Back to Authors

Mazzola, Matteo

https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7463-4311

Mayo Clinic

Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Pisana

Citations 8

The relationship of epicardial adipose tissue with hemodynamics and cardiopulmonary fitness in heart failure with preserved and reduced ejection fraction
Pugliese, NR, Punta, Lavinia Del, Borlaug, BA, Biase, Nicolò De , Mazzola, Matteo , Paneni, Francesco , Gargani, Luna , Mengozzi, Alessandro , Virdis, Agostino , Nesti, Lorenzo , Taddei, Stefano , Flammer, Andreas J. , Ruschitzka, Frank T. , Masi, Stefano

European Heart Journal - Cardiovascular Imaging | February 9, 2022 | Volume: 23 | Issue: Supplement_1 | Pages: No page available

10.1093/ehjci/jeab289.380 Get It

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Background. Recent evidence shows epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) acts as a paracrine organ and may directly alter myocardial function by exerting mechanical compression. Purpose. We evaluated EAT thickness through transthoracic echocardiography and investigated its relationship with cardiopulmonary fitness and cardiovascular haemodynamics at rest and during exercise in a population of heart failure (HF) patients with reduced (HFrEF) and preserved (HFpEF) ejection fraction. Methods. We prospectively enrolled 393 consecutive HF outpatients (205 HFrEF, 188 HFpEF) who had been referred to our hospital due to dyspnoea and/or effort intolerance, together with 44 healthy controls. We performed a resting state-of-the-art echocardiographic evaluation, followed by combined cardiopulmonary-echocardiography exercise stress. Results. EAT thickness was higher in HFpEF (median 8 mm, interquartile range [IQR] 4–12 mm) and progressively reduced in controls (median 5 mm, IQR 3–7 mm; p < 0.0001) and HFrEF (median 3 mm, IQR 2–6 mm). In HFpEF, EAT thickness was inversely correlated with peak oxygen consumption (VO2) and peripheral oxygen extraction (AVO2diff), while a direct association was observed for the same parameters in HFrEF (Figure 1). Furthermore, EAT independently predicted peak VO2 and AVO2diff in HFrEF and HFpEF regardless of body mass index and waist circumference. These relationships were direct in HFrEF (standard regression coefficient [SRC] for peak VO2: 0.18, p = 0.02; SRC for peak AVO2diff: 0.17, p = 0.03) and indirect in HFpEF (SRC for peak VO2: -0.33, p < 0.0001; SRC for peak AVO2diff: -0.25, p < 0.0001). As there are no definite cut-off values to define increased EAT, patients were divided based on the median EAT value (5 mm) of the overall population. Thinner EAT (≤5 mm) was associated with worse LV systolic dysfunction (peak average S’) and remodeling (3D LV mass index) in HFrEF. In HFpEF, on the other hand, increased EAT (>5 mm) was related to worse right ventricular systolic dysfunction (3D right ventricular ejection fraction) and more severe left atrio-ventricular (left atrium reservoir strain/left ventricle global longitudinal strain) and right ventriculo-arterial (tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion/systolic pulmonary artery pressure) coupling (Figure 2). Conclusion. In HFpEF, increased EAT thickness is associated with a worse hemodynamic profile and functional capacity. Conversely, in HFrEF, EAT thinning portends more advanced LV dysfunction and impaired cardiopulmonary fitness. Abstract Figure 1 Abstract Figure 2
The association between epicardial adipose tissue and prognosis in heart failure with preserved and reduced ejection fraction
Pugliese, NR, Punta, Lavinia Del, Borlaug, BA, Biase, Nicolò De , Mazzola, Matteo , Paneni, Francesco , Gargani, Luna , Mengozzi, Alessandro , Virdis, Agostino , Nesti, Lorenzo , Taddei, Stefano , Flammer, Andreas J. , Ruschitzka, Frank T. , Masi, Stefano

European Heart Journal - Cardiovascular Imaging | February 9, 2022 | Volume: 23 | Issue: Supplement_1 | Pages: No page available

