Vierkant, Robert A.

Abstract Introduction: Alterations in components of the stromal tissue that underlie the epithelium can initiate, promote or inhibit epithelial tumorigenesis. Decorin (DCN) and lumican (LUM) are stromal genes with reduced expression in serous ovarian cancer. We hypothesized that single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in these genes may influence susceptibility to serous ovarian cancer. Methods: To test this hypothesis, we compared genotype frequencies of 11 tagSNPs in DCN and LUM between 397 Caucasian cases with primary serous ovarian cancer and 920 Caucasian controls in two studies conducted at Mayo Clinic and Duke University (discovery set). Associations were evaluated further in a third Caucasian population of 436 cases and 1,098 controls in Australia (replication set). TagSNPs were selected from unrelated Caucasian samples within HapMap based on the following criteria: (i) minor allele frequency ≥ 0.05, (ii) pairwise linkage disequilibrium (LD) of r2 ≥ 0.8, and (iii) location within, and 5kb upstream and downstream of, each gene region. Genotyping was performed using the Illumina GoldenGate™ assay and associations between SNPs and serous cancer were evaluated using unconditional logistic regression to estimate per allele odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CI). Untyped genotypes for DCN rs13312816 in the discovery set, and for DCN rs3138165 and LUM rs17018765 in the replication set, were imputed using the MACH software. Results: In the discovery set, we observed inverse associations between DCN rs3138165 (OR=0.7; 95%CI=0.5-1.0), DCN rs13312816 (OR=0.7; 95%CI=0.5-1.0), DCN rs516115 (OR=0.8; 95%CI=0.7-1.0) and LUM rs17018765 (OR=0.7; 95%CI=0.5-1.0) and risk of serous ovarian cancers (all Ptrend=0.06). Associations were confirmed in the replication set for DCN rs3138165 (OR=0.6; 95%CI=0.4-0.9; Ptrend=0.009), DCN rs13312816 (OR=0.7; 95%CI=0.5-0.9; Ptrend=0.01) and LUM rs17018765 (OR=0.6; 95%CI=0.4-0.9; Ptrend=0.008), but not for DCN rs516115 (Ptrend=0.20). To increase statistical power, data from the discovery and replication sets were combined (833 cases and 2,013 controls) following confirmation of no statistical heterogeneity in the ORs between study sites. In the combined sample, associations were strengthened for DCN rs3138165 (OR=0.7; 95%CI=0.5-0.9; Ptrend=0.002), DCN rs13312816 (OR=0.7; 95%CI=0.5-0.9; Ptrend=0.002), DCN rs516115 (OR=0.9; 95%CI=0.8-1.0; Ptrend=0.03) and LUM rs17018765 (OR=0.6; 95%CI=0.5-0.8; Ptrend=0.001). All four SNPs were in the same LD block on chromosome 12, suggesting that serous ovarian cancer susceptibility may be driven by a single, correlated variant in the region. Conclusion: The findings of this study suggest that genetic variation in DCN and LUM may influence susceptibility to serous ovarian cancer and contribute to the mounting evidence that supports the role of the stroma in epithelial ovarian cancer. Citation Format: {Authors}. {Abstract title} [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 101st Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research; 2010 Apr 17-21; Washington, DC. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2010;70(8 Suppl):Abstract nr 2854.

