Wilbur, Ryan R.

Objectives: Distal biceps tendon tears, although rare, significantly impair patient’s elbow mobility and function. There is a paucity of literature reporting outcomes of partial thickness tears to inform management strategies. Therefore, the authors sought to identify magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) confirmed partial thickness distal biceps tears and report on (1) demographics and treatment strategies, (2) outcomes and complications, and (3) any identifiable risk factors for progression to surgery or full thickness tear. Methods: Patients who experienced a partial thickness distal biceps tear confirmed on MRI from 1996 to 2016 were identified by a musculoskeletal radiologist through an institutional image database. Patients were included if they had complete medical records and at least one visit of clinical follow-up. Patients with inflammatory arthritis and enthesitis, polytrauma, or incidental findings without clinical assessment were excluded. Medical records were reviewed to confirm the diagnosis and obtain study details. Multivariate logistic regression models were created using baseline characteristics, injury details and physical exam findings in order to predict operative intervention. Results: Overall, 111 patients (22F, 89M, age: 53.6 years ± 13) were identified and included. Baseline injury characteristics and patient demographics including weakness in elbow flexion, forearm supination, and patient reported sensation at time of injury were all found to be statistically different between treatment groups (Table 1). Patients were followed to a mean of 10 years of clinical follow up. Within the cohort, 57 patients were treated non-operatively, while 54 were treated operatively. Patients who received surgical intervention were more likely to report missing time from work and greater loss of productivity due to missed time (Table 2); however, almost 90% of patients returned to work without restrictions, regardless of treatment modality (88% vs 88%, Table 2). For surgical patients, there were 5 re-operations (9%), 3 re-ruptures (6%), and overall, 31% of the operatively treated cohort experienced a complication. Results of the final multivariate logistic regression model are included in Table 3; final model variables included age at initial consult, tenderness to palpation tendon insertion on exam, and supination weakness. Of these, supination weakness at initial consult was found to be a statistically significant predictor for surgical intervention (p=.001, OR=24.8). Conclusions: Operative patients tended to be male with more profound supination weakness; these patients tended to report increased loss of productivity due to time missed after treatment. At 10 year clinical follow up 31% experienced some complication and 9% underwent a re-operation. However, patients demonstrated uniform ability to return to work without modification and no statistical differences in functional outcomes, regardless of treatment modality. Patients who suffer from a partial distal biceps tear should be counseled that operative management represents a balance of returning function with potential complications and increased loss of productivity. [Table: see text][Table: see text][Table: see text]

Objectives: The medial patellofemoral ligament (MPFL) is the primary soft tissue restraint to lateral patellar translation and is often disrupted with a lateral patellar dislocation. Surgical management for recurrent patellar instability focuses on restoring MPFL function with repair or reconstruction techniques. Recent studies have favored reconstruction over repair, but no long-term, comparative studies are available in the literature. Methods: A total of 55 patients (58 knees) with recurrent lateral instability were treated between 2005 and 2012 with either MPFL repair or MPFL reconstruction. Exclusion criteria included prior or concomitant tibial tubercle osteotomy or trochleoplasty, and follow-up less than 8 years. Pre- and post-operative demographic, surgical, imaging and clinical data were recorded for each patient. Results: MPFL repair was performed on 26 patients (29 knees; 14 females, 15 males) at a mean age of 19.1 years. MPFL reconstruction was performed on 29 patients (29 knees; 18 females, 11 males) at a mean age of 18.2 years. Mean follow-up was 12.0 years (range 8.3-18.9). The reconstruction group had a significantly lower rate of recurrent dislocation compared to the repair group (14% vs 41%, p=0.019) at final follow up. There were no differences in the number of pre-operative dislocations (greater than or less than 3), degree of patellar facet chondromalacia, TT-TG distance, or Tegner scores. The reconstruction group had significantly more time from injury to surgery compared to the repair group (median, 1,460 days vs 627 days, p =0.007). There were no differences in post-operative Tegner, Lysholm or Kujala scores at final follow-up. Additionally, there were no differences in return to play rates (repair 80.8% vs reconstruction 75.0%, p=0.610) or reoperation rates (repair 20.7% vs reconstruction 13.8%, p=0.487). Conclusions: Repair of the MPFL leads to nearly 3-fold higher rate of recurrent patellar dislocation (41% vs. 14%) at long term follow-up compared to MPFL reconstruction. However, MPFL repair and reconstruction provide similar clinical results, return to play rates and reoperation rates. [Table: see text][Table: see text]