10.1093/ehjci/jeab289.381 Get It

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Background. Recent evidence shows that increased epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) thickness is associated with metabolic syndrome, microvascular dysfunction and enhanced pericardial restraint. Purpose. We measured echocardiography-derived EAT thickness in a population of heart failure (HF) patients with reduced (HFrEF) and preserved (HFpEF) ejection fraction to examine the relationship between EAT and prognosis at clinical follow-up. Methods. We prospectively enrolled 393 consecutive HF outpatients (205 HFrEF, 188 HFpEF) who had been referred to our hospital due to dyspnoea and/or effort intolerance. We performed a resting clinical and biohumoral evaluation, followed by combined cardiopulmonary-echocardiography exercise stress. We considered a composite endpoint of cardiovascular death and HF-related hospitalization during follow-up. Results. Patients with HFpEF displayed greater EAT thickness (median 8 mm, interquartile range [IQR] 4–12 mm) than HFrEF (median 3 mm, IQR 2–6 mm; p < 0.0001). During a median follow-up of 20.9 months (IQR 15-25 months), 34 cardiovascular deaths and 146 HF hospitalizations were reported, with no significant differences between the two HF phenotypes. EAT was shown to predict adverse events independently from body mass index, waist circumference and other well-established prognostic markers in HF (such as NT-proBNP and peak oxygen consumption). The risk of adverse events increased with increasing EAT thickness in HFpEF and with EAT thinning in HFrEF. Kaplan-Meier analyses for the composite endpoint showed that in HFpEF, the survival probability was significantly lower in patients with thicker EAT than those with thinner EAT. In HFrEF, conversely, patients with increased EAT thickness had a higher survival probability than those with reduced EAT thickness (Figure 1). Conclusion. EAT accumulation is increased in HFpEF compared to HFrEF and carries different prognostic meanings in the two subsets. In HFpEF, EAT thickening portends adverse outcomes, which may be due to the secretion of pro-inflammatory and pro-atherogenic adipokines and increased mechanical restraint. In HFrEF, EAT thinning is associated with a worse prognosis, probably reflecting a more advanced catabolic state (e.g., cardiac cachexia). Larger studies are needed to determine whether or not EAT has a causal role in influencing progression and survival in the different HF phenotypes. Abstract Figure 1
Prognostic significance of epicardial adipose tissue in heart failure with preserved and reduced ejection fraction
Punta, Lavinia Del, Borlaug, BA, Pugliese, Nicola Riccardo , Biase, Nicolò De , Mazzola, Matteo , Paneni, Francesco , Gargani, Luna , Mengozzi, Alessandro , Virdis, Agostino , Nesti, Lorenzo , Taddei, Stefano , Flammer, Andreas J. , Ruschitzka, Frank T. , Masi, Stefano

European Heart Journal | October 20, 2021 | Volume: 42 | Issue: Supplement_1 | Pages: No page available

10.1093/eurheartj/ehab724.0820 Get It

Abstract Background Increased epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) thickness correlates with metabolic syndrome, insulin resistance, microvascular dysfunction and enhanced pericardial restraint. Purpose We measured echocardiographic EAT thickness in heart failure (HF) patients with reduced (HFrEF) or preserved (HFpEF) ejection fraction to determine whether EAT could bear prognostic significance at clinical follow-up. Methods We prospectively enrolled 393 consecutive HF outpatients (205 HFrEF, 188 HFpEF) referred to our hospital due to dyspnoea and/or effort intolerance. We performed a resting clinical and biohumoral evaluation, followed by combined cardiopulmonary-echocardiography exercise stress. A composite of cardiovascular death and HF-related hospitalization was chosen as endpoint during follow-up. Results Patients with HFpEF displayed higher EAT thickness (median 8 mm, interquartile range [IQR] 4–12 mm) than HFrEF (median 3 mm, IQR 2–6 mm; p<0.0001). During a median follow-up of 20.9 months (IQR 15–25 months), we reported 34 cardiovascular deaths and 146 HF hospitalizations, with no significant differences between the two HF subsets. EAT predicted adverse events independently from body mass index and well-established markers of poor prognosis (e.g., NT-proBNP, peak oxygen consumption). The risk of adverse events increased with increasing EAT thickness in HFpEF and with EAT thinning in HFrEF. Kaplan-Meier analyses for the composite endpoint showed that in HFpEF, the survival probability was significantly lower in patients with thicker EAT than those with thinner EAT. In HFrEF, conversely, patients with thicker EAT had a higher survival probability than those with reduced EAT thickness (Figure 1). Conclusion EAT accumulation is more marked in HFpEF than HFrEF and carries different prognostic meanings in the two subsets. In HFpEF, EAT thickening portends adverse outcome, which may be due to increased mechanical restraint and secretion of pro-inflammatory and pro-atherogenic adipokines. In HFrEF, greater EAT thickness seems to have a protective role, while EAT thinning is associated with a worse prognosis, likely reflecting a catabolic state (i.e. cardiac cachexia). Larger studies will clarify whether EAT is a bystander or an active player in the different HF phenotypes. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None. Figure 1
Epicardial adipose tissue, cardiovascular hemodynamics and metabolic profile in heart failure with preserved and reduced ejection fraction
Punta, Lavinia Del, Borlaug, BA, Pugliese, Nicola Riccardo , Mazzola, Matteo , Biase, Nicolò De , Paneni, Francesco , Gargani, Luna , Mengozzi, Alessandro , Virdis, Agostino , Nesti, Lorenzo , Taddei, Stefano , Flammer, Andreas J. , Ruschitzka, Frank T. , Masi, Stefano

