Goldberg, Richard M.

4099 Background: Colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence and mortality has decreased since the 1970s but the incidence is increasing in young adults (age 20-49). The incidence of early onset CRC (eoCRC) will keep increasing significantly based on the trends of the SEER CRC registry data. There is limited data suggesting eoCRC may have different behaviors compared to traditional CRC (tCRC, age ≥ 50). Methods: Individual pt data of 47184 stage II/III CRC pts from 25 randomized studies in the ACCENT database were pooled. The distributions of demographics, clinicopathological features, biomarker status, and treatment-related data were summarized by age group. Overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), recurrence-free rate (RFR), and survival after recurrence (SAR) were assessed by Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox models stratified by treatment arms within studies, adjusting for stage, performance status (PS), BMI and grade. Results: Using 5% difference between age groups as clinically meaningful cutoff, eoCRC had similar gender, race, ethnicity, PS, risk group, disease sidedness and T stage as tCRC. eoCRC were less likely overweight (30 vs 36%) and more pts had ≥ 12 lymph nodes resected (63 vs 51%). eoCRC had more frequent dMMR status (18 vs 12%), less BRAF mutations (5 vs 13%), and more dMMR/BRAF wild type (WT) status (17 vs 7%). Overall, eoCRC had better OS, DFS, and SAR, with the most significant differences between the < 30 and > = 70 age groups. Similar results were observed within pMMR pts. eoCRC experienced less hematological side effects, diarrhea, and stomatitis, but had more nausea and/or vomiting. Conclusions: eoCRC have unique characteristics; although statistically significant, the clinical differences in outcomes between eoCRC and tCRC are potentially due to the difference seen in extremely young and old pts. eoCRC have a different adverse events panel compared to tCRC. [Table: see text]

4086 Background: The randomized phase III CALGB/SWOG 80405 trial found no difference in overall survival (OS) in first-line mCRC pts treated with either bevacizumab (Bev) or cetuximab (Cet) combined with the same chemotherapy. We investigated the potential prognostic and predictive value of HER2 amplification and HER2 gene expression using NGS and Nanostring data. Methods: Primary tumor DNA from 559 patients (pts) was profiled for HER2 amplification by NGS (Foundation One). Tumor tissue from 925 pts was tested for Nanostring gene expression using an 800 gene panel. OS and progression free survival (PFS) were the endpoints as time-to-event variables. Cox proportional hazard models with gene expression fitted with linear spline (one internal knot at median) were used, adjusting for pts baseline characteristics, treatment assignment, and molecular features (microsatellite instability, BRAF, all RAS). Results: Of 505 tumors with both NGS and Nanostring data, 16 harbored HER2 amplification (copy number variation > 6), limited to microsatellite stable tumors and significantly associated with HER2 expression ( P < 0.001) and wild-type RAS ( P = 0.036). HER2 amplification was neither prognostic nor predictive for OS or PFS. Conversely, HER2 expression higher than median was associated with longer PFS ( P = 0.018) but not OS ( P = 0.13). Among pts with HER2 not amplified, higher HER2 expression was associated with better OS (hazard ratio [HR], 0.83; 95%CI, 0.72-0.97; P = 0.016) and PFS (HR, 0.85; 95%CI, 0.74-0.98; P = 0.027) when the expression was less than median. Additionally, in pts with no HER2 amplification and HER2 expression lower than median, treatment with Cet was associated with worse PFS compared to Bev (HR, 1.46; 95%CI, 1.12-1.90; P = 0.005). This effect was not observed with expression higher than median regardless of HER2 amplification status. Conclusions: To our knowledge, this is the largest analysis of HER2 amplification and gene expression in mCRC pts treated with standard therapy. Our results provide novel insight on the predictive and prognostic value of HER2 gene expression in pts treated with Cet- and Bev-based regimens. Upon validation, these findings could inform pts selection and the design of more effective treatment options for pts with low HER2 expression. Clinical trial information: NCT00265850.

