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Toro-Tobon, David

0000-0003-1910-4144

Mayo Clinic

Division of Endocrinology, Diabetes, Metabolism, and Nutrition, Department of Medicine, Care and AI Laboratory, Knowledge and Evaluation Research Unit, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.

Citations 19

What Happens after an Incidental Thyroid Nodule? Patterns of Thyroid Ultrasound Use and Downstream Evaluation
Larios, Felipe , Vilatuna Andrango, Luis, Borras-Osorio, Mariana , Branda, Megan , Toro-Tobon, David , Cabezas, Esteban , Mateo Chavez, Maria, Claros, Ana Gabriela , Lizarazo Jimenez, Maria, Alzamora, Ivan Mateo , Gomez-Alvarez, Esteban , Al Zahidy, Misk , Fan, Jungwei W, Ponce, Oscar Josue

Thyroid® | September 30, 2026 | Volume: No volume available | Issue: No issue available | Pages: No page available

10.1177/10507256261493769 Get It

Background: Incidental thyroid nodules (ITNs) detected on nonthyroid imaging contribute to thyroid cancer overdiagnosis, largely through downstream evaluation initiated by thyroid ultrasound (TUS). However, TUS follow-up rates for ITNs and their drivers in routine practice remain unclear. We quantified TUS utilization after ITN detection and identified patient, imaging, nodule, and reporting factors associated with this first step in the diagnostic cascade. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of adults without prior thyroid disease who underwent imaging that incidentally captured the thyroid at Mayo Clinic sites (2017–2023). A validated natural language processing pipeline identified ITNs and extracted nodule characteristics from radiology reports across multiple imaging modalities. The main outcome was the rate of TUS within 180 days after ITN detection. Clinical outcomes, including thyroid biopsy, thyroidectomy, and thyroid cancer diagnosis, were compared between patients who underwent TUS and those who did not. Factors associated with TUS utilization were assessed using multivariable logistic regression with penalized variable selection. Results: Among 115,683 patients who underwent thyroid-capturing imaging, 8426 (7.3%) had an ITN. These patients were predominantly female (64.6%) and White (89.7%), with a mean age of 61.7 years (standard deviation 15.2). Most nodules were detected on computed tomography (80.8%), most commonly from chest imaging (52.3%). Overall, 1677 patients with ITNs (19.9%) underwent TUS. In multivariable analysis, TUS use was independently associated with higher body mass index (odds ratio [OR], 1.20 per 10-unit increase; confidence interval [CI] [1.08–1.33]), nodule size ≥1.5 cm (OR, 1.79; CI [1.52–2.10]), and a radiologist recommendation (OR, 2.51; CI [2.12–2.98]), whereas older age was associated with lower odds of TUS (OR, 0.89 per 10-year increase; CI [0.84–0.93]). Patients undergoing TUS had higher rates of thyroid biopsy, partial thyroidectomy, and total thyroidectomy compared with those without it. All detected thyroid cancers (103 cases) occurred in the TUS group, representing 6.1% of that cohort. Conclusions: One in five patients with ITNs underwent TUS, representing a critical gateway to downstream diagnostic procedures and thyroid cancer detection. Factors associated with TUS utilization highlight opportunities to better define appropriateness of ultrasound after incidental nodule detection and to reduce unnecessary testing and treatment.
The prediction paradox: Artificial intelligence, genetics, and occult metastasis in thyroid cancer
Toro-Tobon, David , Toro-Tobón, David

The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology & Metabolism | February 13, 2026 | Volume: 111 | Issue: 9 | Pages: e2218-e2219

10.1210/clinem/dgag065 Get It

Graves’ disease: a new era of pathophysiology-guided therapeutics
Toro-Tobon, David, Toro-Tobón, David , Stan, Marius N , Toro-Tobon, David , Stan, Marius N.

The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology & Metabolism | January 12, 2026 | Volume: 111 | Issue: 5 | Pages: 1212-1224