European Heart Journal | October 20, 2021 | Volume: 42 | Issue: Supplement_1 | Pages: No page available

10.1093/eurheartj/ehab724.0878 Get It

Abstract Background Epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) acts as a paracrine organ and could exert direct mechanical compression on the myocardium. Purpose We investigated the impact of echocardiographic EAT thickness on metabolic profile and cardiovascular hemodynamics at rest and during exercise in heart failure (HF) patients with reduced (HFrEF) and preserved (HFpEF) ejection fraction Methods We prospectively enrolled 393 consecutive HF outpatients (205 HFrEF, 188 HFpEF) referred to the our hospital due to dyspnoea and/or effort intolerance. We performed a resting clinical and biohumoral evaluation, followed by combined cardiopulmonary-echocardiography exercise stress. The protocol also included 44 healthy controls. Results Patients with HFpEF displayed the greatest EAT thickness (median 8 mm, interquartile range [IQR] 4–12 mm), while those with HFrEF had thinner EAT (median 3 mm, IQR 2–6 mm) than controls (median 5 mm, IQR 3–7 mm; p<0.0001). In HFrEF, EAT thickness was inversely associated with natriuretic peptides, Troponin T, and C-reactive protein levels. In HFpEF, it was directly correlated with Troponin-T and C-reactive protein levels. EAT thickness was inversely correlated with peak oxygen consumption (VO2) and peripheral oxygen extraction (AVO2diff) in HFpEF, while a direct association was observed in HFrEF (Fig 1). EAT resulted in an independent predictor of peak VO2 and AVO2diff in HFrEF and HFpEF regardless of body mass index, but the relationships were direct in HFrEF (standard regression coefficient [SRC] for peak VO2: 0.18, p=0.02; SRC for peak AVO2diff: 0.17, p=0.03) and indirect in HFpEF (SRC for peak VO2: −0.33, p<0.0001; SRC for peak AVO2diff: −0.25, p<0.0001). The analysis of cardiac mechanics revealed that thinner EAT was associated with worse left ventricle systolic dysfunction (average S') and remodeling (3D left ventricle mass) in HFrEF. In HFpEF, increased EAT was related to more severe left atrio-ventricular (left atrium reservoir strain/left ventricle global longitudinal strain) and right ventriculo-arterial (tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion/systolic pulmonary artery pressure) coupling (Figure 2). Conclusion In HFpEF, EAT accumulation is associated with worse hemodynamic and metabolic profile. In HFrEF, conversely, EAT thinning portends more severe LV dysfunction and impaired global functional capacity. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None. Figure 1Figure 2
Impact of epicardial adipose tissue on cardiovascular haemodynamics, metabolic profile, and prognosis in heart failure
Paneni, Francesco , Mazzola, Matteo , Biase, Nicolò De , Punta, Lavinia Del, Gargani, Luna , Mengozzi, Alessandro , Nesti, Lorenzo , Flammer, Andreas J. , Paneni, Francesco , Pugliese, Nicola Riccardo , Virdis, Agostino , Taddei, Stefano , Borlaug, Barry A. , Ruschitzka, Frank T. , Masi, Stefano