Abstract Background: Epithelial proliferation in benign breast disease (BBD) is a well-established biomarker of breast cancer risk, and BBD tissues can be used as a platform to assess other biomarkers for breast cancer risk. Lobular involution (the degree of age-related atrophy in lobules) is a new biomarker, with greater degrees of involution associated with lower breast cancer risk. Successful application of tissue biomarkers of risk to breast tissues from normal women would be valuable for risk prediction in the general population. We hypothesized that normal breast tissue samples would differ from BBD tissues in these histologic features of breast cancer risk, with less epithelial proliferation but a similar degree of involution compared to BBD tissues. Methods: Core biopsy samples from the Mayo Benign Breast Disease Cohort Study were compared to core biopsy samples of normal breast tissue obtained from the Susan G. Komen for the Cure Tissue Bank at IU Simon Cancer Center (KTB), a unique resource of breast tissue from donor women without any known breast abnormalities. All core biopsies were assessed histologically by a single breast pathologist for degree of epithelial proliferation (classified as non-proliferative, proliferative without atypia, or atypical hyperplasia) and extent of lobular involution (classified as none, 1-24%, 25-74%, or >75% of lobules). Data were analyzed using chi-square tests and logistic regression. Results: Overall, 318 Mayo BBD and 303 normal (KTB) core breast biopsy samples were evaluated. As anticipated, significantly less epithelial proliferation was present in normal samples compared to BBD samples. Proliferative disease occurred in 9/303 (3%) of normals versus 79/318 (25%) of BBD, and atypical hyperplasia was seen in 2/303 (0.7%) of normal samples versus 24/318 (8%) of BBD core biopsies, p < 0.0001. This difference remained significant after adjusting for age (which was greater overall in the BBD samples). Complete involution was more frequent in normal compared to BBD tissues, although the difference did not reach statistical significance. The age-adjusted odds ratio of complete involution in normal versus BBD tissues was 1.46 (95% CI 0.98-2.17, p = 0.06), suggesting a possible delay or failure of involution in women with BBD. Conclusions: Histologic features of normal breast tissues are different from those of BBD tissues, with less epithelial proliferation and more lobular involution, consistent with a lower risk of breast cancer expected for women with normal breast tissue compared to those with benign breast disease. Normal breast tissues are a valuable and distinct resource that should be considered for biomarker validation studies. Citation Information: Cancer Prev Res 2010;3(12 Suppl):B23.

Abstract Estrogen receptor (ER) is expressed in normal and malignant breast epithelium, and expression levels have been found to increase with age in normal breast epithelium but not in atypical hyperplasia (AH) and carcinoma in situ. Here we assess ER expression in AH and its association with later breast cancer. ER expression was assessed immunohistochemically in archival sections from 246 women with AH who had open benign breast biopsy from 1967 to 1991. The ACIS III (Dako) was utilized to calculate ER expression in all atypical foci. Using multivariate linear regression, we examined associations of ER expression with age at biopsy, indication for biopsy, type of atypia, number of atypical foci, involution status, and family history. Breast cancer risk across levels of ER expression was also assessed compared with the Iowa SEER control population. Among 246 women, 87 (35%) had atypical ductal hyperplasia (ADH), 141 (57%) had atypical lobular hyperplasia (ALH), and 18 (7%) had both. Forty-nine (20%) developed breast cancer (median follow-up of 14.4 years). Multivariate analysis indicated that type of atypia and age at diagnosis were significantly associated with ER percent staining and intensity (P < 0.05). ER expression was increased in women with ADH and/or those over age 55. ER expression did not significantly impact breast cancer risk in patients diagnosed with atypia. We found increasing ER expression in AH with increasing age. ER expression in AH does not further discriminate breast cancer risk in women with atypia. Cancer Prev Res; 4(3); 435–44. ©2011 AACR.