4029 Background: The clearance of 5-FU differs significantly between men (M) and women (W). Adjuvant chemotherapy (CT) for CRC has a higher toxicity in W. The impact of sex on efficacy and toxicity in first-line trials of metastatic CRC (mCRC) is unknown. Methods: We analyzed patient (pt) and tumor characteristics, toxicities (nausea (AE1), vomiting (AE2), diarrhea, neutropenia (AE3)) and efficacy (overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS)) according to sex in the following treatment groups: A: CT alone, B: CT + bevacizumab, C: CT + EGFR-antibodies, with subgroup analyses in the CT alone group for single-agent, doublets and triplets, as well as irinotecan- and oxaliplatin-based regimens. Pts from trials with treatments still used today and all relevant data available were eligible. OS and PFS were assessed using Kaplan-Meier and Cox models adjusted for primary tumor location and performance status (PS). Results: We included 28 trials with 18.399 pts (11.352 M and 7.047 W). W were younger (61 vs. 63 years), had more often a PS of 1 (49 vs 45%), BRAF mutations (10 vs. 7%), right-sided tumors (42 vs. 35%) and less often rectal tumors (26 vs. 32%). Significant differences in toxicity are reported in table. Rates of diarrhea were similar. There was no sex disparity in OS in the predefined subgroups except for pts receiving triplets where OS was better in M (HRadj=1.39 (1.05 - 1.85)). Median (interquartile range) OS in months for M and W was 16.7 (9.2-27.4) and 16.2 (8.9-27.2) in group 1, 21.9 (12.7-37.5) and 22.3 (12.9 – 39.0) in group 2, and 26.8 (14.6-45.3) and 24.8 (12.3-49.2) in group 3. HRsadj (W vs M) (95% CI), p values for OS were 1.02 (0.96-1.09), .557, 0.92 (0.83-1.03), .142, 0.99 (0.85-1.14), .866. Conclusions: M and W with mCRC differ significantly regarding patient and tumor characteristics. The significant higher toxicity in W does not translate in a higher treatment efficacy. Apart from known sex differences in pharmacokinetics of 5-FU, differences in pharmacodynamics must be postulated. [Table: see text]

4003 Background: Aspirin and cyclooxygenase-2 (COX-2) inhibitors have been associated with a reduced risk of colorectal polyps and cancer in observational and randomized studies. CALGB/SWOG 80702 tested the effect of celecoxib, a COX-2 inhibitor, on reducing the risk of recurrence in stage III CC. Methods: CALGB/SWOG 80702 is a 2x2 randomized controlled phase III trial of 3 v 6 months of adjuvant FOLFOX (data previously reported as part of the IDEA collaboration) with concurrent celecoxib (400 mg daily) v placebo x 3 yrs for patients (pts) with resected stage III CC. The primary endpoint of the trial is disease-free survival (DFS), defined as time from randomization to recurrence or death from any cause. The trial was designed to provide 91% power to detect a hazard ratio (HR) of 0.79 in favor of celecoxib with 2-sided alpha = 0.05 (775 events required); due to slowing accumulation of events 4 years after complete accrual, power was lowered to 85% with same HR and alpha assumptions (696 events required). The DSMB released data on February 24, 2020 at median f/u of 5.6 yrs with 689 DFS events. Results: Between June 2010 and November 2015, 2,526 pts were consented and randomized to the trial. Treatment arms were well balanced by patient and tumor prognostic features, as well as low-dose aspirin use. Baseline characteristics included 45% female, 18% non-White, 8% Hispanic, 15% T4, 26% N2. 3-yr DFS for celecoxib was 76.3% v 73.3% for placebo (HR 0.89 [95% CI 0.77-1.04]; P = 0.14). 5-yr overall survival (OS) was 83.9% for celecoxib v 81.7% for placebo (HR 0.87 [95% CI 0.72-1.05]; P = 0.14). When considering the 4 treatment arms separately, 3-yr DFS was 77.0% for 12 months FOLFOX + celecoxib, 74.9% for 12 months FOLFOX + placebo, 75.5% for 6 months FOLFOX + celecoxib, and 71.9% for 6 months FOLFOX + placebo (log rank P = 0.22; P interaction = 0.64). There were no significant differences in grade 3-4 toxicity with celecoxib v placebo. Compliance with protocol celecoxib treatment, defined as 3 yrs of therapy completion or recurrence/death while on treatment, was 58.1% pts on celecoxib and 60.2% pts on placebo. Conclusions: The addition of celecoxib to standard chemotherapy did not significantly improve DFS or OS. Clinical trial information: NCT01150045 .