European Journal of Heart Failure | August 24, 2021 | Volume: 23 | Issue: 11 | Pages: 1858-1871

10.1002/ejhf.2337 Get It

Abstract Aims We evaluated the impact of echocardiographic epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) on cardiovascular haemodynamics, metabolic profile and prognosis in heart failure (HF) using combined cardiopulmonary‐echocardiography exercise stress. Methods and results We analysed EAT thickness of HF patients with reduced (HFrEF, n = 205) and preserved (HFpEF, n = 188) ejection fraction, including 44 controls. HFpEF patients displayed the highest EAT, while HFrEF patients had lower values than controls. EAT showed an inverse correlation with natriuretic peptides, troponin T and C‐reactive protein in HFrEF, while having a direct association with troponin T and C‐reactive protein in HFpEF. EAT was independently associated with peak oxygen consumption (VO 2 ) and peripheral extraction (AVO 2 diff), regardless of body mass index. EAT was inversely correlated with peak VO 2 and AVO 2 diff in HFpEF, while a direct association was observed in HFrEF, where lower EAT values were associated with worse left ventricular systolic dysfunction. In HFpEF, increased EAT was related to right ventriculo–arterial (tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion/systolic pulmonary artery pressure) uncoupling. After 21 months of follow‐up, 146 HF hospitalizations and 34 cardiovascular deaths were recorded in the HF population. Cox multivariable analysis supported an independent differential role of EAT in HF cohorts (interaction P = 0.01): higher risk of adverse events for increasing EAT in HFpEF [hazard ratio (HR) 1.12, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.04–1.37] and for decreasing EAT in HFrEF (HR 0.75, 95% CI 0.54–0.91). Conclusion In HFpEF, EAT accumulation is associated with worse haemodynamic and metabolic profile, also affecting survival. Conversely, lower EAT values imply higher left ventricular dysfunction, global functional impairment and adverse prognosis in HFrEF.
Cardiac reserve and exercise capacity: insights from combined cardiopulmonary and exercise echocardiography stress testing
Pugliese, NR, Conte, Luca , Fabiani, Iacopo , Dini, Fl, Rosada, Javier , Borlaug, BA, Biase, Nicolò De , Gargani, Luna , Mazzola, Matteo , Natali, Andrea , Frumento, Paolo , Taddei, Stefano , Masi, Stefano

European Heart Journal - Cardiovascular Imaging | February 9, 2021 | Volume: 22 | Issue: Supplement_1 | Pages: No page available

