Albaramony, Nadia

Abstract Objective Shunt-dependent hydrocephalus is a common and costly complication of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH), affecting up to 28% of survivors. Existing prediction tools, including the Chronic Hydrocephalus Ensuing from SAH Score (CHESS), have limited discriminative accuracy. We developed the CHECKMATE score, a clinically practical tool to improve prediction of ventriculoperitoneal shunt dependency after aSAH. Methods In this multicenter retrospective cohort of 486 patients with aSAH from Mayo Clinic (January 1, 2006-December 31, 2021), we used multivariable logistic regression and machine learning to identify independent predictors of ventriculoperitoneal shunt placement. The CHECKMATE score was derived from 5 weighted variables: symptomatic hydrocephalus (10 points), intraventricular hemorrhage (5 points), SAH volume greater than 10 mL (3 points), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio greater than 12 (2 points), and 10-year incremental age thresholds starting at older than 60 years (1 point each). Results Of 486 patients (mean age, 56.3 years; 64.6% female), 137 (28.2%) required ventriculoperitoneal shunt placement. The CHECKMATE score achieved an area under the curve of 0.808 (compared to 0.737 for CHESS), with a sensitivity of 0.85, specificity of 0.67, and negative predictive value of 0.92 at the optimal cutoff of 14 points. Conclusions The CHECKMATE score outperforms CHESS for predicting ventriculoperitoneal shunt dependency after aSAH and is easily used at the bedside. Its high negative predictive value helps identify low-risk patients who may benefit from earlier external ventricular drain weaning and shorter hospital stays.