Abstract Background The American Joint Committee on Cancer staging and other prognostic tools fail to account for stage-independent variability in outcome. We developed a prognostic classifier adding Immunoscore to clinicopathological and molecular features in patients with stage III colon cancer. Methods Patient (n = 559) data from the FOLFOX arm of adjuvant trial NCCTG N0147 were used to construct Cox models for predicting disease-free survival (DFS). Variables included age, sex, T stage, positive lymph nodes (+LNs), N stage, performance status, histologic grade, sidedness, KRAS/BRAF, mismatch repair, and Immunoscore (CD3+, CD8+ T-cell densities). After determining optimal functional form (continuous or categorical) and within Cox models, backward selection was performed to analyze all variables as candidate predictors. All statistical tests were two-sided. Results Poorer DFS was found for tumors that were T4 vs T3 (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.76, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.19 to 2.60; P = .004), right- vs left-sided (HR = 1.52, 95% CI = 1.14 to 2.04; P = .005), BRAF V600E (HR = 1.74, 95% CI = 1.26 to 2.40; P &lt; .001), mutant KRAS (HR = 1.66, 95% CI = 1.08 to 2.55; P = .02), and low vs high Immunoscore (HR = 1.69, 95% CI = 1.22 to 2.33; P = .001) (all P &lt; .02). Increasing numbers of +LNs and lower continuous Immunoscore were associated with poorer DFS that achieved significance (both Ps&lt; .0001). After number of +LNs, T stage, and BRAF/KRAS, Immunoscore was the most informative predictor of DFS shown multivariately. Among T1–3 N1 tumors, Immunoscore was the only variable associated with DFS that achieved statistical significance. A nomogram was generated to determine the likelihood of being recurrence-free at 3 years. Conclusions The Immunoscore can enhance the accuracy of survival prediction among patients with stage III colon cancer.

3637 Background: In the CORRECT phase III trial, the multikinase inhibitor REG demonstrated significant improvement in overall survival and progression-free survival vs placebo (P) in patients with mCRC whose disease had progressed on other standard therapies. The most frequent grade 3 AEs were hand–foot skin reaction (HFSR), fatigue, diarrhea, hypertension, and rash. We examined when these AEs first occurred and what impact they had on REG dosing. Methods: Adults with mCRC progressing after all standard therapies were randomized to receive REG 160 mg (n=505) or P (n=255) orally once daily for the first 3 weeks of each 4-week cycle. AEs were managed with dose modifications (reduction and interruption) according to the protocol. Results: The safety population comprised 753 pts (REG n=500, P n=253). The mean ± SD treatment duration was 12.1 ± 9.7 weeks for REG and 7.8 ± 5.2 weeks for P. Treatment-emergent AEs occurred in 99.6% of REG pts and 96.8% of P pts. AEs occurring in ≥10% more REG than P pts were fatigue, HFSR, anorexia, diarrhea, weight loss, voice changes, hypertension, rash/desquamation, oral mucositis, fever, hyperbilirubinemia, and low platelet count. The incidence of grade ≥3 HFSR, fatigue, hypertension, and rash/desquamation typically peaked in cycle 1 and tapered to a relatively stable lower incidence over later cycles, while the incidence of diarrhea remained relatively constant throughout the study; median time to first occurrence and worst grade of these AEs is shown in the table. AEs led to dose modifications in 66.6% of REG pts and 22.5% of P pts. Conclusions: The most common AEs in the REG group typically occurred early during treatment. Close early monitoring of AEs and proper management by dose modification is recommended. Clinical trial information: NCT01103323. [Table: see text]

