Pankratz, V. Shane

Abstract Purpose Both overuse and underuse of clinician referrals can compromise high-value health care. The authors sought to systematically identify and synthesize published research examining associations between physician continuous professional development (CPD) and referral patterns. Method The authors searched MEDLINE, Embase, PsycInfo, and the Cochrane Database on April 23, 2020, for comparative studies evaluating CPD for practicing physicians and reporting physician referral outcomes. Two reviewers, working independently, screened all articles for inclusion. Two reviewers reviewed all included articles to extract information, including data on participants, educational interventions, study design, and outcomes (referral rate, intended direction of change, appropriateness of referral). Quantitative results were pooled using meta-analysis. Results Of 3,338 articles screened, 31 were included. These studies enrolled at least 14,458 physicians and reported 381,165 referral events. Among studies comparing CPD with no intervention, 17 studies with intent to increase referrals had a pooled risk ratio of 1.91 (95% confidence interval: 1.50, 2.44; P < .001), and 7 studies with intent to decrease referrals had a pooled risk ratio of 0.68 (95% confidence interval: 0.55, 0.83; P < .001). Five studies did not indicate the intended direction of change. Subgroup analyses revealed similarly favorable effects for specific instructional approaches (including lectures, small groups, Internet-based instruction, and audit/feedback) and for activities of varying duration. Four studies reported head-to-head comparisons of alternate CPD approaches, revealing no clear superiority for any approach. Seven studies adjudicated the appropriateness of referral, and 9 studies counted referrals that were actually completed (versus merely requested). Conclusions Although between-study differences are large, CPD is associated with statistically significant changes in patient referral rates in the intended direction of impact. There are few head-to-head comparisons of alternate CPD interventions using referrals as outcomes.

The objective of this study was to investigate the cross-sectional associations of atrial fibrillation with neuroimaging measures of cerebrovascular disease and Alzheimer’s disease-related pathology, and their interaction with cognitive impairment. MRI scans of non-demented individuals (n=1044) from the population-based Mayo Clinic Study of Aging were analyzed for infarctions, total grey matter, hippocampal and white matter hyperintensity volumes. A subset of 496 individuals underwent FDG and C-11 Pittsburgh compound B (PiB) PET scans. We assessed the associations of atrial fibrillation with i) categorical MRI measures (cortical and subcortical infarctions) using multivariable logistic regression models, and with ii) continuous MRI measures ( hippocampal, total grey matter, and white matter hyperintensity volumes) and FDG-PET and PiB-PET measures using multivariable linear regression models, and adjusting for confounders. Among participants who underwent MRI (median age, 77.8, 51.6% male), 13.5% had atrial fibrillation. Presence of atrial fibrillation was associated with subcortical infarctions (odds ratio [OR], 1.83; p=0.002), cortical infarctions (OR, 1.91; p=0.03), total grey matter volume (Beta [β], -.025, p<.0001) after controlling for age, education, gender, APOE e4 carrier status, coronary artery disease, diabetes, history of clinical stroke, and hypertension. However, atrial fibrillation was not associated with white matter hyperintensity volume, hippocampal volume, Alzheimer’s pattern of FDG hypometabolism or PiB uptake. There was a significant interaction of cortical infarction (p for interaction=0.004) and subcortical infarction (p for interaction =0.015) with atrial fibrillation with regards to odds of mild cognitive impairment (MCI). Using subjects with no atrial fibrillation and no infarction as the reference, the OR (95% confidence intervals [CI]) for MCI was 2.98 (1.66, 5.35;p = 0.0002) among participants with atrial fibrillation and any infarction, 0.69 (0.36, 1.33;p= 0.27) for atrial fibrillation and no infarction, and 1.50 (0.96, 2.32;p = 0.07) for no atrial fibrillation and any infarction. These data highlight that atrial fibrillation is associated with MCI in the presence of infarctions.

