Goldberg, Leah

Abstract The incidence of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in patients with acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) receiving asparaginase-based induction is high despite primary thromboprophylaxis. Our aim was to derive and externally validate a VTE risk prediction model in patients with ALL receiving asparaginase-based induction. We conducted a multicenter retrospective cohort study of patients (aged ≥18 years) with newly diagnosed ALL receiving asparaginase-based induction. The derivation and external validation cohorts included 306 and 94 patients, respectively. Primary outcome was VTE at any site. A cause-specific Cox proportional hazards model stratified by thromboprophylaxis and center was performed to identify VTE risk factors in the derivation cohort. A risk prediction model for VTE at 30 days was derived using variables with P value < .05 in the multivariable model and was tested in the validation cohort. VTE risk factors on multivariable analysis in the derivation cohort included D-dimer ≥1 μg fibrinogen equivalent unit per mL (hazard ratio [HR], 2.64; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.07-6.5) and hemoglobin (HR for each 1 g/dL increment, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.06-1.34) at ALL diagnosis. A VTE risk score based on these variables distinguished between a 4% (95% CI, 0.72-12) and 20% (95% CI, 14-27) 30-day cumulative incidence of VTE in the derivation cohort, with similar findings in the validation cohort (area under the curve, 0.56). The negative predictive value for VTE at 30 days was 96% and 93% in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively, and the positive predictive value was 20% in both. We derived and validated a model using D-dimer and hemoglobin, which stratifies VTE risk in patients with ALL receiving asparaginase-based induction.

Background: Patients with acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) receiving L-asparaginase (ASP) based induction therapy have a high risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). Studies investigating universal thromboprophylaxis strategies have yielded sub-optimal results. Risk prediction models are needed to identify high-risk patients who would be candidates for intensification of thromboprophylaxis, and lower risk patients who are unlikely to benefit. Aims: Derive and externally validate a risk prediction model for VTE in patients with ALL receiving ASP therapy. Methods: We conducted a multicenter, international, cohort study of patients with newly-diagnosed ALL receiving ASP-based induction therapy (≥18yrs). The derivation and external validation cohorts included 306 and 97 patients without VTE prior to ASP therapy, respectively. Patients on therapeutic anticoagulation at index were excluded. Patients were followed from date of first ASP dose for 100 days post ALL diagnosis or until VTE, therapeutic anticoagulation or death. Candidate predictors were documented at ALL diagnosis and included demographics, disease and treatment characteristics, VTE history, comorbidities, thromboprophylaxis, complete blood count, fibrinogen and d-dimer. D-dimer was only analyzed within the 7 derivation cohort centers who routinely tested this at ALL diagnosis with <20% missing values. Primary outcome was VTE at any site (centrally confirmed). Secondary outcomes included major bleeding by ISTH criteria. Cause-specific Cox proportional hazard regression was performed to identify VTE risk factors in the derivation cohort while treating death as a competing event. Variables with p-value <0.1 on univariable analysis were included in a multivariable model and subsequently used in the risk model if p-value <0.05. Lastly, the derived VTE risk prediction model was tested in the external validation cohort for association with time to VTE using cause-specific Cox proportional hazard model. All analyses were stratified by center and use of low molecular weight heparin prophylaxis (at any dose on the date of first ASP dose). Results: The cumulative incidence of VTE in the derivation cohort was 17% at 30 days (95% confidence interval [CI] 13% - 21%) and 22% at 90 days (95% CI 17% - 27%). The multivariable model included hyperlipidemia (hazard ratio [HR] 1.35; 95% CI 0.56 - 3.27), body mass index ≥ 25 kg/m² (HR 1.49; 95% CI 0.75 - 2.95), platelet count ≥ 25 x 10⁹/L (HR 1.42; 95% CI 0.67 - 3.00), increasing hemoglobin per 1 g/dL (HR 1.17; 95% CI 1.03 - 1.32) and d-dimer ≥ 1 µg FEU/mL (HR 2.68; 95% CI 1.08 - 6.66). Hemoglobin as a continuous variable and d-dimer ≥ 1 µg FEU/mL were included in the final model and used to create a risk score which was weighted by estimated log-HR sum of these risk factors. The lowest risk quartile (risk score below 2.1) successfully differentiated between a lower 30-day cumulative VTE incidence (4%, 95% CI 0.72% - 12%) compared with the other quartiles (20%, 95% CI 14% - 27%; HR 4.40, 95% CI 1.54 - 12.5) which were defined as high risk (score ≥2.1). The risk score's negative predictive value (NPV) for VTE at 30 days was 96% and positive predictive value (PPV) was 20%. The validation cohort (n=97 from 3 external cohorts with routine d-dimer measurement) included 16 (16.5%) patients in the low-risk group and 81 (83.5%) in the high-risk group, with a 30-day VTE incidence of 6.3% (95% CI 0% - 17%) and 21% (95% CI 12% - 30%), respectively (HR 6.22; 95% CI 0.85 - 45.8; p = 0.073)). The NPV (93.7%) and PPV (21%) were comparable to the derivation cohort. The 30-day incidence of major bleeding was 0% (95% CI NR - NR) in low-risk patients (HR 1.36; 95% CI 0.27 - 6.77) and 2.0% (95% CI 0.55% - 5.4%) in the high-risk group. Conclusion: Patients with ALL receiving ASP induction therapy have a 17% VTE risk at 30 days. We derived and externally validated a VTE risk prediction model based upon d-dimer and hemoglobin. This model successfully identifies at least 16.5% of patients with ALL who have a low VTE risk after ASP treatment. Using this model, novel prevention strategies which may be associated with cost and risk could now be tailored to patients with higher risk. Prospective studies are needed to validate the model's performance and role in VTE risk management.