Abstract Background: p16 is a nuclear protein encoded by the p16INK4a gene that regulates the G1-S cell cycle checkpoint. Its overexpression could reflect normal proliferative arrest, but also the evolution of carcinogenic processes that have overcome the p16 block, with progression from hyperplasic lesions to invasive breast cancer. Our aim with this study was to correlate p16 expression, both individually and in combination with expression of COX-2 and Ki67, with subsequent risk of breast cancer among women with atypical hyperplasia. Methods: p16 expression was assessed by immunohistochemical assays in archival paraffin-embedded, formalin-fixed sections from 233 women with atypia whose biopsy specimens were obtained via surgical excision at the Mayo Clinic from January 1, 1967, through December 31, 1991. p16 expression was scored as percent of cells positive and intensity of staining. Risk factor information and follow-up for breast cancer events were obtained via study questionnaire and the medical records. Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) were used to compare observed numbers of breast cancer events to population-based expected counts, both at 10 years and over the entire course of follow-up. Results: Forty-seven patients (20%) developed breast cancer with a mean follow-up of 14.3 (SD=6.96) years. The overall risk of developing breast cancer was not modified by increasing p16 overexpression (low percent of staining with RR=3.89, 95% CI=2.72 to 5.56; high percent of staining with RR=3.91, 95% CI=2.43 to 6.28; similar results for intensity of staining). However, overexpression of both p16 and COX2 conveyed a stronger risk of breast cancer (SIR=4.01, 95% CI 2.28 to 7.07) as compared to dual low expression (SIR 1.78, 95% CI 0.67-4.74). Moreover, overexpression of both Ki67 and p16 was related to a higher 10-year breast cancer risk (SIR 6.25, 95% CI 2.35-16.6) as compared to low expression of both markers (SIR 0.87, 95% CI 0.22-3.49). Conclusions: although single expression of p16 does not stratify breast cancer risk, its overexpression in concert with biomarkers that reflect other carcinogenic processes (e.g. Ki67 and COX2) could help to define risk of tumor development. Citation Information: Cancer Res 2009;69(24 Suppl):Abstract nr 910.

Abstract Background: Uncontrolled proliferation is a defining feature of the malignant phenotype. Ki67 is a marker for proliferating cells and is overexpressed in many breast cancers. Atypical hyperplasia is a premalignant lesion of the breast (relative risk ∼ 4.0). Here we asked if Ki67 expression could stratify risk in women with atypia.Methods: Ki67 expression was assessed immunohistochemically by digital image analysis in archival sections from 192 women with atypia diagnosed at the Mayo Clinic 1/1/67-12/31/91. Risk factor and follow-up data were obtained via study questionnaire and medical records. Observed breast cancer events were compared to population expected rates (Iowa SEER) using standarized incidence ratios (SIRs). We examined both short-term (within 10 years) and long-term (after 10 years) risk of breast cancer (BC) following atypia biopsy.Results: The median value for percent positive cells for Ki67 was 1.0%; the 75th percentile value was 2.3%. Based on the empirical distribution of staining values in our cohort, we selected a cutoff of 2% cells positive to separate high from low staining. There were no differences in Ki67 levels by age at biopsy, type of atypia (ADH, ALH, or both), number of foci of atypia, or family history. 32 women developed BC over a median of 14.6 years. Among them, those with ≥2% Ki67 expression had a shorter time to breast cancer (median 5.5 years, IQR=3.2-7.2) than those with <2% cells positive (median=13.8 years, IQR=11.6-20.3). There was a positive association between Ki67 overexpression (≥2% of cells positive) and risk of BC in the first 10 years of follow-up (SIR=4.42 [95% CI 2.21-8.84]). This excess risk resulted in a 10-year cumulative incidence of 14.1%. In contrast, in the women with low Ki67 expression, we found no increased risk of BC in the first 10 years, with SIR 1.01 (95% CI 0.38-2.70), which was significantly lower than the women with high expression (p=0.01). The 10-year cumulative incidence of BC was 3% for the low Ki67group, in line with population averages. After 10 years, risk increased significantly in the low Ki67 group [SIR 5.69 (3.63-8.92)] vs. no increased risk in the high Ki67 group [SIR 0.78 (0.11-5.55)]. We formally examined this apparent time-dependent difference in incidence patterns by Ki67 staining levels via Poisson regression analysis, and found a statistically significant interaction between pre- vs. post-10 years incidence and high vs. low staining levels (p<0.001).Conclusions: Ki67 appears to be a time-varying biomarker of risk of breast cancer in women with atypical hyperplasia. Women whose atypias show higher proliferation rates have an increased risk for an earlier BC (within 10 years). Those with lower proliferation rates tend to develop BCs later, after 10 years. Ki67 levels may help to define the time period of greatest risk for women with atypia. Citation Information: Cancer Res 2009;69(24 Suppl):Abstract nr 909.