Abstract High alcohol intake and breast density increase breast cancer (BC) risk, but their interrelationship is unknown. We examined whether volumetric density modifies and/or mediates the alcohol-BC association. BC cases (n = 2233) diagnosed from 2006 to 2013 in the San Francisco Bay area had screening mammograms 6 or more months before diagnosis; controls (n = 4562) were matched on age, mammogram date, race or ethnicity, facility, and mammography machine. Logistic regression was used to estimate alcohol-BC associations adjusted for age, body mass index, and menopause; interaction terms assessed modification. Percent mediation was quantified as the ratio of log (odds ratios [ORs]) from models with and without density measures. Alcohol consumption was associated with increased BC risk (2-sided Ptrend = .004), as were volumetric percent density (OR = 1.45 per SD, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.36 to 1.56) and dense volume (OR = 1.30, 95% CI = 1.24 to 1.37). Breast density did not modify the alcohol-BC association (2-sided P &gt; .10 for all). Dense volume mediated 25.0% (95% CI = 5.5% to 44.4%) of the alcohol-BC association (2-sided P = .01), suggesting alcohol may partially increase BC risk by increasing fibroglandular tissue.

e24115 Background: Paclitaxel, a widely used chemotherapeutic agent, is associated with an acute pain syndrome (P-APS) and chronic chemotherapy-induced peripheral neuropathy (CIPN). Currently, there is no standard of care for P-APS. Commonly used analgesics, including NSAIDs and narcotics, have considerable toxicity profiles. Omega-3 fatty acids, a common dietary supplement, have well established anti-inflammatory and neuroprotective properties. The primary aim of the study was to assess if omega 3 fatty acids could prevent P-APS. Methods: Patients scheduled to receive weekly paclitaxel (70-90mg/m2) were randomized to receive 4 g of omega-3 acid ethyl esters (Lovaza) or placebo, beginning 1 week prior to starting paclitaxel and continued until paclitaxel was discontinued. Patients completed acute pain questionnaires at baseline, Days 2-7, prior to each subsequent treatment and one month after completion of therapy. The EORTC- QLQ CIPN 20 questionnaire was completed prior to each dose of paclitaxel and 1 month after completion. The primary objective was to compare the effect of omega 3 fatty acids, versus placebo, on the maximum pain score for the week following the 1st treatment and each subsequent paclitaxel treatment, and to compare pain medication use between the 2 arms. The secondary objective was to compare the effect of the intervention on the severity of CIPN. Results: 49 patients were randomized to treatment versus placebo. Linear mixed effects models were applied with the addition of a bootstrap approach to overcome limitations in the distributional assumptions to compare outcomes between treatment groups. Placebo results were similar to the reported natural history of P-APS. There was no significant difference in trends over time between the 2 groups in the maximum pain score at week 1 (p = .14) and over 12 weeks (p = .21). There was also no difference noted in the rates of use of over the counter analgesics (p = .39) and narcotics (p = .46). CIPN results did not differ between the 2 groups (p = .08). Conclusions: The results of this pilot study do not support the use of omega-3 fatty acids for the prevention of paclitaxel-associated pain syndrome. Clinical trial information: NCT01821833 .

