Melton, L. Joseph

Objectives To quantify the occurrence of myocardial infarction ( MI ) occurring in the early postoperative period after surgical hip fracture repair and estimate the effect on 1‐year mortality. Design A population‐based, historical cohort study of individuals who underwent surgical repair of a hip fracture that used the computerized medical record linkage system of the R ochester E pidemiology P roject. Setting Academic and community hospitals, outpatient offices, and nursing homes in O lmsted C ounty, M innesota. Participants Over the 15‐year study period (1988–2002), 1,116 elderly adults underwent surgical repair of a hip fracture. Measurements At the end of the first 7 days after hip fracture repair, participants were classified into one of three groups: clinically verified MI (cv‐ MI ), subclinical myocardial ischemia, and no myocardial ischemia. One‐year mortality was compared between these groups. Multivariate models assessed risk factors for early postoperative cv‐ MI and 1‐year mortality. Results Within the first 7 days after hip fracture repair, 116 (10.4%) participants experienced cv‐ MI and 41 (3.7%) subclinical myocardial ischemia. Overall 1‐year mortality was 22%, with no difference between those with subclinical myocardial ischemia and those with no myocardial ischemia. One‐year mortality for those with cv‐ MI (35.8%) was significantly higher than for the other two groups. Occurrence of early postoperative cv‐ MI , male sex, and history of heart failure or dementia were independently associated with greater 1‐year mortality, whereas prefracture home residence and preoperative higher hemoglobin were protective. Conclusion Rates of early postoperative, cv‐ MI after hip fracture repair exceed rates after other major orthopedic surgeries and are independently associated with greater 1‐year mortality.

AbstractThe purpose of this study was to define the risk of progression and survival of patients with smoldering Waldenström macroglobulinemia (SWM). SWM is defined clinically as having a serum monoclonal IgM protein ≥ 3 g/dL and/or ≥ 10% bone marrow lymphoplasmacytic infiltration but no evidence of end-organ damage (anemia, constitutional symptoms, hyperviscosity, lymphadenopathy, or hepatosplenomegaly). We searched a computerized database and reviewed the medical records of all patients at Mayo Clinic who fulfilled the criteria of SWM between 1974 and 1995. During 285 cumulative person-years of follow-up of the 48 patients with SWM (median, 15.4 years), 34 (71%) progressed to symptomatic Waldenström macroglobulinemia (WM) requiring treatment, one to primary amyloidosis, and one to lymphoma (total, 75%). The cumulative probability of progression to symptomatic WM, amyloidosis, or lymphoma was 6% at 1 year, 39% at 3 years, 59% at 5 years, and 68% at 10 years. The major risk factors for progression were percentage of lymphoplasmacytic cells in the bone marrow, size of the serum M-spike, and the hemoglobin value. Patients with SWM should be followed and not treated until symptomatic WM develops. Treatment on a clinical trial for those at greatest risk of progression should be considered.

Abstract Advanced bone imaging with quantitative computed tomography (QCT) has had limited success in significantly improving fracture prediction beyond standard areal bone mineral density (aBMD) measurements. Thus, we examined whether a machine learning paradigm, gradient boosting machine (GBM) modeling, which can incorporate diverse measurements of bone density and geometry from central QCT imaging and of bone microstructure from high-resolution peripheral QCT imaging, can improve fracture prediction. We studied two cohorts of postmenopausal women: 105 with and 99 without distal forearm fractures (Distal Forearm Cohort) and 40 with at least one grade 2 or 3 vertebral deformity and 78 with no vertebral fracture (Vertebral Cohort). Within each cohort, individual bone density, structure, or strength variables had areas under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) ranging from 0.50 to 0.84 (median 0.61) for discriminating women with and without fracture. Using all possible variables in the GBM model, the AUCs were close to 1.0. Fracture predictions in the Vertebral Cohort using the GBM models built with the Distal Forearm Cohort had AUCs of 0.82–0.95, whereas predictions in the Distal Forearm Cohort using models built with the Vertebral Cohort had AUCs of 0.80–0.83. Attempts at capturing a comparable parametric model using the top variables from the Distal Forearm Cohort resulted in resulted in an AUC of 0.81. Relatively high AUCs for differing fracture types suggest that an underlying fracture propensity is being captured by this modeling approach. More complex modeling, such as with GBM, creates stronger fracture predictions and may allow deeper insights into information provided by advanced bone imaging techniques. © 2012 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.