Purpose To 1) evaluate the clinical efficacy of arthroscopic posterior capsular release for improving range of motion (ROM) in cases of recalcitrant flexion contracture and 2) determine patient‐reported outcomes (PROs) postoperatively. Methods Retrospective chart review was performed to identify patients who underwent arthroscopic posterior capsular release due to persistent extension deficit of the knee despite comprehensive nonoperative physical therapy between 2008 and 2021. Knee ROM and PROs (International Knee Documentation Committee [IKDC], Tegner, and visual analog scale [VAS]) were collected at final follow‐up. Results Overall, 22 patients were included with a median age of 37 years (interquartile range [IQR]: 20.5‐44.3). Of these, 8 (36%) were male and 14 (64%) were female, and average follow‐up was 3.7 ± 3.3 years. The most common etiology was knee flexion contracture after anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) reconstruction (59%). All patients failed a minimum of 3 months of nonoperative management. Prior to operative intervention, 100% of patients received physical therapy, 64% received extension knee bracing or casting, and 36% received corticosteroid injection. Median preoperative extension was 15° (IQR: 10‐25) compared to 2° (IQR: 0‐5) postoperatively ( P < .001). At final follow‐up, median extension was 0° (IQR: 0‐3.5). Postoperative VAS pain scores at rest (2 vs 0; P = .001) and with use (5 vs 1.8; P = .017) improved at final contact, and most (94%) patients reported maintaining their extension ROM. Patients with ACL‐related extension deficit reported better IKDC (81 vs 51.3; P = .008), Tegner (5.8 vs 3.6; P = .007), and VAS pain scores (rest: 0.2 vs 1.8; P = .008; use: 1.3 vs 5; P = .004) compared to other etiologies. Conclusion Arthroscopic posterior capsular release for recalcitrant flexion contracture provides an effective means for reducing pain and restoring terminal extension. The improvement in extension postoperatively was maintained for most (94%) patients at final follow‐up with a 14% reoperation rate.

Purpose To determine whether conventional logistic regression or machine learning algorithms were more precise in identifying the risk factors for unplanned overnight admission after medial patellofemoral ligament (MPFL) reconstruction. Methods A retrospective review of the prospectively collected National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database was performed to identify patients who underwent outpatient MPFL reconstruction from 2006–2018. Patients admitted overnight were identified as those with length of stay of 1 or more days. Models were generated using random forest, extreme gradient boosting, adaptive boosting, or elastic net penalized logistic regression, and an additional model was produced as a weighted ensemble of the 4 final algorithms. The predictive capacity of these models was compared to that of logistic regression. Results Of the 1307 patients identified, 221 (16.9%) required at least one overnight stay after MPFL reconstruction. Multivariate logistic regression found the following variables to be predictors of inpatient admission: age (odds ratio [OR] = 1.03 [95% confidence interval {CI} 1.02‐1.04]; P <.001), spinal anesthesia (OR = 3.42 [95% CI 1.98‐6.08]; P < .001), American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) class 3/4 (OR = 1.96 [95% CI 1.25‐3.06]; P < .001), history of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (OR = 6.44 [95% CI 1.58‐26.17]; P = .02), and body mass index (BMI) (OR = 1.03 [95% CI 1.01‐1.05]; P < .001). The ensemble model achieved the best performance based on discrimination assessed via internal validation (area under the curve = 0.722). The variables determined most important by the ensemble model were increasing BMI, increasing age, ASA class, anesthesia, smoking, hypertension, lateral release, and history of COPD. Conclusions An internally validated machine learning algorithm outperformed logistic regression modeling in predicting the need for unplanned overnight hospitalization after MPFL reconstruction. In this model, the most significant risk factors for admission were age, BMI, ASA class, smoking status, hypertension, lateral release, and history of COPD. This tool can be deployed to augment provider assessment to identify high‐risk candidates and appropriately set postoperative expectations for patients. Clinical Relevance Identifying and mitigating patient risk factors to prevent adverse surgical outcomes and hospitalizations is one of our primary goals. There may be a key role for machine learning algorithms to help successfully and efficiently risk stratify patients to decrease costs, appropriately set postoperative expectations, and increase the quality of delivered care.