Abstract Background: Alcohol intake and breast density are established risk factors for breast cancer (BC). A few studies suggest breast density is on the causal pathway between alcohol and BC but the literature is not consistent. We examine the interrelationship between alcohol, volumetric breast density and BC risk, specifically whether there is a stronger alcohol and BC association among women with dense breasts and/or whether breast density mediates the alcohol and BC association. Methods: We conducted a nested case-control study within the San Francisco Mammography Registry consisting of four breast screening centers. From 2006-2013, through linkages with the California cancer registry, we identified 2572 women diagnosed with BC who had screening mammograms performed at least six months prior to diagnosis. Controls (5119) were matched to cases on age, date of earliest mammogram, race/ethnicity, facility, and mammography machine. We obtained the raw format of digital mammograms on average 3.1 (standard deviation (SD) =1.7) years prior to diagnosis or corresponding date for controls. We ascertained usual daily alcohol intake and other risk factors from a clinical questionnaire at time of mammography. We obtained BI-RADS density from clinical records and used VolparaTM to assess volumetric percent density, dense volume and non-dense volume from the mammogram. We examined the associations of daily alcohol intake (none, one or less, two or more drinks per day) and volumetric density phenotypes (per 1 SD) with BC risk using logistic regression (odds ratios, OR; 95% confidence intervals, CI; and trend tests). We examined deviation from multiplicative interaction using chi-squared tests. We evaluated mediation of the alcohol and BC association by volumetric density measures using logistic regression to estimate the association between alcohol use and BC with and without adjustment for density measures. Percent mediation was estimated using the differences in the log OR estimates from the two models. All models were adjusted for age, 1/BMI and menopause and matching factors. Analyses were also stratified by menopausal status. Results: Alcohol intake was available on 2233 cases and 4562 controls, 88% of those eligible. BC cases and controls had similar age (57.2 years (SD=11.5) vs. 57.1 years (SD=11.5)), BMI (25.3 kg/m2 (SD=5.3) vs. 24.9 kg/ m2 (SD=5.1)) and race (69.0% vs. 68.2% Caucasian). Cases were more likely to drink alcohol daily than controls (52.1% vs. 49.0%), in particular two or more drinks per day (14.8% vs. 13.2%). Alcohol was associated with increased BC risk (OR=1.14, 95% CI:1.02-1.27, for one or less drinks per day and OR=1.22, 95% CI:1.05-1.42 for 2 or more drinks per day) compared to non-drinkers (p-trend=0.004). Percent volumetric density (OR=1.45 per SD, 95%CI: 1.36-1.56,) and dense volume (OR=1.30, 95% CI: 1.24-1.37) were also positively associated with BC risk; non-dense volume was inversely associated (OR=0.93, 95%CI: 0.86-1.01). Associations were similar by menopausal subgroup. There was no evidence for a differential association of alcohol and breast cancer risk by dense breasts assessed using any of the density phenotypes examined (all P’s&gt;0.1). However, the association between alcohol and overall risk of BC was partially mediated by dense volume among all women (percent mediated=25%, P=0.01) and postmenopausal women (percent mediated=19%, P=0.03). Conclusions: The association of daily alcohol intake and breast cancer risk was similar among women with dense and non-dense breasts. However, dense volume partially mediated the association between alcohol and risk of breast cancer, particularly among postmenopausal women, suggesting that alcohol partially influences breast cancer risk through changes in breast tissue composition. Citation Format: Celine Marie Vachon, Christopher G. Scott, Stacey J Winham, John A Shepherd, Kathleen R Brandt, Matthew R Jensen, Carrie B Hruska, John J Heine, V. Shane Pankratz, Karla Kerlikowske. Association of daily alcohol intake, volumetric density and breast cancer risk [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2019 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2019 Dec 10-14; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2020;80(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P5-08-02.

Abstract Background: Mammographic breast density declines during menopause. We assessed changes in volumetric breast density across the menopausal transition and factors that influence these changes. Methods: Women without a history of breast cancer, who had full field digital mammograms during both pre- and postmenopausal periods, at least 2 years apart, were sampled from four facilities within the San Francisco Mammography Registry from 2007 to 2013. Dense breast volume (DV) was assessed using Volpara on mammograms across the time period. Annualized change in DV from pre- to postmenopause was estimated using linear mixed models adjusted for covariates and per-woman random effects. Multiplicative interactions were evaluated between premenopausal risk factors and time to determine whether these covariates modified the annualized changes. Results: Among the 2,586 eligible women, 1,802 had one premenopausal and one postmenopausal mammogram, 628 had an additional perimenopausal mammogram, and 156 had two perimenopausal mammograms. Women experienced an annualized decrease in DV [−2.2 cm3 (95% confidence interval, −2.7 to −1.7)] over the menopausal transition. Declines were greater among women with a premenopausal DV above the median (54 cm3) versus below (DV, −3.5 cm3 vs. −1.0 cm3; P &lt; 0.0001). Other breast cancer risk factors, including race, body mass index, family history, alcohol, and postmenopausal hormone therapy, had no effect on change in DV over the menopausal transition. Conclusions: High premenopausal DV was a strong predictor of greater reductions in DV across the menopausal transition. Impact: We found that few factors other than premenopausal density influence changes in DV across the menopausal transition, limiting targeted prevention efforts.

