Villamarin, Jose

Objective: To compare 1-year changes in estimated 10-year and lifetime atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk following metabolic and bariatric surgery (MBS) versus glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist (GLP-1RA) therapy among adults with obesity. Summary Background Data: Obesity is a major driver of ASCVD through adverse metabolic and inflammatory pathways. Metabolic and bariatric surgery and GLP-1 receptor agonists represent the most effective contemporary treatments for obesity and are increasingly used to mitigate cardiovascular risk. However, their comparative effects on integrated short-term and lifetime ASCVD risk in real-world clinical practice remain incompletely characterized. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of adults with obesity (body mass index ≥30 kg/m²) who underwent MBS or initiated GLP-1RA therapy between 2020 and 2023 within a large tertiary health care system in the United States. Participants were identified from electronic health records and followed for 12 months. Primary outcomes were 1-year changes in estimated 10-year and lifetime ASCVD risk. Secondary outcomes included percent total body weight loss, blood pressure, and lipid parameters. Multivariable linear regression models were used to adjust for baseline body mass index and baseline ASCVD risk. Results: The final cohort included 812 patients, of whom 579 underwent MBS and 233 initiated GLP-1RA therapy. At baseline, patients receiving GLP-1RAs were older and had higher estimated ASCVD risk. At 1 year, reductions in 10-year ASCVD risk were similar between groups (−0.8% vs. −1.1%; P =.36). In contrast, lifetime ASCVD risk decreased significantly more following MBS than GLP-1RA therapy (−8.6% vs. −1.7%; P <.001). MBS was associated with greater percent total body weight loss (−27.8% vs. −11.1%; P <.001) and more favorable lipid changes, including larger reductions in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and greater increases in high-density lipoprotein cholesterol. After adjustment, MBS remained independently associated with a greater reduction in lifetime ASCVD risk compared with GLP-1RA therapy (β −6.92; 95% CI −9.22 to −4.62). Conclusions: In this real-world cohort, both MBS and GLP-1RA therapy were associated with improvements in estimated cardiovascular risk, but MBS conferred substantially greater reductions in lifetime ASCVD risk, accompanied by superior weight loss and lipid improvements. These findings highlight the complementary roles of surgical and pharmacologic therapies in obesity management and may inform strategies to optimize long-term cardiovascular risk reduction.

ABSTRACT Metabolic dysfunction‐associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) represents a key hepatic manifestation of obesity and systemic metabolic dysfunction and is a leading cause of chronic liver disease worldwide. Obesity‐driven mechanisms, including adipose tissue dysfunction, insulin resistance and increased free fatty acid flux to the liver, promote ectopic lipid accumulation and lipotoxic injury. These processes trigger mitochondrial and endoplasmic reticulum stress, inflammation, immune activation and disturbances in the gut–liver axis, driving disease progression from simple steatosis to metabolic dysfunction–associated steatohepatitis, fibrosis and cirrhosis. MASLD is a highly heterogeneous condition, with differences in fat distribution, body composition and genetic susceptibility giving rise to distinct clinical phenotypes, including lean and non‐lean MASLD, which have important implications for disease risk, progression and therapeutic response. Clinical outcomes are determined primarily by fibrosis stage, which represents the strongest predictor of liver‐related and all‐cause mortality, underscoring the importance of early disease recognition and risk stratification. Therapeutic strategies, therefore, increasingly target upstream metabolic drivers rather than hepatic steatosis alone. Lifestyle interventions remain foundational but are often limited by challenges in long‐term adherence. Pharmacologic therapies, particularly incretin‐based agents such as glucagon‐like peptide‐1 receptor agonists and dual incretin agonists, as well as bariatric and endoscopic metabolic procedures, have demonstrated substantial metabolic and hepatic benefits. Recognition of disease heterogeneity supports phenotype‐guided approaches that integrate metabolic risk, adiposity, body composition and fibrosis assessment to personalise treatment strategies and improve long‐term outcomes across the MASLD spectrum.

Background/Objectives: Individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D) achieve less total body weight loss (TBWL) with obesity medications compared to those without T2D. The individualized metabolic surgery (IMS) score, originally developed to predict T2D remission after bariatric surgery, inversely correlates with TBWL response to semaglutide. IMS reflects T2D severity, incorporating HbA1c and T2D duration and medication use. This study aims to evaluate TBWL with tirzepatide across IMS severity categories and identify predictors of response in a real-world cohort. Methods: This retrospective analysis included 717 adults with T2D using tirzepatide for overweight or obesity within the Mayo Clinic Health System. Patients were stratified by IMS severity (mild, moderate, severe) and quartiles. Primary endpoint: TBWL% at 15 months. Secondary endpoints: categorical thresholds (≥5%, ≥10%, ≥15%, ≥20%) and predictors of TBWL%. Linear mixed-effects models and regression models were employed. Results: At 15 months, TBWL was greater in mild versus severe IMS groups (14.8% vs. 11.0%, p = 0.015), with similar trends across quartiles. The proportion achieving ≥ 20% TBWL was nearly two-fold higher in mild versus severe IMS (27% vs. 14%, p = 0.03). Female sex independently predicted greater TBWL, whereas insulin use, higher T2D medication burden (particularly weight-promoting agents), and HbA1c > 7% were associated with less TBWL. Conclusions: Tirzepatide produced clinically meaningful TBWL across all IMS categories, although TBWL declined with increasing IMS severity. Glycemic control and T2D medication use emerged as strong predictors of TBWL. The IMS score may serve as a practical tool to anticipate weight-loss trajectories, guide personalized treatment decisions, and inform patient counseling.