Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Aims. We tested the prognostic role of a risk score including bio-humoral evaluation, cardiopulmonary-echocardiographic stress (CPET-ESE) and lung ultrasound, in patients with heart failure (HF) with reduced and preserved ejection fraction (HFrEF and HFpEF), and subjects at risk of developing HF (American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Stages A and B). Methods and results. We evaluated 318 subjects: 94 in Stages A-B, 194 in Stage C (85 HFpEF and 109 HFrEF), and 30 age and sex-matched controls (Stage 0). During a median follow-up of 18.5 months, we reported 40 urgent HF visits, 31 HF hospitalisations and 10 cardiovascular deaths. Cox proportional-hazards regression for predicting adverse events identified five independent predictors and each was assigned a number of points proportional to its regression coefficient: Δstress-rest B-lines >10 (3 points), peak oxygen consumption <16 mL/kg/min (2 points), minute ventilation/carbon dioxide production slope ≥36 (2 points), peak systolic pulmonary artery pressure ≥50 mmHg (1 point) and resting N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) >900 pg/mL (1 point). We defined three risk categories: low-risk (<3 points), intermediate-risk (3-6 points), and high-risk (>6 points). The event-free survival probability for these three groups were 93%, 52% and 20%, respectively. Hazard Ratio was 4.55 for each risk category upgrade (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.44-5.93). The area-under-curve for the scoring system to predict events was 0.92 (95% CI 0.88-0.96). Conclusion. A multiparametric risk score including indices of exercise-induced pulmonary congestion, markers of cardiopulmonary dysfunction and NT-proBNP identifies patients at increased risk for HF events across the HF spectrum. Table 1 Variable EPYC score EPYC score <3 (low risk) n = 217 EPYC score 3-6 (intermediate risk) n = 70 EPYC score >6 (high risk) n = 31 p-value (between risk categories) Event-free (n = 244) 0 (0 - 2) 210 (97) 32 (46) 2 (6) <0.0001 With events (n = 74) 6 (4 - 9) 7 (3) 38 (54) 29 (94) <0.0001 p-value (event-free vs with events) <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 Stage 0-Controls (n = 30) 0 (0 - 1) 30 0 0 <0.0001 Stages A-B (n = 94) 1 (0 - 2) 85 (45) 6 (9) 3 (10) <0.0001 Stage C-HFpEF (n = 85) 3 (1 - 6)*† 46 (25) 29 (41) 10 (32) <0.0001 Stage C-HFrEF (n = 109) 4 (2 - 7)*† 56 (30) 35 (50) 18 (58) <0.0001 p-value (between HF Stages) <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 Values are mean ± standard deviation, n (%), or median [25th quartile, 75th quartile]. * p < 0.01 vs Stage 0-Controls; † p < 0.01 vs Stages A-B. Abstract Figure 1
Predicting the transition to and progression of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: a weighted risk score using bio-humoural, cardiopulmonary, and echocardiographic stress testing
Abstract Aims Risk stratification of heart failure (HF) patients with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) can promote a more personalized treatment. We tested the prognostic value of a multi-parametric evaluation, including biomarkers, cardiopulmonary exercise testing-exercise stress echocardiography (CPET-ESE), and lung ultrasound, in HFpEF patients and subjects at risk of developing HF (HF Stages A and B). Background Risk stratification of heart failure (HF) patients with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) can promote a more personalized treatment. Design We tested the prognostic value of a multi-parametric evaluation, including biomarkers, cardiopulmonary exercise testing-exercise stress echocardiography (CPET-ESE), and lung ultrasound, in HFpEF patients and subjects at risk of developing HF (HF Stages A and B). Methods and results We performed a resting clinical/bio-humoural evaluation and a symptom-limited CPET-ESE in 274 patients (45 Stage A, 68 Stage B, and 161 Stage C-HFpEF) and 30 age- and sex-matched healthy controls. During a median follow-up of 18.5 months, we reported 71 HF hospitalizations and 10 cardiovascular deaths. Cox proportional-hazards regression identified five independent predictors and each was assigned a number of points proportional to its regression coefficient: stress-rest ΔB-lines >10 (3 points), peak oxygen consumption <16 mL/kg/min (2 points), minute ventilation/carbon dioxide production slope ≥36 (2 points), peak systolic pulmonary artery pressure ≥50 mmHg (1 point) and resting N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) >900 pg/mL (1 point). The event-free survival probability for low risk (<3 points), intermediate risk (3–6 points), and high risk (>6 points) were 93%, 52%, and 20%, respectively. The area under the curve (AUC) for the scoring system to predict events was 0.92 (95% CI 0.88–0.96), with an accuracy significantly higher than the individual components of the score (all P < 0.01 vs. individual AUCs). Conclusion A weighted risk score including NT-proBNP, markers of cardiopulmonary dysfunction and indices of exercise-induced pulmonary congestion identifies HFpEF patients at increased risk for adverse events and Stage A and B subjects more likely to progress towards more advanced HF stages.
Scientific integrity: what a journal can and cannot do
Abstract The development of novel, non-invasive techniques and standardization of protocols to assess microvascular dysfunction have elucidated the key role of microvascular changes in the evolution of cardiovascular (CV) damage, and their capacity to predict an increased risk of adverse events. These technical advances parallel with the development of novel biological assays that enabled the ex vivo identification of pathways promoting microvascular dysfunction, providing novel potential treatment targets for preventing cerebral-CV disease. In this article, we provide an update of diagnostic testing strategies to detect and characterize microvascular dysfunction and suggestions on how to standardize and maximize the information obtained from each microvascular assay. We examine emerging data highlighting the significance of microvascular dysfunction in the development CV disease manifestations. Finally, we summarize the pathophysiology of microvascular dysfunction emphasizing the role of oxidative stress and its regulation by epigenetic mechanisms, which might represent potential targets for novel interventions beyond conventional approaches, representing a new frontier in CV disease reduction.