OBJECTIVE To test whether diabetic polyneuropathies (DPNs), retinopathy, or nephropathy is more prevalent in subjects with impaired glycemia (IG) (abnormality of impaired fasting glucose [IFG], impaired glucose tolerance [IGT], or impaired HbA1c [IA1C]) than in healthy subjects (non-IG). RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS Matched IG and non-IG volunteers were randomly identified from population-based diagnostic and laboratory registries, restudied, and reclassified as non-IG (n = 150), IG (n = 174), or new diabetes (n = 218). RESULTS Frequency (%) of DPN in non-IG, IG, and new diabetes was 3 (2.0%), 3 (1.7%), and 17 (7.8%) narrowly defined (no other cause for polyneuropathy) and 19 (12.7%), 22 (12.6%), and 38 (17.4%) broadly defined. Mean and frequency distribution of composite scores of nerve conduction and quantitative sensation tests were not significantly different between IG and non-IG but were worse in new diabetes. Frequency of retinopathy and nephropathy was significantly increased only in new diabetes. In secondary analysis, small but significant increases in retinopathy and nephropathy were found in IGT, IFG, and IGT combined groups. CONCLUSIONS In population studies of Olmsted County, Minnesota, inhabitants, prevalence of typical DPN, retinopathy, and nephropathy was significantly increased only in subjects with new diabetes—not in subjects with IG as defined by American Diabetes Association (ADA) criteria of abnormality of IFG, IGT, or IA1C. For atypical DPN, such an increase was not observed even in subjects with new diabetes. In medical practice, explanations other than IG should be sought for patients with atypical DPN (chronic idiopathic axonal polyneuropathy) who have IG.

Abstract There remains little consensus on the link between vitamin levels and muscle mass or strength. We therefore investigated the association of serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D), 1,25-dihydroxyvitamin D (1,25(OH)2D), and parathyroid hormone (PTH) levels with skeletal muscle mass and strength. We studied 311 men (mean age, 56 years; range, 23–91 years) and 356 women (mean age, 57 years; range, 21–97 years) representing an age-stratified, random sample of community adults. Multivariate linear regression models were used to examine the association of skeletal muscle mass (by total body dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry) and strength (handgrip force and isometric knee extension moment) with each of 25(OH)D, 1,25(OH)2D, and PTH quartiles, adjusted for age, physical activity, fat mass, and season. We found no consistent association between 25(OH)D or PTH and any of our measurements of muscle mass or strength, in either men or women. However, in subjects younger than 65 years, there was a statistically significant association between low 1,25(OH)2D levels and low skeletal mass in both men and women and low isometric knee extension moment in women, after adjustment for potential confounders. Modestly low 25(OH)D or high PTH levels may not contribute significantly to sarcopenia or muscle weakness in community adults. The link between low 25(OH)D and increased fall risk reported by others may be due to factors that affect neuromuscular function rather than muscle strength. The association between low 1,25(OH)2D and low skeletal mass and low knee extension moment, particularly in younger people, needs further exploration. © 2011 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research

Abstract To test recommended anticoagulation measures as predictors of 180-day venous thromboembolism (VTE) recurrence, we identified all Olmsted County, MN residents with incident VTE over the 14-year period of 1984-1997, and followed each case (N = 1166) forward in time for VTE recurrence. We tested the activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), international normalized ratio (INR), and other measures of heparin and warfarin anticoagulation as predictors of VTE recurrence while controlling for baseline and time-dependent characteristics using Cox proportional hazards modeling. Overall, 1026 (88%) and 989 (85%) patients received heparin and warfarin, respectively, and 85 (8%) developed VTE recurrence. In multivariable analyses, increasing proportions of time on heparin with an APTT ≥ 0.2 anti-Xa U/mL and on warfarin with an INR ≥ 2.0 were associated with significant reductions in VTE recurrence, while the hazard with active cancer was significantly increased. Time from VTE onset to heparin start, duration of overlapping heparin and warfarin, and inferior vena cava (IVC) filter placement were not independent predictors of recurrence. At a heparin dose ≥ 30 000 U/d, the median proportion of time with an APTT ≥ 0.2 anti-Xa U/mL was 92%, suggesting that routine APTT monitoring and heparin dose adjustment may be unnecessary. In summary, lower-intensity heparin and standard-intensity warfarin anticoagulation are effective in preventing VTE recurrence.

Background— Data on the association between myocardial infarction (MI) and fractures are scarce. Recent changes in the epidemiology of MI justify exploring this relationship. We evaluated whether MI constitutes a risk factor for osteoporotic fracture and examined secular trends in this association. Methods and Results— Consecutive Olmsted County, Minnesota, residents with incident MI diagnosed in 1979 to 2006 and community control subjects individually matched (1:1) to cases on age, sex, and year of onset (n=6642) were followed up through 2009. Outcome measures were time to osteoporotic fracture, overall and by anatomic site, and death. Fracture incidence rates were stable in controls but increased markedly over time among MI cases. Accordingly, although an overall excess of fracture risk after MI was observed (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.32; 95% confidence interval, 1.12 to 1.56), substantial temporal variations were noted (1979 to 1989: hazard ratio, 0.81; 95% confidence interval, 0.58 to 1.12; 1990 to 1999: hazard ratio, 1.47; 95% confidence interval, 1.10 to 1.96; 2000 to 2006: hazard ratio, 1.73; 95% confidence interval, 1.32 to 2.27; P for trend <0.001). Trends were similar regardless of age, sex or fracture site. Conversely, the overall hazard ratio for death in MI cases versus controls did not change materially despite a continuous decline in 30-day case fatality rate (12.5% in 1979 to 1989; 6.7% in 2000 to 2006). Observed changes in the baseline prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors, MI characteristics, and comorbidities did not fully account for the trends in fracture risk. Conclusions— Over the past decades, the association between MI and osteoporotic fractures increased steadily. The trend is consistent with the displacement of post-MI outcomes toward noncardiovascular events, highlighting the need for comprehensive prevention strategies to accommodate the changing epidemiology of MI.

