium. Targeted sequencing was performed using dual bar-coded QIAseq. Mutation calling was conducted with Haplotype Caller and Vardict. We sequenced 18 breast cancer predisposition genes: ATM, BARD1, BRCA1, BRCA2, BRIP1, CDH1, CDKN2A, CHECK2, FANCC, MLH1, MSH2, MSH6, NF1, PALB2, PTEN, RAD51C, RAD51D and TP53. The PRS was calculated based on 128 common variants using effect estimates from the largest published breast cancer GWAS. The PRS was standardized to a mean of 0 and standard deviation of 1. Logistic regression was performed to assess the combined effect of identified mutation and common variants (including main and interaction effects for carrier status and PRS). Results: A total of 1,770 pathogenic mutations were observed. About 1% of the study sample had mutations in either BRCA1 (n=209) or BRCA2 gene (n=305), and 2.2% had mutations in other genes (n=1,176). The effect of PRS in BRCA1 carriers was OR= 0.97 (95%CI: 0.62, 1.52); however, this is not statistically significantly different from the PRS in non-carriers [OR=1.23 (95%CI: 1.20, 1.25)] or previous estimates in carriers [OR: 1.14, 95%CI: 1.11-1.17]. The effect of PRS in BRCA2 carriers was OR=1.87 (95%CI: 1.31, 2.78) which was statistically significantly different from that of the non-carriers. Among the mutation carriers in genes other than BRCA, the effect of PRS on breast cancer was OR=1.00 (95%CI: 0.88,1.15). Conclusion: Consistent with previous studies, we did not find evidence that the effect of the PRS among BRCA1 carriers was statistically significantly different than non-carriers. We found some evidence that the PRS effect may be larger among BRCA2 carriers than non-carriers. Our results also suggest that PRS may not have a strong effect on breast cancer risk in mutation carriers of other predisposition genes; further work is needed for verification. Citation Format: Chi Gao, Chunling Hu, Steven N. Hart, Rohan Gnanaolivu, Kun Y. Lee, Jenna Lilyquist, Nicholas J. Boddicker, Bruce Eckloff, Raed Samara, Josh Klebba, Paul Auer, Leslie Bernstein, Mia Gaudet, Hoda Anton-Culver, Amy Trentham-Dietz, Julie R. Palmer, Song Yao, Christopher Haiman, Janet E. Olson, Susan Domchek, Jeffrey Weitzel, David Goldgar, Katherine L. Nathanson, Eric C. Polley, Fergus J. Couch, Peter Kraft. The joint effects of polygenic risk scores and pathogenic variants in cancer predisposition genes on breast cancer risk in the general population: results from the CARRIERS study [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2019; 2019 Mar 29-Apr 3; Atlanta, GA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(13 Suppl):Abstract nr 4177.

Abstract Clinical germline genetic testing of cancer predisposition gene panels is used to identify women at increased risk for breast cancer. Pathogenic mutations in cancer predisposition genes are associated with established risks of breast cancer and are actively used for risk management of breast cancer for women qualifying for genetic testing because of a family history of breast and/or ovarian cancer or young age of diagnosis. However, the risks of breast cancer associated with mutations in these genes have likely been overestimated for many women in the general population. The goal of the “CAnceR RIsk Estimates Related to Susceptibility” (CARRIERS) study was to estimate breast cancer risks associated with mutations in hereditary cancer panel genes. Germline DNA from 32,298 breast cancer patients and 31,869 matched unaffected controls enrolled in cohorts and population-based case-control studies were sequenced to identify pathogenic mutations in 37 cancer predisposition genes.The average age at diagnosis was 61.2 years and the average age of last follow-up was 62.1 years. DNA was subjected to dual bar-coded QIAseq multiplex PCR-based amplification of 1733 target regions in 37 predisposition genes. Products from 768 samples were pooled and sequenced in a single lane of a HiSeq 4000 system. Mutations were called by GATK Haplotype Caller and Vardict.High quality sequence data was obtained for 99.3% of target regions. Pathogenic