Melton, L. Joseph

ABSTRACT Children and adolescents who sustain a distal forearm fracture (DFF) owing to mild, but not moderate, trauma have reduced bone strength and cortical thinning at the distal radius and tibia. Whether these skeletal deficits track into adulthood is unknown. Therefore, we studied 75 women and 75 men (age range, 20 to 40 years) with a childhood (age <18 years) DFF and 150 sex-matched controls with no history of fracture using high-resolution peripheral quantitative computed tomography (HRpQCT) to examine bone strength (ie, failure load) by micro–finite element (µFE) analysis, as well as cortical and trabecular bone parameters at the distal radius and tibia. Level of trauma (mild versus moderate) was assigned using a validated classification scheme, blind to imaging results. When compared to sex-matched, nonfracture controls, women and men with a mild trauma childhood DFF (eg, fall from standing height) had significant reductions in failure load (p < 0.05) of the distal radius, whereas women and men with a moderate trauma childhood DFF (eg, fall while riding a bicycle) had values similar to controls. Consistent findings were observed at the distal tibia. Furthermore, women and men with a mild trauma childhood DFF had significant deficits in distal radius cortical area (p < 0.05), and significantly lower dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA)-derived bone density at the radius, hip, and total body regions compared to controls (all p < 0.05). By contrast, women and men with a moderate trauma childhood DFF had bone density, structure, and strength that did not differ significantly from controls. These findings in young adults are consistent with our observations in children/adolescents with DFF, and they suggest that a mild trauma childhood DFF may presage suboptimal peak bone density, structure, and strength in young adulthood. Children and adolescents who suffer mild trauma DFFs may need to be targeted for lifestyle interventions to help achieve improved skeletal health. © 2014 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.

ABSTRACT More accurate techniques to estimate fracture risk could help reduce the burden of fractures in postmenopausal women. Although micro-finite element (µFE) simulations allow a direct assessment of bone mechanical performance, in this first clinical study we investigated whether the additional information obtained using geometrically and materially nonlinear µFE simulations allows a better discrimination between fracture cases and controls. We used patient data and high-resolution peripheral quantitative computed tomography (HRpQCT) measurements from our previous clinical study on fracture risk, which compared 100 postmenopausal women with a distal forearm fracture to 105 controls. Analyzing these data with the nonlinear µFE simulations, the odds ratio (OR) for the factor-of-risk (yield load divided by the expected fall load) was marginally higher (1.99; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.41–2.77) than for the factor-of-risk computed from linear µFE (1.89; 95% CI, 1.37–2.69). The yield load and the energy absorbed up to the yield point as computed from nonlinear µFE were highly correlated with the initial stiffness (R2 = 0.97 and 0.94, respectively) and could therefore be derived from linear simulations with little loss in precision. However, yield deformation was not related to any other measurement performed and was itself a good predictor of fracture risk (OR, 1.89; 95% CI, 1.39–2.63). Moreover, a combined risk score integrating information on relative bone strength (yield load-based factor-of-risk), bone ductility (yield deformation), and the structural integrity of the bone under critical loads (cortical plastic volume) improved the separation of cases and controls by one-third (OR, 2.66; 95% CI, 1.84–4.02). We therefore conclude that nonlinear µFE simulations provide important additional information on the risk of distal forearm fractures not accessible from linear µFE nor from other techniques assessing bone microstructure, density, or mass. © 2013 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.

To determine if the revised US FRAX can identify those at high risk for fractures at any skeletal site, we studied 250 women and 249 men ≥ 40 years old from an age-stratified random sample of Rochester, MN residents. At baseline, femoral neck (FN) bone density was assessed, as were the clinical risk factors included in FRAX, along with additional fracture risk factors such as bone turnover markers and fall history. Fracture ascertainment through periodic interviews and comprehensive medical record review was performed over 10 years of followup. In both women and men, a higher FRAX probability at baseline was associated with greater subsequent likelihood of a major osteoporotic fracture. However, a relative 10% increase in the FRAX 10-year fracture probability was also associated with a 1.4-fold increase (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.1–1.7) in other fractures in women and a 1.7-fold increase (95% CI 0.8–3.1) in men. Furthermore, FRAX predicted asymptomatic vertebral fractures and fractures generally in both sexes. The addition of risk factors not currently included in FRAX did not appear to improve the accuracy of fracture risk prediction. FRAX may provide a conservative estimate of risk for major osteoporotic fractures, but it also predicts fractures generally.