Background: Proximal tibial osteotomy (PTO) is a well-established treatment for coronal deformity and focal cartilage defects. However, the utility of joint-preserving interventions must be weighed against potential effects on subsequent total knee arthroplasty (TKA). The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of PTO on subsequent TKA by comparing outcomes in patients with bilateral TKAs following unilateral PTO. Methods: Patients who underwent bilateral TKAs from 2000 to 2015 at a single institution and had previously undergone a unilateral valgus-producing PTO were reviewed. We evaluated 140 TKAs performed in 70 patients (24 female, 46 male) with a mean age at PTO of 50 ± 8 years. The patients underwent conversion to TKA at a mean of 14 ± 7 years following ipsilateral PTO and were followed for a mean of 25 ± 7 years (range, 6 to 40 years) following PTO. The Knee Society Score (KSS), Forgotten Joint Score-12 (FJS-12), subjective knee preference, and revision were compared between the PTO-TKA and contralateral TKA-only sides. Results: The PTO side demonstrated similar KSS Knee subscores (41 ± 16) compared with the contralateral side (39 ± 16, p = 0.67) immediately prior to arthroplasty. Patients had significant improvements in KSS (p < 0.001) after TKA, with clinically similar KSS values at 2 to 15 years of follow-up when knees were compared in a pairwise fashion (p = 0.10 to 0.83). Five PTO-TKA knees (7%) and 4 control TKA-only knees (6%) underwent revision at a mean of 5 years postoperatively (p = 0.76). The number of all-cause reoperations was approximately twice as high in PTO-TKA knees (13% compared with 6% in TKA-only knees, p = 0.24). At the time of final follow-up, PTO-TKA knees demonstrated similar FJS-12 scores (72 ± 26) compared with the contralateral knees (70 ± 28, p = 0.57). Nineteen percent of patients preferred the PTO-TKA knee, 19% preferred the contralateral TKA-only knee, and 62% stated that their knees were equivalent (p > 0.99). The final Tegner activity score was 2.5 ± 1.4. Conclusions: Long-term clinical function of TKA following PTO was excellent, with patients demonstrating comparable subjective outcomes and equivalent knee preference compared with the contralateral TKA-only knees. Further, well-matched studies are needed to evaluate long-term revision and reoperation rates following PTO-TKA. Level of Evidence: Therapeutic Level III . See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Background: Management of anterior shoulder instability (ASI) aims to reduce risk of future recurrence and prevent complications via nonoperative and surgical management. Machine learning may be able to reliably provide predictions to improve decision making for this condition. Purpose: To develop and internally validate a machine-learning model to predict the following outcomes after ASI: (1) recurrent instability, (2) progression to surgery, and (3) the development of symptomatic osteoarthritis (OA) over long-term follow-up. Study Design: Cohort study (prognosis); Level of evidence, 2. Methods: An established geographic database of >500,000 patients was used to identify 654 patients aged <40 years with an initial diagnosis of ASI between 1994 and 2016; the mean follow-up was 11.1 years. Medical records were reviewed to obtain patient information, and models were generated to predict the outcomes of interest. Five candidate algorithms were trained in the development of each of the models, as well as an additional ensemble of the algorithms. Performance of the algorithms was assessed using discrimination, calibration, and decision curve analysis. Results: Of the 654 included patients, 443 (67.7%) experienced multiple instability events, 228 (34.9%) underwent surgery, and 39 (5.9%) developed symptomatic OA. The ensemble gradient-boosted machines achieved the best performances based on discrimination (via area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC]: AUC recurrence = 0.86), AUC surgery = 0.76, AUC OA = 0.78), calibration, decision curve analysis, and Brier score (Brier recurrence = 0.138, Brier surgery = 0.185, Brier OA = 0.05). For demonstration purposes, models were integrated into a single web-based open-access application able to provide predictions and explanations for practitioners and researchers. Conclusion: After identification of key features, including time from initial instability, age at initial instability, sports involvement, and radiographic findings, machine-learning models were developed that effectively and reliably predicted recurrent instability, progression to surgery, and the development of OA in patients with ASI. After careful external validation, these models can be incorporated into open-access digital applications to inform patients, clinicians, and researchers regarding quantifiable risks of relevant outcomes in the clinic.