Abstract Background: Women with benign breast disease are at elevated breast cancer risk. In order to accurately predict a woman's individual risk of breast cancer, a breast cancer risk-prediction model is needed that incorporates significant breast cancer risk factors. This report describes two factors: tissue based assessment of lobular involution, and radiological marker- mammographic density (MD). Lobular involution, or physiologic atrophy of the breast glandular epithelium, is inversely associated with breast cancer risk. MD is a strong positive risk factor for breast cancer. With increasing age, the extent of lobular involution increases while MD decreases. However, it is unclear whether involution and MD represent independent breast cancer risk factors. We examined breast cancer risk associated with lobular involution and MD in women with benign breast disease (BBD) to determine whether these features are independently associated with breast cancer risk.Methods: Using the Mayo Clinic Surgical and Pathology Indices, 9376 women ages 18 to 85 with benign excisional breast biopsy between January 1, 1967 and December 31, 1991 were identified and formed the Mayo BBD cohort. We studied a sub-cohort of women diagnosed with BBD between 1985 and 1991 (when MD was clinically assessed and recorded) who had a mammogram within 6 months of the BBD diagnosis. Breast cancer outcomes were determined through the Mayo medical records and a study-specific questionnaire. Lobular involution extent was assessed in background tissue as 'none' (0% lobules involuted), 'partial' (1-74% lobules involuted) or 'complete' (≥75% lobules involuted). MD was classified as Wolfe's parenchymal pattern (PP) as N1/ fatty; P1; P2; and DY/ homogenously dense. Hazard ratios and confidence intervals were calculated using Cox regression analyses, adjusting for confounders: age, parity, BMI, BBD histology, menopausal status, family history, PP and involution extent.Results: A total of 2666 women in the Mayo BBD cohort, with biopsies between 1985 and 1991, had a mammogram within 6 months of the breast biopsy. The mean age at biopsy was 54.6 years. After a mean follow-up of 13.3 years, 172 (6.5%) women developed breast cancer. After adjustment for PP and other confounders, women with no or partial involution had elevated risk compared to women with complete involution (HR 2.62 [95% CI 1.39, 4.94] for no involution and 1.61 [95% CI 1.03, 2.53] for partial involution; complete involution as reference group; p for trend 0.003). Moreover, women with dense breasts were at greater risk compared to women with nondense breasts (HR 1.67 [95% CI 1.0, 2.73] for DY pattern, 1.96 [95% CI 1.2 – 3.21] for P2, 1.23 [95% CI 0.67, 2.26] for P1; N1 category as reference group; p for trend 0.02). Multivariate analyses also showed that women with the combination of no involution and dense breasts had greater risk compared to those with complete involution and nondense breasts (HR 4.08 [95% CI 1.72, 9.68]).Conclusion: Lobular involution and MD are both risk factors for breast cancer; this report is the first to demonstrate that each provides unique information about breast cancer risk. These findings emphasize the potential for inclusion of both these factors in future breast cancer risk-prediction models. Citation Information: Cancer Res 2009;69(24 Suppl):Abstract nr 6064.