The objective was to quantitatively evaluate clinician characteristics associated with unwarranted practice variation, and how clinical care algorithms influence this variation. Participants (142 physicians, 53 nurse practitioners, and 9 physician assistants in family medicine, internal medicine, and cardiology) described their management of 4 clinical vignettes, first based on their own practice (unguided), then using care algorithms (guided). The authors quantitatively estimated variation in management. Cardiologists demonstrated 17% lower variation in unguided responses than generalists (fold-change 0.83 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.68, 0.97]), and those who agreed that practice variation can realistically be reduced had 16% lower variation than those who did not (fold-change 0.84 [CI, 0.71, 0.99]). A 17% reduction in variation was observed for guided responses compared with baseline (unguided) responses (fold-change 0.83 [CI, 0.76, 0.90]). Differences were otherwise similar across clinician subgroups and attitudes. Unwarranted practice variation was similar across most clinician subgroups. The authors conclude that care algorithms can reduce variation in management.

Abstract Purpose: Volumetric breast density and body mass index (BMI) are increasingly used for breast cancer risk stratification. We examine if the effect of volumetric breast density on breast cancer risk increases with increasing BMI. Methods: Participants were from two case-control studies within mammography practices, the San Francisco Mammography Registry and the Mayo Clinic Rochester, Breast Screening Practice. Breast cancers were included if diagnosed between January 2007 and 2015 and with a screening full-field digital mammogram at least 6 months prior to diagnosis; the earliest mammogram within 5 years of diagnosis was selected. Up to three controls were matched to each case on age, race, date, mammography machine, and state of residence. Volumetric percent density (VPD), dense volume (DV) and non-dense volume (NDV) were measured using VolparaTM software. Breast cancer risk was assessed using logistic regression stratified by menopause status and adjusted for matching factors, family history of breast cancer, parity/age at first birth, and postmenopausal hormone therapy. Models for DV were additionally adjusted for NDV, and NDV models for DV. Multiplicative interactions were fit between BMI categories [&lt;25 (underweight), 25-30 (normal weight) and &gt;30 (overweight/obese) kg/m2] and VPD, DV, and NDV, and trend tests assessed for increasing odds ratios (OR) with increasing BMI. Results: A total of 781 premenopausal and 1850 postmenopausal breast cancers and 3535 controls were included in the analysis. Median age of premenopausal women was 45 years (IQR: 6.1) and 63.3 years (IQR: 14) for postmenopausal women. Cases vs. controls had greater VPD and DV for both premenopausal (VPD: 14.9% vs. 12.0%, DV: 74.1 cm3 vs. 64.4 cm3) and postmenopausal women (VPD: 6.8% vs. 6.1%, DV: 53.4 cm3 vs. 48.0 cm3)(all p's&lt;0.001). Trends between increasing BMI and VPD were evident for both pre (ptrend=0.0007) and postmenopausal (ptrend=0.0005) women. Among premenopausal women, the odds ratio (OR) for breast cancer associated with a 10% increase in VPD was of 1.39, 2.19 and 2.88 for BMI &lt;25, 25-30 and &gt;30 kg/m2 (p-trend=0.0007), respectively. For DV, OR's were 1.39, 1.33 and 1.51 for a 1 SD increase in DV, respectively, though the interaction with DV was not significant (ptrend=0.68). Among postmenopausal women, a 10% increase in VPD was associated with OR's of 1.35, 2.03, 3.6 for BMI &lt;25, 25-29, &gt;30-kg/m2 (ptrend =0.0001), respectively, and 1.31, 1.34 and 1.65 for a 1 SD increase in DV (ptrend =0.01), respectively. Associations between NDV and breast cancer risk did not differ by BMI category for premenopausal (ptrend =0.52) or postmenopausal (ptrend =0.07) women. Conclusions: The effect of VPD on breast cancer risk is strongest in overweight/obese women. As volumetric breast density and BMI are commonly used in clinical risk stratification, these differences in risk have high clinical relevance for informing prevention decisions. Citation Format: Natalie J. Engmann, Christopher G. Scott, Matthew R. Jensen, Stacey J. Winham, Lin Ma, Kathleen R. Brandt, Amir Mahmoudzadeh, Serghei Malkov, Dana Whaley, Carrie Hruska, Fang Fang Wu, Diana L. Miglioretti, Aaron D. Norman, John Heine, John Shepherd, Vernon S. Pankratz, Celine M. Vachon, Karla Kerlikowske. Overweight and obese women with high volumetric breast density at high breast cancer risk [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2018; 2018 Apr 14-18; Chicago, IL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2018;78(13 Suppl):Abstract nr 3226.