BACKGROUND: The incidence and prognosis of right bundle branch block (RBBB) following transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) are unknown. Hence, we sought to characterize the incidence of post-TAVR RBBB and determine associated risks of permanent pacemaker (PPM) implantation and mortality. METHODS: All patients 18 years and above without preexisting RBBB or PPM who underwent TAVR at US Mayo Clinic sites and Mayo Clinic Health Systems from June 2010 to May 2021 were evaluated. Post-TAVR RBBB was defined as new-onset RBBB in the postimplantation period. The risks of PPM implantation (within 90 days) and mortality following TAVR were compared for patients with and without post-TAVR RBBB using Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazards modeling. The risks of PPM implantation (within 90 days) and mortality following TAVR were compared for patients with and without post-TAVR RBBB using Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazards modeling. RESULTS: Of 1992 patients, 15 (0.75%) experienced new RBBB post-TAVR. There was a higher degree of valve oversizing among patients with new RBBB post-TAVR versus those without (17.9% versus 10.0%; P =0.034). Ten patients (66.7%) with post-TAVR RBBB experienced high-grade atrioventricular block and underwent PPM implantation (median 1 day; Q1, 0.2 and Q3, 4), compared with 268/1977 (13.6%) without RBBB. Following propensity score adjustment for covariates (age, sex, balloon-expandable valve, annulus diameter, and valve oversizing), post-TAVR RBBB was significantly associated with PPM implantation (hazard ratio, 8.36 [95% CI, 4.19–16.7]; P <0.001). No statistically significant increase in mortality was seen with post-TAVR RBBB (hazard ratio, 0.83 [95% CI, 0.33–2.11]; P =0.69), adjusting for age and sex. CONCLUSIONS: Although infrequent, post-TAVR RBBB was associated with elevated PPM implantation risk. The mechanisms for its development and its clinical prognosis require further study.
A glimpse into the future of cholangiocarcinoma: Predicting the future incidence based on the current epidemiological data.
616 Background: Cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) is an aggressive, heterogenous group of neoplasms that arise from the epithelial lining of bile ducts that have dismal poor prognosis. A recent epidemiological study in the United States demonstrated a steady increase in the incidence of cholangiocarcinoma from 2001 to 2017 with a predominant increase in the intrahepatic sub-type (iCCA). We sought to evaluate the future incidence of cholangiocarcinoma stratified based on the subtype, age, sex, and race, that could possibly help plan prevention, control, and treatment strategies for this cancer. Methods: We obtained histologically confirmed cases of cholangiocarcinoma (ICD-0-3 Site: C220, C21, and C240) from National Cancer Institute (NCI) Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) 18 registries between 2000 to 2017 and predicted the incidence between the years 2018-2029. We applied age-period-cohort models to estimate future cholangiocarcinoma incidence rates (per 100, 000) and the estimated disease burden by multiplying incidence forecasts by corresponding US Census population projections. Results: A total of 12,737 and 8,395 patients with iCCA and extra-hepatic cholangiocarcinoma (eCCA) were included in the final analysis. The median age of iCCA cohort was 64 (range: 20-79) years and 46.4% were females whereas in eCCA the median age was 66 (range: 20-79) years and 43.8% were females. The overall observed age-adjusted incidence of iCCA between 2000-2017 was 1.07, which is predicted to increase to 2.13 by 2029 (99% increase) with a predominant increase in incidence rate observed in the age groups 70-79 and White males and females. Interestingly, incidence rate remained stable in Black and Asian males and in Asian females. Similarly, as compared to 2001-2017, the incidence of eCCA is projected to increase from 0.74 to 1.01 by 2029 (36.5% increase) with predominant increase noted in Black and Hispanic cohorts. In contrast, we noticed a relatively stable and decreasing incidence rate in White and Asian females, respectively. Conclusions: We predict an overall increased incidence of both iCCA and eCCA over the next decade especially in certain subgroups warranting the urgent need for preventive strategies. Further epidemiological studies are needed to determine the etiological factors contributing to predicted increase in incidence rate.
A glimpse into the future of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC): Predicting the future incidence based on the current epidemiological data.
615 Background: Accounting for 90% of primary liver cancers, HCC is the fourth-most common cause of cancer-related deaths in the United States. While the vaccination against hepatitis B and awareness on hepatitis C transmission possibly decreased the incidence of HCC in Eastern World, there was an uptrend in the HCC incidence the Western World over the past few years possibly related to metabolic causes. With this changing paradigm of hepatocellular carcinoma, it is important to estimate its future burden stratified based on the age, sex, and race, that could possibly help plan prevention, control, and treatment strategies for this cancer. Methods: We obtained histologically confirmed cases of HCC (ICD-0-3 Site: C220 and 228; codes: 8170-8175) from National Cancer Institute (NCI) Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) 18 registries between 2000 to 2017 and predicted the incidence between the years 2018-2029. We applied age-period-cohort models to estimate future HCC incidence rates (per 100, 000) and the estimated disease burden by multiplying incidence forecasts by corresponding US Census population projections. Results: A total of 76029 patients with HCC were included in the final analysis. The median age was 62 (range: 20-79) years with male predominance (70%). The overall observed age-adjusted incidence of HCC between 2000-2017 was 6.22, which is predicted to increase to 9.03 by 2029 with a predominant increase in incidence rate observed in the age groups 70-79 and White males. Interestingly, we noticed a progressive decrease in incidence rate in Asian cohort (both males and females) and Black males. Incidence rates by sub-groups based on the age, sex, and race are summarized in the Table. Conclusions: We predict an overall increased incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma over the next decade in the United States, predominantly in 70-79 years age group irrespective sex and race, with an exception to Asian cohort probably representing differential risk factors. Further epidemiological studies are needed to determine the etiological factors contributing to predicted increase in incidence rate.[Table: see text]
Comparative study of therapy‐related and de novo adult b‐cell acute lymphoblastic leukaemia
SummaryWe report a comparative analysis of patients with therapy‐related acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (tr‐ALL) vs de novo ALL. We identified 331 patients with B‐ALL; 69 (21%) were classified as tr‐ALL. The most common prior malignancies were breast (23·2%) and plasma cell disorders (20·3%). Patients with tr‐ALL were older (median 63·2 vs. 46·2 years, P < 0.001), more often female (66·7% vs. 43·5%, P < 0·001), and more likely to have hypodiploid cytogenetics (18·8% vs. 5·0%, P < 0·001). In multivariable analysis, patients with tr‐ALL were less likely to achieve complete remission [odds ratio (OR) = 0·16, P < 0·001] and more likely to be minimal residual disease‐positive (OR = 4·86, P = 0·01) but had similar OS after diagnosis and allo‐haematopoietic cell transplantation.