AbstractIntroductionEfforts to model the cost‐effectiveness of managing/modifying cognitive impairment lack reliable, objective, baseline medical, and nursing‐home (NH) costs.MethodsA stratified‐random sample of Olmsted County, MN, residents ages 70–89 years (N = 3545), well‐characterized as cognitively unimpaired, mild cognitive impairment (MCI), or dementia, were followed forward ≤1 year in provider‐linked billing data and the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services NH assessments. Direct medical/nursing home/medical + NH costs were estimated. Costs were stratified by vital status and NH‐use intensity (NH days/follow‐up days [0%, 1% to 24%, 25% to 99%, and 100%]). Between‐category mean‐annual cost differences were adjusted for patient characteristics and follow‐up days.ResultsCosts/follow‐up day distributions differed significantly across cognitive categories. Mean costs/follow‐up days were 2.5 to 18 times higher for decedents versus survivors. Among all persons with MCI, <9% with any NH use accounted for 18% of all total annual medical + NH costs. Adjusted‐between‐category comparisons revealed significantly higher medical and medical + NH costs for MCI versus cognitively unimpaired.DiscussionCost‐effectiveness for managing/modifying both MCI and dementia should consider end‐of‐life costs and NH‐use intensity. Results can help inform cost‐effectiveness models, predict future‐care needs, and aid decision‐making by individuals/providers/payers/policymakers.
Nursing Home Use Across The Spectrum of Cognitive Decline: Merging Mayo Clinic Study of Aging With CMS MDS Assessments
Background/objectives Objective, complete estimates of nursing home ( NH ) use across the spectrum of cognitive decline are needed to help predict future care needs and inform economic models constructed to assess interventions to reduce care needs. Design Retrospective longitudinal study. Setting Olmsted County, MN . Participants Mayo Clinic Study of Aging participants assessed as cognitively normal ( CN ), mild cognitive impairment ( MCI ), previously unrecognized dementia, or prevalent dementia (age = 70–89 years; N = 3,545). Measurements Participants were followed in Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) Minimum Data Set (MDS) NH records and in Rochester Epidemiology Project provider‐linked medical records for 1‐year after assessment of cognition for days of observation, NH use (yes/no), NH days, NH days/days of observation, and mortality. Results In the year after cognition was assessed, for persons categorized as CN , MCI , previously unrecognized dementia, and prevalent dementia respectively, the percentages who died were 1.0%, 2.6%, 4.2%, 21%; the percentages with any NH use were 3.8%, 8.7%, 19%, 40%; for persons with any NH use, median NH days were 27, 38, 120, 305, and median percentages of NH days/days of observation were 7.8%, 12%, 33%, 100%. The year after assessment, among persons with prevalent dementia and any NH use, >50% were a NH resident all days of observation. Pairwise comparisons revealed that each increase in cognitive impairment category exhibited significantly higher proportions with any NH use. One‐year mortality was especially high for persons with prevalent dementia and any NH use (30% vs 13% for those with no NH use); 58% of all deaths among persons with prevalent dementia occurred while a NH resident. Conclusions Findings suggest reductions in NH use could result from quality alternatives to NH admission, both among persons with MCI and persons with dementia, together with suitable options for end‐of‐life care among persons with prevalent dementia.
Direct medical costs and source of cost differences across the spectrum of cognitive decline: A population‐based study
Abstract Background Objective cost estimates and source of cost differences are needed across the spectrum of cognition, including cognitively normal (CN), mild cognitive impairment (MCI), newly discovered dementia, and prevalent dementia. Methods Subjects were a subset of the Mayo Clinic Study of Aging stratified‐random sampling of Olmsted County, MN, residents aged 70 to 89 years. A neurologist reviewed provider‐linked medical records to identify prevalent dementia (review date = index). Remaining subjects were invited to participate in prospective clinical/neuropsychological assessments; participants were categorized as CN, MCI, or newly discovered dementia (assessment date = index). Costs for medical services/procedures 1‐year pre‐index (excluding indirect and long‐term care costs) were estimated using line‐item provider‐linked administrative data. We estimated contributions of care‐delivery site and comorbid conditions (including and excluding neuropsychiatric diagnoses) to between‐category cost differences. Results Annual mean medical costs for CN, MCI, newly discovered dementia, and prevalent dementia were $6042, $6784, $9431, $11,678, respectively. Hospital inpatient costs contributed 70% of total costs for prevalent dementia and accounted for differences between CN and both prevalent and newly discovered dementia. Ambulatory costs accounted for differences between CN and MCI. Age‐, sex‐, education‐adjusted differences reached significance for CN versus newly discovered and prevalent dementia and for MCI versus prevalent dementia. After considering all comorbid diagnoses, between‐category differences were reduced (e.g., prevalent dementia minus MCI (from $4842 to $3575); newly discovered dementia minus CN (from $3578 to $711)). Following the exclusion of neuropsychiatric diagnoses from comorbidity adjustment, between‐category differences tended to revert to greater differences. Conclusions Cost estimates did not differ significantly between CN and MCI. Substantial differences between MCI and prevalent dementia reflected high inpatient costs for dementia and appear partly related to co‐occurring mental disorders. Such comparisons can help inform models aimed at identifying where, when, and for which individuals proposed interventions might be cost‐effective.
P1‐083: Association between direct medical costs and reduced cognitive function within categories of normal cognition and mild cognitive impairment
Background and Purpose —There are few population-based data available regarding nursing home use after stroke. This study clarifies the use of a nursing home after stroke, as well as its dependence on stroke severity, in a defined population. Methods —All first stroke events among residents of Rochester, Minn, during 1987–1989 were ascertained, subtyped, and assigned Rankin disability scores (RS) before the event, at maximal deficit, and at specified intervals after stroke. Persons were followed from the date of stroke event to death, emigration from Rochester, or December 31, 1994, in complete community-based medical records and Minnesota Case Mix Review Program data tapes to determine nursing home residency before stroke and at 90 days and 1 year after stroke, proportion of survival days in a nursing home, and cumulative risk of admission to a nursing home. Results —There were 251 cases of first cerebral infarction, 24 intracerebral hemorrhages, and 15 subarachnoid hemorrhages among residents of Rochester during 1987–1989. The maximal deficit RS was 1 or 2 for 62 (25%), RS 3 for 72 (29%), and RS 4 or 5 for 117 (47%) of the cerebral infarct patients. Among patients surviving to 90 days or 1 year after cerebral infarction, 25% were in nursing home at 90 days and 22% at 1 year, respectively. Within these maximal deficit RS categories, the percentages of follow-up time spent in a nursing home during the first post–cerebral infarction year are as follows: RS 1 to 2, 4%; RS 3, 10%; and RS 4 to 5, 54%. Multivariate logistic regression revealed that increasing age and RS 4 to 5 at maximal deficit were independent predictors ( P <0.0001) of nursing home residency at 90 days and 1 year after stroke, whereas stroke type was not an independent predictor. At 1 year after cerebral infarction, the Kaplan-Meier estimates of proportion of people with at least 1 nursing home admission were 11% for RS 1 to 2, 22% for RS 3, and 68% for RS 4 to 5. Conclusions —This study provides unique population-based data regarding the short- and long-term use of a nursing home after stroke and its dependence on stroke severity. More than 50% of people with a severe cerebral infarction are in a nursing home 90 days and 1 year after the stroke, and by 1 year, nearly 70% will have required some nursing home stay. Age and stroke severity are independent predictors of nursing home residency after stroke.