Abstract Background: Risk prediction models are important clinical tools for counseling and decision making for women with an elevated risk of breast cancer, such as women with atypical lobular or ductal hyperplasia (atypia). The Gail model has been shown to underestimate the risk of breast cancer in women with atypia. We sought to evaluate the performance of the Tyrer-Cuzick model in a well-defined cohort of women with atypia.Methods: The Mayo Benign Breast Disease (BBD) Cohort includes 9,376 women aged 18 to 85 who had an open breast biopsy with benign pathological findings between 1967 and 1991. The subset of women with atypia was identified by our study pathologists. Risk factor data required by the Tyrer-Cuzick model were collated for each woman, and the model was used to predict each woman's risk of developing invasive breast cancer within ten years. The predicted numbers of breast cancers were compared to the observed numbers to assess overall model calibration, and the concordance between breast cancer outcomes and predicted probabilities was used to measure the accuracy of the model on the individual level. Subset analysis of women with strong family history was performed. Strong family history was defined as: at least one first-degree relative with breast cancer before the age of 50 years or two or more relatives with breast cancer, at least one being a first degree relative.Results: Three hundred and thirty one women with atypia were identified. Over a mean follow up of 13.7 years, 62 (19%) women have developed invasive breast cancer. Thirty one women developed invasive cancer in the first ten years after biopsy. The Tyrer-Cuzick model predicted that 64.6 invasive breast cancers would occur in the first ten years after biopsy. Thus, the predicted to observed ratio was 2.08 [95% CI: 1.47 – 2.96], p < 0.001).The concordance statistic was 0.51, revealing that the Tyrer-Cuzick model did not accurately distinguish, on an individual level, between women who were diagnosed with invasive breast cancer within ten years of biopsy and those who were not.Performance was somewhat better in the subset of 68 women with a strong family history of breast cancer. The model predicted 12.3 invasive breast cancers, and 7 were observed, for a predicted to observed ratio of 1.76 [95% CI: 0.84 – 3.70]. The concordance statistic was 0.57.Conclusion: The Tyrer-Cuzick model significantly overestimated the risk of breast cancer in the first ten years after biopsy for this group of women with atypia. Individual risk estimates showed poor concordance. Performance was slightly improved in women with a strong family history of breast cancer. Physicians should be cautious when using the Tyrer-Cuzick model to predict ten-year risk in patients with atypia. Citation Information: Cancer Res 2009;69(24 Suppl):Abstract nr 6063.

Abstract Purpose: The purpose of this study was to describe breast cancer risk factors and screening patterns in a sample of American Indian and Alaska Native (AI/AN) women from four tribes within the Bemidji Area of the Indian Health Service (Northern Plains region), and to ascertain the association between risk factors and adherence to mammographic screening guidelines. The IHS has noted that economic factors make increases in screening participation difficult. In this light, understanding the relationship between risk factors and screening adherence is an important first step in developing interventions to improve screening participation, especially for women at higher risk of breast cancer. Lending importance to the role of screening in reducing breast cancer deaths in Northern Plains AI/AN women are rates of later stage (regional or distant disease) diagnoses that are equal to the Non-Hispanic White (NHW) population (95.8 and 95.4/100,000 respectively). Later stage at diagnosis is associated with worse survival profiles. Procedures/Methods: Criteria for inclusion in this study were: ≥ 40 years of age, at least one mammogram on file, and no history of breast cancer. We reviewed the charts of 20% of eligible women in four tribes (1190 records). The study collected Gail Model risk factor data and also assigned BIRADS scores to at least one mammogram for each woman. For each Gail Model risk factor (age, age at menarche, age at first live birth, number of first degree relatives with a breast cancer history, breast biopsy, number of biopsies, history or atypical hyperplasia), women were assigned to higher or lower risk categories by comparison with calculated scores for women of the same age. Overall five-year and lifetime Gail Model risk scores also were calculated for each woman and compared with predicted risk for women of equivalent ages. For breast density, women were determined to be at lower risk if their BIRADS score was 1 or 2, and at higher risk if they were scored 3 or 4. To ascertain levels of screening adherence, we followed American Cancer Society (ACS) guidelines which recommend an annual mammogram beginning at age 40. We used this standard because it is the recommendation given to women in the clinics where the study was conducted. All women who received screening exams within 1.2 years (14.4 months) were considered adherent. Summary of Findings: There was no significant difference between overall Gail Model 5-year risk scores of Bemidji Area AI/AN women and the predicted scores. Bemidji Area women have a significantly lower lifetime risk than what is predicted. For individual risk factors, high screening adherence was significantly associated only with chronological age (p = 0.04) and history of biopsy (p =0.02). There was no significant association between screening adherence and BIRADS density scores. Conclusions: Absence of a relationship between risk and adherence, which is low generally, suggests that women are not using their individual risk factors or their overall risk to guide their screening decisions. This suggests that personal and clinic-centered mediators should be identified to guide future interventions to increase the proportion of women who adhere to screening guidelines, especially women who are at greater risk. Citation Information: Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 2010;19(10 Suppl):B106.

