Ruiz, Emily S.

ABSTRACT Background Current staging systems for head and neck cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (HNCSCC), such as AJCC8 and BWH, often fail to adequately stratify high‐risk patients, particularly due to the exclusion of important biological and host factors. This study aimed to identify independent prognostic factors for HNCSCC outcomes in the largest multi‐institutional retrospective series to date. Methods De‐identified data from 8,610 primary HNCSCC tumors, treated with curative intent surgery across multiple international centers, were analyzed. Outcomes included local recurrence (LR), locoregional metastasis (LM), distant metastasis (DM), and disease‐specific death (DSD). Multivariable Fine–Gray subdistribution hazard regression models with robust standard errors clustered at the patient level were fitted to generate exploratory hypotheses regarding independent hazard determinants. Results During a median follow‐up of 31.4 months (IQR 14.2–52.8), the cumulative incidence was 3.3% for LR, 2.7% for LM, 0.5% for DM, and 1.2% for DSD. Multivariable analysis confirmed that tumor diameter, poor differentiation, deep invasion, and large‐caliber perineural invasion (LCPNI) were the strongest predictors, being significantly associated with at least three of the four outcomes. Notably, factors currently excluded from or weighted differently in staging systems also proved critical: Immunosuppression was significantly associated with LR (SHR 2.03) and DSD (SHR 1.70); and lymphovascular invasion (LVI) was independently associated with LM (SHR 3.00). Poor differentiation demonstrated high prognostic impact, being a significant predictor for all four endpoints. Conclusion Tumor diameter, poor differentiation, deep invasion, LCPNI, immunosuppression status, and LVI are the most critical independent factors for HNCSCC prognosis. Our multi‐institutional data provide a robust framework for hypothesis generation, highlighting that incorporating host biological features and non‐anatomic variables could significantly refine future staging system discussions.

Importance There is no consensus on staging and surveillance imaging for cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (CSCC). Although imaging has been shown to affect management, broad recommendations from the National Comprehensive Cancer Network have led to variability in clinical practice. Objective To develop multidisciplinary consensus recommendations on the use of staging and surveillance imaging of localized CSCC. Evidence Review A multidisciplinary expert panel across academic and clinical practice settings convened a Delphi consensus, with 3 iterative survey rounds from January to June 2025. Data were analyzed from February 2025 to January 2026. Eligibility defined by at least 1 to 2 CSCC publications during the previous 5 years, involvement in a relevant clinical trial, experience treating at least 3 patients monthly with CSCC, and/or 5 years or longer of clinical practice. Fifty-four experts were invited and 45 (83%) completed all 3 rounds and were included in the final analysis. Structured Delphi surveys evaluated clinical scenarios, imaging modalities, and surveillance strategies for CSCC. Consensus and near-consensus recommendations were generated, defined as 80% or greater and 70% to 79% agreement, respectively. Findings The 45 participants (21 female individuals [47%] and 24 male individuals [53%]; 14 Asian individuals [31%], 1 multiracial individual [2%], and 30 White individuals [67%]) consisted of dermatology (15 [33%]), medical oncology (7 [16%]), radiation oncology (9 [20%]), radiology (9 [20%]), surgery (3 [7%]), and otolaryngology specialists (2 [4%]). The Delphi panel recommended staging and surveillance for CSCCs with at least a 15% risk of metastasis. Consensus or near consensus was reached to recommend staging and surveillance imaging for tumors with a concern for metastasis, bone invasion, invasion beyond subcutaneous fat, large-caliber nerve invasion, or a diameter of 4 cm or larger or the combination of tumors with poorly differentiated histology and any of the following: diameter of 2 cm or larger, lymphovascular invasion and subcutaneous fat invasion, or lymphovascular invasion and small-caliber perineural invasion. Computed tomography imaging was the preferred modality for nodal staging (38 [84%]) and surveillance (35 [78%]). For surveillance duration, consensus was reached to provide imaging for at least 2 years, and near consensus was reached for at least 3 years. Conclusions and Relevance This study provides an expert consensus–based framework to standardize imaging in localized CSCC that may inform future guidelines.