Background Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy is a disease entity characterized by marked heterogeneity in morphology and natural history. Most of our knowledge of the natural history of this disorder derives from the study of hospital-based populations and is influenced by referral bias. Therefore, this population-based study was undertaken to examine the natural history of hypertrophic cardiomyopathy among unselected residents of Olmsted County, Minnesota. Methods and Results Patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, confirmed by echocardiography, were identified by use of the resources of the Rochester Epidemiology Project. Patients with the echocardiographic features of hypertrophic cardiomyopathy but with long-standing hypertension requiring drug therapy were categorized as having hypertensive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. Baseline clinical details and follow-up events were obtained by retrospective chart review. Thirty-seven patients were diagnosed with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy and 24 with hypertensive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. Eight additional patients were first diagnosed at autopsy. The mean age of the 37 patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy was 59±20 years (range, 1 week to 92 years); the mean ventricular septal thickness was 17.5±3 mm. Follow-up was obtained for a median of 7.7 years (range, 45 days to 17.2 years). The 1- and 5-year survival rates were 95% and 92%, respectively; these rates did not differ from those of an age- and sex-matched population ( P =NS). The annual risk of cardiac death was 0.7%. The mean age of patients with hypertensive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy was 79±8 years (range, 62 to 91 years), and the mean ventricular septal thickness was 19±2.5 mm. Follow-up was obtained for a median of 2.8 years (range, 4 days to 16.7 years). The 1- and 5-year survival rates were 75% and 43%, respectively, which differed sharply from the expected rates of 94% and 70% ( P =.0028). The annual risk of cardiac death was 5%. Atrial fibrillation and evidence for myocardial infarction on ECG, use of digoxin and diuretics, and a high New York Heart Association functional class at presentation were all associated with decreased survival by multivariate analysis for both groups combined. A history of myocardial infarction, atrial fibrillation, and mitral annular calcification at presentation were associated with cardiac death. Conclusions Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy is a more benign disease than previously reported from tertiary referral centers. Patients assessed as having hypertensive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy represent a subset at higher risk for cardiac and noncardiac death, with an overall decreased survival rate.

Abstract Background: Increasing colorectal cancer screening (CRCS) is important for attaining the Healthy People 2020 goal of reducing CRC-related morbidity and mortality. Evaluating CRCS trends can help identify shifts in CRCS, and specific groups that might be targeted for CRCS. Methods: We utilized medical records to describe population-based adherence to average-risk CRCS guidelines from 1997 to 2008 in Olmsted County, MN. CRCS trends were analyzed overall and by gender, age, and adherence to screening mammography (women only). We also carried out an analysis to examine whether CRCS is being initiated at the recommended age of 50. Results: From 1997 to 2008, the size of the total eligible sample ranged from 20,585 to 21,468 people. CRCS increased from 22% to 65% for women and from 17% to 59% for men (P < 0.001 for both) between 1997 and 2008. CRCS among women current with mammography screening increased from 26% to 74%, and this group was more likely to be adherent to CRCS than all other subgroups analyzed (P < 0.001).The mean ages of screening initiation were stable throughout the study period, with a mean age of 55 years among both men and women in 2008. Conclusion: Although overall CRCS tripled during the study period, there is still room for improvement. Impact: Working to decrease the age at first screening, exploration of gender differences in screening behavior, and targeting women adherent to mammography but not to CRCS seem warranted. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev; 21(2); 347–50. ©2011 AACR.