10.1210/clinem/dgag010 Get It

Abstract Graves’ disease (GD) is an autoimmune entity that had an unchanged treatment paradigm for more than half a century with radioactive iodine, antithyroid drugs (ATDs), and surgery representing the mainstay of therapy, with variation in their use over time and geographic location. Hypothyroidism has been an accepted tradeoff in many cases, though recently there are increased concerns about altered quality of life in these patients. Fortunately, the last decade has seen an intense pursuit of GD's immunological mechanisms and a recalibration of classic treatment modalities focusing on thyroid preservation, as reflected in the preference for ATD as primary therapy, including its use in long-term protocols. The immune targets currently explored aim to address this gap by intervening in the TRAb lifecycle: minimizing production (eg, B-cell targeting), enhancing clearance (eg, neonatal Fc receptor inhibitors), or neutralizing its target—the TSH receptor (eg, receptor blockade). While these approaches are going through the necessary clinical trials evaluation, we are starting to see the potential for technology and artificial intelligence to make an impact on how we identify, treat, and monitor patients with GD. The combination of these approaches will likely lead to a significant individualization of GD management that will take us from the goal of normalization of thyroid levels to that of inducing long-term remission and prevention of the associated autoimmune phenomena that GD is associated with. While time is needed for these aspects to mature, the future looks bright for our GD patients and maybe soon these lessons will open new doors for our patients with Hashimoto's thyroiditis as well.
Drug Repurposing for Reducing the Size of Benign Thyroid Nodules: A Systematic Review
Jacome, Cristian Soto , Arce-Camposano, Andrea, Toro-Tobón, David , Zahidy, Misk Al, Rivadeneira, Francisco, Fierro, Francisco E, Montero, Marcelo, Ospina, Naykky Singh , Soto Jacome, Cristian , Al Zahidy, Misk, Ponce, Oscar, Singh Ospina, Naykky , Brito, Juan P , Toro-Tobon, David , Rivadeneira, Francisco, Fierro, Francisco Emilio , Montero, Marcelo, Ponce, Oscar J. , Brito, Juan P.

The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology & Metabolism | November 11, 2025 | Volume: 111 | Issue: 2 | Pages: e327-e338

10.1210/clinem/dgaf616 Get It

Abstract Context Benign thyroid nodules (BTNs) are highly prevalent, and current treatment options are primarily invasive. There is a need for effective, noninvasive alternatives. Objective To systematically evaluate the efficacy of repurposed pharmacologic agents in reducing the size of BTNs. Data Sources MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane databases, and Scopus were searched from inception to December 18, 2024. Study Selection We included preclinical and clinical studies evaluating repurposed drugs for BTNs in adults. Of 1499 records screened, 20 studies met inclusion criteria: 6 randomized controlled trials (RCTs), 6 prospective cohorts, 3 retrospective observational studies, 3 case reports, 1 cross-sectional study, and 1 preclinical study. Data Extraction Data were extracted independently in duplicate using a standardized form. Data Synthesis Narrative synthesis was conducted due to heterogeneity. Metformin was the most frequently evaluated agent (7 studies), with 5 studies (including 2 RCTs) reporting statistically significant reductions in dominant nodule volume. One prospective study demonstrated a reduction in the maximum nodule diameter, which was not statistically significant, and 1 RCT showed no changes in nodule size after intervention. Statins (4 studies) and somatostatin analogues (4 studies) showed mixed results. Myo-inositol with selenium, herbal formulations, and immune checkpoint inhibitors showed promise in single studies or case reports. Conclusion Metformin shows the most consistent potential for noninvasive reduction of BTN size, particularly in patients with metabolic comorbidities. However, current evidence is limited and heterogeneous. Further large-scale studies are needed to confirm efficacy and guide clinical use.
Evaluating the Total Healthcare Cost of Inappropriately Ordered Thyroid Ultrasounds
Toro-Tobón, David , Thao, Viengneesee , Jacome, Cristian Soto , Larios, Felipe , Guevara, Kerly , Andrango, Luis Vilatuna, Proano, Ana Cristina , Loor-Torres, Ricardo , Zahidy, Misk Al, Cabezas, Esteban , Wu, Yucheng , Ospina, Naykky Singh , Larios, Felipe , Soto Jacome, Cristian, Vilatuna Andrango, Luis, Fan, Jungwei W, Al Zahidy, Misk, Branda, Megan E. , Singh Ospina, Naykky , Brito, Juan P , Toro-Tobon, David , Borah, Bijan J. , Fan, Jungwei , Wu, Yuqi, Brito, Juan P.

Journal of the Endocrine Society | August 30, 2025 | Volume: 9 | Issue: 10 | Pages: No page available