3533 Background: PFS has previously been established as a surrogate for OS based on IPD from first-line mCRC trials conducted before 1999. As mCRC treatment (trt) has advanced in the last decade and OS has increased from 1 to 2 years, this surrogacy required re-examination. Methods: IPD from 16,762 pts, median age 62, 62% male, 53% ECOG PS 0 were available from 22 1st line mCRC studies conducted from 1997-2006; 12 tested targeted (anti-angiogenic and/or anti-EGFR) regimens. The relationship between PFS (first event of progression or death) and OS was evaluated at patient-, trt-arm-, and trial-levels using correlation (corr.) coefficients and R2 (closer to 1 the better) from weighted least square (WLS) regression of arm-specific survival rates and trial-specific hazard ratios (HRs), estimated using Cox and Copula bivariate models. The concordance of significance (CoS) of the treatment effects (TEs) on both endpoints was calculated. Results: 44% pts received a targeted regimen. Median PFS was 8 and OS was18 months. The corr. between PFS and OS was modest at all three levels with low CoS in TE comparisons (see Table). Analyses limited to trials testing targeted trts, non-strategy trials, or superiority trials did not improve surrogacy. Conclusions: In modern mCRC trials, where survival post-first progression exceeds time to first progression, PFS TEs do not reliably predict TEs on OS. Nonetheless, until alternative endpoints of clinical benefit can be validated, PFS remains a relevant primary endpoint for 1st line mCRC trials, as our data demonstrate that the ability for any agent to produce an OS benefit from a single line of therapy is challenging. [Table: see text]

3514 Background: In the CORRECT phase III trial, the multikinase inhibitor regorafenib (REG) demonstrated significant improvement in overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) vs placebo (Pla) in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) whose disease had progressed on other standard therapies. An exploratory biomarker subanalysis was conducted to identify protein biomarkers with potential predictive or prognostic value. Methods: Fifteen proteins of interest, many of which are involved in angiogenesis, were quantified by multiplex immunoassay or ELISA in baseline plasma samples collected at study entry from 80% (611/760) of patients. Potential predictive and prognostic effects were evaluated. Results: The biomarker subpopulation was representative of the overall study population in terms of OS and PFS. Using OS as the clinical endpoint, Tie-1 was the only protein whose level demonstrated significant correlation with efficacy (low protein group: REG/Pla, HR 0.87; high protein group, HR 0.56; interaction, p=0.035). Using PFS as the clinical endpoint, von Willebrand factor (VWF) was the only protein whose level demonstrated significant correlation with efficacy (low protein group: REG/Pla, HR 0.39; high protein group, HR 0.60; interaction, p=0.02). Following correction for multiple testing, neither Tie-1 nor VWF data retained statistical significance. Baseline levels of IL-8 and placental growth factor (PlGF) were found to have prognostic value for OS (IL-8: high/low protein levels, HR 3.48, p<0.001; PIGF: HR 1.81, p=0.002). IL-8 was also prognostic for PFS (high/low protein levels: HR 1.63, p<0.001). Conclusions: None of the plasma proteins examined showed significant predictive value for REG efficacy after multiple testing correction. The association between baseline levels of Tie-1/VWF and REG efficacy may be a hypothesis to be tested in further trials. Clinical trial information: NCT01103323.