mutations in 12 known breast cancer predisposition genes were identified in 6.2% of all breast cancer cases and 2.1% of controls; and in 6.7% of African American breast cancer cases and 1.8% of controls. In case-control association analyses adjusted for age at diagnosis or last follow up and family history of breast and ovarian cancer, mutations in BRCA1, BRCA2, and PALB2 were associated with high risks of breast cancer (odds ratio (OR)>4.0). Mutations in CHEK2 and BARD1 were associated with moderate risks of breast cancer (OR>2.0), whereas mutations in ATM had lower clinical relevance (OR=1.6). Stratification by ER, PR, and HER2 status of tumors found that BRCA1, BRCA2, PALB2 and TP53 were associated with high risks of studies of triple negative breast cancer (TNBC), and that BARD1, BRIP1, FANCM, and RAD51C were associated with moderate risks of TNBC. Overall, results from the CARRIERS study establish that mutations in predisposition genes are associated with lower risks of breast cancer in the general population than in high-risk families. The age-related estimates of breast cancer risk for each of the hereditary cancer panel genes in this study may inform on the use of cancer screening and other risk management strategies for women in the general population with mutations in predisposition genes. Citation Format: Fergus J. Couch, Chunling Hu, Steven N. Hart, Rohan Gnanaolivu, Jenna Lilyquist, Kun Y. Lee, Chi Gao, Bruce Eckloff, Hoda Anton-Culver, Paul Auer, Leslie Bernstein, Mia Gaudet, Christopher Haiman, Julie Palmer, Amy Tentham-Dietz, Song Yao, Susan Domchek, Jeffrey N. Weitzel, David E. Goldgar, Katherine L. Nathanson, Peter Kraft, Eric C. Polley. Population-based breast cancer risk estimates associated with cancer predisposition gene mutations from 32,298 breast cancer patients and 31,869 matched unaffected controls from the CARRIERS study [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2019; 2019 Mar 29-Apr 3; Atlanta, GA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(13 Suppl):Abstract nr 4169.

104 Background: The identification of pathogenic mutations in breast cancer susceptibility genes through clinical genetic testing leads to focused screening and prevention strategies for women at increased risk of cancer. However, the frequency of mutations and the risks of cancer associated with breast cancer predisposition genes has not been established for the African American population. Methods: Germline DNA samples from African American women (5,054 breast cancer cases and 4,993 age-matched unaffected controls) from 10 U.S. studies were tested for mutations in 20 established breast cancer predisposition genes using a QIAseq multiplex amplicon panel as part of the “CAnceR RIsk Estimates Related to Susceptibility” (CARRIERS) study. The frequency of mutations in each gene and associations between mutations and breast cancer risk, adjusted for study design, age, and first-degree family history of breast cancer, were evaluated. Results: The mean age at diagnosis of breast cancer cases was 54.4 years and the mean age of controls was 55.2 years. 18.2% of cases and 10.8% of controls reported a first-degree family history of breast cancer. Pathogenic mutations in any of the 20 breast cancer predisposition genes were identified in 7.6% of breast cancer cases and 2.4% of controls. In multivariable analyses, mutations in BRCA1, BRCA2, and PALB2 were associated with high risks of breast cancer (odds ratio (OR) > 5.0). Mutations in CHEK2 were associated with moderate risks of breast cancer (OR > 2.0), whereas mutations in ATM had lower clinical relevance (OR = 1.8). Mutations in BRCA1, BRCA2, PALB2, and RAD51D, but not CHEK2 or ATM, were associated with increased risks of estrogen receptor negative breast cancer. Conclusions: Cancer predisposition genes confer similar risks of breast cancer in the African American population as in non-Hispanic Whites. These studies provide important insights into the risks of breast cancer associated with predisposition gene mutations in the African American population.