Background: Acute promyelocytic leukemia (APL) is one of the most treatable leukemias in the current era, with cure rates upwards of 90%. Early mortality due to coagulopathies often seen at diagnosis is a major driver of adverse outcomes. Prompt initiation of all-trans retinoic acid (ATRA) is crucial for suspected APL, as it is known to reverse these coagulopathies. Chemotherapy-free protocols consisting of arsenic trioxide (ATO) and ATRA have become the standard of care for low-risk APL with high cure rates and reduced hematologic toxicities. For high-risk disease, there are multiple treatment options that have not been compared. Since APL is rare, there is a lack of real-world data for this disease. This retrospective review aimed to assess the outcomes of APL patients (pts) across multiple institutions and to examine the most common induction regimens, characteristics linked to early (30-day) mortality, and supportive care strategies. Methods: This retrospective study involved 9 institutions in the US and was conducted through the Consortium on Myeloid Malignancies and Neoplastic Diseases (COMMAND). Data included pts admitted from 8/5/2006 through 2/3/2024 with a confirmed diagnosis of APL. Each institution received a data-collection form and contributed data on APL pts from presentation to last follow-up. Key data categories included patient demographics, presenting laboratory and molecular data, treatment regimen, supportive care, and patient outcomes. Results: Data for 412 pts were identified with a median age of 51 (range 17-90) and 49% were female. Cardiovascular comorbidities were present in 44% of pts and 16% had a known pulmonary comorbidity. At presentation 109 (27%) had high risk-disease, defined as a white blood cell count (WBC) greater than 10 x 109/L. A FLT3 mutation was seen in 50% of tested pts, WT1 (22%), KRAS (3.6%), and NRAS (6.5%). The median WBC at presentation was 2 x 109/L (range: 0-166 x 109/L) and the median platelet count was 27 x 109/L (range: 2.0-315 109/L). Twenty-six percent presented with grade 2+ thrombosis, bleeding, or both. A higher percentage of pts with high-risk vs. low-risk disease presented with grade 2+ thrombosis, bleeding, or both (43% vs. 20%), DIC (60% vs. 36%), and mutated FLT3 (81% vs. 37%). The majority of pts received a chemotherapy-free induction regimen consisting of ATRA plus ATO. It was determined that 36 (8.7%) pts received induction with intermittent ATO plus ATRA (Burnett AK, Lancet Oncol 2015), 276 (67%) received daily ATO plus ATRA (Ravandi F, J Clin Oncol 2009 and Lo Coco, NEJM 2013), and 70 (17%) received a regimen inclusive of an anthracycline plus ATRA. Eleven pts did not start an induction regimen other than single-agent ATRA due to early death, while 19 had their regimen classified as “other” because they did not follow a conventional induction path. In total, 295/358 (82%) received ATRA within 24 hours of admission. At least 1 dose of gemtuzumab ozogamicin was given to 58 (14%) pts, of which 35 (60%) were considered high risk. The incidence of differentiation syndrome (DS) was 37% (n=154). Among the 243 pts who received steroid prophylaxis, 30% developed DS, compared to 52% of those who did not receive prophylaxis. Among the 360 pts with at least 1 available PCR result after starting induction, 94% achieved PCR-negativity. The 30-day mortality rate was 6.6%. On univariate analysis, presenting variables associated with a higher 30-day mortality include older age, diabetes, cardiovascular comorbidities, thrombosis or bleeding, DIC, eGFR < 60, elevated total bilirubin and D-dimer levels, and high-risk disease. The median overall survival (OS) of the cohort was not reached, and the 5- and 10-year OS was 88% (95% CI: 84-91%) and 79% (95% CI: 72-87%) respectively. The cumulative incidence of relapse at 3 years was 2.7% (95% CI: 1.4 - 5.1%), with no additional relapses observed. The incidence of CNS relapse at 3 years was 0.9% (95% CI: 0.3% - 2.8%), with 2 of the 4 pts classified as high-risk. Conclusion: This is the largest real-world evidence data collection in the US evaluating the outcome of pts with APL in the current era, inclusive of ATO as front-line induction. Outcomes for this disease remain extremely positive, with low 30-day mortality rates noted in this study along with durable OS rates and low incidence of relapse. Additional information on outcomes, safety, and supportive care will be presented at the meeting.