3617 Background: In metastatic colorectal cancer (CRC), previous studies suggested potential relationships between certain drug metabolizing (DM) genes (DPYD, ERCC2, GSTP1 and TYMS) and QOL prior to receipt of chemotherapy (Sloan, Plenary Session ASCO 2004). The current study is the first to examine relationships between similar DM genes and QOL in stage III CC pts. Methods: 1,583 CC pts on a randomized adjuvant stage III, phase III trial received FOLFOX, FOLFIRI, or either +/- Cetuximab. Genomic DNA and baseline QOL data via linear analogue self assessment (LASA) scales with 4 QOL variables were obtained. 53 DM SNPs were selected for known functional effect within potential regulatory sites. Two-sample t-tests assessed differences in QOL between pts with variants and wild-type status. Differences of at least 10 points on a 0-100 point QOL score were considered clinically significant. Results: 14 relationships between DM genes and QOL were detected at the nominal p < 0.05 level; six of these were related to DPYD, ERCC2, GSTP1 and TYMS. Relationships were also observed at the 0.05 level with polymorphisms of genes DPYS, ERCC1, MGMT, MTHFR, OPRT and UGT1A1 based on unadjusted and adjusted association tests. GSTP1 I105V and OPRT 5’UTR 28 A>G markers differed on fatigue scores (p=0.04, 0.005, respectively). Variants on MTHFR R594Q were associated with higher mental acuity scores (p=0.02). These relationships remained after adjusting for age, gender, race, T stage, PS, disease site, lymph nodes involved, and grade. The robustness of the observed associations varied with the multiple comparison adjustment method. Conclusions: Similar to the earlier study of stage IV CRC, we observed a possible relationship in pts with Stage III CC with regard to DM genes and QOL, although these relationships were more modest than observed in Stage IV pts. These DM genes may be in linkage disequilibrium with other genetic variants that more directly affect behavior and QOL. Further genome wide association studies are needed to clarify these relationships.

3514 Background: Activating mutations in the BRAF oncogene (mutBRAF) are associated with deficient MMR (dMMR) in sporadic colon cancers and are mutually exclusive with KRAS mutations (mutKRAS). We evaluated BRAF and KRAS in relation to MMR and disease-free survival (DFS) in stage III pts treated with adjuvant FOLFOX +/-cetuximab; study was amended mid-way to require prospective KRAS testing (Alberts SR, ASCO 2010). Methods: Extracted DNA from archival tumors was analyzed for BRAF exon 15 (V600E) and KRAS exon 2 mutations by allele specific RT-PCR. Tumors with loss of any MMR protein (MLH1, MSH2, MSH6) were categorized as dMMR vs proficient (pMMR). DFS was censored at 4 yrs; median follow-up was 3.1 yrs. Results: Among 2,686 pts, 12% (314/2580) of tumors were dMMR; 28% (716/2579) had mutKRAS, and 14% (346/2515) had mutBRAF of which 43% (150/346) were dMMR. mutBRAF was associated with high grade, proximal site, T3-4, >4 LNs, and dMMR (all p<0.002); mutKRAS with low grade, proximal, <3 LNs, and pMMR (all p<0.02). Among dMMR tumors, mutKRAS was more frequent in distal vs proximal cancers (28% vs. 8%, p=0.0004). Both mutKRAS (HR=1.42, p=0.0001) and mutBRAF (HR=1.34, p=0.02) were associated with worse DFS and remained significant after adjustment for treatment, MMR, grade, site, T stage and LNs. mutBRAF (p=0.003) and mutKRAS (p=0.003) were each prognostic for DFS in pMMR, but not dMMR tumors (KRAS, p=0.79; BRAF, p=0.60). While MMR was not significant univariately, proximal dMMR tumors had favorable DFS [HR 0.8, 95% CI (0.6-1)] and distal dMMR tumors had poor DFS [HR 2 (1.1-3.4)] after adjusting for KRAS, BRAF, grade, T stage and LNs (pinteraction=0.02). pMMR/mutBRAF (p=0.027) and pMMR/mutKRAS (p<0.001) had worse DFS vs pMMR/bothWT. Conclusions: mutBRAF and mutKRAS were significantly associated with worse DFS independent of treatment, covariates, and each other, with the DFS impact restricted to pMMR tumors. Prognostic impact of MMR was dependent upon tumor site after adjusting for covariates. Support: NIH Grant CA 25224, NCI K05CA 142885, Bristol-Myers Squibb, ImClone, Sanofi-Aventis, and Pfizer.