10.1093/ehjci/jeaa356.210 Get It

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Aims. Combined cardiopulmonary exercise test (CPET) and exercise stress echocardiography (ESE) provides a non-invasive tool to study cardiopulmonary pathophysiology. We analyzed how cardiac functional reserve during exercise relates to peak oxygen consumption (VO2). Methods and Results. We performed a symptom-limited graded ramp bicycle CPET-ESE in 30 healthy controls and 357 patients: 113 at risk of developing heart failure (American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association HF Stages A-B) and 244 in HF Stage C with preserved (HFpEF, n = 101) or reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF, n = 143). Peak VO2 significantly decreased from controls to Stage A-B and Stage C (Table 1). A multivariable regression model to predict peak VO2 revealed peak left ventricular systolic annulus tissue velocity (S"), peak TAPSE/PAPs (tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion/systolic pulmonary artery pressure) and low-load left atrial reservoir strain/E/e’ were independent predictors, in addition to peak heart rate, stroke volume and workload (adjusted R²=0.76, p < 0.0001). The model was successfully tested in subjects with atrial fibrillation (n = 49), and with (n = 224) and without (n = 163) beta-blockers (all p < 0.01). Peak S’ showed the highest accuracy in predicting peak VO2 < 10 mL/kg/min (cut-point ≤ 7.5 cm/s; AUC = 0.92, p < 0.0001) and peak VO2 > 20 mL/kg/min (cut-point > 12.5 cm/s; AUC = 0.84, p < 0.0001) in comparison to the other cardiac variables of the model (p < 0.05). Conclusions. A model incorporating different measures of cardiac mechanics is strongly related to peak aerobic capacity and may help in identifying different causes of effort intolerance from HF Stage A to C. Table 1 Variable Overall population (n = 387) Controls (n = 30) Stage A-B (n = 113) Stage C-HFpEF (n = 101) Stage c-HFrEF (n = 143) p-value Age, years 68.9 ± 11.1 67.1 ± 10.6 67.7 ± 10.4 70.5 ± 10.1 68.5 ± 11 0.1 Male, n (%) 247 (64) 18 (60) 70 (62) 57 (56) 102 (71) 0.1 VO2 @peak, mL/min/kg 15.7 (12.1-19.6) 23 (21.7- 29.7) 18 (15.4- 20.7)* 13.6 (11.8- 16.8)*† 14.2 (10.7- 17.5)*† <0.0001 Workload @peak, W 90 (65-120) 130 (115-195) 110 (84-130)* 70 (55-100)*† 80 (60-110)*† <0.0001 Heart rate @peak, bpm 123 ± 22 142 ± 12 130 ± 20* 115 ± 17*† 119 ± 23*† <0.0001 Stroke volume @peak, mL 83 (71-99) 98 (85-114) 86 (76-107) 83 (74-97)* 75 (63-95)*† <0.0001 Average S" @peak, cm/s 11.2 ± 3.8 17.1 ± 3.9 13.3 ± 2.9* 10.6 ± 2.5*† 8.7 ± 2.7*†‡ <0.0001 TAPSE/PAPs @peak, mm/mmHg 0.75 (0.46-0.97) 1.05 (0.93- 1.16) 0.81 (0.52- 0.91)* 0.52 (0.38- 0.83)*† 0.58 (0.41- 0.89)*† <0.0001 Left atrial reservoir strain/E/e" @low-load, % 2.25 (1.17-5.04) 6.23 (4.45-6.77) 4.34 (3.89- 5.58)* 2.23 (1.31- 2.86)*† 1.91 (1.07-2.44)*†‡ <0.0001 * p < 0.01 vs Controls; † p < 0.01 vs Stage A-B; ‡ p < 0.01 vs Stage C-HFpEF. PAPs systolic pulmonary artery pressure; TAPSE: tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion; VO2: oxygen consumption. Abstract Figure 1
Predicting heart failure transition and progression: a weighted risk score from bio-humoral, cardiopulmonary and echocardiographic stress testing
Pugliese, NR, Conte, Lorenzo , Fabiani, Iacopo , Dini, Fl, Rosada, Javier , Borlaug, BA, Biase, Nicolò De , Gargani, Luna , Mazzola, Matteo , Natali, Andrea , Frumento, Paolo , Taddei, Stefano , Masi, Stefano

European Heart Journal - Cardiovascular Imaging | February 9, 2021 | Volume: 22 | Issue: Supplement_1 | Pages: No page available

