Nissen, Nicholas

Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has a poor long-term prognosis due to high recurrence and cirrhosis-related mortality, even after potentially curative treatments such as liver transplantation (LT), surgical resection, or ablation. This study aimed to identify factors associated with ≥10-year survival in HCC patients. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted among HCC patients diagnosed between 2004 and 2022 using the National Cancer Database. Multivariable Cox regression was used to identify predictors of overall survival, and logistic regression was used to identify predictors of ≥10-year survival. Results: Among 249,600 HCC patients, 177,585 (71.2%) died within 5 years, 8613 (3.5%) died at 5–10 years, 54,988 (22.0%) were alive with <10 years of follow-up, and 8219 (3.3%) survived ≥10 years. LT, resection, and ablation were performed in 6.6%, 9.3%, and 11% of patients, respectively. Compared with ablation as the reference group, LT [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 11.96, 95% confidence interval (CI): 11.27–13.29] and resection (aOR: 2.83, 95% CI: 2.57–3.08) increased the odds of ≥10-year survival, while non-curative treatments reduced the odds compared with ablation (aOR: 0.50, 95% CI: 0.47–0.55). Cox regression results were consistent with the logistic model, confirming the association. Decision tree analysis confirmed LT as the dominant determinant of long-term survival. Black individuals were associated with lower odds of ≥10-year survival (aOR: 0.88, 95% CI: 0.820–0.96) and decreased likelihood of receiving LT (aOR: 0.73, 95% CI: 0.55–0.96). Conclusions: LT offers the best chance of ≥10-year survival in HCC. Ensuring equitable access is essential, especially for Black patients who have lower transplant rates and worse outcomes.

Abstract Background and Aims: For hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with vascular invasion, systemic treatment is recommended but transarterial radioembolization (TARE) is often used in clinical practice. The aim of this study was to investigate the current usage of TARE vs. systemic therapy as a first-line treatment for HCC with vascular invasion in the United States (US). Method: We performed a retrospective cohort study using the National Cancer Database (NCDB), which represents more than 70 percent of newly diagnosed cancer cases nationwide. All HCC patients diagnosed between 2010 and 2015 with the tumor stage of T3BN0M0 according to the 7th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer TNM staging system (tumor involving a major branch of a large vein of the liver without lymph nodes or extrahepatic metastasis) and received TARE or systemic treatment as a first-line treatment were included. Multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate factors associated with the utilization of TARE vs. systemic therapy. Results: A total of 1979 patients who received systemic treatment and 524 patients who received TARE were included. The proportion of patients receiving TARE increased from 15.7% in 2010 to 31.4% in 2015 (P&lt;0.01). The median tumor size of the largest lesion was comparable (7.0cm for TARE vs. 7.1 cm for systemic treatment, P=0.43). Factors independently associated with increased likelihood of receiving TARE over systemic treatment were: advanced age (Odds Ratio [OR]: 1.02, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.01 - 1.03, p=0.005), insurance status: private (OR: 3.06, 95% CI: 1.61 - 5.65, p&lt;0.001), Medicaid/Medicare (OR: 2.91, 95% CI: 1.52 - 5.31, p&lt;0.001), others (OR: 4.85, 95% CI: 1.90 - 11.62, p&lt;0.001) vs. no insurance, and receiving care in the Midwest vs. Northeast region of the US (OR: 1.89, 95% CI: 1.38 - 2.53, p&lt;0.001). Patients were significantly less likely to receive TARE if receiving treatment at community cancer program (OR: 0.24, 95% CI: 0.098 - 0.49, p&lt;0.001) or comprehensive community cancer program (OR: 0.62, 95% CI: 0.48 - 0.82, p&lt;0.001) vs. academic cancer program. Larger tumor size (OR per 1cm: 0.97, 95% CI: 0.95 - 1.00, p=0.03) and higher Charlson comorbidity index of ≥3 vs. 0 (OR: 0.53, 95% CI: 0.38 - 0.73, p&lt;0.001) were inversely associated with receiving TARE. Recent HCC diagnosis year was associated with an increased likelihood of receiving TARE (OR: 1.23, 95% CI:1.16 - 1.32, p&lt;0.001). Conclusion: The proportion of patients receiving TARE as a first-line treatment for HCC with macrovascular invasion has been increasing in the US. Age, comorbidities, insurance status, tumor size, and the type and location of cancer centers are associated with the usage of TARE vs. systemic treatment in HCC patients with vascular invasion. Citation Format: Joseph C. Ahn, Michael Luu, Walid Ayoub, Alexander Kuo, Andrew Hendifar, Jun Gong, Kambiz Kosari, Shelly Lu, Nicholas Nissen, Ju Dong Yang. Transarterial radioembolization versus systemic treatment for the management of hepatocellular carcinoma with vascular invasion: Analysis of the US National Cancer Database [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research 2020; 2020 Apr 27-28 and Jun 22-24. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2020;80(16 Suppl):Abstract nr 2350.