10.1210/jendso/bvaf143 Get It

Abstract Purpose Overuse of thyroid ultrasound (TUS) has contributed to rising thyroid cancer diagnoses and is projected to increase US healthcare costs from $1.5 billion to $3.5 billion by 2030. This study evaluated the healthcare cost of inappropriately ordered TUS in a national multicenter academic system. Methods This is a secondary cost analysis of a retrospective cohort study across 4 Mayo Clinic sites (Rochester, MN; Jacksonville, FL; Scottsdale, AZ; and the Midwest Mayo Clinic Health System). Adult patients (≥18 years) undergoing their first TUS between January 1, 2017, and December 31, 2021, with at least 1 year of follow-up were included. TUS indications were classified as appropriate or inappropriate using a guideline-based natural language processing algorithm. The primary outcome was a comparison of adjusted 1-year all-cause healthcare costs. A secondary analysis calculated the direct procedural costs of the inappropriate TUS cascade. Results Among 6984 patients (mean age 56 [SD 16.4]; 76.2% female; 90.9% White), 546 (7.8%) underwent TUS for inappropriate indications. These patients were younger (mean age 53.0 vs 56.3 years, P < .0001) but otherwise demographically similar. Adjusted total healthcare costs over 90 days and 1 year were comparable: $4842 vs $5794 and $13 748 vs $14 257 for inappropriate vs appropriate TUS, respectively. The inappropriate TUS cascade, including an estimated 56 subsequent biopsies and 22 thyroidectomies, resulted in a minimum of $576 134 in direct procedural costs. Conclusion While adjusted total costs were similar, inappropriate TUS represents potentially avoidable spending and remains a viable target for cost-reduction strategies. Reducing low-value imaging remains a critical target for cost-saving interventions.
In untreated Graves disease, adding methotrexate to methimazole increased euthyroidism-related treatment discontinuation at 18 mo
Toro-Tobón, David , Egan, Aoife M. , Toro-Tobon, David , Egan, A M

Annals of Internal Medicine | June 2, 2025 | Volume: 178 | Issue: 6 | Pages: JC69

10.7326/annals-25-01771-jc Get It

GLP-1RA Use and Thyroid Cancer Risk
Brito, Juan P. , Swarna, Kavya, Ospina, Naykky Singh , Toro-Tobón, David , Deng, Yihong, Mickelson, Mindy M. , Ospina, Naykky Singh , Toro-Tobon, David , Singh Ospina, Naykky , Brito, Juan P , Herrin, Jeph , Montori, Víctor M. , Umpierrez, Guillermo E. , Galindo, Rodolfo J. , Deng, Yihong , Mickelson, Mindy M , Shao, Hui , Polley, Eric C. , McCoy, Rozalina G.

JAMA Otolaryngology–Head & Neck Surgery | January 23, 2025 | Volume: 151 | Issue: 3 | Pages: 243

10.1001/jamaoto.2024.4852 Get It

Importance The increasing use of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA) demands a better understanding of their association with thyroid cancer. Objective To estimate the risk of incident thyroid cancer among adults with type 2 diabetes being treated with GLP-1RA vs other common glucose-lowering medications. Design, Setting, and Participants This was a prespecified secondary analysis of a target trial emulation of a comparative effectiveness study using claims data for enrollees in commercial, Medicare Advantage, and Medicare fee-for-service plans across the US. Eligible participants were adults with type 2 diabetes at moderate risk for cardiovascular disease and without history of thyroid cancer who had newly filled prescriptions for GLP-1RA, sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor (SGLT2i), dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor (DPP4i), or sulfonylurea from January 1, 2014, to December 31, 2021. Data were analyzed February 1 to October 31, 2024. Main Outcomes and Measures Overall and piecewise (<1, 1-2, and ≥2 years since treatment initiation) hazard ratios (HRs) for thyroid cancer with use of GLP-1RA vs the other 3 drug classes were estimated using inverse propensity score weighted Cox proportional hazards models. Modified intention-to-treat (mITT) (primary) and as-treated (sensitivity) analyses were performed. Results Of 351 913 patients (mean [SD] age, 65.3 [8.5] years; 173 391 [49.3%] females and 178 522 [50.7%] males), 41 112 started treatment with GLP-1RA; 76 093, with DPP4i; 43 499, with SGLT2i; and 191 209, with sulfonylurea therapy. The numbers of patients diagnosed with thyroid cancer were 69 (0.17%) in the GLP-1RA group, 172 (0.23%) in the DPP4i group, 72 (0.17%) in the SGLT2i group, and 381 (0.20%) in the sulfonylurea group. In the mITT analysis, GLP-1RA initiation was not significantly associated with increased overall risk for thyroid cancer compared to the other 3 diabetes drugs (HR, 1.24; 95% CI, 0.88-1.76). However, the risk for thyroid cancer was significantly higher within the first year after GLP-1RA initiation (HR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.11-3.08) and was amplified in the overall as-treated analysis that censored patients when therapy was discontinued or another medication was added (HR, 2.07; 95% CI, 1.10-3.95). Conclusions and Relevance This secondary analysis of a target trial emulation of a comparative effectiveness study found that despite the low absolute risk of thyroid cancer among patients receiving GLP-1RA therapy, there was an increased risk of new thyroid cancer diagnoses within the first year of GLP-1RA initiation compared to 3 other diabetes drugs. This finding may have been due to enhanced early detection; therefore, further research is necessary to understand the underlying causes of this association.
Assessing ChatGPT's Capability in Addressing Thyroid Cancer Patient Queries: A Comprehensive Mixed-Methods Evaluation
Gorris, Matthew A. , Randle, Reese W. , Obermiller, Corey , Thomas, Johnson, Toro-Tobón, David , Dream, Sophie , Fackelmayer, Oliver J. , Pandian, T.K. , Mayson, Sarah E. , Toro-Tobon, David