Abstract Introduction: Breast cancer is a major cause of cancer mortality in American Indian and Alaska Native (AIAN) women. However regional differences are striking with lowers rates in Arizona and highest in Alaska with almost a three-fold difference in incidence and mortality between the two states. These differences may be due in part to varying levels of biologic tumor aggressiveness. To evaluate this, we compared a panel of biomarkers on consecutively diagnosed AIAN breast cancer cases from AZ (N=53) and AK (N=42). Methods: Retrospective analysis of tissue blocks measured expression levels for the following panel of biomarkers: ER and PR (ordinally coded as positive vs. negative); her2, BCL-2, and EGFR (coded 0.1.2. and 3+) and P53, MIB-1 and cyclin D (continuous percent of cells stained). Distributions of biomarker values were compared across state of residence using t-tests for continuous and ordinally scaled markers and chi-square tests of significance for binary markers. Age adjusted analyses were also carried out using linear and logistic regression models as appropriate to account for possible differences in age at diagnosis across states. Chart reviews recorded demographics and treatment characteristics. Results: The following demographics were observed with 95 cases of AIAN women with breast cancer analyzed. Average age at diagnosis was similar in the two states (mean, 58.4 for AZ vs. 56.1 for AK, t-test p value=0.45). 74% presented with a palpable mass. 32% had lumpectomy and axillary node dissection. 28% were premenopausal. 8% had a first-degree relative with breast cancer. 46% received adjuvant chemotherapy. 54% received adjuvant hormonal therapy. Cases from AK had higher levels of p53 staining (40.3 vs. 18.5, p=0.004) and lower levels of both EGFR (mean ordinal scaling 0.15 vs. 0.53, p=0.02) and Her2 (mean ordinal scaling 0.81 vs. 1.32, p=0.02) tan those from AZ. No differences in distribution were observed for MIB-1, Cyclin D, BCL-2, ER or PR. When examined together, the triple negative combination of ER/PR/Her2 also did not differ across states (12% for AK vs.13%forAZ, p=0.85). Conclusions: Our findings indicate that regional differences in biomarker expression levels of P53, EGFR and Her2 may exist in AIAN women. Further research is needed to confirm our results and determine to what extent these differences may explain the observed differences in mortality. Genetic testing for BRCA1,2 or other genetic associations with breast cancer have not been done in these populations and may also be useful to examine the reasons for differences in incidence and mortality. In addition, AIAN women are more likely to present with palpable masses representing higher risk stages of breast cancer. Outreach activities in this population continue to be highly important to change mortality. Supported in part by NCI U01 114609 Spirit of Eagles Community Network Program Citation Information: Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 2010;19(10 Suppl):A55.

AbstractObesity is a controversial risk factor for colorectal cancer (CRC) in older women. We evaluated associations between multiple body size parameters and incident CRC in the prospective, population-based Iowa Women's Health Study (IWHS). IWHS participants, ages 55 to 69 years, provided data regarding height; weight; weight at ages 50, 40, 30, 18 years; hip circumference; and waist circumference at baseline (1986). Derived variables included body mass index (BMI), waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), and “overweight years” (OWY; conceptually similar to cigarette pack-years). Incident CRC cases (n = 1,464) were ascertained from the State Health Registry of Iowa, through 2005. Multivariable Cox regression models were fit to estimate body size–associated CRC risks. Among 36,941 women (619,961 person-years), baseline height, weight, BMI, hip circumference, waist circumference, and WHR were all positively associated with incident CRC (Ptrend ≤ 0.003 for each). Baseline BMI yielded the highest CRC risk estimates (obese III versus normal, RR = 1.56; 95% CI = 1.10–2.22; Ptrend < 0.001) and was more closely associated with distal than proximal tumors (Ptrend < 0.001 versus 0.06). Conversely, height was more closely associated with proximal than distal tumors (Ptrend < 0.001 versus 0.04). Other body size parameters were less predictive of incident CRC. These data strongly support a positive association between increased body size and CRC risk among older women. Further investigation of when increased body size has the greatest effect on CRC risk (i.e., early adulthood versus later adulthood) might also be informative, particularly with respect to defining subsite-specific pathways of colorectal carcinogenesis. Cancer Prev Res; 3(12); 1608–20. ©2010 AACR.