Abstract Background: Clinical germline genetic testing of cancer predisposition gene panels is used to identify women at increased risk for breast cancer. The identification of pathogenic mutations in established high and moderate predisposition genes may result in improved risk management of breast cancer for tested patients and their family members through tailored screening, prophylactic surgeries, or chemoprevention. However, the risks of breast cancer associated with mutations in these genes have likely been overestimated for many women in the general population because previous studies have focused on individuals with a family history of breast and/or ovarian cancer, early onset disease, or triple negative breast cancer. The goal of the “CAnceR RIsk Estimates Related to Susceptibility” (CARRIERS) study is to estimate breast cancer risks associated with mutations in hereditary cancer panel genes in the general population. Methods: Germline DNA samples from blood or saliva were obtained from 39,439 breast cancer patients and matched unaffected controls from six US-based cohorts (BWHS, CPSII, CTS, MEC, NHS1, NHS2, WHI). DNA was subjected to dual bar-coded QIAseq multiplex PCR-based amplification of 1733 target regions covering all coding regions of 37 cancer predisposition genes and sequenced. Mutation calling was conducted with Haplotype Caller and Vardict. Results: High quality sequence data was obtained for 38,990 of 39,439 samples (98.9%) and for 99.3% of target regions. Pathogenic mutations in 12 known breast cancer predisposition genes were identified 4.5% of all breast cancer cases and 2.1% of controls; and in 6.7% of African American breast cancer cases and 1.8% of controls. Differences in mutation frequencies were observed by age with mutations in 7.8% of cases diagnosed £50 years of age and 4.0% of cases diagnosed over age 50. Mutations in ATM, BRCA1, BRCA2, and PALB2 were enriched 2 to 3-fold in cases diagnosed under age 50 relative to older cases. No change in frequency of CHEK2 mutations by age was observed. In case-control analyses mutations in BRCA1, BRCA2 and PALB2 were significantly associated with a high risk of breast cancer (odds ratio (OR)>4.0). Of these, BRCA1 and BRCA2 displayed ORs of 13.5 and 16.6 in the £50 age group, but only 5.7 and 3.2 in the >50 age group. Only minor age-specific effects were observed for PALB2. Mutations in ATM and CHEK2 were associated with moderate risks of breast cancer (OR=2.0 to 4.0) in the younger age group, but not in the older age group. Conclusions: Results from the CARRIERS cohort-based study establish that mutations in known breast cancer predisposition genes are associated with only moderate risks of breast cancer in the general population. However, risks are substantially increased for BRCA1 and BRCA2 but not ATM, CHEK2 or PALB2 mutations in those £50 years of age. The age-related estimates of breast cancer risk for each of the hereditary cancer panel genes in this study may inform selection of individuals in the general population who may benefit from genetic testing and associated risk management strategies. Citation Format: Couch FJ, Hu C, Hart SN, Gnanaolivu RD, Lilyquist J, Lee KY, Gao C, Eckloff B, Samara R, Klebba J, Auer P, Bernstein L, Gaudet M, Haiman C, Palmer JR, Yao S, Domchek SM, Weitzel JN, Goldgar DE, Nathanson KL, Kraft P, Polley EC. Age-related breast cancer risk estimates for the general population based on sequencing of cancer predisposition genes in 19,228 breast cancer patients and 20,211 matched unaffected controls from US based cohorts in the CARRIERS study [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2018 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2018 Dec 4-8; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(4 Suppl):Abstract nr GS2-01.

In a prospective cohort study of the health effects associated with prenatal Diethylstilbestrol (DES) exposure, DES was associated with an increased breast cancer risk after 40 years of age. It is unknown whether it is associated with greater mammographic density, which strongly predicts breast cancer risk. A cohort of DES‐exposed and unexposed women was assembled at the Mayo Clinic in 1975, and followed through 2012 as part of the National Cancer Institute's DES follow‐up study. Mammographic density from 3,637 mammograms for 332 (222 DES‐exposed, 110 unexposed) women in this cohort screened at the Mayo Clinic, Rochester between 1996 and 2015 was determined clinically using the Breast Imaging Reporting and Data System (BI‐RADS). Any effect of prenatal DES exposure on mammographic density was estimated using repeated measures logistic regression. There was no association between prenatal DES exposure and high mammographic density for either premenopausal [Odds ratios (OR) = 0.92 (95% Confidence Interval (CI): 0.50, 1.7] or postmenopausal women (OR = 0.90; 95% CI: 0.54, 1.5). Among premenopausal women, associations differed by body mass index (BMI), with ORs of 1.47 (0.70, 3.1) for women with BMI above the median and 0.53 (0.23, 1.3) for those with BMI below the median (pinteraction = 0.05). Overall, however, prenatal DES exposure was not associated with high mammographic density in this sample of DES Study participants. Consequently, this study does not provide evidence that high mammographic density is involved with the influence of DES on breast cancer risk.