10.1093/ehjci/jeaa356.207 Get It

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Aims. We tested the prognostic role of a risk score including bio-humoral evaluation, cardiopulmonary-echocardiographic stress (CPET-ESE) and lung ultrasound, in patients with heart failure (HF) with reduced and preserved ejection fraction (HFrEF and HFpEF), and subjects at risk of developing HF (American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Stages A and B). Methods and results. We evaluated 318 subjects: 94 in Stages A-B, 194 in Stage C (85 HFpEF and 109 HFrEF), and 30 age and sex-matched controls (Stage 0). During a median follow-up of 18.5 months, we reported 40 urgent HF visits, 31 HF hospitalisations and 10 cardiovascular deaths. Cox proportional-hazards regression for predicting adverse events identified five independent predictors and each was assigned a number of points proportional to its regression coefficient: Δstress-rest B-lines >10 (3 points), peak oxygen consumption <16 mL/kg/min (2 points), minute ventilation/carbon dioxide production slope ≥36 (2 points), peak systolic pulmonary artery pressure ≥50 mmHg (1 point) and resting N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) >900 pg/mL (1 point). We defined three risk categories: low-risk (<3 points), intermediate-risk (3-6 points), and high-risk (>6 points). The event-free survival probability for these three groups were 93%, 52% and 20%, respectively. Hazard Ratio was 4.55 for each risk category upgrade (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.44-5.93). The area-under-curve for the scoring system to predict events was 0.92 (95% CI 0.88-0.96). Conclusion. A multiparametric risk score including indices of exercise-induced pulmonary congestion, markers of cardiopulmonary dysfunction and NT-proBNP identifies patients at increased risk for HF events across the HF spectrum. Table 1 Variable EPYC score EPYC score <3 (low risk) n = 217 EPYC score 3-6 (intermediate risk) n = 70 EPYC score >6 (high risk) n = 31 p-value (between risk categories) Event-free (n = 244) 0 (0 - 2) 210 (97) 32 (46) 2 (6) <0.0001 With events (n = 74) 6 (4 - 9) 7 (3) 38 (54) 29 (94) <0.0001 p-value (event-free vs with events) <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 Stage 0-Controls (n = 30) 0 (0 - 1) 30 0 0 <0.0001 Stages A-B (n = 94) 1 (0 - 2) 85 (45) 6 (9) 3 (10) <0.0001 Stage C-HFpEF (n = 85) 3 (1 - 6)*† 46 (25) 29 (41) 10 (32) <0.0001 Stage C-HFrEF (n = 109) 4 (2 - 7)*† 56 (30) 35 (50) 18 (58) <0.0001 p-value (between HF Stages) <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 Values are mean ± standard deviation, n (%), or median [25th quartile, 75th quartile]. * p < 0.01 vs Stage 0-Controls; † p < 0.01 vs Stages A-B. Abstract Figure 1
Predicting the transition to and progression of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: a weighted risk score using bio-humoural, cardiopulmonary, and echocardiographic stress testing
Biase, Nicolò De , Gargani, Luna , Mazzola, Matteo , Conte, Lorenzo, Fabiani, Iacopo , Frumento, Paolo , Rosada, Javier , Pugliese, Nicola Riccardo , Taddei, Stefano , Conte, Lorenzo , Natali, Andrea , Dini, Frank Lloyd , Taddei, Stefano , Borlaug, Barry A. , Masi, Stefano

European Journal of Preventive Cardiology | December 31, 2020 | Volume: 28 | Issue: 15 | Pages: 1650-1661

10.1093/eurjpc/zwaa129 Get It

Abstract Aims Risk stratification of heart failure (HF) patients with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) can promote a more personalized treatment. We tested the prognostic value of a multi-parametric evaluation, including biomarkers, cardiopulmonary exercise testing-exercise stress echocardiography (CPET-ESE), and lung ultrasound, in HFpEF patients and subjects at risk of developing HF (HF Stages A and B). Background Risk stratification of heart failure (HF) patients with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) can promote a more personalized treatment. Design We tested the prognostic value of a multi-parametric evaluation, including biomarkers, cardiopulmonary exercise testing-exercise stress echocardiography (CPET-ESE), and lung ultrasound, in HFpEF patients and subjects at risk of developing HF (HF Stages A and B). Methods and results We performed a resting clinical/bio-humoural evaluation and a symptom-limited CPET-ESE in 274 patients (45 Stage A, 68 Stage B, and 161 Stage C-HFpEF) and 30 age- and sex-matched healthy controls. During a median follow-up of 18.5 months, we reported 71 HF hospitalizations and 10 cardiovascular deaths. Cox proportional-hazards regression identified five independent predictors and each was assigned a number of points proportional to its regression coefficient: stress-rest ΔB-lines >10 (3 points), peak oxygen consumption <16 mL/kg/min (2 points), minute ventilation/carbon dioxide production slope ≥36 (2 points), peak systolic pulmonary artery pressure ≥50 mmHg (1 point) and resting N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) >900 pg/mL (1 point). The event-free survival probability for low risk (<3 points), intermediate risk (3–6 points), and high risk (>6 points) were 93%, 52%, and 20%, respectively. The area under the curve (AUC) for the scoring system to predict events was 0.92 (95% CI 0.88–0.96), with an accuracy significantly higher than the individual components of the score (all P < 0.01 vs. individual AUCs). Conclusion A weighted risk score including NT-proBNP, markers of cardiopulmonary dysfunction and indices of exercise-induced pulmonary congestion identifies HFpEF patients at increased risk for adverse events and Stage A and B subjects more likely to progress towards more advanced HF stages.