Abstract Recent studies in mice have demonstrated that osteocalcin (OCN) regulates testosterone (T) production in males but not in females. We hypothesized that this novel bone-testis axis may be most relevant during rapid skeletal growth to help maximize bone size. Thus we measured serum T, total and undercarboxylated (UC) OCN, and periosteal circumference at the radius in 56 boys (bone age 4 to 20 years). T was correlated with OCN (bone-age-adjusted r = 0.30, p = .024), with a similar trend for UC OCN. T began to increase in the boys at bone age 11 years, and OCN peaked at bone age 14 years. Thus we divided the boys into three groups: 4 to 10 years (n = 16), 11 to 14 years (n = 18), and 15 to 20 years (n = 22). In boys of bone age 11 to 14 years (but not the other two groups), OCN was correlated with T (r = 0.57, p = .013), with a similar trend for UC OCN; T, in turn, was correlated with periosteal circumference (r = 0.75, p &lt; .001). Collectively, these findings support the recent observations in mice of a novel bone-testis axis. Moreover, our data suggest that in human males, this axis may be most relevant during rapid skeletal growth, when T levels are rising under the influence of the hypothalamic-pituitary axis and OCN is increasing due to skeletal growth. During this phase, OCN may further stimulate testicular T production, which, in turn, contributes to an increase in bone size. © 2011 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research

The role of venous stasis syndrome (VSS) mechanisms (i.e. venous outflow obstruction [VOO] and venous valvular incompetence [VVI]) on quality of life (QoL) and activities of daily living (ADL) is unknown. The objective of this study was to test the hypotheses that venous thromboembolism (VTE),VSS,VOO and VVI are associated with reduced QoL and ADL. This study is a follow-up of an incident VTE case-control study nested within a population-based inception cohort of residents from Olmsted County, MN, USA, between 1966 and 1990. The study comprised 232 Olmsted County residents with a first lifetime VTE and 133 residents without VTE. Methods included a questionnaire and physical examination for VSS; vascular laboratory testing for VOO and VVI; assessment of QoL by SF36 and of ADL by pertinent sections from the Older Americans Resources and Services (OARS) and Arthritis Impact Measurement Scales (AIMS2) questionnaires. Of the 365 study participants, 232 (64%), 161 (44%), 43 (12%) and 136 (37%) had VTE, VSS, VOO and VVI, respectively. Prior VTE was associated with reduced ADL and increased pain, VSS with reduced physical QoL and increased pain, and VOO with reduced physical QoL and ADL.VVI was not associated with QoL or ADL. In conclusion,VSS and VOO are associated with worse physical QoL and increased pain. VOO and VTE are associated with impaired ADL. We hypothesize that rapid clearance of venous outflow obstruction in individuals with acute VTE will improve their QoL and ADL.

Abstract Sclerostin is a potent inhibitor of Wnt signaling and bone formation. However, there is currently no information on the relation of circulating sclerostin levels to age, gender, or bone mass in humans. Thus we measured serum sclerostin levels in a population-based sample of 362 women [123 premenopausal, 152 postmenopausal not on estrogen treatment (ET), and 87 postmenopausal on ET] and 318 men, aged 21 to 97 years. Sclerostin levels (mean ± SEM) were significantly higher in men than women (33.3 ± 1.0 pmol/L versus 23.7 ± 0.6 pmol/L, p &lt; .001). In pre- and postmenopausal women not on ET combined (n = 275) as well as in men, sclerostin levels were positively associated with age (r = 0.52 and r = 0.64, respectively, p &lt; .001 for both). Over life, serum sclerostin levels increased by 2.4- and 4.6-fold in the women and men, respectively. Moreover, for a given total-body bone mineral content, elderly subjects (age ≥ 60 years) had higher serum sclerostin levels than younger subjects (ages 20 to 39 years). Our data thus demonstrate that (1) men have higher serum sclerostin levels than women, (2) serum sclerostin levels increase markedly with age, and (3) compared with younger subjects, elderly individuals have higher serum sclerostin levels for a given amount of bone mass. Further studies are needed to define the cause of the age-related increase in serum sclerostin levels in humans as well as the potential role of this increase in mediating the known age-related impairment in bone formation. © 2011 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.