Journal of the Endocrine Society | January 13, 2025 | Volume: 9 | Issue: 2 | Pages: No page available

10.1210/jendso/bvaf003 Get It

Abstract Context Literature suggests patients with thyroid cancer have unmet informational needs in many aspects of care. Patients often turn to online resources for their health-related information, and generative artificial intelligence programs such as ChatGPT are an emerging and attractive resource for patients. Objective To assess the quality of ChatGPT's responses to thyroid cancer-related questions. Methods Four endocrinologists and 4 endocrine surgeons, all with expertise in thyroid cancer, evaluated the responses to 20 thyroid cancer-related questions. Responses were scored on a 7-point Likert scale in areas of accuracy, completeness, and overall satisfaction. Comments from the evaluators were aggregated and a qualitative analysis was performed. Results Overall, only 57%, 56%, and 52% of the responses “agreed” or “strongly agreed” that ChatGPT's answers were accurate, complete, and satisfactory, respectively. One hundred ninety-eight free-text comments were included in the qualitative analysis. The majority of comments were critical in nature. Several themes emerged, which included overemphasis of diet and iodine intake and its role in thyroid cancer, and incomplete or inaccurate information on risks of both thyroid surgery and radioactive iodine therapy. Conclusion Our study suggests that ChatGPT is not accurate or reliable enough at this time for unsupervised use as a patient information tool for thyroid cancer.
Thyroid Cancer Risk with GLP-1 Receptor Agonists: Evidence, Knowledge Gaps, and the Path Forward
Toro-Tobón, David , Ospina, Naykky Singh , Brito, Juan P. , Toro-Tobon, David , Singh Ospina, Naykky , Brito, Juan P

Thyroid® | January 8, 2025 | Volume: 35 | Issue: 1 | Pages: 3-5

10.1089/thy.2024.0690 Get It

6855 Nationwide Analysis Of Mentorship In Endocrinology Fellowship
Toro-Tobón, David , Billings, Heather , Toro-Tobon, David , Bancos, Irina

Journal of the Endocrine Society | October 5, 2024 | Volume: 8 | Issue: Supplement_1 | Pages: No page available

10.1210/jendso/bvae163.1062 Get It

Abstract Disclosure: D. Toro-Tobon: None. H. Billings: None. I. Bancos: None. Background: Mentorship is crucial for training physicians' career development, yet evidence of its impact on endocrinology trainees is lacking. We assessed the current state of mentorship in endocrine fellowship training in the United States. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional study between June and September 2023. Endocrine fellows were invited to complete an online questionnaire describing their mentorship experience and its influence on burnout, satisfaction, and scholarly productivity. Results: Of 153 participants (mean age 34, 69% women, 47% White, 20% Hispanic/Latino), 73% had a mentor. Having a mentor was not associated with age, gender identity, race, or ethnicity. Those without mentors were more commonly in two-year fellowships (63% vs. 81%, p=0.04), had less access to formal mentorship programs (48% vs. 21%, p<0.01), cited insufficient faculty availability for mentoring (11% vs. 26%, p=0.01), and encountered more challenges finding mentors in their training programs (11% vs. 38%, p<0.001). Mentored participants exhibited increased post-fellowship interest in academic practice (69% vs. 50%, p<0.01), higher involvement in clinical research (65% vs. 49%, p=0.01), more fellowship-dedicated scholarly time (36% vs. 22%, <0.001), a greater median number of publications (4.6 vs. 1.8, p<0.01) and abstracts (7 vs. 3.7, p<0.01), were more likely to have submitted a grant (29% vs. 5%, p=0.03) and had higher satisfaction with training (92% vs. 64%, p<0.001). Mentors were mostly chosen by mentees (70%) and shared gender identity (61%) but often had a different race or ethnicity (71.8%). The majority found mentorship relationships satisfactory (87%), contributing to increased academic productivity (84%) and reduced mentee burnout and stress levels (60%). In bivariate analysis, all mentor attributes significantly influenced higher academic productivity and mentee satisfaction. The most divergent for academic productivity were improved communication, alignment with expectations, inspiration for goal attainment, and effective networking. For mentorship satisfaction, distinctions were found in communication enhancement, goal-oriented assistance, knowledge/skill enrichment, and personalized career path development. Traits like active listening and adapting communication styles were not linked to decreased burnout, but actively supporting work-life balance independently correlated with reduced burnout. Conclusion: Mentorship positively affects endocrine fellows' scholarly productivity and career development. Yet, a significant number lack mentors or access to programs. Mentor attributes, like effective communication, goal alignment, and networking support boost productivity and satisfaction. However, reducing mentee burnout hinges on actively fostering work-life balance. Presentation: 6/3/2024