Background: Athletes of all sports often have shoulder instability, most commonly as anterior shoulder instability (ASI). For overhead athletes (OHAs) and those participating in throwing sports, clinical and surgical decision making can be difficult owing to a lack of long-term outcome studies in this population of athletes. Purpose/Hypothesis: To report presentation characteristics, pathology, treatment strategies, and outcomes of ASI in OHAs and throwers in a geographic cohort. We hypothesized that OHAs and throwers would have similar presenting characteristics, management strategies, and clinical outcomes but lower rates of return to play (RTP) when compared with non-OHAs (NOHAs) and nonthrowers, respectively. Study Design: Cohort study; Level of evidence, 3. Methods: An established geographic medical record system was used to identify OHAs diagnosed with ASI in the dominant shoulder. An overall 57 OHAs with ASI were matched 1:2 with 114 NOHAs with ASI. Of the OHAs, 40 were throwers. Sports considered overhead were volleyball, swimming, racquet sports, baseball, and softball, while baseball and softball composed the thrower subgroup. Records were reviewed for patient characteristics, type of sport, imaging findings, treatment strategies, and surgical details. Patients were contacted to collect Western Ontario Shoulder Instability index (WOSI) scores and RTP data. Statistical analysis compared throwers with nonthrowers and OHAs with NOHAs. Results: Four patients, 3 NOHAs and 1 thrower, were lost to follow-up at 6 months. Clinical follow-up for the remaining 167 patients (98%) was 11.9 ± 7.2 years (mean ± SD). Of the 171 patients included, an overall 41 (36%) NOHAs, 29 (51%) OHAs, and 22 (55%) throwers were able to be contacted for WOSI scores and RTP data. OHAs were more likely to initially present with subluxations (56%; P = .030). NOHAs were more likely to have dislocations (80%; P = .018). The number of instability events at presentation was similar. OHAs were more likely to undergo initial operative management. Differences in rates of recurrent instability were not significant after initial nonoperative management (NOHAs, 37.1% vs OHAs, 28.6% [ P = .331] and throwers, 21.2% [ P = .094]) and surgery (NOHAs, 20.5% vs OHAs, 13.0% [ P = .516] and throwers, 9.1% [ P = .662]). Rates of revision surgery were similar (NOHAs, 18.0% vs OHAs, 8.7% [ P = .464] and throwers, 18.2% [ P > .999]). RTP rates were 80.5% in NOHAs, as compared with 71.4% in OHAs ( P = .381) and 63.6% in throwers ( P = .143). Median WOSI scores were 40 for NOHAs, as compared with 28 in OHAs ( P = .425) and 28 in throwers ( P = .615). Conclusion: In a 1:2 matched comparison of general population athletes, throwers and OHAs were more likely to have more subtle instability, as evidenced by higher rates of subluxations rather than frank dislocations, when compared with NOHAs. Despite differences in presentation and the unique sport demands of OHAs, rates of recurrent instability and revision surgery were similar across groups. Similar outcomes in terms of RTP, level of RTP, and WOSI scores were achieved for OHAs and NOHAs, but these results must be interpreted with caution given the limited sample size.

Purpose The purposes of this study were to identify patient characteristics and risk factors for overnight admission following outpatient hip arthroscopy and to develop a machine learning algorithm that can effectively identify patients requiring admission following elective hip arthroscopy. Methods A retrospective review of a prospectively collected national surgical outcomes database was performed to identify patients who underwent elective outpatient hip arthroscopy from 2006 to 2018. Patients admitted overnight postoperatively were identified as those with length of stay of 1 or more days. Models were generated using random forest (RF), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), adaptive boosting (AdaBoost), elastic net penalized logistic regression, and an additional model was produced as a weighted ensemble of the four final algorithms. Results Overall, 1,276 patients were included. The median age was 43 years, and 64.2% (819) were female. Of the included patients, 109 (8.5%) required an overnight stay following elective outpatient hip arthroscopy. The most important factors for inpatient admission were increasing operative time, general anesthesia, age extremes, male gender, greater body mass index (BMI), American Society of Anesthesiologists classification >1, and the following preoperative lab values outside of normal ranges: sodium, platelet count, hematocrit, and leukocyte count. The ensemble model achieved the best performance based on discrimination assessed via internal validation (area under the curve = .71), calibration, and decision curve analysis. The model was integrated into a Web‐based open‐access application able to provide both personalized predictions and explanations. Conclusion A machine learning algorithm developed based on preoperative features identified increasing operative time, age extremes, greater BMI, sodium, hematocrit, platelets, and leukocyte count as the most important variables associated with inpatient admission with fair validity.

