Túrkevi-Nagy, Sándor

Background. Mesangial expansion (ME) is an understudied histologic lesion in renal allografts. The current Banff mm score is not reproducible and may miss important ME features. The study aimed to improve the quantification of ME using morphometry, assess changes over time, and determine its association with allograft loss. Methods. We studied ME in 1-y and 5-y surveillance biopsies in 835 kidney transplants performed between January 2000 and December 2013. ME was assessed using the Banff mm score by a central pathologist and by morphometry. We derived 3 different morphometric measures: (1) %ME mm (%glomeruli with ME in ≥2 lobules, like Banff mm); (2) %MEany (%glomeruli with any ME lesion); and (3) %ME area (sum of all ME areas/all glomerular tuft areas). Unadjusted and adjusted Cox models assessed the risk of death-censored allograft loss. Results. From 1- to 5-y biopsies, the mean Banff mm score increased from 0.18 to 0.34, whereas %ME mm increased from 2.5% to 13.3%. Banff mm score had modest correlations with morphometric ME measures. Moderate-severe %ME mm was present in 20.1% of 5-y biopsies, whereas only 6.6% of Banff mm scores were. In general, higher ME on both 1- and 5-y biopsies was associated with a deceased donor, older recipient age, recipient diabetes/obesity (present in >50% of severely affected biopsies), higher hemoglobin A1c at 5 y posttransplant, and recurrent kidney disease. Higher ME on 5-y biopsies was associated with delayed graft function. A higher Banff mm score at 1-y biopsy and morphometry ME measures at 5-y biopsy were associated with rejection during the first year posttransplant. Morphometric ME measures were associated with allograft loss independent of Banff scores and all clinical characteristics, including kidney function and recurrent disease. The model with %MEany had the highest c-statistic (0.872). Conclusions. Banff mm score underestimates the pervasiveness of ME in 5-y biopsies. ME is common and associated with alloimmune and nonalloimmune causes of graft loss.

AbstractHistologic findings on 1‐year biopsies such as inflammation with fibrosis and transplant glomerulopathy predict renal allograft loss by 5 years. However, almost half of the patients with graft loss have a 1‐year biopsy that is either normal or has only interstitial fibrosis. The goal of this study was to determine if there was a gene expression profile in these relatively normal 1‐year biopsies that predicted subsequent decline in renal function. Using transcriptome microarrays we measured intragraft mRNA levels in a retrospective Discovery cohort (170 patients with a normal/minimal fibrosis 1‐year biopsy, 54 with progressive decline in function/graft loss and 116 with stable function) and developed a nested 10‐fold cross‐validated gene classifier that predicted progressive decline in renal function (positive predictive value = 38 ± 34%%; negative predictive value = 73 ± 30%, c‐statistic = .59). In a prospective, multicenter Validation cohort (270 patients with Normal/Interstitial Fibrosis [IF]), the classifier had a 20% positive predictive value, 85% negative predictive value and .58 c‐statistic. Importantly, the majority of patients with graft loss in the prospective study had 1‐year biopsies scored as Normal or IF. We conclude predicting graft loss in many renal allograft recipients (i.e., those with a relatively normal 1‐year biopsy and eGFR > 40) remains difficult.

AbstractDeath with a functioning graft and death‐censored renal allograft failure remain major problems for which effective preventative protocols are lacking. The retrospective cohort study aimed to determine whether histologic changes on a 5‐year surveillance kidney biopsy predict adverse outcomes after transplantation in recipients who had: both Type 2 diabetes (T2DM) and obesity (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2) at the time of transplantation (T2DM/Obesity, n = 75); neither (No T2DM/No obesity, n = 78); No T2DM/Obesity (n = 41), and T2DM/No obesity (n = 47). On 5‐year biopsies, moderate‐to‐severe mesangial expansion was more common in the T2DM/Obesity group (Banff mm score ≥2 = 49.3%; Tervaert classification MS ≥ 2b = 26.7%) compared to the other groups (p < .001 for both scores). Risk factors included older age, higher BMI, HbA1C, and triglycerides at 1‐year post‐transplant. Moderate‐to‐severe mesangial expansion correlated with death with function (HR 1.74 (1.01, 2.98), p = .045 Banff and 1.89 (1.01, 3.51) p = .045 Tervaert) and with death‐censored graft loss (HR 3.2 (1.2, 8.8), p = .02 Banff and HR 3.8 (1.3, 11.5), p = .01 Tervaert) over a mean of 11.6 years of recipient follow‐up post‐transplant. These data suggest that mesangial expansion in recipients with T2DM and obesity may reflect systemic vascular injury and might be a novel biomarker to predict adverse outcomes post renal transplant.