Machlab, Laura A.

Background: Estimating operative time with low accuracy and precision leads to suboptimal scheduling of available operating rooms (ORs) and waste of healthcare resources. We aimed to develop a predictive machine learning (ML) model for operative time using our institutional data to improve the scheduling of neurosurgical ORs, minimize waste, and maximize resource utilization. Methods: We developed a predictive model using our institution’s multicenter registry, which included diverse neurosurgical cases across three tertiary hospitals. We applied multiple ML techniques, including linear regression, support vector regression, deep neural networks, and extreme gradient boosting regression (XGBR). The best model was combined with the first fit decreasing bin-packing algorithm to create a practical OR scheduling system based on prior data. Results: The XGBR model exhibited the best performance, with lower mean absolute errors (MAEs) (root mean squared error: 52.24, MAE: 37.25) and higher R2 (0.76) values than other models. Implementing this model in a simulated OR scheduling scenario using institutional data, we successfully scheduled 30 random procedures with minimal residual time, such that the model ran out of procedures for the week with 86 and 171 min remaining in the cranial and spinal ORs, respectively, demonstrating potential efficiency gains. The cranial procedures were scheduled over 4 days and spinal procedures over 6 days, optimizing available OR time. Conclusion: Integrating ML models into operative time prediction can significantly improve the accuracy and efficiency of surgical schedules. This approach minimizes wasted OR time and enhances resource allocation, potentially improving patient outcomes and satisfaction by reducing waiting times.

OBJECTIVE This study aimed to develop an artificial intelligence (AI) model for automatically detecting Hounsfield unit (HU) values at the L1 vertebra in preoperative thoracolumbar CT scans. This model serves as a screening tool for osteoporosis in patients undergoing spine surgery, offering an alternative to traditional bone mineral density measurement methods like dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry. METHODS The authors utilized two CT scan datasets, comprising 501 images, which were split into training, validation, and test subsets. The nnU-Net framework was used for segmentation, followed by an algorithm to calculate HU values from the L1 vertebra. The model’s performance was validated against manual HU calculations by expert raters on 56 CT scans. Statistical measures included the Dice coefficient, Pearson correlation coefficient, intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC), and Bland-Altman plots to assess the agreement between AI and human-derived HU measurements. RESULTS The AI model achieved a high Dice coefficient of 0.91 for vertebral segmentation. The Pearson correlation coefficient between AI-derived HU and human-derived HU values was 0.96, indicating strong agreement. ICC values for interrater reliability were 0.95 and 0.94 for raters 1 and 2, respectively. The mean difference between AI and human HU values was 7.0 HU, with limits of agreement ranging from −21.1 to 35.2 HU. A paired t-test showed no significant difference between AI and human measurements (p = 0.21). CONCLUSIONS The AI model demonstrated strong agreement with human experts in measuring HU values, validating its potential as a reliable tool for automated osteoporosis screening in spine surgery patients. This approach can enhance preoperative risk assessment and perioperative bone health optimization. Future research should focus on external validation and inclusion of diverse patient demographics to ensure broader applicability.