Objectives: There is a paucity of literature regarding outcomes of anterior shoulder instability (ASI) in throwers and overhead athletes (OHA). The purpose of this study was to report the pathology, treatment strategies, and outcomes of ASI in throwers and overhead athletes utilizing an established US geographic population-based cohort. Methods: An established geographic database of more than 500,000 patients was used to identify athletes <40 years of age with ASI between 1994 and 2016. Medical records were reviewed to obtain demographics, type of sport, surgical details, and clinical outcomes. Patients were contacted after final clinical follow-up for patient reported outcomes (PRO). The Western Ontario Shoulder Instability (WOSI) score, return to sport at previous level of performance (RPP), rate of return to play (RTP) and time to RTP were recorded. Statistical analysis was performed comparing throwers to non-throwers and OHA to non-overhead athletes (NOHA). Results: The study population consisted of 171 patients, 114 NOHA and 57 OHA. Of the OHA, 40 were throwers. The mean follow-up was 14.7 ± 5.6 years for PRO’s and 11.7 ± 7.3 years for last clinical evaluation. No difference in overall instability events was seen in either group. Throwers were more likely to present with subluxations while non-throwers were more likely to present with frank dislocations. NOHA and non-throwers were more likely than OHA and throwers to have a history of trauma related to ASI, respectively ( P = <.001, P = .002). Throwers were more likely to undergo an open surgical procedure (45%) than non-throwers (15%) ( P = .038). The rate of recurrent instability between groups was similar. Throwers returned to sport at a lower rate than non-throwers, however this did not reach significance (64% vs 83%, P = .100). Throwers and OHA reported similar WOSI scores, RPP and time to RTP grouped by surgical or conservative management compared to non-throwers and NOHA, respectively. Conclusions: In a US cohort of patients, throwers and OHA had a similar number of instability events compared to non-throwers and NOHA, respectively. Non-throwers and NOHA were more likely to present with frank dislocation which is supported by the significantly higher rates of trauma in both groups. Notably, the WOSI score, RPP, rate of RTP and time to RTP showed no difference between throwers and OHA when compared to their non-throwing and NOHA counterparts.

Objectives: The current literature lacks evidence to guide treatment of isolated lateral meniscus tears in young patients. Accordingly, the purpose of this study was to describe our institutional experience in young patients with lateral meniscus tear with regard to i) treatment trends in meniscectomy and repair ii) long-term patient reported and radiographic outcomes, and iii) failure rates and associated patient and treatment factors. Methods: Patients <26 years of age who underwent surgery for lateral meniscus tears between 2001 and 2017. Patients with ligamentous injury or prior surgeries in the same knee were excluded. Records were reviewed to obtain patient demographics, injury characteristics, surgical details, reoperation rates, repeat imaging, and patient outcome scores. Statistical analysis compared treatment trends over time. Patient reported outcomes (PROs), imaging outcomes, and failure rates were compared by treatment modality. Failure was defined as reoperation, symptomatic osteoarthritis, or IKDC <75. Simple logistic regressions were calculated to predict failure and IKDC based on treatment, type of tear, location of tear, or amount of meniscus removed. Results: 226 knees in 217 patients were identified with average clinical follow-up of 3.2 years. Our cohort consisted of 158 male patients, and average age was 17.4 years (7-25). 138 patients (144 knees) were treated with meniscectomy (partial to complete) (64%) and 79 patients (82 knees) were treated with repair (36%). Repair rates compared to meniscectomy (any degree) increased over time with 63% of lateral meniscus tears from 2013-2017 treated with repair compared to 23% from 2001 -2004 ( P = <.0001). IKDC scores in the meniscectomy group increased from 76.3 ± 9.1 pre-operatively to 97.2 ± 3.9 post-operatively ( P = <.0001) and increased in the repair group from 71.0 ± 11.5 pre-operatively to 97.4 ± 4.1 post-operatively ( P = <.0001).The change in IKDC score was greater in repair (26.0 ± 12.3) than meniscectomy (21.1 ± 9.8) ( P = .002). Reoperation rates in meniscectomy (20%) and repair (20%) were similar ( P = .910). Pre-operative IKDC scores were lower in the repair group ( P = .001), but final IKDC scores were similar ( P = 0.695). Symptomatic OA was noted in 17 patients in the meniscectomy group (22%) and 5 patients in the repair group (11%) ( P = .121). The failure rate was similar between meniscectomy (35%) and repair (28%) ( P = .307). Regression equations evaluating treatment modality, type and location of tear, and amount of meniscus removed did not reach significance in predicting IKDC or failure. Conclusions: In this cohort of young patients with isolated lateral meniscus tears, rate of repair increased over time. IKDC scores improved more in the repair group compared to the meniscectomy patients, however IKDC scores obtained at final follow-up were similar. Rates of symptomatic OA, reoperation, and failure were similar between groups. Treatment modality, type and location of tear, and amount of meniscus removed were not predictive of final IKDC or failure.